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OUTLOOK20
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Introduction All Roads Lead to Education 2
Creative Addressing Climate Change 4
Strategy What to Prioritise for Effectiveness in 2020? 6
Effectiveness Creating an Effectiveness and Measurement Culture 8
Research Humanising Data 10
EmployerBranding The Immovable Object Meets the Unstoppable Force 12
Data The Slow Death of the Third-Party Cookie 14
Sponsorship When Precision Fuels Passion 16
Video The Streaming War Begins in 2020 18
Video What is Addressable Advertising? 20
Search Mobile Search is the Key Battle Ground 22
Social Another Rollercoaster Year in Social Media 24
Audio New Era, New Challenges 26
NewsMedia The Value of a Free and Independent Press 28
Out-of-Home A Tale of Two Billboards 30
DirectMarketing People Are Looking Forward to Receiving Post Again 32
InvestmentForecasts Total Market 34
Video 36
Online 37
Audio 38
News Media 39
Out-of-Home 40
Sponsorship 41
OUTLOOK20
1
2
Inlastyear’sOutlook,weaddressedthemarketingindustry’scredibilityproblem.Wereferencedthefactthat73%ofglobalCEOsbelievethatmarketersdon’thavetheabilitytogenerategrowth.1
Inthemeantime(inJune2019),theIPAandtheFinancialTimespublishedaglobalreportcalled‘TheBoard-BrandRift,’whichrevealsthatoverhalfofbusinessleaders,including30%ofsenior-levelmarketers,ratetheirknowledgeofbrand-buildingasaveragetoverypoor.Thereportconcludedthatthereisaworryinglackofconfidenceinbrandmanagement,bothwithinandbeyondthemarketingdepartment.Itwentontosay,‘Theskillofbrand-building,afundamentalcreatorofvalue,isdeclining.’2
ThisishardlyasurprisegiventhefindingsofasurveycommissionedbyMarketingWeeklastyear,whichfoundthatmorethanhalfofmarketersintheUK(54%)saytheyhavenotstudiedamarketing-relatedacademicorprofessionalqualificationofanykind.Just26%haveamarketingundergraduatedegreeastheirhighestqualification,and16%haveamarketingmaster’sdegree,diplomaordoctorate.Ofthosewhostudiedforamarketingdegree,just32%founditveryuseful.3Thesituationissimilarinthiscountry,and,asreportedlastyear,only13%ofmarketingprofessionalsintheRepublicofIrelandhaveastrongcommitmenttocontinuingprofessionaldevelopment.4
Thisisacriticalproblem.Theinconsistentstandardofmarketingeducationacrossagencyandclientdisciplinesandthelackofarecognisedprofessionalqualificationareholdingtheindustryback.Theevidencekeepspilingup,butfewpractitionersseemtobeengaged.
Meanwhile,marketinginvestmentisoftendeprioritisedduetounconvincingbusinesscasespreparedbyagenciesandmarketingdepartments.Furthermore,executiveopinionseemstobethepre-eminentfactorindecision-makingratherthanscientificevidence,andtrustinouroccupationcontinuestolagbehindotherprofessionsbecausewedonotdemonstratemasteryofmarketingscience.Allroadsleadtoeducation.
Alan Cox CEO CORE
LEAD TOEDUCAT ONALLROADS
INTRODUCTION
COMMITMENT REQUIRED
Anindustry-widecommitmenttodevelopaseriesofprofessionalqualificationsacrossallaspectsofthemarketingprofessionisrequired.
Standardsneedtobesetforpractitionersinanalytics,creative,directmarketing,digitalmarketing,ecommerce,
marketingmanagement,mediaplanningandbuying,PR,research,sponsorshipandstrategy.
Overtime,suchacommitmentwouldbuildanewgenerationofcomprehensivelyeducated,trainedandtrustedprofessionals.
Figure1belowsummarisesaproposedskillsphilosophythathasrelevanceforalldisciplines.
Itgoesbeyondtheknowledgerequiredtodoaspecificjob,andrequiresmoreofprofessionalsthantheirexpertiseinachosenarea.
Itisessentialthatallpractitionersalsohaveagroundinginthebusinessofmarketingandadeepunderstandingofthepivotalrolecreativityplaysinbuildingbusinesses.
1.FournaiseGroup,20112.TheBoard-BrandRiftIPA&FT,2019
3.MarketingWeekCareerandSalarySurvey,2019
4.CoreResearchMarketingProfessionalsSurvey,2018
Regrettably,manystakeholdersfeelthatthereis‘nothingtoseehere’–theybelievethatthereisnoeducationdeficitandthat,inanyevent,itshouldbetheroleofemployerstotrainpractitioners–notuniversities.Thisindifferenceexplainswhytheproblemexistsinthefirstplace.
Also,thedebateregardingtheroleofemployersintrainingisimmaterial,becauseveryfewcompanieshaveacrediblecommitmenttotraininganyway,anditisimpossibleformanybusinessestoaffordthecostofprovidingthekindofcomprehensivetutoringrequired.
Isn’titstrangethatthisattitudetotraininganddevelopmentiscommonplaceinanindustrythatinvestsinexcessof€1billioneachyearinmarketingcommunications?Imagineouroutrageifaccountants,architects,dentalhygienists,electricians,engineers,lawyers,pharmacistsandteachershadthesameattitude.Wouldyouallowanuntrainedarchitecttodesignyourhome?
STEERING GROUP IN PLACE
Weneedtoaddressthissituationwitharenewedsenseofpurposeanddevelopalong-termstrategytofixtheproblem.Tostartadialogueontheissue,weestablishedasteeringgroupofmarketers,agencypractitionersandmediaownerslastyeartodiscussanddebatetheproblem.Therewasgeneralagreementthatactionisrequired.
Variousideaswerediscussedincludingthepossibilityofestablishinganewschoolofmarketing,butthisdidnotgetthegroup’sbacking.Instead,thecommitteewasinfavourofanapproachthataddresseslearninganddevelopmentrequirementsateachcareerstage-junior,mid-levelandsenior-withthefollowingthree-pointstrategy:
1.Establishanentitythatwouldprovideaccreditationforexistingundergraduateandpostgraduatedegreeprogrammes
2.Establisharequirementforgraduatestomaintainanannualcommitmenttocontinuingprofessionaldevelopmenttomaintaintheirprofessionalqualification
3.Establishacharteredpractitionerprogrammeforseniormarketers
ThesteeringgroupalsospokeoftheimportantrolethattheMarketingInstituteplaysineducationandtheexcellentworkthathasbeendonewiththeMarketerPathwaysproject.Thenextstep,therefore,wastopresentthethree-pointproposaltotheBoardoftheMarketingInstitute;thishappenedinNovember.
Atthismeeting,IproposedthattheMarketingInstituteshouldbetheleadstakeholderinthisendeavourandthatanewentityshouldbeestablished(undertheauspicesoftheInstitute)tomakeithappen.ThiswouldbetruetotheInstitute’spurpose,andtheorganisationhasthecredentialsandreachtomakeasuccessofit.TheBoardsaidtheywouldconsidertherecommendation.
So,that’swherethingsstandfornow.Thereisnoquickfix.Likeeverythingelseinlifethat’sworthdoing,itwilltakealong-termstrategytomakemeaningfulchange,andsuccesswillbemeasuredindecades.
Whatwillthatsuccesslooklike?Ultimately,thegoalofthisinitiativeistobuilda
professionthatisrespected,admiredandrecognisedforitscreativityandabilitytodriveprofitforbusiness.Ihopeyouagreethatissomethingworthaimingfor.Inordertokeepthingsmoving,wewillreconvenethesteeringgroupinQ2todiscussprogress.
Inthemeantime,let’sgetbacktotheotherburningissuesof2020thataresetoutinthisreport.IhopeyoufindOutlook20thought-provokinganduseful.ItcoverstheimportantmattersthatweforeseefromtheperspectiveofourninePracticesinCore:Creative,Data,Investment,Learning,Media,Recruitment,Research,SponsorshipandStrategy.
