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Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas Cahill Delta Group University of California, Davis

Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

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Page 1: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust

over North America

Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board

& Thomas Cahill Delta Group

University of California, Davis

Page 2: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Kosa (“Yellow Sand”) in Asia April 1, 1998

Page 3: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Asian Dust in North America April 28, 1998

Page 4: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Why Care About Aerosol Dust?

• Condensation Nuclei • Reaction Surfaces • Radiation Effects • Ocean Fertilization • Visibility Impairment • Human Health • Anthropogenic Components

Page 5: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Why Asian Dust?

• Dominant over North Pacific • Historical and modern large events • Accompanied by Asian air pollutants • Contributes to downwind “background” • Tracer for hemispheric circulation • May be subject to cycles and trends • Calibration of Pleistocene and modern

aerosols for climate modeling

Page 6: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Approach

• Define Asian dust chemical signature from known transport events.

• Search long term aerosol data bases for chemically similar events.

• Control for “overlap” with other dust sources affecting North America (local, Mexico, North Africa, etc.).

Page 7: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

North American

vs. Asian Dust

Source Regions

Page 8: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Takla Makan vs U.S. Deserts

200 nm

Page 9: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Takla Makan - Lop Nor

Page 10: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Takla Makan Dust Event

Page 11: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

TOMS Aerosol Depth Apr 15-May 2 1998

Page 12: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

April 29, 1998

Page 13: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Model Confirmation

Page 14: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Western IMPROVE

Sites (1998)

Page 15: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

A Regional Extreme Event

Page 16: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

IMPROVE PM2.5 SOIL (WED & SAT ONLY)

“SOIL” at 36 IMPROVE SITES 4/15 - 5/6 ‘98

Page 17: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Standardized Si-ratios for 6 Elements 7 Days - 33 Sites - 79 Clusters

Page 18: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Chemical Composition Test Set

BLIS

BR

CA

BRID

BR

LA

CR

MO

G

RBA

G

RC

A G

RSA

IN

GA

JAR

B LA

VO

SAG

O

SALM

SA

WT

SEQ

U

SNPA

TO

NT

WH

RI

YOSE

BI

BE

CAN

Y C

OR

I C

RLA

D

EVA

GLA

C

MEV

E PI

NN

PO

RE

RED

W

RO

MO

SC

OV

SOLA

W

EMI

YELL

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

Nor

mal

ized

Rat

io to

Sili

con

Fe Al Mg Ca Mn Ti

STANDARDIZED COMPOSITION PROFILES 4-29-98

Asian Type 1 Asian Type 2

Page 19: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Dust Classification TOP 12 of 640 COMPOSITIONAL CLUSTERS

CRATER LAKE, OR

Page 20: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Dust Climatology Mauna Loa, HI

Page 21: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Dust Climatology Redwood N.P., CA

Page 22: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Dust Climatology Lassen N.P., CA

Page 23: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Eastern Pacific Basin - Monthly Frequency (%) MOUNT RAINIER 436 m

Page 24: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Eastern Pacific Basin - Dust Concentration MOUNT RAINIER

Page 25: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Continental Transect - Monthly Frequency (%)

Page 26: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Continental Transect - Dust Concentration

Page 27: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Atlantic Region - Monthly Frequency (%)

Page 28: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

J FMAMJ J ASOND0

5000

10000

15000ACADIA

J FMAMJ J ASOND0

5000

10000

15000DOLLY SODS

Atlantic Region - Dust Concentration

J FMAMJ J ASOND

SHENANDOAH

J FMAMJ J ASOND0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000OKEFENOKEE

J FMAMJ J ASOND

EVERGLADES

J FMAMJ J ASOND0

5000

10000

1500020000

25000

30000

ASIANNORTH AFRICAN

VIRGIN ISLANDS

ng m

-3ng

m-3

Page 29: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Asian Dust over the Caribbean Sea

SEAWifs April 2001 NRL Monterey

Page 30: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Frequency at High Altitude

Page 31: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Concentration at High Altitude

Page 32: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Reality Check - Is This Credible?

• Was the 1998 event unequivocally Asian?

• Is there corroborating evidence for the temporal and spatial structure of the data?

• Is there corroborating evidence for the long term consistency?

• What new data are on the horizon?

Page 33: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Was the 1998 event unequivocally Asian?

• Husar, et al. 2000 – TOMS and SEAWifs imagery show dust clouds – Simultaneity of PM spikes in many data sets

• Uno, et al., 1999 – Model dust generation based on wind speed only – Transport using standard CSU-RAMS code – Closes with observational data

• Claiborn, et al., 2000 – Dust events at Spokane show elevated urban

PM10, small increase in PM2.5, no change PM1 – April 1998 Asian dust events showed elevated

PM2.5, PM1

Page 34: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Corroborating evidence for the temporal and spatial structure of the data?

• Yienger, et al., 2000 – GCM shows persistent synoptic “pulsating” transport

for Asian CO in Western U.S. and Central Canada • Chung & Yoon, 1996

– ROK AF Pilot Reports: “Kosa” commonly observed 600-3000 m AGL

• Wang, et al., 2000 – Abundance of fines related to deflation of Loess Plateau – Model calculations show coarse dust near surface w/

fast removal; long-lived fines in elevated layer over E. China, China Sea, and W. Pacific

Page 35: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Corroborating evidence for long term transport consistency?

• Canadian Data – Barrie, et al., 1992 POPs & Heavy Metals in NWT

• Greenland Data – GRIP - Steffensen, 1997 - Dust size distributions in

snow, firn, and ice column show MMD ~2µm with abundant mineral fines

– GISP2 - Biscaye, et al., 1997 - 87Sr/ 86Sr, 143Nd/ 144Nd, 206Pb/ 207Pb isotopes show Gobi sand,

China loess as source of <5µm dust over last 25,000 years

Page 36: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

What new data are on the horizon?

• Dust Events 1999, 2000, 2001 • ACE Asia 2001

– Source area monitoring China, Korea, Japan,

– Receptor monitoring - Ron Brown (NOAA), Hawaii, Crater Lake.

• IMPROVE expanded network • CFCAS - UBC (McKendry) A/C Profiles

Page 37: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Conclusions • Asian transport is persistent except in winter. • Typical tropospheric PM2.5 dust

concentrations range from .5 to 1 µg/m3. • MBL strongly limits ground contact at west

coastal sites. • CBL limits ground contact below 1000 m

except in spring. • Transport layer top is typically near 3000 m. • Tropical transport is limited by seasonal

migration of trade wind zone.

Page 38: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over · PDF fileTemporal and Spatial Distribution of Asian Dust over North America Tony VanCuren California Air Resources Board & Thomas

Future Work • Calibrate to long term records. • Quantify accompanying

anthropogenic gas and aerosol pollutants.

• Analyze mineral affinities. • Determine natural and

anthropogenic components of the dust.