70
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida STARS STARS Harrison "Buzz" Price Papers Digital Collections 1-1-1989 Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study Walt Disney Imagineering, The Disney Development Company Part of the Tourism and Travel Commons Find similar works at: https://stars.library.ucf.edu/buzzprice University of Central Florida Libraries http://library.ucf.edu This Report is brought to you for free and open access by the Digital Collections at STARS. It has been accepted for inclusion in Harrison "Buzz" Price Papers by an authorized administrator of STARS. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Recommended Citation Recommended Citation Walt Disney Imagineering, The Disney Development Company, "Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study" (1989). Harrison "Buzz" Price Papers. 141. https://stars.library.ucf.edu/buzzprice/141

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Page 1: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

University of Central Florida University of Central Florida

STARS STARS

Harrison "Buzz" Price Papers Digital Collections

1-1-1989

Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

Walt Disney Imagineering, The Disney Development Company

Part of the Tourism and Travel Commons

Find similar works at: https://stars.library.ucf.edu/buzzprice

University of Central Florida Libraries http://library.ucf.edu

This Report is brought to you for free and open access by the Digital Collections at STARS. It has been accepted for

inclusion in Harrison "Buzz" Price Papers by an authorized administrator of STARS. For more information, please

contact [email protected].

Recommended Citation Recommended Citation Walt Disney Imagineering, The Disney Development Company, "Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study" (1989). Harrison "Buzz" Price Papers. 141. https://stars.library.ucf.edu/buzzprice/141

Page 2: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

1 DISNEY· ENTERPRISE Initial Feasibility Study

/089 A~ e

WALT DISNEY IMAGINEERING · THE ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT COMPA.NY

Page 3: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

III. ATI'ENDANCE

Attendance Summary 1

Reasons for Coming to Texposition • 3

Comparative Data: Attendance & Penetration • 4

Map: Site with 5 & 10 Hile Radii 5

Map: Site with 30 & 100 ~1ile Radii 6

Dallas Resident Market Penetration 7

Visitor Market Penetration 8

Total Visitation 9

Comparative Data: Attendance & Penetration • 10

Dallas Market OVerview 11

Metro Area Comparisons: Dallas & Baltimore • • • • • 15

Dallas-Fort Wbrth Rankings 16

Disposable Income 17

Dallas-Fort Wbrth Figures 18

Page 4: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

!.~ .

L

In developing an attendance estimate for the Texposition, or any similar project we may develop, it is nnportant to keep in mind the reasons our quests come to the property.

The Texposition begins with the core experience of the Festival Marketplace, adds the daytime entertainment of shows and rides, and extends the attraction into the night with fine dining, dancing and nightclubs. The appeal of this development touches the resident who wants to regard it as the closest shopping center, the kids who want to ride the simulator or have a Saturday breakfast with Mickey, as well as the adult seeking an evening of good food and "yupscale" entertainment. Furthermore, the TeXIX>Si tion has a Project ~1ass that will draw people with no particular puriX>se in mind other than to spend an enjoyable day walking around, to "see and be seen" among the festivities our project will offer.

The Dallas market appears to be one that would ~lcane this attraction. By 1989 there will be over 4.6 million residents within 100 miles of the Cityplace site. A canparitively affluent market, Dallas is the u.s. 's 6th highest in personal incane and the 7th highest in retail sales. The per capita incane is 19% above the u.s. average. Their propensity to eat out is 36% greater than the u.s. as a whole, while the area has a 26% greater demand for restaurants than the current supply. In addition the median age is 28.8 years, making this a young population and the perfect target for the entertainment varieties present in our design.

In addition, Dallas offers a strong and growing tourist market, with over 12 million people visiting Dallas annually. 2 million Conventioneers attend meetings within 5 miles of Cityplace, and 7 million business travelers use the Mart area for showrocrns, meeting space, to conduct daily transactions. 32% of the hotels in Dallas are within a 5 mile radius of the Cityplace site. These hotels primarily serve the Conventioneer and Business person, and put nearly 2 million visitors on expense accounts within a very short cab ride of our project. An additional 5 million recreational travelers stay in hanes in the Dallas area, and stay an average of 5.9 days with friends and relatives. ·

III-1

Page 5: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I.~ ..

I .. ..

ATI'ENLlAOCE ( aNr. )

In our analysis, we conservatively penetrated the local market, drawing from them an average 1.46 visits per year, as opposed to Faneuil Hall which gets 1.5 visits, and Harborplace, which gets annual 2.1 visits from each of its local citizens. we then strove to minbnize our dependance upon the tourist market, and allowed it to comprise less than one-third of our total attendance. Our current research into Faneuil Hall indicates that 49% of their visits are from tourists, and Harborplace finds 40% of its visits are fran tourists.

we believe that this project will handily draw 10 million people. If we have designed an attraction that meets the goals of drawing in guests with a wide range of purposes in mind, it is very probable that 10 million spending guests is a conservative estbnate of attendance.

III-2

Page 6: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

,: . .

REASONS FoR CoMING

To

TEXPOSITION

0 RETAIL

-~ESTIVAL MARKETPLACE

-FxPOSITION RETAIL

0 DAYTIME ENTERTAINMENT

-SHOWS & RIDES

FEATURING THE SIMULATOR

0 NIGHTTIME FNTERTAINMENT

0

-UNIQUE LouNGEs & CLuBs

FEATURING THE ADVENTUREP 1 S CLUB

PROJECT MAsS

-nvERALL tNVIRONMENT

-AMBIENCE

111-3

Page 7: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 8: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

( . .