Ifyouwouldliketodiscussanyofthecontent,pleasefeelfreetocallmeon+35316496458.
Bestwishesfortheyearahead,
WOULD YOU ALLOW AN UNTRAINED ARCHITECT TO DESIGN YOUR HOME?
FIGURE 1 - DRAFT SKILLS PHILOSOPHY
•Obsessedwithgettingthebasicsright
•Knowtheimportantcasehistoriesoftheindustry
•Understandthefullspectrumofskillsandwhentheyshouldbeemployed
•Trueexpertsintheirareaofspecialism
•CommittedtoCPD
•Ambitious,strategic,independentthinkerswhochallengethestatusquo
•Alwayscurious,alwayswantingtoimprove
•Deepunderstandingofthevalueandpowerofcreativity
•Knowhowtoencouragecollaboration
•Knowhowmarketingdrivesprofitablegrowth
•Strongunderstandingofanalyticsandhowtousedatatoimproveperformanceandunlockgrowth
•Canbuildrobustscientificbusinesscasesformarketinginvestmentthatclearlydemonstratetheircommercialcontribution
•Strongbusinessknowledge•Fullunderstandingofthevaluechainandmarketing’srolewithinit
•Knowhowmarketingalignsstrategicallywiththebusinessagenda
•Performance-oriented
1. CRE
ATIVE 2.EXPERT
4. BUS. SAVVY 3. FIN
ANCIA
L
3
Theproblemconcerningclimatechangetodayaffectsyou,meandeveryoneandeverythingthatlivesandbreathesinthisworld.
Thetruthofthematteristhatthisproblemisreallyoldnews(notfakenews,Mr.Trump).
Speakingofpolitics,thetopicofclimatechangewas,ironically,jump-startedbysomeoneelsewhoonceworkedat1600PennsylvaniaAvenue.
IrefertoformerUSVice-PresidentAlGore.Sinceleavingoffice,Mr.Gorehas,onmanyoccasions,warnedtheworldofitsfateasaresultofcarbonemissions.Goreevenproducedafilm,AnInconvenientTruth,tomakehispoint.
Hisresearchclearlyshowedthattherewasanincreasing‘planetaryemergency’duetoglobalwarming.Actingasthecommoncitizen(andnotthepolitician),Mr.Gore’sargumentsillustratehowclimatechangeisnowapersonalissueforeveryonetoday.
Thiswashisgoal–tovoicehisconcernandmotivateallofhumanitytoidentifyandimplementsolutionstotheclimatecrisis.
Fast-forwardto2019,andweseemoreplasticwastedestroyingourbeautiful,blueoceans,killingbirdandmarinelife,litteringourbeaches,andnowenteringourfoodchain.
CHANGE THE WORLD FOR THE BETTER WITH A SINGLE VOICE THAT’S THE POWER OF ADVERTISING
Liam Wielopolski Executive Creative Director CORE
ADDRESSING CLIMATE CHANGE
CREATIVE
4
MahatmaGhandioncesaid,‘Youmustnotlosefaithinhumanity.Humanityisanocean;ifafewdropsoftheoceanaredirty,theoceandoesnotbecomedirty.’
IfonlyGhandiwerealivetodaytomakeanotherprofoundstatementthatwouldinspiretheentireworldtopickupthepaceonsolvingclimatechange.
PerhapsGhandi’snoblethinkinghasbeenreincarnatedinthesmallbutconfidentvoiceofa15-year-oldactivist,GretaThunberg,whotooktheworldbystorminSeptember2019attheUNCOP24climatetalks.
Herstraightforwardstyleofspeakingwasdirectedatworldleadersandassemblies,demandingimmediateaction.EvenherfieryglanceatPresidentTrumpwhenheenteredtheroommanagedtocutthroughthealways-presentpoliticalnonsense.Thetruthofthematteristhatworldleadersjusttalkthetalk.Theydon’tunderstandtheideaofactionsspeakinglouderthanwords.
ApartfromaSwedishteenager,whoelsecanputpressureongovernmentstodevelopbettersolutions?
Whynotpassthebatontothecreativeworldofadvertising?Ifagreatadcanraisetheprofile(andfortunes)ofaproductorabrand,whycan’titdothesameforclimatecontrol?
PICKING UP THE BATON
Advertising,knownforcommunicatingstrong,powerfulandeffectivemessagestotheworld,canachieveresults.Advertisingcantapintothemindsofhumanityinthemostproactiveandintriguingwayssoanobjectivecanbeachieved.That’stheartofAdvertising101.
Whenitcomestothefutureofourplanet,weshouldnotunderestimatethepowerofgivingvoicetothemessagethatweallneedtotakeourresponsibilitiesmoreseriouslyduringtheseuncertaintimes.
InSeptember2019,adlandintheUKdidjustthis.Itmadeitsvoiceheardloudandclearwithitsenvironmentalstand,‘CreateandStrike.’
Insupportofclimateprotest,acoalitionof150agenciesencourageditsmemberstowalkoutoftheirofficesandontothestreetsincentral
London,wheretheystoodshouldertoshoulderwiththeyouth-ledclimatestrikesthatmobilisedanestimatedfourmillionpeopledemandingtougheractionfromgovernmentstocombatclimatechange.
Thatday’smissionwastoprovidetheopportunityfortheirvoicestobeheard–andtoshowhowcreativitycancreatechange.
Fromthismovement,moreandmoreblue-chipcompanies,likePatagonia,LushCosmeticsandBen&Jerry’s,followedsuitbyclosingtheirdoorstojointhecause.
Themessagetakenawayfromthisactionwasthatit’snotbusinessasusualwhentheplanetischokingtodeath.
Lookingatthebiggerpicture,advertisinghasallowedmarketersandtheirbrandstobuildloyalrelationshipswiththepeopleoftheworld.
Sinceclimatechangeaffectstheworld,itisimportantthat,ratherthansolelyfocusingonthebottomline,marketersshowandactwithgreaterempathyandjointheefforttoaddresstheproblemofclimatechange.
Thepointwe’remakingisthatdevelopingandlaunchingasmallcampaign,whichencouragespeopletogiveupdrinkingfromplasticstrawsisn’tenoughanymore.Weexpectmorefromourmarketingcompanies.
SO, DID THIS MOVEMENT ACHIEVE ANYTHING?
Yes;forone,itshowedthatadlandhasthecouragetostandupandmakeapoint.
Italsoillustratedhowsuchanunprecedentedshowofsolidaritybyanindustryfortheglobalclimateemergencycanmakenoise.
Theonlyquestionnowishowwillitkeepthemomentumgoing?
A GLOBAL RESPONSE
Weneedaglobalresponsetothiscrisis.Weneedtouseglobalresourcestojointhisculturalmovementsothatgovernmentswillgettherealpictureofjusthowdeeplyclimatechangeisgoingtoaffectourfuture.
Themarketersoftheworldneedtoprovidetheirskillsassomeoftheseresources.Therelationshipsbetweenbrandsandpeoplemustcontinuetogrowcloserandbecomemorepersonalinordertosecureabrighterandsaferfuture.
Thepowerofadvertisingcanbeusedtobetterunifyandarticulatewaystocomeupwithsolutionstotheclimatecrisis.
SimilartoAlGoreandGretaThunberg’sactionsandwords,thevoiceoftheadindustrycan’tbesilenceduntilclimatechangeiscomprehensivelyaddressed.
IT IS IMPORTANT THAT MARKETERS SHOW GREATER EMPATHY.
AR specialist Unit9 created an augmented-reality effect that allowed strikers to use their smartphones to overlay London’s Trafalgar Square, where the strike congregated, with apocalyptic imagery.
5
Shane Doyle Group Strategy Director CORESTRATEGY
WHATTO
FOREFFECTIVENESSIN2020?
