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Desain Sampel Dr. Eko Pujiyanto , S.Si., M.T. Tata Tulis dan Komunikasi Ilmiah

Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

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Page 1: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Desain Sampel

Dr. Eko Pujiyanto , S.Si., M.T.

Tata Tulis danKomunikasi Ilmiah

Page 2: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Materi1. Sensus dan survei sampel

2. Langkah-langkah dalam desain sampling,

3. Kriteria memilih prosedur sampling,

4. Karakteristik desain sampel yang baik,

5. Tipe desain sampel

6. Lampiran : Menentukan jumlah sampel

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 3: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Sensus dan survei sampel Semua objek riset berada di alam atau populasi

Sensus adalah enumerasi semua data dalam populasi.

Survei sampel adalah memilih secara selektif data yang terdapat dalam populasi

Census

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 4: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Populasi dan sampel

Population of Interest

Sample

Population Sample

Parameter Statistic

N ~ ( μ , σ )

sx ,

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 5: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Steps In Sample Design

1. Type of universe (population)

2. Sampling unit

3. Sampling frame

4. Size of sample

5. Parameters of interest

6. Budgetary constraint

7. Sampling procedure

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 6: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Steps In Sample Design

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Page 7: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Criteria Of Selecting A Sampling Procedure

Researcher must keep in view the two causes of incorrect inferences :

Systematic bias

Sampling error

A systematic bias results from errors in the sampling procedures, and it cannot be reduced or eliminated by increasing the sample size.

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 8: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Criteria Of Selecting A Sampling Procedure

Systematic bias is the result of one or more of the following factors :

1. Inappropriate sampling frame

2. Defective measuring device

3. Non-respondents

4. Indeterminancy principle

5. Natural bias in the reporting of data

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Page 9: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Criteria Of Selecting A Sampling Procedure

1. Sampling errors are the random variations in the sample estimates around the true population parameters.

2. Sampling error decreases with the increase in the size of the sample.

3. Sampling error can be measured for a given sample design and size.

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 10: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Characteristics Of A Good Sample Design1. Sample design must result in a truly

representative sample.2. Sample design must be such which results

in a small sampling error.3. Sample design must be viable in the context

of funds available for the research study.4. Sample design must be such so that

systematic bias can be controlled in a better way.

5. Sample should be such that the results of the sample study can be applied, in general, for the universe with a reasonable level of confidence.

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Page 11: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Types of Sample Design

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Page 12: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Non-probability sampling Sampling procedure which does not afford any basis

for estimating the probability that each item in the population has of being included in the sample.

Items for the sample are selected deliberately by the researcher.

Types non-probability sampling

1. Convenience

2. Judgment

3. Quota

4. Snowball

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Page 13: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Non-probability sampling

1. Convenience sampling Also called haphazard or accidental sampling

The sampling procedure of obtaining the people or units that are most conveniently available

2. Judgment Sampling Also called purposive sampling

An experienced individual selects the sample based on his or her judgment about some appropriate characteristics required of the sample member

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Page 14: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Non-probability sampling3. Quota sampling

Ensures that the various subgroups in a population are represented on pertinent sample characteristics

To the exact extent that the investigators desire

It should not be confused with stratified sampling.

4. Snowball Sampling A variety of procedures

Initial respondents are selected by probability methods

Additional respondents are obtained from information provided by the initial respondents

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Page 15: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Probability sampling

Also known as ‘random sampling’ or ‘chance sampling’.

Every item of the universe has an equal chance of inclusion in the sample.

Ensures the law of Statistical Regularity which states that if on an average the sample chosen is a random one, the sample will have the same composition and characteristics as the universe

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Page 16: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Types probability sampling

1. Simple Random Sampling

2. Systematic Sampling

3. Stratified Sampling

4. Cluster Sampling

5. Area sampling

6. Multistage Sampling

7. Sampling with probability proportional to size

8. Sequential sampling

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Page 17: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Simple Random Sampling A sampling procedure that ensures that each

element in the population will have an equal chance of being included in the sample.

Various statisticians like Tippett, Yates, Fisher have prepared tables of random numbers which can be used for selecting a random sample.

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Page 18: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Systematic Sampling

To select every i-th item on a list

Only the first unit is selected randomly and the remaining units of the sample are selected at fixed intervals.

It is an easier and less costlier method of sampling and can be conveniently used even in case of large populations.

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Page 19: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling

Generally applied in order to obtain a representative sample

Subsamples are drawn within different strata

Each stratum is more or less equal on some characteristic

The results in more reliable and detailed information.

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Page 20: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling

Three questions are highly relevant in the context of stratified sampling1. How to form strata?

2. How should items be selected from each stratum?

3. How many items be selected from each stratum or how to allocate the sample size of each stratum?

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Page 21: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling1. How to form strata?

Various strata be formed in such a way as to ensure elements being most homogeneous within each stratum and most heterogeneous between the different strata.

2. How should items be selected from each stratum?

Systematic sampling can be used if it is considered more appropriate in certain situations

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Page 22: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling

3. How many items be selected from each stratum

Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata.

To illustrate it, let us suppose that we want a sample of size n= 30 to be drawn from a population of size N= 8000 which is divided into three strata of size N1= 4000, N2= 2400 and N3= 1600.

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 23: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling

3. How many items be selected from each stratum

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Page 24: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling

3. How many items be selected from each stratum In cases where strata differ not only in size but

also in variability

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Page 25: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Stratified sampling

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Page 26: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Cluster sampling

A sample can be taken is to divide the area into a number of smaller non-overlapping areas and then to randomly select a number of these smaller areas (clusters), with the ultimate sample consisting of all (or samples of) units in these small areas or clusters.

The purpose of cluster sampling is to sample economically while retaining the characteristics of a probability sample.

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS

Page 27: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Cluster sampling

Suppose we want to estimate the proportion of machine-parts in an inventory which are defective.

Also assume that there are 20000 machine parts in the inventory at a given point of time, stored in 400 cases of 50 each.

Now using a cluster sampling, we would consider the 400 cases as clusters and randomly select ‘n’ cases and examine all the machine-parts in each randomly selected case.

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Page 28: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Area sampling

If clusters happen to be some geographic subdivisions, in that case cluster sampling is better known as area sampling

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Page 29: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Multistage sampling

Further development of the principle of cluster sampling.

Suppose we want to investigate the working efficiency of nationalised banks in India and we want to take a sample of few banks for this purpose.

The first stage is to select large primary sampling unit such as states in a country.

Then we may select certain districts and interview all banks in the chosen districts.

This would represent a two-stage sampling design with the ultimate sampling units being clusters of districts.

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Page 30: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Sampling with probability proportional to size

In case the cluster sampling units do not have the same number or approximately the same number of elements.

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Page 31: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Sampling with probability proportional to size

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Page 32: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Sequential Sampling This sampling design is some what complex sample

design.

The ultimate size of the sample under this technique is not fixed in advance, but is determined according to mathematical decision rules on the basis of information yielded as survey progresses.

This is usually adopted in case of acceptance sampling plan in context of statistical quality control.

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Page 33: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Lampiran

Menentukan ukuran sampel

Syarat

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Page 34: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Lampiran( Menentukan ukuran sampel )

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Page 35: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Lampiran( Menentukan ukuran sampel )

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Page 36: Tata Tulisdan KomunikasiIlmiah · Proportional allocation under which the sizes of the samples from the different strata are kept proportional to the sizes of the strata. To illustrate

Referensi Khotari, C.R., 2004, Research Methodology: Methods and

Techniques, New Age International (P) Ltd., Publishers. ( Chapter 4)

Program Studi Teknik Industri - UNS