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III-5

5 & 10 Mile Radii

lg-

Scale ·,n Miles

0 2. 6

· 7' ~ :>

' ' () 9

Page 9: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

L. LEGE NO

@ Piece cl100.000 01 more.,.,...._ .., Plecec150.0001o 100.000~

. • Piece ol 25.000 10 50.000 .,.,....,.

I'

~ ~ 00 1~ 200 K•!Omefers

·----~---0 ~ 100 150

t···.·· :~;~ .:.: : ...

>QPULATION BY SEGMENT

Residents 0-5 Miles Residents 5-10 Miles Residents 10-30 Miles Residents 30-100 Miles

Total Residents

t-------.--- -+--------- - - -+- --

Adults

199,318 426,762 798,650

1,131,903 ----------

2,556,633

Juniors (14-17)

20,226 43,305 82,574

117,030 ---------.--

263,136

III-6

30 &

Child (4-13)

47,404 101,497 193,534 274,290

----------616,725

1 00 Mile Radii

Child (0-3)

18,962 40,599 77,414

109,716 ----------

246,690

Seniors (65+)

30,117 64,485

138,054 195,660

----------428,316

Total

316,027 676,648

1,290,226 1,828,599

----------4,111,5 00

Page 10: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 11: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

,.···,:.

·>.~

CoNVENTIONEERS

TouRISTs-DALLAS

BusiNEss/OTHER

STATE TouRISM, DALLAS

TOTAL VISITORS

ExcL

VISITOR MARKET

PENETRATION

PoPULATION PENETRATION 1989 RATE

2,000,000 35%

3,000,000 30%

7,000,000 20%

25,000,000 1% -----------

37,000,000

III-8

AVERAGE VISITS/ PER YEAR

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

ToTAL ANNUAL VISITS

700,000

~00,002

1,400,000

250,000

3,250,002

Page 12: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I.·

, . .

RESIDENT

TouRIST

TOTAL

TOTAL VISITATION

67% RESIDENT

33% TouRIST

III-9

6.752 MM

3.250 MM

10.002 1111

Page 13: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 14: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 15: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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IlM..IA'> MARKET OVERVIF..W (IETAILED INFORMATIOO 00 THE IlM..IA'> MARKET IS IN TEXPOOITIOO "OCX)K 13)

IDPUIATIOO

The Dallas-Fort Wbrth Metroplex is one of the fastest growinq urban centers in the nation, ranking seventh in population among u.s. cities.

The Dallas-Fort Wbrth CMSA population is 3.1 million.

Approximately 1.5 million people within the CMSA are between the ages of 18 and 44 years.

There are 1.1 million households within the CMSA.

Average households size is 2.68 persons.

With Personal Income at $50.2 billion, Dallas ranks sixth in the nation in Personal I cane. Per capita income is estimated to be 19 percent above the u.s. average.

Dallas is a national center for insurance, banking, transportation, electronics manufacturing, data processing, wholesale and retail trade, conventions and trade shows.

Dallas ranks seventh in the nation in Retail Sales with $23 billion in sales (1984).

In Wholesale Trade, Dallas ranks fifth in the u.s. with $7 billion in sales (1985).

It boasts the fourth busiest airport in the u.s. with 27 million passengers.

It is the country's third most active convention city.

More than 3,000 manufacturing plants make apparel, building materials, food, oil field supply, electronic and many other products. Dallas is home to more than 657 finns with a net worth of $1 million or more. And more than 400 of the Fortune 500 companies have representation in Dallas. Unemployment in Dallas has averaged 3.7 percent in recent years, half the national average.

III-12

Page 16: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I· ..

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f.: .. '. :: .. ~~=~ :·· ....

T<XJRISM AND OIHER VISITATIOO

Dallas leads all other Texas cities in visitations. Approximately 33 percent of all visitors to Texas came to Dallas in 1984. Dallas reports receiving more than 12 million visitors to its city. Of these, 2 million were conventioneers, 3 million were tourists (travelling for pleasure), and the remaining 7 million were in Dallas for business or other reasons. Total travel related expenditures by out-of-state visitors were $3.9 billion in 1984.

Dallas ranks eleventh in the nation in Eating and Drinking Establishment Sales with $1.7 billion reported in 1984. The Dallas MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area) has shown a 36 percent qreater propensity to eat out than the u.s. population as a whole. In recent years, the Dallas restaurant market has been characterized by new establishments offering regional or international cuisines, and there has been a trend for experimentation in preparation and selection of menu items.

SOOPP~ C»lrERS

There are nearly 1,000 shopping centers in the Metroplex, offering 74 million square feet of space. Almost 29 percent of the space is in 23 reqional centers. At the start of 1985, another 14.5 million square feet of shopping center space was under development or proposed for the area. And it was expected that 122 shopping centers would open in 1985 and 1986. Retail Sales was reported to be $23 billion in 1984.

At the end of 1976 there were 20,602 hotel roams in Dallas. More than 21,791 roams have been added in the last ten years (and 4,059 have been removed from service), bringing the total inventory of hotel roams to 38,334 in 1986. According to a report by Laventhol and Horwath, Dallas hotel occupancy ws 63.6 percent in 1984.

Dallas hosted more than 2 million convention visitors at 2,070 meetings during the 1984 - 85 season. Convention delegate expenditures totaled $761 million. In addition to the Dallas Convention Center and the area's numerous hotels, many trade shows take advantage of the facilities of the Dallas Market Center, the largest wholesale trade mart in the world.