PRIORITISE
In2020,IAPI,therepresentativebodyforadvertisingagenciesinIrelandisjoiningtheEffienetworkandreplacingtheexistingadvertisingeffectivenessawards(theADFXawards)withtheEffieAwardsinIreland.
Iftheyweren’talreadyatoppriority,thischangeoverineffectivenessawardspromptsustothinkaboutthedriversofeffectiveness.In2019,agroupofcollaborators,ledbyMarkRitson,analysed5,900EffieAwardsentriesinordertolearnwhatthedriverswere.1
Whiletenarelistedintheiranalysis,webelievethattherearethreeofparamountimportanceformarketerstoprioritiseandgetrightin2020.Thesearecoveredoverleaf.
STRATEGY
6
MARKETERS NEED TO AUDIT THEIR BRAND CODES, AND DISCARD THOSE THAT ARE CONFUSING OR GENERIC TO THE CATEGORY.
1. DEVELOP AND LEVERAGE BRAND CODES
Thefirstofthesedriversiscreatingandleveragingclearbrandcodes.Brandidentitiesarenotjustmadeupofaname,alogoandaproduct;theyareacollectionofcodesbuiltovertimetohelprecognition.Shapes,patterns,icons,packagingandfluentdevices(charactersorelementsthatrecurinabrand’sadvertisingtospeedupbrandrecognition)allpowerfullyevokeabrand.
Ritson’sworkputsbrandcodesasthethirdleadingdriverofeffectivenessafterbrandsizeandcreativity.Theworkdemonstratesthatbrandstypicallyunderusethesecodes,andanalysisofEffiewinnersshowsthatthosewhoco-ordinateandeffectivelyleveragetheircodesbenefitgreatly.
Themedialandscapeisbecomingmoreandmorecluttered.By2021,adultsinIrelandwillseejustunder3,000advertisementsaweek.2
Inthisenvironment,speedofbrandrecognitionandsaliencearecritical.Marketersandtheiragenciesneedtoaudittheircodes,discardthosethatcauseconfusion,oraregenerictothecategory,andheavilyleveragethosethatdeliverrecognitionandstandout.
Brandsinmorerestrictedmediaenvironments(suchascategoriesgovernedbyawatershedrule)needtoinvestinbuildingfluentdevicesthatallowthemtoensuresalienceintheremainingcommunicationscanvastheyhave.
2. DEPLOY A TWO-SPEED COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEM
Thedebatesaroundmassmarketingversustargetedcommunicationandlong-termversusshort-termapproachesarewelldocumented.TheEhrenberg-BassInstitutehasmadeitscasefor‘alwayson’massmarketing.
Extensiveresearchalsoexistsontheneedtostrikeacarefulbalancebetweenlong-termandshort-termcampaigns.
Thereisaneedtobuildyourbrandoverthelongertermandthereisaneedtoconvertpeopleinbuyingsituationswithmoretacticallyorientatedaction.
Bothareneeded,butwhatismore,bothareneededinco-ordination.Ritsonreferstoitasatwo-speedbrandplan.
However,thissuggeststhatthetwostreamsrunincertainlanesanddon’tcrossover.Ourbeliefisthatbothstrandseffectively‘charge’eachotherinacontinuouscycle.Thetacticalstream’seffectivenessinconversionisheightenedbecauseoftheamplifyingeffectofthelonger-termbrand-buildingwork.
Equally,theshort-termactivationallowsthebrandtocontinuouslybuildsalience,evenwhenlargebrand-buildingcampaignsarenotlive.
In2020,brandsnotonlyneedtothinkabouttheratioofthebrandactivitytotacticalactivity,theyalsoneedtolookathowthesetwosystemsinteractandfeedeachothersothatbothareoptimised.Gettingtheinteractionofthesetwospeedsrightisattheheartoftoday’seffectivemarketing.Attheveryleast,thesetwosystemsshouldnotbeinconflict,andatbestthetacticalactivityshouldconvertlonger-termbrandequitywithouterodingit.
3. DIAGNOSE WITH RIGOUR AND SPECIFICITY
Ourthirdpriorityistheonewhichreallycomesfirstchronologically,anditconcernsproperdiagnosisbeforeaction.
Withamigrationoverthelastdecadetodigitalchannels,wehavereachedapointinmarketingwheremanybrandscanconsiderthemselves‘informationrich’.Thedangeristhatmanyofthemarealso‘understandingpoor’.
Short-termmetricsleadtoshort-termthinkingincommunicationsandthemeasurementofimpact.However,anotherpotentialpitfallforbrandsisthefailuretoconductproperproblemdiagnosis.
Marketingisatooltogrowyourbusiness,andmarketingstrategyshouldsupporttheoverallbusinessstrategy.Thetwoareinterdependent.Pivotaltoasuccessfulmarketingplanisthecorrectdiagnosisofaproblemthatthebusinessiscurrentlyexperiencing;onceidentified,marketingeffortscanthenworktoresolvetheproblem.
Ritsonetal’sanalysisofEffieentriesconcludedthatrelativelyfewcampaignsoutlinedtheirtruestrategicobjectives.Theaimsweremorelikelytobeoutlinedintacticalgoals.WhileRitsondoesnotconcludethattherewerenostrategicgoals,thefactthattheyarenotproperlyarticulatedandplacedfrontandcentreisworrying,butpossiblynotsurprising.
Webelieveininvestingasmuchtimeandeffortaspossibleindiagnosingthecentralissuethatthebusinessexperiencessothatmarketingcanoptimiseitsimpact.Thismayseemobvious,butitisnotagiven.
Puttingthoughtintotheheartofaproblemandmostimportantly,puttingnumbersarounditsexistenceanditseffectaresomeofthemostfruitfulusesofamarketer’stime.Thislevelofanalysisallowsgoalstobeclearandwell-grounded,effortstobeco-ordinatedaroundthetruebattle,timetobesavedincreativedevelopmentthroughclarityandmostofall,itallowssuccesstobegenuinelymeasured.
Webelievethatfocussingonthesethreedriversofeffectivenesswillhelpustogainwinsforourclientsin2020.
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1.TheTopTenDriversofMarketingEffectivenessfromtheEffieAwards–andBeyond,WARC,2019
2.AdDynamix,Neilsen,Comscore,TGI,CoreData,August2018
Ronan Brady Managing Director COREDATA
Businessleadersknowinstinctivelythattoomuchfocusontheshorttermisbadforbusiness.A2019studyintomanagementboardsfoundthattwothirdsofseniorleadersagreedthatabetterbalancebetweenshort-andlong-termmarketingobjectiveswilldeliveragreaterreturn.1
However,thesamestudyalsofoundthatbusinesseshadalackofbeliefinhowtheymeasuredbrandhealthandwerealsofocusingonthewrongmetrics.
Itfoundthatseniorleaderswerefixatedonshort-termmeasuresanddonotinvestinthecreationandmaintenanceofbrandsormeasurebrandstrengthonaconsistentbasis.
Aswemoveinto2020,marketingismoreaccountablethanever.However,theincreaseduseofzero-basedbudgetingandtheabundanceofmeasurementsystemsbeliealong-recognisedtruth:thereisatensionbetweenaccountabilityandeffectiveness.
Tomakemarketingmoreaccountable,short-termmetricsareoftenerroneouslyprioritisedoverlong-termmetrics;BinetandFieldarguethatmarketersareoftenguiltyofbeing‘seentobeeffective’ratherthanfocusingonbeingtrulyeffective,whichcaninadvertentlyleadtothedestructionofshareholdervalue.2
CREATING AN EFFECTIVENESS ANDMEASUREMENT
CULTURE
EFFECTIVENESS
8
Focussingonshort-termsuccessisasymptomofanunderlyingcommonconditioninorganisations,namely,theabsenceofan‘effectivenessculture.’
