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TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges Shin-ichiro KENGAKU Managing Executive Officer Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc. 2016/11/17

TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

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Page 1: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challengesShin-ichiro KENGAKUManaging Executive OfficerTokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.

2016/11/17

Page 2: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

1

TEPCO: Who we are?

600 projects

for

70countries

Outage:

4min p.a.

(2014,SAIDI)

29mil; costumers in the Tokyo metropolitan area Fukushima nuclear accident and nationalized World highest reliability Technical expertise to all over the world

Consulting

Page 3: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

The latest project in Europe2

“Efficiency Center” at the University of Belgrade Energy management system in Serbia

Page 4: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Progress in Fukushima Daiichi decommissioning3

Reactors are stably cooled Prepared for spent fuel & debris removal

Page 5: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Improvement of workers’ environment and communications 4

6000 workers/day

1.7mSv p.a.

0.03mSv p.a.

July 2011

March 2014

90% full-face mask-free & tyvek-free

More than 20,000 visitors

Annual radioactive dose; less than a one way flight between New York and London

Page 6: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Innovation for Fukushima Decommissioning 5

Cooperation with manufacturers and academia Will be adopted in various fields

Page 7: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Main Topic: Four big “D” challenges facing us 6

DemographyDeregulation

De-carbonizationDigitalization

Not only TEPCO or Japan has to respond to these changes

Page 8: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Demography

Page 9: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Power Demand 8

Electricity sales continue to decline due to;

Population decline Production transfer

Energy conservation Competition

2010293 Twh 2015

247 Twh

Page 10: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Deregulation

Page 11: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Electricity System Reform in Japan10

2015 Cross-regional Coordinationof Transmission Operators

2016 Full liberalizationof retail market

2018-

2020

Legal structural unbundlingof T&D section

2000 Partial liberalization of retail market

Page 12: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

11Alliances for retaining customers

Provide new services in addition to electricity supply

Communication services Electricity services

Page 13: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

TEPCO Holdings 12

TEPCO shifted to a holding company system in April 2016

+

Fuel & Thermal Power Generation

Transmission & Distribution

Retail

Support Functions + Nuclear, Renewable, R&D

Page 14: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

TEPCO’s global expansion now under JERA

JERA aims for one of the world's largest IPPs

Vietnam

Thailand Indonesia

Philippines Taiwan

9 IPPs in 6 Countries

Experience

6 GW 20 GW

2016 2030Target

13

UAE

Page 15: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Development of renewables in the world 14

TEPCO develops renewables globally through ”Eurus Energy”

SOLAR 285 MW

WIND 2434 MW Europe892MW

America710MW

Asia & Oceania1116MW

2720 MW in 10 countries

Page 16: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Digitalization

Page 17: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

0

10

20

30

2014 2015 2016

2020

Smart meters

27 million smart meters by 2020

Now

7 million

2020

27 million

16

Have accumulated know-how, experience and lessons-learned Considering some new customer services

Page 18: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Power Sharing like UBER! 17

Ventures can provide cloud services for power sharing

Large-scale power plant

Control on cloud platform

Expand variety of customer services

Game Changer?: Utilities should take in, not be taken in by, this development

Page 19: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

De-carbonization

Page 20: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Reduction targets by 203019

Does Japanese target compare well with the other countries?

2013

1990

2005

2005

2030

2030

2025

2030

▲26%

▲40%

▲26-28%

▲60-65%per unit GDP

35%DOWNper kWh

From Power Generation

Page 21: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

CO2 Intensity 20

0.03

0.34

0.39 kg-CO2/kWh

0.390.45 0.48

0.51Kg-CO2/kWh

0.66

0.81

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

in 2010 in 2014

Japan has become higher after the accident

0

20

40

60

80

100 95

44Non-fossil

36%39 44

3225

18Non-fossil15%

Nuclear Hydro Other renewables

Composition of non-fossil electricity in kWh basisSource: Federation of Electric Power Companies of Japan

Page 22: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Energy Mix for 2030 21

27%

0

20-22

24%

31

26

27%47

27

12% 103

11% 1222-24

BEFORE MARCH 2011

2014 2030

Japan continues to use nuclear as base-load

Renewable

Oil

LNG

Coal

Nuclear

Composition in kWh basis

Page 23: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

How to increase nuclear ? 22

In 2030, installed capacity of nuclear might be 50% of that in 2010

2010 2030

50GW

20GW

Extend life span

from 40 to 60 years

Improve operation rate

from 70 to 90%

Build new nuclear stations

Page 24: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Problem of FIT 23

Burden on consumers is increasing by FIT same as GermanyTotal Renewable Energy Purchases

32-34 billion €in 2030

1 Japanese yen=115 €

Page 25: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Risk or Opportunity? 24

Overcome the challenges with new ideas and advanced technologies

DemographyDeregulation

De-carbonizationDigitalization

Page 26: TEPCO, FUKUSHIMA, and 4 “D” challenges

Thank You