III-13

Page 17: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

!.·

I~

/.

l

IlMXAS MARKET OVERVIEW (aNI'. )

In the early 1980's, Dallas was the nation's leader in new housing starts. Suburbs which have seen the most residential activity are Arlington, Lewisville, Plano, Carrollton and Richardson. According to "National Geographic" magazine, "More people now live north of LBJ freeway than live in Fort W:>rth."

Downtown Dallas and the Central Business District have been strong office markets for insurance and financial businesses. The Dallas Arts District represents a $1.6 billion, 20 block development that will bring the city's cultural life into focus. High tech and electronics businesses have occurred along the Central Expressway. The area of Qak Lawn has one of the city's largest concentrations of offices. More than 500 companies have located in the planned development of Las Colinas.

III-14

Page 18: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

,.

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PoPULATION CCMSA)

HousEHOLDS

METRO AREA COMPARISONS (1984)

DALLAS

3.1 MILLION

1.1 MILLION

EFFECTIVE BUYING INCOME $ 33 BILLION

ToTAL RETAIL SALES $ 23 BILLION

TRAVEL-RELATED EXPENDITURES $3,9 BILLION

AIRPORT PASSENGERS 27 MILLION

HoTEL ROOMS 38,334

III-15

BALTIMORE

2,7 MILLION

.8 MILLION

$24.2 BILLION

$ 14 BILLION

$ · ,9 BILLION

22 MILLION

9,274

Page 19: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I . I

t .

~ ····.

DALLAS FORT WORTH RANKINGS (1984)

7TH IN POPULATION AMONG U.S. CITIES

7TH IN RETAIL SALES

6TH IN PERSONAL INCOME

5TH IN WHOLESALE TRADE

4TH BUSIEST AIRPORT IN U.S.

3RD MOST ACTIVE CONVENTION CITY

ATTRACTS 1/3 OF ALL VISITORS TO TEXAS

3RD GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF MILLION DOLLAR COMPANIES

III-16

Page 20: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

>

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DISPOSABLE INCOME

I PER CAPITA INCOME IN DALLAs-FORT WORTH IS ESTIMATED

TO BE 19 PERCENT ABOVE U.S. AVERAGE.

I COST OF LIVING IS THE LOWEST AMONG LARGE CITIES IN THE

U.S., JUST 90 PERCENT OF U.S. URBAN AVERAGE EXPENDITURE

FOR A FAMILY OF FOUR.

I RETAIL SALES HAVE GROWN FROM $16 BILLION (1980) TO $23

BILLION (1984),

III-17

Page 21: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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PoPULATION CCMSA)

RETAIL SALES

PERSONAL INCOME

WHOLESALE TRADE

AIRPORT PASSENGERS

DALLAS FORT WORTH FIGURES (1984)

ToTAL VIsiTORs TO DALLAS

CoNVENTIONs

CoNVENTIONS VIsiTORs

MILLION DoLLAR CoMPANIES

III-18

3.1 MILLION

$ 23 BILLION

$ 50.2 BILLION

$ 7 BILLION

27 MILLION

12 MILLION

2,070 MTGS.

2 MILLION

657

Page 22: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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I

IV. ATI'mllAOCE DISI'RIBUTIOO AND FACILITY SIZ:llK;

Attendance Distribution & Facility Sizinq Summary

Exhibit I: Definition of Trip Types

Exhibit II: Attendance Distribution by Trip TYPe • • • • • • •

Exhibit III: Length of Stay & Activity Demand

1

2

3

by Trip Type • • • • • • • • 4

Exhibit IV: Activity Demand

Demand Stmrnary

Graph: Daily Distribution of Guests

Attraction Utilization Tables & Graphs

Waitress Restaurant Utilization Tables & Graphs

Fast Food Restaurant Utilization Tables & Graphs

lounges Utilization Tables & Graphs

Cineplex Utilization Tables & Graphs

. .

. .

. .

. . Calculations for PeakiNJ aoo Off-Season

Factors . . . .

5

6

7

8

14

20

. . . . 26

. . . . 30

. . . . 35

Page 23: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

~ .... _,.· "•

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~E DISTRIBUTIOO & FACILITY SIZIR;

The purpose of this section is to project the quest demand on each of · the major project components or activities. The activity demand projections are then used as a basis for sizing the facilities (project scope) and providing a rationale for generating project revenues (via per capita spending est~ates).

In order to detennine the guest demand for each of the project activities and in turn establish the opt~um facility sizing, the first step is to define the major types of trips and motivating reasons for making each trip. Exhibit I identifies the seven major trip types established for residents and tourists and provides a summary description of each trip type.

Having defined the major trip types, the next step computes the number of guests making each type of trip. This is accanplished by evaluating each market segment and then projecting, based upon the definition and location of each market segment, the probability of making each type of visit. Then for each market segment, the projected probabilities for each trip type are multiplied by the established total attendance for that market segment. The results of this process, which are stmnarized in Exhibit II, distributes the total annual attendance by the. established seven major trip types •

. .

After establishing the projected annual visitation for each of the identified trip types, the total annual demand is detennined. This is accomplished by constructing a model whose lCXJic is based upon the previously defined nature and length of stay of each trip type. For each· trip type, the probabilities of participating in each activity and the average ntnnber of activities per participant are established. (The assumptions which make up the basis of the model are outlined in Exhibit III.) The model then multiplies the total annual visitation for each trip type by the established probabilities of participation and activities per participant for each activity. The summation of this process provides the total annual demand on each activity. (Exhibit IV summarizes the results of this process and, also, breaks down the total activity demand by period of the day, e.g. day or night.)

