24
Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity patterns in the Atlantic rainforest Marie‐Pierre Ledru Workshop Dimensions US‐BIOTA São Paulo A mul>disciplinary framework for biodiversity predic>on in the Brazilian Atlan>c forest hotspot

Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity patterns

in the Atlantic rainforest

Marie‐Pierre Ledru 

Workshop Dimensions US‐BIOTA São Paulo A mul>disciplinary framework for biodiversity predic>on  

in the Brazilian Atlan>c forest hotspot 

Page 2: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Climate during the Quaternary 

2.7 Ma 

Temperature 

cold  warm 

Maslin 2005

Page 3: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Quaternary and specia>on in the rainforest 

Ribas 2011

Amazonia 

Page 4: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Paleodistribu>on models 

Not sa>sfying ! 

Atlan>c forest 

Page 5: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Insola>on cycles 

Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka 

Obliquity >lt of the Earth’s axis of rota>on Spectral peak at 41 ka 

Precession Earth’s rota>onal ’s axis, spectral peak at 27 ka           Earth’s orbit, spectral peak at 105 ka 

Page 6: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Wang 2001

Precession and wet season in Northeastern Brazil 

Page 7: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Seasonal monsoon 

100 150 200 250 300 mm

15°S

30°S

100 150 200 250 300 mm

15°S

30°S

Ledru & Carnaval 2014

Rainfall distribu>on in December  Rainfall distribu>on in June 

Page 8: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Insolation cycles

Precession and monsoons 

Braconnot et al 2008

Page 9: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Atlan>c rainforest 

20 

40 

60 

80 

100 

120 

760 

810 

860 

910 

960 

1010 

1060 

0  5  10  15  20  25  30  35  40  45  50  55  60  65  70  75  80  85  90  95  100 105 110 115 120 125 130 

atlan%

c forest pollen % 

insola%on

 W/m

cal x1000 yr BP 

Insola%on and Atlan%c rain forest expansion phases 

Ledru & Carnaval 2014 

SAF 

NAF 

Changes in precession cycle during the rainy season 

Page 10: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Precession and floris>c changes 

Maslin et al 2005

Every 11 000 years Change in seasonality  Re‐organisa>on of the forest 

Page 11: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Ledru et al 2009

Precession and floris>c composi>on 

Tree pollen  frequencies 

Tree pollen  frequencies 

Colônia SP pollen record 

Page 12: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Insola>on cycles 

Wilson 2000

Page 13: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

insola>on and glacial cycles during the Quaternary 

Paillard 1998

Page 14: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Earth’s energy during the Quaternary 

400 

500 

600 

0  100  200  300  400  500  600  700  800  900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2800 2900 3000 

W/m

yr x 1000 before present 

 mid‐month insola%on  15°S for January 

2.7 Ma Berger & Loutre 1991; Ledru 2014

Page 15: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Molecular clock in Amazonia

Ribas 2011

Page 16: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

400 

500 

600 

0  100  200  300  400  500  600  700  800  900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2800 2900 3000 

W/m

yr x 1000 before present 

0.48  0.76  1.25 1.79 

2.74 

0.53 

Berger and Loutre 1991; Ribas 2011 ;Batalha-Filho 2013; Ledru 2014

1.17  1.56 

1.85 ; 1.91; 2.02 

2.24 

Molecular clocks 

Page 17: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Species richness and solar energy 

Willis 2007

insola>on 

Palynological  Richness  (number of taxa iden>fied) 

The majority of diversifica>on events  occur within intervals of low variability  in the energy signal 

Page 18: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Atlan>c and Amazonian rain forest specia>ons are paced with the 400 ka cycle 

400 

500 

600 

0  100  200  300  400  500  600  700  800  900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2800 2900 3000 

W/m

yr x 1000 before present 

0.48  0.76  1.25 1.79 

2.74 

0.53 

Berger and Loutre 1991; Ribas 2011 ;Batalha-Filho 2013; Ledru 2014

1.17  1.56 

1.85 ; 1.91; 2.02 

2.24 

Molecular clocks 

Page 19: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Fischer 2011

Orbital forcing during the Holocene  

Linear trend in mean seasonal amplitude in °K per 1000 yr

Linear trend in annual mean surface temperature in °K per 1000 yr

Difference between mid Holocene and present  

Page 20: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Atlan>c forest in Nordeste 

Montade 2014

Pollen record of Maranguape 

Page 21: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

5°S

0

5°N

10°N

Pacific Ocean

Atlantic Ocean

Drier

Wetter

4200 - 3700 yr BP : a Pacific / Atlantic contrasted influence on the continent

Fire in Amazonia

4.2 ka event 

Holocene abrupt climate change 

Lim 2014

Page 22: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Insola>on changes during the Holocene 

Bond cycle 1500 yr 

Page 23: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Secular scale 

What would be the impact of the Bond cycles in the Atlan>c rainforest ?  

Page 24: Temporal scales of climatic changes and paleodiversity ... · Insolaon cycles Eccentricity shape of the Earth’s orbit changes Spectral peaks at 96, 125 and 413 ka Obliquity lt of

Future tasks To fill a gap in our knowledge about links between Earth’s energy, 

climate and specia>on we need : 

*more long term and con>nuous fossil records 

*to improve molecular clock chronologies 

* To re define the Holocene 

in this project……