TECHNOLOGIES TRENDS BUSINESS INSIGHT INNOVATION FUTUREdownload.microsoft.com/download/C/C/2/CC27DCBF-F1FA-4038-B70… · 16/04/2014 · Decca Recording Company on not signing the

TRENDSTECHNOLOGIES

BUSINESSINSIGHT

INNOVATIONFUTURE

FUTUREPREDICTINGTHE

PREDICTING

This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as

Western Union, 1876

a means of communication. The devices is of no value.

PREDICTING

The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty, a fad.

Michigan Savings Bank president, advising against investing in Ford, 1903

PREDICTING

I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.

Thomas Watson, IBM chairman, 1943

PREDICTING

Television won’t last because people soon get tired of staring at a plywood box.

Darryl Zanuck, movie producer, 20th Century Fox, 1946

PREDICTING

We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.

Decca Recording Company on not signing the Beatles, 1962

PREDICTING

There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home.

Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of DEC, 1977

PREDICTING

PREDICTING

YOU CAN’T CONNECT THE DOTS FORWARDYOU CAN ONLY CONNECT THEM BACKWARDS

Steve Jobs

PREDICTING

YOU CAN’T CONNECT THE DOTS FORWARDYOU CAN ONLY CONNECT THEM BACKWARDS

Steve Jobs

Twitter revolution?

Bread

WheatTrading markets

Russia stock

World crop shift

Ethanol subsidies

Twitter revolution?

Bread

WheatTrading markets

Russia stock

World crop shift

Ethanol subsidies

THE RACE TO

THE NEXT

BILLION

DisruptionA deflation game

Falling prices


Incumbents are addicted to

large margins


New entrants are dramatically

lowering prices


YouTube


versus Television

TV is addicted to large margins


YouTube is dramatically

lowering prices


at mass scale

Incumbents are wiped out


YouTube


1,000,000,000 monthly uniques


GlobalizationA worldwide game


4400000 41100000 101900000 201900000

2029000000

5000000000

1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 2020


Today: 2,000,000,000+


Tomorrow: 5,000,000,000+



Trending#networks

Trending#networks

#ArabSpring

Trending#networks

Communities, Interests

Trending

Censorship, Surveillance

#networks

Trending

Facebook users

1,000,000,000+

#networks



Trending

:-)

MobileA platform game

#networks

:-)


0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e

PCs Smartphones & tablets

:-)


0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

Population Mobile Smartphone PC Tablets

2012 2017

:-)


2,000,000,000 smartphones



Trending

:-)


WorkforceA balancing game

#networks


Economic crisisGDP recovery

Not jobs recovery


UnemploymentUnder-employment


Youth unemploymentGreece: 55+ %Spain: 50+ %

EU: 23+ %


Unemployment200m+ worldwide


Women workforce1,000,000,000

in the next 10 years



Trending

:-)



#networks

DataA noise game

DataA noise game

15m new books

DataA noise game

52m new websites

DataA noise game

48,000,000,000hours of YouTube

DataA noise game

182,500,000,000tweets

DataA noise game

400,000,000,000photos

DataA noise game

1,000,000,000,000Facebook Likes

DataA noise game

1,500,000,000,000Google searches

DataA noise game

9,000,000,000,000SMS

DataA noise game

55,000,000,000,000emails

DataA noise game

“the acceleration of informationhas reached a point where it’s

totally out of control and nobody can stop it.”

Robert Anton Wilson

DataA noise game

IT’S A MESS

Me

:(Your world ran into a problem and needs to restart. We’re just

collecting some error info, and then we’ll restart for you. (35%

complete)

If you’d like to know more, you can search online later for this error: TRADITIONAL_MODEL_FAILING

TRADITIONAL_MODEL_FAILING

WEB

1,000,000,001 results

Old Gate Keepers

Governments, Universities, Lobbies, Unions,

Financial Institutions, Businesses

Unsustainable Protectionism

Lockdown from top-down organizations

Can’t Provide for the People

Inadequacy of traditional model, can’t keep up

The People See It Blatantly

Networks enabled vision, trust, new thinking

models

Traditional

New World

Search

Share

Start

Devices

Settings

HOPE

Disruption Globalization Trending

:-)

Mobile Workforce Data

Innovation is always hope

Disruption

Technology is the result

Disruption

of hoping for a better life

Deflation augments

Disruption

the velocity of hope

Disruption

1870 1900 2000

46 years

35 years

31 years

26 years

16 years

13 years

7 years

WhatsApp

Disruption

WhatsApp

Disruption

< 50 people

WhatsApp

Disruption

64,000,000,000 / day

Disruption

50 people disruptedthe entire SMS industry

Disruption

50 people disruptedthe entire SMS industry

Disruption

Disruption

Hi! I am Clippy, your

office assistant.

Would you like some

assistance

today?

Yes No

Deflation augments

Disruption

Clippy Business advice

got it!

Create value, don’t only capture value

Innovation centers, flattening

Data-driven talent finding

Startup funding

Ideas


:-)


An innovation game

Globalization

Unlocks the reach of hope


0 350 700 1050 1400

Google

MS

FB

Yahoo

US World

Globalization

Global pool

Globalization

Globalization

Unlocks global human capital


The world is flat

got it!