The total projected attendance demand on each activity is then used to detemine the optimum sizing for each facility. For each activity the model distributed the total annual demand over 360 days of the year based upon established seasonal and day of the week peaking factors. Then by varying the size of each facility over a wide range of capacities, the model is able to detemine the optimum capacity for each activity. (The optimum capacity has been defined as that capacity which maximizes the facility utilization while taking into consideration the effect that capacity limitations during the peak periods have on the total ntnnber of guests turned away each year because of the capacity constraint.) The results of this process are summarized on the utilization tables and graphs at the end of this section.

IV-1

Page 24: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 25: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 28: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

TOTJl. A\f!Vi£ TOT ft.. GISTS ACTIVITIES IIMID

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IV-6

Page 29: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 30: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

UTILIZATI~ TAII.ES AND ffiNlHS

IV-8

Page 31: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I· .

!···

r~ :~:~

;··-

attend89: 28-Jul-86

DISNEY/ENTERPRISE CENTER AITRACTIOO - DAY I'IODEL TO PROJECT SLESTS CARRIED AND UTILIZATI~

~SEASON

Weekend Weekday ----

Total Annual Detland

NUIIber of Days 28 70

Seasonality Factor 0.0049 0.0035

Total Guest Delland per Day 50,318 35,942

Capacity per Day 36,128 36,128

Total Guests Carried/Day 36,128 35,942

Total Guests Carried/Season 1,011, 576 2,515,911 Total Guests Turned Away 397,335 0

-----Total Guests Carried + 1,408,910 2,515,911

Turned AMay

Utilization by Period 100.~ 99.48~

Average Annual utilization 7.78~ 19.34~

ASSJ.M)TI(H) MADE IN 11£ KJDEL =================--==--========

TOTAL AtHJAL DEMAND 10,269,025 DESIGN CAPOCITY OC 7,373

PARK EFFICIEN::Y 70~

PARK HOORL Y CAPACITY 5,161

OPERATING HOURS PEAK ( 1 Oa111 - 5pM) 7.0 N(H)EAK ( 11am - 5 pr~) 6.0

ATTRACTIONS - DAY --------------------

OFF-SE~

Weekend Convention Non-conven TOTAL - ------- -----

10,269,025

76 70 116 360

0.0034 0.0025 0.0016

34,915 25,673 16,430

36,128 30,967 30,967

34,915 25,673 16,430

2,653,516 1, 797,079 1,905,931 9,884,013 0 0 0 397,335

----- ---- ----2,653,516 1,797,079 1,905,931 10,281,348

96.64~ 82. 9()j 53.06~

20.40i 16.1~ 17.10% 80. 74~

IV-9

Page 32: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

1 ..

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attend89: 28-Jul-86

DISNEY /ENTERPRISE CENTER ATTRACTIONS - NIGHT MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS CARRIED AND UTILIZATION

PEAK SE~

Weekend Weekday --------------·--

Total Annual Detaand

NUIIber of Days 28 70

Seasonality Factor 0.0049 0.0035

Total Guest De~~and per Day 29,303 20,931

Capacity per Day 36,128 36,128

Total Guests Carried/Day 29,303 20,931

Total Guests Carried/Season 820,493 1, 465, 165 Total Guests Turned AMay 0 0

----Total Guests Carried + 820,493 1, 465,165

Turned ANay

utilization by Period 81.11~ 57.94~

Average Annual Utilization 6.31" 11.27~

ASSUMPTIONS MADE IN ll£ MODEL =============--===============

TOT~ AtHJAL DEMAND 5,980,267 DES I SN ()i)ACI TV OC 7,373

PARK EFFICIOCY 70% PARK HCXJRL. Y CAPOC I TY 5,161

OPERATI~ HOURS PEAK C5p. - 12 •idnight) 7.0 NCH>EAK C5pm - 10 ~) 5.0

ATTRACTIONS - NISHT --------------------------------------

(FF-~

Weekerd Convention Non-conven ------------------------

76 70 116

0.0034 0.0025 0.0016

20,333 14,951 9,568

36,128 25,806 25,806

20,333 14,951 9,568

1, 545,301 1,046,547 1,109,937 0 0 0

1,545,301 1,046,547 1,109,937

56.28~ 57.94" 37.08'1.

11.88" 11.27~ 11. 95"

IV-10

TOT~

-·------

5,980,267

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-----5,987,443

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Page 33: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 34: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 35: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 36: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

WAilRESS RESTNJWIT

UTILIZATI~ TAilES NID ~

1-:

IV-14

Page 37: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

attend89: 28-Jul-86

ASSUMPTIONS MADE IN THE fiKJDEL ----------------------·----------

TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND TOTAL SEATS PEAK SEASON TURNS OFF-SEASON TURNS

2,001,553 2,400

3.0 2.5

IV-15

Page 38: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I .