A2018studybytheIPAfoundthathalfofmarketingteamsratedtheir‘effectivenessculture’atsixoutoftenorless.3Moreworryingly,therewasastrongshort-termbiasinplanningandresourceallocation:accordingtoagencies,only37%ofclientshadagreedplansandobjectivesfortheyearandonly5%hadagreedplansandobjectivesforonetothreeyears.Inaddition,73%saidthatshort-termtacticalneedsoftentookpriorityoverlonger-termobjectives.
2020 IS THE TIME TO RESET YOUR CULTURE
2020isanopportunityforyoutoresetandensureyourfocusisoneffectiveness,withthegoalofhavingadisproportionateimpactonbusinessperformance.
Todothat,youmustmovebeyondmerelypayinglipservicetoeffectiveness,andinsteadbuildaneffectivenesscultureandmindsetacrossyourteams.
Mostorganisationslackashareddefinitionofeffectiveness.4Thefirststep,therefore,istodefinewhatismeantbyeffectiveness;withoutthat,thereisnostablefoundationonwhichtobuildaculture.
Manymarketingteams’keyobjectivesareshort-termsales.Thisoverlookshowmarketingcontributestolong-termvaluethroughbuildingandmaintainingbasesales,retainingcustomers,establishingapricepremiumandsupportingbrandextensionsintoothercategories.
Gettingabetterunderstandingoftheoverallfinancialcontributionofabrandisthenextkeystepinaneffectivenessprogramme.Oncethisisquantified,itiseasiertoreframemarketing’sroleasthecustodianofasignificantcommercialasset,andimportantly,understandingmarketing’sroleinsustainingthevalueofthatasset–notjustindrivingthismonth’ssalestargets.
Forinstance,oneoftheprinciplerolesofmarketingistodrivepurchaseswithouttheneedfordiscounting;however,inasurveyonlyonerespondentclaimedtohaveameasureofpriceelasticityintheirmeasurementframework.5
ESTABLISH AN EFFECTIVENESS PROGRAMME
Youmustputeffectivenessonyouragenda.Youcandothisbyestablishinganeffectivenessprogrammethatreachesacrossorganisationalboundaries.
HereisasimpleEffectivenessChecklisttogetstarted:
1. DEFINE EFFECTIVENESSEnsureyouhaveacompany-wideshareddefinitionofmarketingeffectiveness.Agooddefinitionis:The measure of how effective your strategy is in optimising investment to achieve positive results in both the short and long term.
Youcouldrefinethisbydefiningwhatconstitutesshort-termandlong-termobjectives.
2. IDENTIFY THE RIGHT METRICS AND SUPPORTING EVIDENCE
Chooseyourmetricsandbeclearwhetheryou’remeasuringshort-orlong-termeffects.Whateveryouchoosetomeasure,ensureyouagreeonthesupportingevidencethatjustifiesthemetricsusedandthelevelofprecisionforeachmetric.Forinstance,researchhasshownthata1%increaseinbrandconsiderationleadstoa0.5%to1.5%increaseinsales.6
However,nationallyrepresentativesurveysof1,000respondents,haveatoleranceofroughly+/-3%.So,ittypicallyonlymakessensetoreviewandmakedecisionsonthismetricafteratleastsixmonthsofaninitiative.
3. UNLEASH YOUR EXISTING DATA
Thequickestwininmeasurementistypicallynotmeasuringmore,butbyintegratingmeasurementthatiscurrentlyfragmentedandsiloed.Mostgovernmentsnowhaveopendataportals(suchasdata.gov.ie)topromoteinnovationandtransparencythroughthepublicationofdatainopen,freeandreusableformats.Marketingteamscanimproveeffectivenessbyadoptingasimilarapproachandensuringinformationiseasilyavailableandsharedacrossteamsandagencypartners.Researchindicatesthat30%ofclientsdonotsharesalesperformancedatawithagencyteams.7
4. SHIFT YOUR PLANNING HORIZONS
Mostmarketingteamshaveshort-termobjectives,andthisisevidentinthecontenttheycreate.
Ensureyouhavealonger-termplanwithclearobjectivesinplacebeyondsixmonths,oneyear,and/ortwoyears.
5. CREATE A LEARNING AGENDA
There’snoperfectmeasurementsystem,butwhenyou’vecompletedthefirstfoursteps,you’llhaveagoodideaofanysignificantgapsinmeasurement,knowledgeandcapability.Prioritisethesegaps;identifytheonesthatwill
havethebiggestimpactonyourorganisationandthendevelopaplantoaddressthem.Thismightinvolveleveragingexistingresearchortoolsorconductingbusinessexperiments,butitmightalsoinvolvecommissioningnewresearch,utilisingadvancedanalyticsorselectingnewthird-partytools.Whateveryouchoose,makesuretheinvestmentintimeandmoneyisbalancedagainstthelikelypay-off.
Mostimportantly,establishaneffectivenessmindsetacrossyourteamandorganisation,basedonapplyingevidencetobusinessperformance.Thisrequiresaction-orientationandtheapplicationofevidencetodecisions.Marketersneedtomovebeyondareportingculturetoa‘Whatnext?’culturebasedoneffectiveness.
HALF OF MARKETING TEAMS RATE THEIR ‘EFFECTIVENESS CULTURE’ AT SIX OUT OF TEN OR LESS.
1.TheBoard-BrandRift:HowBusinessLeadershaveStoppedBuildingBrands,IPAandFT,2019
2.TheConflictBetweenAccountabilityandEffectiveness,BinetandField,2007
3.MarketingEffectivenessCulture:TheNumbers,IPAandISBA,2018
4.CultureFirst:HowMarketingEffectivenessWorksinPractice,IPA,October2017
5.Ibid6.Profitability:TheBusinessCaseforAdvertising,Thinkbox,2018
7.MarketingEffectivenessCulture:TheNumbers,IPAandISBA,2018
9
Everyday,wearesurroundedbybytesandstreamsofdata.Barchartsdisplaygrowthanddecline,trendlinesindicateproblemsoropportunitiesandpiechartstellusthestoryofmarketshare.Researcherstalkaboutthepercentageofaspecific‘cohort’orthe‘high-indexingdemographicgroup,’whichtendstodehumaniseconsumers.Areweforgettingthatconsumersarepeople?
Weknowweshouldprioritiseemotionaladvertisingduetoitsimpactonlong-term
profitability,buttoomuchresearchcontinuestobeconductedandpresentedinapurelyrationalorlogicalway.Whydoessomuchresearchignoretheemotionintheroom?
InRorySutherland’s2019book,Alchemy,theadmanmakesthecaseforamorelateralapproach,suggestingthat‘alongsidetheinarguablyvaluableproductsofscienceandlogic,therearealsohundredsofseeminglyirrationalsolutionstohumanproblemsjustwaitingtobediscovered.’1
Marketerstendtoover-relyoncoldharddatapoints;theydon’tpayenoughattentiontotheemotions,theunsaid,thesentimentandthemagicaldiscoveryofresearch.
Webelievethattherearethreeareasofresearchwherehumanemotionandthepotentialfornewdiscoveryshouldneverbeignored.Thesearecoveredoverleaf.
Naomi Staff Managing Director CORERESEARCH
HUMANISINGDATA
RESEARCH
10
1. DATA COLLECTION
Thefirstistheprocessofgatheringevidencetobetterunderstandaproblemorscopeoutanopportunity.Manyresearchbriefsfocusonvalidatinganassumptionthatalreadyexists.Whilethisisunderstandable,itcanoftenleadtoresearchthatisloadedwithsubjectivebiasesandmaywellmisspotentialopportunities.Weallsufferfrombiases,givingourattentiontowhatwealreadyacceptorunderstand,andthiscanbetheenemyofdiscovery.Practitionerswhobringacuriousmindtothedatacollectionstageoftheresearchcanuncoverinterestingnuancesandnuggets.
Therearevariousqualitativeresearchmethodstoprovideadeeperunderstandingofpeopleandtheiremotions.Forexample,askingparticipantstorecordapersonalvideodiaryinadditiontoanin-depthinterview,orfacilitatingworkshopswheretheparticipantsengagewithproblemsolvingratherthanparticipateinastandardfocusgroup.
