Upload
dortha-fox
View
215
Download
3
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Taking on the world’s toughest energy challenges.™
Bruce March
Louisiana Center for Energy Studies
October 22, 2004
Bruce March
Louisiana Center for Energy Studies
October 22, 2004
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein
(and in Item 1 of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein
(and in Item 1 of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation.
Refined Product MarketsTrends and Impacts Refined Product MarketsTrends and Impacts
Global Energy SummaryGlobal Energy Summary
• Economic growth generates increased demand for energy
• Supporting demand growth requires accelerated efficiency plans
• Providing timely, adequate supplies is large-scale, long-term challenge
• Economic growth compromised if supply or demand challenges not met
• Application of new technology is best way to meet challenges
• Diversity of energy mix is increasing
0.0
0.3
0.6
0.9
1.2
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
1.51.5
1.11.1
2.42.4
1.61.6
1.01.0
0.40.4
2.02.0
1414
1010
1.31.3
3.13.1
2.32.3
1.01.0
1.81.8
6.66.6
2.62.6
Oil & Gas Remain Primary Energy SourcesOil & Gas Remain Primary Energy Sources
Total Energy Other Energy Wind & Solar
HydroHydro
NuclearNuclear
Biomass,MSW
Biomass,MSW
Wind & SolarWind & Solar
OilOil
GasGas
CoalCoal
OtherOther
Growth Rate 2000-2020, %Growth Rate
2000-2020, %
SolarSolar
WindWind
MBDOE MBDOE MBDOE
Growth Rate 1980-2000, %Growth Rate
1980-2000, %
1.71.7 1.71.7
Oil Demand Growth OutlookOil Demand Growth Outlook
30
60
90
'80 '00 '20
Sector Summary(Growth Rate - %/yr)
Region Summary / Growth
N.A. (~ 1%)ROW (~ 2.5%)
China (~ 5%)
W.E. (< 1%)W.E. (< 1%)
Japan (~ 0%)
2003 Demand (‘00-’20 Annual Growth)
MBD
Power (0.3%)
Industrial (1.7%)
Res/Comm (1.1%)
Transportation (1.9%)
U.S. Motor Gasoline Supply and Demand U.S. Motor Gasoline Supply and Demand
Source: DOE Energy Information Administration
US Motor Gasoline Supply
7
8
9
10
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03
Co
ns
um
pti
on
(M
bb
l/d
)
0.2
0.6
1.0
1.4
Im
po
rts
(M
bb
l/d
)2000-2003 Motor Gasoline• US Demand Increase -- 0.58 MB/D• Imports Increase -- 0.35 MB/D
•Gasoline Demand Maintaining Steady Growth
•Increased Demand Partially Offset by Higher Import Rates
Investment focused on Environmental ImprovementsInvestment focused on Environmental Improvements
Re-invest $50-100M/year locally to stay competitive and meet regulatory requirements
Also investing in special, localprojects like
Low Sulfur Mogas,
Ultra-Low Sulfur Diesel and
Ultra-Low Sulfur Off-Road Diesel.
U.S. Gasoline Requirements U.S. Gasoline Requirements
Taking on the world’s toughest energy challenges.™
Bruce March
Louisiana Center for Energy Studies
October 22, 2004
Bruce March
Louisiana Center for Energy Studies
October 22, 2004
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein
(and in Item 1 of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein
(and in Item 1 of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation.
Refined Product MarketsTrends and Overview Refined Product MarketsTrends and Overview