at tend89: 28-Jul -86

DISNEY/ENTERPRISE CENTER WAITRESS - DAY MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS SERVED AND UTILIZATION

Total Annual Demand

Number of Days

Seasor~lity Factor

Total Guest Demand per Day

Capacity per Day

Total Guests Served/Day

Total Guests Served/Season Total Guests Turned Away

Total Guests Srvd + Trnd Away

Utilization by Period

Average Annual Utilization

ASSUMPTIONS MADE IN THE MODEL =============--====--==---=

TOTll.. ANNUAL DEMAND SEATS ~~ SEASON TURNS CFF SEASON TURNS

PEAK SEASON ---------

Weekend

28

0.0049

3,848

3,600

3,600

100,800 6,939

----107,739

100.~

785,271 2,400

1. 5 1.0

Weekday

70

0.0035

2,748

3,600

2,748

192,391 0

----192,391

WAITRESS - DAY ==============

OFF-SEASON ----------------

Weekend Convention Non-convert TOTAL -------- ----

785,271

76 70 116 360

o. 0034 0.0025 0.0016

2,670 1, 963 1,256

3,600- 2,400 2,400

2,670 1, 963 1,256

202,914 137,422 145,746 n9,274 _ 0 0 0 6,939

----- ----- - ----202,914 137,422 145,746 786,213

74.16" 81.80~ 52.35"

IV-16

Page 39: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 40: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 42: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

FAST FOOD RESTAlJWIT

UTILIZATIOO TAR.ES NID ffiNlHS

IV-20

Page 43: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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DISNEY /ENTERPRISE CENTER FAST FOOD - DAY MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS SERVED AND UTILIZATION

FAST FOOD - DAY =============

PEAK SEASON OFF-SEASON ---------- ----------------

Weekend Weekday Weekend Convention Non-cor.vert -------------- ---------

Total Annual Demand

Number of Days 28 70 76 70 116

Seasonality Factor 0.0049 0.0035 0.0034 0.0025 0.0016

Total Guest Demand per Day 16,377 11,698 11,364 8,356 5,348

Capacity per Day 12,000 12,000 12,000 8,000 8,000

Total Guests Served/Day 12,000 11,698 11,364 8,000 5,348

Total Guests Served/Season 336,000 818,872 863,659 560,000 620,337 Total Guests Turned Away 122,568 0 0 24,908 0

----- ----- ---- --- -----Total Guests Srvd + Trnd Away 458,568 818,872 863,659 584,908 620,337

Utilization by Period 100.00~ 97.48% 94.7(11. 100.00" 66.85j

Average Annual Utilization 7.78% 18.96% 19.99~ 19.44~ 21. 54"

ASSUMPTIONS MADE IN THE MODEL ==============

TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND HOURLY SERVING CAPACITY PEAK SEASON TURNS OFF SEASON TURNS

3,342,333 2,000

6.0 4.0

Note: Total lunch demand = 8, 550 Required hourly capacity: 3,000 per hour Assumes 30 •inute dine ti~~e: 1500 seats

IV-21

TOTAL ----3,342,333

360

...

3,198,868 147,477

3,346,344

87.71%

Page 44: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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attend89: 28-Jul -86

DISNEY/ENTERPRISE CENTER FAST FOOD - NIGHT MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS SERVED AND UTILIZATION

PEAK SEASON

FAST FOOD - NIGHT =================

OFF-SEASON

Weekend Weekday Weekend Convention Non-conven TOTAL

Total Anrtual Demand 867,185

Number of Days 28 70 76 70 - 116 360

Seasonality Factor 0.0049 o. 0035 0.0034 0.0025 0.0016

Total Guest De&lar.d per Day 4,249 3,035 2,948 2,168 1,387

Capacity per Day 12,000 12,000 12,000 8,000 8,ooo

Total Guests Served/Day 4,249 3,035 2,948 2,168 1,387

Total Guests Served/Season 118,978 212,460 224,080 151,757 160,949 868,225 Total Guests Turned Away 0 0 0 0 0 0

----- ----- ---- ----- ----- -----Total Guests Srvd + Trnd Away 118,978 212,460 224,080 151,757 160,949 868,225

utilization by Period 35.41~ 25.29~ 24.57'/. 27.10'/. 17.34~

Average Artnual Utilization 2.75" 4.92~ 5.19~ 5.27~ 5.5~ 23.72~

ASSUMPTIONS MADE IN THE MODa =======

TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND 794,171 + WAITRESS-NIGHT OVERFLOW 73,013

TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND 867,185

HOURLY SERVING CAPACITY 2,000 PEAK SEASON TURNS 6.0 OFF -SEASON TURNS 4.0

IV-22

Page 45: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 47: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 48: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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IV-26

Page 49: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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attend89: 28-Jul-86

DISNEY/ENTERPRISE CENTER LOUNGES - NIGHT ONLY MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS SERVED AND UTILIZATION

Total Annual Demand

Number of Days

Seasonality Factor

Total Suest Demand per Day

Capacity per Day

Total Suests Served/Day

Total Suests Served/Season Total Guests Turned Away

Total Suests Srvd + Trnd Away

Utilization by Period

Average Annual Utilization

ASSUMPTIONS MADE IN THE MODEL ----------------------------------------TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND TOT~ SEATING +50~ STANDING

Seating Standing

PEAK SEASON TURNS €FF SEASON TURNS

PEAK SEASON

Weekend Wee.kday

28 70

0.0049 0.0035

14,463 10,331

10,800

10,800

302,400 102,566

404,966

100.00%

7.78~

2,951,650 2,700 1,800

900 4.0 3.0 .

10,800

10,331

723,154 0

723,154

95.66%

18.~

LOUNGES - NISHT ONLY =================--==

OFF-SEASON

Weekend Convention Non-conver. TOTAL

76

0. 0034

10,036

10,800

10,036

762,706 0

762,706

92.92%

19.62%

IV-27

70

0.0025

7,379

8,100

7,379

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516,539

91.10~

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116

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4,723

a, 100

4,723

547,826 2,852,625 0 102,566 .