Anyopportunitytoencouragehumanstorespondemotionallywillbemorepowerfulthananalysingadatapointbasedonanassumedlogicalaction.
Withinthesemoments,itispossibletorealisethenuancesofatopic,facilitateconversationsaboutsensitivetopicsandseetheemotioninaperson’seyes.Wecannotignorethehumaninthedata.
2. WIDER LENS
Thesecondareaofresearchwhereitiscrucialtounderstandtheroleofemotionisduringanalysisandinterpretation.Toooften,researchispresentedinpercentagesandfigures,andthereisseldomacontextoranarrativetothenumbers.Itisimportanttofixawiderlensontheanalysistounderstandthebroadercontextofwhythenumbersgoup,downorremainflat.
Often,humanemotionsareakeyfactorinexplainingtheresultsofresearchanalysis.
Forexample,askingpeopleabouttheirpropensitytopurchasein2019wasverydifferenttoaskingsomeonefouryearsearlier.Whiletheeconomyhadimproved,thewidersocietalconversationsin2019wereverydifferenttothoseof2015.InJune2015,thesame-sexmarriagereferendumwasthemostimportantnationalconversation,anditboostedconfidenceinthesummermonths.2Fouryearslater,uncertaintyoverBrexitcausedovertwo-thirdsofpeopletobelievetheeconomywouldsuffer,3andconsumersentimentfelltoa56-monthlow.4
Anexampleofwhenemotionscanoverrulenumbersiswhenweanalysehealthbehaviours.Ourworkinthisareaoftenproducesnumbersthatshowpeople’sgoodintentionsforahealthylifestyle,buttherearebarrierstopeopleachievingtheirhealthandfitnessgoals.
Thesebarriersarerarelydiscoveredbylookingatthenumbers.Onlybyengagingdirectlywithpeoplewillweunderstandtheemotional
driversofpoorhealthbehaviour,suchasfear,lonelinessorstress.Wemusttakeabroadapproachtoouranalysisandconsiderthewidercontextofcultureandtheimpactitcanhaveonhowpeoplefeel.
3. STORYTELLING
Finally,researchresultsmustleaveapositiveimpressionwithstakeholders.Areportshouldhavethekeydata,chartsandfindings,butaconventionalPowerPointfilecanalsokillallinspirationandpotentialforbusinessimpact.
Presentingresultsthatwillleadtoactionisthekeytounlockinggrowthpotential.Researchmustempowerbetterdecisions,excitecreativeresponsesorallowdecisionmakerstothinkmoredeeplyandempathisewithcustomersorusers.
Maximisingtheseinsightsfromyourmarketresearchinvestmentisimportanttoyourbusinesssuccess.Aninsightorrecommendationisuselessuntilitisactioned.
Sharingfindingsasastoryensuresthattheytravelbeyondtheresearchandinsightsteamandareleveragedbyeverypartoftheorganisation,fromproductdevelopmenttofinance.Itisimportanttoidentifythekeymessagesandconsiderhowyoushouldcommunicatethemtoyouraudienceinacreativeway.
Thefirstopportunityisoftensimple-translatetheexecutivesummaryintomessageswithemotion.Usingemotiveverbssuchas‘customersfeel,’phrasessuchas‘peopleworryabout’or‘thisgroupishopefulof’conveyshowpeopleareemotional,andnotalwaysrationaldecisionmakers.Thisapproachtolanguageencouragesthereadertoexperiencetheemotionalsentimentandnotjustreadtheresearchresults.Thismayseemobvious,butitssignificanceisoftenoverlooked.
Thesecondistheformatyouusetopresentyourfindings.ChallengingthenormallinearandflatPowerPointpresentationiskey.
Videoallowspeopletoseethebodylanguageandemotionalgesturesexpressedbyresearchparticipants.Amoreinvolveddebrieftechniqueisaroleplayworkshop,whereastakeholder(e.g.thebrandmanager)takesontheroleofacustomerandengagesindialoguewithothercompanystakeholders.Thisallowsforamoreempatheticunderstandingofcustomerneeds.
Researchingpeopleisaprivilegeandshouldinspireandexcitewhensomethingnewisdiscovered.Focusingpurelyonnumberscanlosethepowerofemotion.Wemustkeepourfocusonthedistinctionbetweendatathathighlightsacustomerbehaviourandtheemotionsthatoftenunderlytheirmotivation.
WHY DOES SO MUCH RESEARCH IGNORE THE EMOTION IN THE ROOM?
1.Alchemy:TheSurprisingPowerofIdeasThatDon’tMakeSense,RorySutherland,2019
2.CoreResearchCulturalIndex,2015&2019
3.CoreBrexitBarometer,November2019
4.ConsumerSentimentIndex,KBC,ESRI,2015&2019
11
IMMOVABLEUNSTOPPABLE
THEOBJECT
MEETSTHE
FORCE
There are essentially two factors that will drive recruitment activity in 2020. It is a simple case of supply and demand and just as we have seen since 2016, the immovable object is full employment within the Irish economy, whilst the unstoppable force is the growth in job creation. Put simply, we now have more jobs than people able or available to do them.
FULL EMPLOYMENT – THE UNSTOPPABLE FORCE
Fullemploymentis,bizarrely,reallyameasureofunemployment.Itisanotionalfigureusedbyeconomistsandgenerallyrelatestoanunemploymentrateofbetween4%and6%–thereisstillalowlevelofunemploymentcausedbyseasonalwork,changesinpersonalcircumstancesandjobdissatisfaction.Manyeconomistsreferenceasimplermodelthatstatesfullemploymentisachievedwhenthenumbersofunemployedequalsthenumberofjobvacanciesinthemarket.
Regardlessofthedefinition,Ireland’semploymentlandscapeisinarobuststateofhealth.AccordingtotheCSOQ3LabourForceSurveyreleasedinNovember2019,Irelandnowhas2,326,900peopleinemploymentand128,000unemployed.1IntheyeartoQ32019theunemploymentratedroppedby15,000.Thiswasthetwenty-ninthsuccessivequarterlydropinthisfigure.Thegrowthinemploymentforthefullyearwas53,000,withcirca80%ofrolesbeingfull-time.
InJanuary2020,IDAIrelandannouncedthatemploymentlevelsinitsclientcompanieshadreached245,096–thehighestevernumberemployedinthemultinationalsector.2Inthefouryearssinceitlaunchedits‘Winning–ForeignDirectInvestment2015-2019’strategy,theIDApresidedoverthecreationof112,373jobs.
Anecdotally,bigjobsannouncements,whilestillcovered,seemlessnewsworthy.IDA-supportedorganisationscreated22,000jobsin2019,employmentgrewby53,000,yetjobannouncementshavemostlyslippedfrom‘mainnews’to‘businessnews.’
A HAPPY WORKFORCE – THE IMMOVABLE OBJECT
InAugust2019,CoreResearchconductedanemploymentsurveyof1,000Irishadults.Thiswasthethirdtimeinfiveyearsthatwehaveundertakenthiswork.Theresearchfocusesoncurrentjobsatisfaction,thelikelihoodofchangingjobsandwhatwouldinfluencepeople’schoiceofafutureemployer.
Dave Griffin Managing Director CORECREATIVE&RECRUITMENT
EMPLOYERBRANDING
12
ThefindingswillbeissuedinfullinQ22020,butwhatisevidentfromtheresearchisthegrowingsenseofjobsatisfaction.Weaskedparticipants,‘Thinking about your current role, to what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?’