Build glocal

Tap into global markets

Ideas


:-)


An innovation game An unlocking game

Trending

Networks are utilities

Trending

“Social” was only the first step

in the new revolution

Trending

Static

Interactive

Social

Making

Collaborative

Peer to peer economy

Revolution at the margins

Trending

Collaborative


Uber

Trending

Collaborative


RelayRides

Trending

Collaborative


AirBnB10b USD valuation

Trending

Collaborative


Angelist

Trending

Collaborative


Udemy

Trending

Collaborative


Lending Club

Trending

Collaborative


P2P business models

Trending

Making


What if you could print your car?

Trending

Making


Batteries? Food?

Trending

Making


Open Hardware movementMakers

Trending

Networks enable trust

Trending

Networks enable transparency

Trending

w

Trending

Making


Open Hardware movementMakers


Bake P2P in the business model

got it!

Support, motivate marketplaces

Build shareable products

Establish trust models

Ideas


:-)


An innovation game An unlocking game #trust

:-)

Mobile

Mobile is not mobile

:-)

Mobile

:-)

Mobile

:-)

Mobile

:-)

Mobile

:-)

Mobile

Consumerization of everything

:-)

Mobile

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

1M

10M

100M

1B

10B+

MAINFRAME

Devic

es/U

se

rs (

MM

, lo

g s

cale

)

MINICOMPUTER

PC

WEB

MOBILE

:-)

Mobile

0

125

250

375

500

625

750

875

1,000

1,125

1,250

FB E-ADS APPLE PCs ADS MOBILE N.

GLOBAL REVENUE

:-)

Mobile

OTT2

:-)

Mobile

Smartphone

Apps (add value to smartphone)

OTT2 (add value to apps)

:-)

Mobile

Smartphone

WeChat

E-commerce, voice, services

:-)

Mobile

WeChat

LINE

KakaoTalk

WhatsApp

Viber

70B valuation

30B IPO rumored

2B IPO

19B by Facebook

900m by Rakuten

:-)

Mobile

Mobile is (still) a blank state

:-)

Mobile

Seamless, Simple, Social

Sustainable, Secure

:-)

Mobile

From 1.5b PCsto 3,000,000,000 smartphones

:-)

Mobile

We’re all nodes on the network

:-)

Mobile

1,000,000,000+ mobile first

:-)

Mobile

:-)


Mobile is one of the most powerfultools humans ever got


Become mobile first

got it!

Build around mobile, not legacy

Build with the five S

Move beyond first mobile layer

Ideas


:-)



An opportunity game

Workforce

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Baby Boomers Gen X Gen Y — Millennials Gen Z

Post-90s

Post-Millennials

Gen Next

Workforce

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Baby Boomers Gen X Gen Y — Millennials Gen Z

Post-90s

Post-Millennials

Gen Next

Digital NativesDigital Immigrants


2015

GLOBAL WORKFORCE

Workforce

2015

GLOBAL WORKFORCE

Workforce

2035

Workforce

A new generation

Workforce

Not defined by things

Workforce

Not buying things

Workforce

Defined by experiences

Workforce

Buying, sharing experiences

Workforce

Empowered, Aware

Workforce

“You can be whatever you want”(I will, my way)

Workforce

Peer to peer identities

Workforce

Peer to peer identities

Workforce

TribalNomadSingular

Workforce

Buying, sharing experiences


Invent the future of work

got it!

Redefine the workplace & work

Emphasize lateral thinking

Ideas


:-)



An opportunity game A reinvention game

Data

It’s a cloud world

Data

Data

Making sense of data

Data

Data

Correlation is not causation

Data

Information is a process

Data

Business is a process

Data

Data is flat. Business is not.

Data

Data

Reduction creates essence

Clippy Business adviceReduction creates essence

got it!

Focus on meaning

Internal information processes

Ideas


:-)



An opportunity game A reinvention game A process game


:-)



An opportunity game A reinvention game A process game

AlbumsCute cats

53.2MB

Prague is beautiful

33.7MB

Secret agreement with

Bill to become CEO

deleting…

How to save the Earth

corrupted file

OneDrive

Satya’s words

15MB

“a mobile-first, cloud-first world”

Innovation-first, global-first, nodal-first,

trust-first, mobile-first, cloud-first world.

That’s surely what he meant ;-)(he’s smarter than me!)

The end of hierarchies.

The rise of networks.

The end of hierarchies.

The rise of networks.

C:\>dir

Microsoft(R) Leadership Summit 2014

Volume in drive C is PAUL PAPADIMITRIOU

Volume Email Number is [email protected]

Directory of C:\

THANK YOUQ&AMADE ON A

BAT

BINSYS

1,000,000,000

∞;-)

3 file(s)1 dir(s)

04-16-1404-16-1404-16-14

C:\>____________

Volume Twitter Number is @PAPADIMITRIOU

Volume Web Number is HTTP://PAPADIMITRIOU.CO

Documents

TECHNOLOGIES TRENDS BUSINESS INSIGHT INNOVATION FUTUREdownload.microsoft.com/download/C/C/2/CC27DCBF-F1FA-4038-B70… · 16/04/2014 · Decca Recording Company on not signing the