547,826 2,955,192

58.30%

18.791. 82.50~

Page 50: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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Page 51: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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----

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----

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----

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13

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1400

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00

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17

00

1800

19

00

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SEA

TS

Page 52: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

1-:

, .. ·

f

Cltm..EX

UTILIZATI~ TAil£S NID ffiNlHS

IV-30

Page 53: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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j:· ..

1-

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attend89: 28-Jul-86

DISNEY/ENTERPRISE CENTER CINEPLEX - NIGHT MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS SERVED AND UTILIZATION

PEAK SEASON

CINEPLEX - NISHT ===--==========--=

OFF-SEASON

Weekend Weekday Weekend Convention Non-conven TOTAL

Total Annual Demand

NUIIber of Days

Seasonality Factor

Total Guest Demand per Day

Capacity per Day

Total Guests Carried/Day

Total 6uests Carried/Season Total Guests Turr~ Away

Total Guests Carried + Turned Away

Utilization by Period

Average Annual Utilization

ASSlJIIPTIONS MADE IN THE MODEL ----------=------====

TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND TOTAL SEATS TURNS PER NIGHT

28

0.0049

5,354

4,500

4,500

126,000 23,898

149,898

100.~

7.78~

1,092,553 1,500

3.0

70

0.0035

3,824

4,500

3,824

267,676 0

267,676

84.98~

16.52%

76

0.0034

3,715

4,500

3, 715

282,316 0

282,316

82.55~

17.43~

IV-31

70

0.0025

2,731

4,500

2,731

191,197 0

191,197

60.701.

11. 80~

1,092,553

116 360

0.0016

1, 748

4,500

1, 748

202,778 1,069,966 0 23,898

202, na 1, 093, 864

38.85~

12.~ 66.05%

Page 54: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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attend89: 28-Jul -8£

DISNEY/ENTERPRISE CENTER CINEPLEX - DAY MODEL TO PROJECT GUESTS SERVED AND UTILIZATION

Total Ar.nual Defdand

Number of Days

Seasor.a lit y Fact or

Total Guest DeMar~ per Day

Capacity per Day

Total Guests Carried/Day

Total Guests Carried/Season Total Guests Turned Away

Total Guests Carried + Turned Away

Utilization by Period

Average Annual Utilization

ASSUMPTI(}4S MADE IN THE MODEL =============================

TOTAL ANNUAL DEMAND TOTAL SEATS TURNS PER DAY

PEAK NONPEAK

PEAK SEASON -·-·-------

Weeker.d

28

0.0049

1, 727

3,000

1, 727

48,356 0

48,356

S7.57i

352,451 1,500

2.0 1.0

Weekday

70

0.0035

1,234

3,000

1,234

86,350 0

----86,350

41.12i

B.OOi

CINEPLEX - DAY ============

OFF-SEASON ---·----

Weekend Convention ----------

76 70

o. 0034 0.0025

1,198 881

3, 000· 1,500

1,198 881

91,073 61,679 0 0

---- ----91,073 61,679

39.94" 58.74i

IV-32

Non-conven TOTAL ------

352,451

116 360

0.0016

564

1,500

•.

564

65,415 352,874 . 0 0

----- - ·-----65,415 352,874

37.5~

12.11" 44.44"

Page 55: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

----

----

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H <: I w

w

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-r~i

PEAK

SEA

SON

W

eeke

nd

Wee

kday

SE

ATS

(2

8 d

ay

s)

(70

da

ys)

1,0

00

10

0%

100%

1,1

00

10

0%

100%

1,2

00

10

0%

100%

1,3

00

10

0%

98%

1,4

00

10

0%

91%

1,5

00

10

0%

85%

1,6

00

10

0%

80%

1,7

00

10

0%

75%

1,8

00

99

%

71%

1,9

00

94

%

67%

2,0

00

89

%

64%

*Ann

ual

Dem

and=

1

,09

2,5

53

C

urr

ent

pro

gra

m=

1

,50

0 se

ats

A

ssum

es

cap

acit

y

of

3.0

tu

rns

" ·;

1~~~

,,·~

' •

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:~

CIN

EPLE

X U

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OFF

-SEA

SON

A

vera

ge

To

tal

To

tal

Wee

kend

C

onv.

N

on-c

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A

nnua

l G

ues

t T

urn

ed

(76

da

ys)

(7

0 d

ay

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(116

da

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U

tili

za

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n

Ser

ved

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way

100%

91

%

58%

85

%

91

5,9

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1

77

,89

0

100%

83

%

53%

82

%

96

8,1

75

1

25

,69

0

100%

76

%

49%

79

%

1,0

20

,37

5

73

,49

0

95%

70

%

45%

75

%

1,0

53

,16

6

40

,69

8

88%

65

%

42%

70

%

1,0

61

,56

6

32

,29

8

82%

61

%

39%

66

%

1,0

69

,96

6

23

,89

8

77%

57

%

36%

62

%

1,0

78

,36

6

15

,48

8

73%

54

%

34%

59

%

1,0

86

,76

6

7,0

98

69%

51

%

32%

56

%

1,0

93

,86

4

1,4

67

65%

48

%

31%

53

%

1,0

93

,86

4

-0-

62%

46

%

29%

51

%

1,0

93

,86

4

-0-

7-2

5-8

6

3pm

Page 56: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

----

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H <

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EPLE

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Y

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K

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A

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ge

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tal

To

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onv.