I FEEL MOTIVATED TO GIVE MY ALL TO MY JOB ALL THE TIME
NEITHER/NOR DISAGREE SOMEWHAT STRONGLY DISAGREEAGREE SOMEWHAT
35%
STRONGLY AGREE
33%
21%
7%4%
I WANT TO STAY WITH MY EMPLOYER FOR THE LONG TERM
NEITHER/NOR DISAGREE SOMEWHAT STRONGLY DISAGREEAGREE SOMEWHAT
31%
8%
Thedevil,asalways,isinthedetail;thethreebiggestfactorsinthehealthyratingofrespondents’currentjobsarelocation,camaraderiewithcolleaguesandsecure/stableemployment.Overthefiveyearsandthreesurveys,locationhasconsistentlyledtherankingsintermsofwhatpeoplelikemostabouttheircurrentemployer–quiteliterallytheimmovableobject.
WHAT THIS MEANS FOR RECRUITERS
Thereis,unsurprisingly,adirectcorrelationbetweenrecruitmentactivity,employmentgrowthandGDP.For2020,thereareavarietyofGDPgrowthpredictionsrangingfromtheCentralBank(4.8%),3totheDepartmentofFinance(5.5%),4totheESRI(3.3%),5withsomecommercialorganisationspredictinginexcessof5%.
FDIjobgrowthwas6%in2018,8%in2019andseemsunlikelytoslow.6AlthoughBrexitremainsafactor,theremovaloftheno-dealoptionin2020islikelytoseeastrengtheninginthedomesticeconomyasinvestmentplans
canonlybedelayedforsolong.Anoverall50,000increaseinemploymentfor2020seemsaconservativeestimate.
Forrecruitersthiscanonlymeanafurthertougheningoftheemploymentmarket.Toillustratehowmuchthingshavechanged,pre-recessionemploymentreachedahighof2.16million;by2012thishadsunktoalowofjustunder1.8million,andwenowsitat2.3million.7Employeesareindemandandcanchoosewheretheywanttowork.
THE YEAR AHEAD
In2019,wetalkedabouttheimportanceofyouremployerbrand,gettingyourofferingrightandcommunicatingwithyourtargetdemographic.WetalkedaboutbuildingaconsistentapproachtoyouremploymentmarketingandfocusingontheUSPsthatyourorganisationcanoffercandidates.Theyareallstillvitalelementsincommunicatingtoyourtargetaudience,butthereisnowarealneedforconsistentinvestmentinpromotingyouremployerbrand.
Thesuccessfulrecruiterneedstodrivetheperformanceoftheirrecruitmentmachine.Evenifyourstrategy,brandandofferingarefirstclass,weseeaneedtofocusonincreasingyoureffectivenessthroughincreasedshareofvoice.
Shareofvoiceisasimpleconceptthatmeasureshowmuchoftheconversation/advertisingyourbrandhas.Itcanbeappliedtoamarketasawholeortospecificmediaorproducts.Researchclearlyshowsthatyourshareofvoiceneedstobelargerthanyourshareofmarketforyoutogainmarketshare.Fromarecruitmentpointofview,youneedtobeinmoreconversationstoensurethatyougetthebestcandidates.
Only11%ofrespondentsdisagreedwiththestatementaboutjobmotivation,and65%saidthattheywishedtostaywiththeiremployerforthelongterm.
Thelevelofsatisfactionhasgrownsteadilyovertime,from61%in2015to64%in2018andnow65%.Furthermore,only22%ofrespondentsindicatedthattheywouldseriouslylookforarolewithanotheremployerinthecomingtwelvemonths.
Whilenearly40%ofrespondentswouldrateanewemployerintermsofcompensationandbenefits,itislifestylefactors,culturalfitandinteresting/notableworkthatdrivecurrentemploymentsatisfaction.
THERE IS NOW A REAL NEED FOR CONSISTENT INVESTMENT IN PROMOTING YOUR EMPLOYER BRAND.
8%
19%
STRONGLY AGREE
34%
1.Q3LabourForceStatement,CSO,2019
2.EmploymentLevels,IDA,20193.Q1Bulletin,CentralBank,20204.Budget2020,EconomicandFiscalForecast,TheDepartmentofFinance,2020
5.GDPForecasts,ESRI,20206.IDAIreland,20197.Pre-recessionEmployment,FinFacts,2019
13
Google’sChiefEconomistHalVarianonceadvisedthatinaworldwheresomethingisubiquitousandcheapyoushouldfocusonbuildingsomethingthatisrareandvaluable.ForGoogle,Facebookandmanypublishers,adimpressionsareubiquitousandcheap,butwiththedemiseofcookie-basedtargeting,itis‘effectivemeasurement’thatwillbecomerareandvaluable.
Cookiesarethebitsofcodethatarestoredbywebsitesinpeoples’browserstotrackbrowsingactivity.Therearetwomaintypes:
First-party cookiesarecreatedbyawebsitethatyouvisitdirectly.Thesecookiescanbehelpfultotheuser,becausetheyenablethebrowsertorememberkeypiecesofinformation,suchaswhichitemsyouaddtoyourshoppingcartonthatsite,yourusernameorlanguagepreferences.
Third-party cookies,however,arenotcreatedbythewebsiteyouvisit;theyarecreatedbyotherdomainsoradnetworkstotrackusersacrossmultiplewebsites.Thedatacollectedbythesecookiescanbeusedtotailoradsandtargetpeopleaccordingtotheirbehaviour.
Overthelastfewyears,therewereseveralactionsthatresultedintheslowbutsteadydeclineofthethird-partycookie.In2017,Applebeganblockingthird-partyusertrackingonSafari(32%ofthemarket)1.TheintroductionoftheGDPRin2018requiredwebsitestosecurecookieconsentfromusers.In2019,Appleextendeditsprohibitionbyreducingthelifespanoffirst-partycookiesfromsevendaystooneday.Mozillaalsobannedthird-partycookiesonFirefox,andinJanuary2020,Googleannouncedthatitwillstopsupportingthird-partycookiesonChrome(55%ofthemarket)overthenexttwoyears.2
David Fogarty Digital DirectorCOREINVESTMENT
DATA
14
PANEL MEASUREMENT
Intandemwiththisdisruption,anotherissuetofocusonisthethornysubjectofcampaignreachandfrequency.Wemayknowhowmanyadimpressionswesecure,butwedon’tknowwhatproportionoftheoveralltargetaudienceacampaignreaches.Sofar,notrackingsystemcanmeasurethefullonlineconsumerjourney.
Therearetoomanygapsinthedataacrossdevices.Theonlywaytodealwiththiscomprehensively,inawaythatisprivacy-compliant,istocreateapanelofusersthatextrapolatesthereachofanadvertisingcampaign.Thisisnotanewidea–panelshavebeenusedforyearsinmostofflinemedia.
However,thisisnotaneasytask;itwouldrequirethecreationofaresearchpanelthatisindependentofthetechcompaniesandgovernedonajointindustrybasis.Also,thisissuegoesbeyondonlinemedia;itisbroaderthanGoogle,Facebookandtheonlinelandscape.Itistimetotakeacomprehensivecross-mediaapproachtoallcommercialaudienceresearch.
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR ADVERTISING?
Programmaticadvertisingwillbeaffectedmost,becauseitisheavilyreliantonthird-partycookiestodetermineuser-leveltargetingandmeasurement.Withoutcookies,advertisersareunabletotargetconsumerswithtailoredadsordeterminewhetherthoseadvertisementsconverttosales.
Programmaticmedia-buyingreliesonmatchingadvertisingtoindividualsorcohortsofpeoplebasedontheirbrowsinghistoryacrossmultiplewebsites.Withthisapproachnowconstrained,therewillbeashifttocontextualadvertising–placingtheadvertisementalongsidecontentthatmatchesadvertisergoals.Thisisanoldpractice,buttheindustryisimprovingitbyusingmachinelearningtomakethematching
moreeffective.BothVoxMediaandTheWashingtonPost,forinstance,areinvestingintechnologytodojustthat.
Googlehasalsoproposedits‘PrivacySandbox’concept,whichwouldallowadtargetingtocontinuewithinitsChromebrowserwhilerespectinguserprivacy.