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ues

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urn

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SEA

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(28

da

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(7

0 d

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(76

d

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(70

da

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(1

16

d

ay

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Uti

liza

tio

n

Ser

ved

A

way

1,0

00

86

%

62%

1,1

00

79

%

56%

1,2

00

72

%

51%

1,3

00

66

%

47%

1,4

00

62

%

44%

1,5

00

58

%

41%

1,6

00

54

%

39%

1,7

00

51

%

36%

1,8

00

48

%

34%

1,9

00

45

%

32%

2,0

00

43

%

31%

*A

ctu

al D

eman

d =

352

,451

C

urr

ent

pro

gra

m=

1,5

00

se

ats

60%

88

%

56%

54%

80

%

51%

50%

73

%

47%

46%

68

%

43%

43%

63

%

40%

40%

59

%

38%

37%

55

%

35%

35%

52

%

33%

33%

49

%

31%

32%

46

%

30%

30%

44

%

28%

Ass

umes

cap

acit

y

of

2.0

tu

rns

peak

sea

son

s an

d 1

.0

turn

s o

ff-s

easo

n

67%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

60%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

56%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

51%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

48%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

44%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

42%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

39%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

37%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

35%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

33%

3

52

,87

4

-0-

7-2

5-8

6

3pm

Page 57: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

f .·

~- · ..

f: r~ ~;j

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1: :.

CAICUIATICNS FOR PFAK:rt«; AND OFF-SEA.SOO FACIDRS

Total Attendance

Average % Attendance (roc>nth)

Averaqe Hi/Low Day

Averaqe Day/Annual Attendance

+ Weekend/Niqht Peaking Factor . -

Annual Off-Season Factor

Annual Peaking Factor

NOTE: Calculations based on Harborplace experience

IV-35

PFAK ~YS BASIS=AIXi

16,100,000

12.6%

65,439

0.0041

20%

0.005

I.DW Dl\YS BASIS=JAN

16,100,000

5.0%

25,968

0.0016

0.0016

Page 58: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

! .· v.

!·.

1.

r

PRICI~ & REVENUES

St.IfiTTlary

Pricina Strategy: Lounge Dance Clubs

Dallas Area Lounqe/Dance Covers

Pricing Strategy: Attractions

Dallas Area: Entertainment Costs

Pricing Assumptions

Canparati ve Data: Average Check by Type of Restaurant • • • • •

Spendinq by Visitor Type

Spendinq Per Capita

Total Revenues

Revenue Expressions

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

Page 59: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

!.·

L I

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\ .·

PRIC:rt«; AND REVENUES

Our strategy in developing pr1c1ng options is to maximize revenue potential by creating a pricing schedule that is consistent with various market demands on the project.

For the purposes of the proforma, we have assumed that lounges and attractions are both individually ticketed, as well as accessible through an unlimited daily use pass. The prices reflected in this analysis are in keeping with the current Dallas area, and may in fact be somewhat conservative, when canpared to the newer attractions in Dallas, e.g. Photons, Omnimax, and Wet 'n' Wild.

At this point we have not included a general admission charge to the project in as much as our objective has been to make the project work without depending on a general admission. The potential of a gate is significant, however, provided it does not became a barrier to the local market.

This current pricing plan yields an average per capita expenditure of $17.36. Spending is most heavily weighted to the night visitor, those most likely to be on expense accounts, or involved in shows and clubs where liquor is served.

In 1986 dollars, the total revenues from this price plan are $173.63 million.

V-1

Page 60: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I

l

k-

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t l

$5.00

$7.50

+ $9,00

PRICING STRATEGY

LouNGEs/DANCE CLuBs

CovER CHARGE PER CLuB

- OR -

.ENTERTAINMENT PASS

FoR UNLIMITED CLuBs

C3b% UsE PAss)

FooD & BEVERAGE CHECK

V-2

Page 61: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

f.

l

DALLAS AREA

LouNGE/DANCE CovERS

BARNEY OLDFIELD's

BELLE STAR

BILLY BoB's

ENCOUNTERS

FAsT & CooL

PROPHET's BAR

MEMPHIS

GILLEY's (HousToN)

V-3

$3-5.00

$2-3.00

$5.00

$3,00 (WEEKENDS ONLY)

$3.00

$2-5.00

$4.00

$3-20.00 (DEPENDING ON TALENT)

Page 62: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

I

1..

I· ·.

!. . I .

l·:

PRICING . .STRATEGY

AnRACTIONs

$5,00 ATTRACTION PASS

UNLIMITED UsE

- OR -

INDIVIDUAL TICKETS

AvERAGE PRICE $2.50 *

AvERAGE AcTIVITY PER PARTICIPANT = 3.24

* NoT INCLUDING CINEPLEX AT $5,00 AvERAGE

V-4

Page 63: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

j.-

I .

f.

6 FLAGS

PHOTON GAME

OMNIMAX FILMS

MoviE THEATER

TEXAS RANGERS

WILLOW BEND PoLo

REUNION ARENA

LYRIC OPERA OF DALLAS

DALLAS SYMPHONY

DISCOVERY SERIES

STANFIST SERIES

DALLAS AREA

ENTERTAINMENT CosTs

$14.95 ADULTS (ATTENDANCE 2.5M)

$ 7.95 CHILDREN

$ 9.95 SENIORS

$11.95 ADULTS (ATTENDANCE .6M)

$ 9.95 CHILDREN

$ 4.50 FoR FIRST 6.5 MINUTES

$ 3.00 FoR EACH 6.5 MINUTES THEREAFTER

$ 4.75 ADULTS

$ 3.00 CHILDREN

$1.00 TO $5.U0 DEPENDING ON THEATER

$8.50 TO $5.00 RESERVED SEATING

$3.75 GENERAL ADMISSION

$6.00 ADULTS

$15.00 TO $17.50

$7.UO TO $26.50

$8.00 TO $16.00 PER CONCERT

$14.00 FOR LAWN SEATING

V-5

Page 64: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

[

L

[. t·

I.