Theideaisthatadvertising,measurementandfraudpreventionstandardswouldbeestablishedusingapplicationprogramminginterfaces(APIs)thatwouldfacilitateinterest-basedadplacement,conversionandattributionwithoutpassingpersonalinformationbacktoadvertisers.
Googleislookingtocollaboratewitheveryoneonthisapproachandhasrequestedfeedbackfromall
industrystakeholders,withaviewtothissolutionbeingadoptedasaglobalstandard.
Fornow,theindustryistryingtoworkoutwhattheimpactofsuchanideawillmeanandwhetherthe‘PrivacySandbox’conceptwillleveltheplayingfieldornot.
Whatevertheoutcome,Googleisstillwell-placedinthepost-cookieworld.Itcollectsavastamountoffirst-partydataonusersthroughitsmanyservices.Thisdatacollectionisunaffectedbythedemiseofthird-partycookiesandwillenableittoselladvertisingwithinitsowntools,irrespectiveofwhatthemarketdecides.
JOINED UP THINKING NEEDED
Themediaindustry(television,press,outdoor,radio,cinemaandonlinemedia)hasresistedcross-sectorcooperationtodate.
Asaresult,wehaveafragmentedapproachtoaudienceresearchwithvaryingstandardsandlevelsofcredibility.Thissituationisuntenable,andwebadlyneedalong-termstrategy.
Taketelevisionforexample;thissectorrigorouslyappliesthehigheststandardsinaudienceresearch,butthecompanythatmanagestheprocess(TAMIreland)isstillonlycomprisedoftraditionalbroadcastersandagencies.
AlthoughGoogleandFacebookaccountforapproximately35%ofalladvertisingmoneyspentonvideointheRepublicofIreland,3theyarenotrepresentedattheTAMIrelandtable.
Nobodyisblockedfromjoining,butthereisnoactivecampaigntochangethestatusquo.Thisisolationismisreplicatedthroughoutthemediaindustry,anditisnotsustainablegiventheblurringoflinesthatweseebetweenmediasectorsandthelackofasingleviewoftheaudience.
Themediaindustryneedstocometogethertodiscusstheseissues,amongmanyothers.Theideaofanindustryassociationhasbeenfloatedbeforebut2020istheyeartomakeithappen.
Aforumtodiscussthefutureofthemediamarketandaddressissuesofcommonconcernisurgentlyrequired.
IntheInvestmentsectionofthisreport(seepage34),wetalkaboutre-establishinganIAPIcommitteetofacilitatetheaccuratevaluationofthemediamarket(intermsofadspend).Thiscommitteecouldalsobehelpfulinencouragingstakeholderstosetupthebroaderforumdescribedabove.
THE IDEA OF A MEDIA INDUSTRY FORUM HAS BEEN FLOATED BEFORE, BUT 2020 IS THE YEAR TO MAKE IT HAPPEN.
15
1.BrowserMarketShare,Statcounter,January2020
2.Ibid3.Coreestimates,2020
Someoftheindustry’smostreveredcampaignsare,infact,brilliantlyactivatedsponsorships,betheyteams,events,venuesorpersonalities–thinkP&G’s‘Thankyou,Mom’forTheOlympicsorNike’s‘DreamCrazy’.
Sponsorshipprovidesaplatformforpowerfulcommunicationswhenarmedwithdeephumaninsights.Why?Becausesponsorshipisrootedinfanpassionwhich,whenharnessedwithprecision,providesmagicforbrands.
However,playingwithpassionisakintoplayingwithfire;youbetterbecareful,andyoushouldhavethefollowinginsightsbeforeyoustart:
1.Athoroughunderstandingoffandynamics.
2.Afirmgraspofasponsor’srightsandassets.
3.Theknowledgeofhowandwhattomeasure.
Anexpertsponsorshipteamwillbringthesethreeelementstogetherinaseamlessfashion.Butdoyoualwayshavetherightexpertsintheroom?
FAN DYNAMICS
Sponsorshipexpertsarechannel-neutralbecausegenuinefaninsightsguidetheirthinking.Sponsorshipcampaignsrelyonauthenticitytocutthroughandbemeaningful.
Vitaltoachievingthisisthefullunderstandingofthefanperspective(notjustthebrand’scustomer)andthedepthoftheirpassion.Inmanyways,sponsorshipresemblesadvertisingwithpurpose.Atitsbestitmeanstappingintoculturesandsubculturesanddecidingtostandforsomething.Thisrequirescarefulanalysistounearththerightinsights.
Jill Downey Managing Director CORESPONSORSHIP
WHENPRECISIONPASSION
SPONSORSHIP
16
Instead,resourcesarepouredintoactivation,atwhichIrishmarketersexcel.Theironyhere,ofcourse,isthatgreatactivationisfuelledbygreatmeasurement.
Inmanysponsorshipcontractsthebulkofthetangiblevalueisdeliveredfrombrandexposureandthisisnotdifficulttomeasure.Sowhydon’tbrandscapturethisexposureaccuratelyandaccountforitintheoverallmarketingandmediaplan?Forexample,ifyouareconcernedaboutthebalanceofyourbrandversusproductmessagingbutyouonlyassesssponsorshipspendsandnotexposure,thenyoumaybeover-orunder-investing.Understandingtheeurovalueoftheexposureisonlyhalfthestory.Youmustunderstandthefullextentofyourbrand’svisibilityandthatofyourcompetitors.Thisistheonlywaytoknowyourtrueshareofvoiceasseenthroughtheeyesofyourcustomers.
So,whatisgettingintheway?
SILOED THINKING
Theenemytogreatsponsorshipissiloedthinking.Sponsorshipssometimesfallundertheremitofadifferentteamoutsidetheprimarybrandteam.Thisteammayevenhavetheirownagencyrelationshipsandaresometimestiedintolimitingcontracts.Itbecomespainfullyclearthatalackofchannel-neutral,sponsorship-specificexpertiseisattheheartoftheproblem.Asaresult,itisnotsurprisingwhensponsorshipsgetcaughtupinacycleofshort-termism,andstruggletodelivertheirtruevaluetothebrand.
Inclientcompanies,sponsorshipsshouldnotsitinasilobutshouldbemanagedwithinthebrandteamor,ifhandledbyateamadeptinsponsorshipmanagement,theyshouldworkverycloselywiththebrandteam.Thisfacilitatesastreamlinedapproachtoallcommunicationscomingfromthebrandandmaximisestheopportunitysponsorshippresents.
BEING ORGANISED
Bythetimeitisgivenadequateattention,toooftenthesponsorshipplangetstoanapparentlyinflexiblerightsholderwhowon’t(andoftencan’t)helpexecutethecreativeidea.Thiscandelaypotentiallygreatwork,causeunwantedfrustrationsinthepartnershipandultimatelyleadtotheweakeningofideas.Thiscontributestotheideathatthesponsorshipdoesn’toffervalueformoney.
Acreativeideathatfallsatthefinalhurdlewiththerightsholderisacompletewasteoftimeandresourcesandwillfaroutweighthecostofbringingintherightexpertiseinthefirstplace.Marketersandtheiragenciesmusthavetherightintelligencefeedingintotheprocess.Gettherightpeopleintheroom,withtherightinformationandthenunleashthecreativeexperts.
FULL-SOLUTION APPROACH NEEDED
Despitetakinglargechunksofthemarketingbudget,sponsorshipisnotalwaysthebiggestpriorityinthecalendarforthemarketer.
Thisisoftenforgoodreason;perhapsabrandrefreshoranewproductlaunchmusttakeprecedence.
Theintentiontocreatesomethingamazingbehindthat‘sleepinggiant’or‘Trojanhorse’ofasponsorshipisresoluteatbrandplanningstage,butitinvariablygetsconstrainedbytime,resources,orissimplyre-prioritised.Thisisthecaseinboththemarketingteamandintheagencyteamsthatservethem.
Therefore,asamarketer,youwillpotentiallysacrificegreatopportunitiesforthebrandbyside-liningsponsorshipsinfavourofotherprioritiesorbyallowingasiloedteamtocontrolthethinking.