I ..

PRICING AssuMPTIONS

- WAITRESS

AVERAGE DINNER CHECK

(77% OF MEALS SERVED)

AVERAGE LUNCH CHECK

- FAsT Foon

AVERAGE MEAL PRICE

V-6

$16.00

$10.UO

$ 3.50

Page 65: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

1-

~~ .... ;:;

1:.

s~:r .. : ··~

COMPARATIVE DATA

NATIONAL REsTAURANT AssociATION

FASTFOOD

HAMBURGERS

AMERICAN

CHICKEN

LIMITED MENU No TABLE SERVICE

WAITRESS

CoNTINENTAL

STEAK/SEAFOOD

AVERAGE CHECK

BY TYPE OF RESTAURANT

DINNER

$18.36

$15.95

DINNER ONLY RESTAURANTS $19.44

V-7

LUNCH

$3.20

$3,76

$5.16

$4.09

Page 66: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

-=-::

---._

..-.

_ ~ ~ ~

<: I 0

0

LOUN

GE

RID

Es/

AnR

ACT

ioN

s/TH

CINE

PLEX

WAI

TRES

S DI

NING

FAsT

Foo

n

REf A

IL

ToTA

L

.. ·~ ,:?

~1~;

REPE

AT

SPEC

IALT

Y

Stu

>P

ING

$ 0 0 0 0 0

$12.

24

$12.

24

REPE

AT

REc

Stu

>P

ING

$ 0 0 0 2.60

2.38

12.2

4

$V.'Z

l

~

_, ~

~ g~~~

~END

ING

Bv

isir

m T

YPE

ENfE

RTA

I tft

fT

Soo>

/DIN

ING

N

IGIT

$ 7.

4b

5.00

2.00

5.20

1.04

1.71

$22.4

4

Em

ER

T A

I tf't

T

Soo>

/DIN

ING

D

AY

-fN1I

LY

$ 0 5.00

1.00

2.60

2.38

2.23

$13.

21

fusJ

tEss

/ CO

OVEN

TI~

$H.9S

2.50

1.00

7.79

0.30

1.16

$21.

69

FMIL

Y

DAY

~

·~

~ ..

T+. ,>

Ncw

-fN1I

LY

NIGH

T

$ 0

. ~ 8

.20

5.00

5.0

U

u.~o

1.s

u

1.95

6.

49

2.S3

0.

75

3.78

3.

Sl

$13.

75

r-LS.L

J6

Page 67: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

----

--;:

-

<: I 1.

.0

I

-.?:::.;

.:.~:r~]

·;·~

~{'~$j

SPEN

DING

PER

CAP

ITA

Nrl

1~

TEX

POSI

TIO

N

FAt£

UIL

HAL

L* ~-

ENTE

RTAI

NMEN

T $

3.22

ATTR

ACTI

ONS

$ 2.

49

CINE

PLEX

$

.72

FooD

$

4.85

$1

1.07

$12.1

6

f'ERC

HAND

ISE

$ 6.

00

$ 7.

38

$ 8.

11

I

ToTA

L $1

7.36

$1

8.45

$20.

27

*OF

PEOP

LE W

HO S

PEND

MON

EY

(Rou

sE C

o.

EsTI

MA

TES)

~-

••• _

-r:.-:_

....

. '

-----

1~

1~

EPCO

T M

AGIc

KING

IX~t

----

----

$15.2

5 $1

5.31

I I I

$ 4.

94

$ 5.Z

2

$ 4.

85

$ 8.

04

$25.0

3 $2

8.57

Page 68: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

(

\· ToTAL REVENUES

fc .~, .; ~

[.· PER CAPITA # oF GuEsTs FoR THosE ToTAL

I· AREA PARTICIPATING PARTICIPATING REVENUES

I·_-LOUNGES 2,161,066 $14.91 $ 32.22M

1-

RIDES 4,982,388 $ 5.0U $ 24.91M Vr~ f~

CINEPLEX 1,445,004 $ 5.00 $ 7 I 23(1 (.:

i· FooD

r- .

WAITRESS 2,786,824 $12.99 $ 3b.l9M

FAsT FooD 4,136,505 $ 2.98 $ 12.32M l'

RETAIL 10,002,427 $ 6.08 $ 601 76~1

TOTAL $173.63M

V-10

Page 69: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study

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r. I . I

LouNGES

REVENUE EXPRESSIONS

(1986 DoLLARs)

SALES PER Sa.FT.

SALES PER SEAT

WAITRESS RESTAURANT

SALES PER Sa.FT.

SALES PER SEAT

FAsT Foon

SALES PER Sa.FT.

SALES PER SEAT

RETAIL

CHARACTER SALES ·PER Sa.FT.

$511

$17,5d8

$467

$15,Uo6

$770

$19,553

$560

ExPo & TENANT SALES PER Sa.FT. $47b

V-11

Page 70: Texposition: Disney Enterprise Initial Feasibility Study