Marketersshouldasktheiragenciestoprovideateamofexpertswhocanunlockthepotentialoftheirsponsorships.Givingthewholesponsorshipbrieftooneintegratedteam,whomustfullyunderstandthewiderbrandcontextbutwhoseroleistofocusonthesponsorship,istherightwayforward.
Itgivesdueprominencetothesponsorship,awakensthesleepinggiantandwillbethatTrojanhorseinthebattleforconsumerattention.
A FIRM GRASP OF A SPONSOR’S RIGHTS AND ASSETS
Sponsorshipexpertsapplythesamerigourwhenassessingasponsor’srightsandassets.Mostsponsorsactivateafractionoftheirrightsanddosowithlittleunderstandingofwheretherealvalueiswithintherightsschedule.Sponsorshipexpertswhocanmeasurethisvalueaccuratelynaturallyknowhowtounlockmorevalue.
Atthesametime,afundamentalunderstandingofwhatarightsholdercandeliver,bothlegallyandpractically,isoftenmissingfromthecreativeprocess.Creativeideasmustbedevelopedwithduediligencegiventotherightsholder’sposition.Harnessingfaninsightalongsideathoroughunderstandingofrightsenablesmuchmoreeffectivebriefingandallowsagencypartnerstomaximisevaluethroughactivation.
THE KNOWLEDGE OF HOW AND WHAT TO MEASURE
Thereisawell-wornargumentinsponsorshipthatitisdifficulttoprovereturnoninvestmentorisolateitseffectiveness.Inthismarket,theconventionalwisdomhasbeentoacceptfartooreadilythatROIcannotbeproven,andintheprocessseeminglyforsakeallgoodmeasurementpractices.
GET THE RIGHT PEOPLE IN THE ROOM, WITH THE RIGHT INFORMATION, AND THEN UNLEASH THE CREATIVE EXPERTS.
17
TheworldoftelevisioninIrelandisdestinedtochangesignificantlyin2020.NotsincetheintroductionofSkyin1989willtherehavebeensomuchdisruptiontotheavailabilityofcontent.
ByMarch2020,Disney+willjoinAmazonPrime,AppleTV+andNetflixasglobalstreamingservicesavailableinIreland,withthepotentialformoretofollow.
Allthesenewofferingswilljoinanalreadyclutteredvideostreamingmarket,withtheRTÉPlayer,VirginTVPlayer,NowTVfromSkyandplatformssuchasYouTubePremiumandtheomnipresentFacebook.
Muchhasbeenwrittenabouttheso-called‘streamingwar’andwhowilleventuallyprevail.Asthesenewservicesare
subscription-basedanddonotcarryadvertising,theimportantissueforIrishadvertisersishowtheseserviceswillaffectexistingTVplatformsandthepotentialimpactonadvertisingwithinthem.Currently,livetelevision1watchedviaSky,VirginorSaorviewisstillthemostwatchedcontentinIreland.2Regardlessofaudience,liveTVstilldominates.
BEGINS IN
2020
THE
Nick Fletcher Director of Media Insights CORE
VIDEO
18
LIVE TV IS STILL NUMBER ONE
Thestrengthsoflivetelevisionarewellknown–thekeysportingeventsthatyoudon’twanttomiss,theappointment-to-viewshowsthatarepartofthenationalconversationandthelatestIrishnewsandcurrentaffairsfromatrustedsource.
Thesethreekeycomponentswillcontinuetoremainpartofthetraditionalbroadcasters’schedules.Whilesportingeventsmaygraduallymigratetootherplatforms,therewillbepressuretomaintainthose‘inthepublicinterest’onfree-to-airplatforms,anditisunlikelythatglobalplayerswillinvestinlocal,Ireland-relevantprogramming,particularlycontentthatispublicservice-orientedandnotcommerciallyviable.Itremainsafactthattherewillcontinuetobearoleforlive,Ireland-relatedcontentinthefuture.
Nevertheless,wehaveseenadeclineintheviewingoflineartelevision.3In2019,therewasa4.8%declineinviewing(amongalladults)tolinearTV.Foryoungeraudiences,thedeclinewasmoredramatic,with15-24year-oldviewingdown7.2%.4
However,thefallwasnotassubstantialaspreviousyears.In2018,forexample,theyear-on-yeardeclinefor15-24yearoldswas21.5%,andin2017,thedropwas18%.5The2019audiencenumberscouldbethefirstsignofaslowingdowninthedeclineoflinearTV.
WHAT’S IN STORE FOR TV?
Thebigquestionsarehowfaraudiencescancontinuetodecline,andforhowlongcan‘traditionalTV’maintainitsstatusasthefoundationmediumforbuildingbrands?
InarecentOfcomsurveyintheUK,itwasreportedthatoverhalfofallhouseholdsnowsubscribetoonestreamingserviceoranother.6Interestingly,theseservicesareeatingawayatthemselvesaswellasTVbroadcasters.ThereisalsotheargumentthatcostwillbeakeyfactorintheTVservicesweoptforinthefuture.Accesstoallstreamingservicescouldbeover€300ayear,ontopofcurrentPay-TVservicessuchasSky,Virginoreir.Itisunlikelythatmosthomeswillsubscribetoallplatforms,socontentwillagainbethedecidingfactor.
Amajorconcernfortraditionalbroadcasterswillbeviewerswhostopwatchinglivetelevisioncompletely.Thesearetheviewerswhohave‘cutthecord’andmovedentirelytostreaming(orother)servicesfortheirvideocontent.Atthemoment,theseviewersrepresentafractionofthetotal.92%ofhomesinIrelandstillhaveaTVset.7
However,oneinterestingandoftenoverlookedfactisthereductionoftotalTVsetsinhomes.Adecadeago,overhalfofallhomesinIrelandhadtwoormoreTVsets.In2019,60%ofhomeshadonlyoneset.8Whilstthemainsetsaregettinglargerandsmarter,peopleareswitchingtootherdevicesas‘secondsets,’whichishavingadetrimentaleffectontotalviewing,particularlyamongyoungerpeoplewhomaynothaveaccesstothemainset.
Cord-cuttingisasignificantfactoralreadyintermsofthedeclineinmultipleTVsets,butitisdoubtfulitwillaffectthemainTVsetintheshortterm.
Thisisbackedupbyreachfiguresforlineartelevision,arguablytheultimatemetricforadvertisers.ImpactsandTVRsaresimplythecommoditywebuytoultimatelydeliverreach.In2013,93.7%ofalladultsviewedsomelinearTVeachmonth.9
In2019,thatnumberdroppedto89.8%.10Foryoungeradults,thetotalcommercialreachdroppedfromapotentialof91.2%to81.6%.Again,audiencesstillwatchtelevision,butnottothesameextentasfiveyearsago.
Industrychatterisoftendominatedbystoriesofamediumincrisis:televisionviewingisinfreefall,youngpeoplenolongerwatchtelevisionandsoon.However,thetruthismorenuanced.Itisundeniablethatforvariousreasonsourconsumptionoflivetelevisionhasdecreased.However,livetelevisionisthenumberonevideotouchpointofall–evenforyoungaudiences.
Reachishardertodeliverthanbefore,butitisstilldeliverable.TVcampaignsmustworkhardertodeliverthose‘lighterviewers’thatsosignificantlyaffectreachandcommunicationdelivery.
Televisionisnolongeramediumthatworksinisolation.Thereisandtherewillcontinuetobeamovetowardsonlinevideoservices.Thebestperformingadvertiserswillcontinuetounderstandthischangingmarketandusethebenefitsoftelevisionasthefoundationforanoverarchingvideostrategy.
ACCESS TO ALL STREAMING SERVICES COULD COST OVER €300 A YEAR.
1.Liveviewingisanyscheduledprogrammethatiswatchedattimeofbroadcastonly.
2.IPSOSVISTATAMresearch,TAMIreland,2019
3.Linearviewingisanyscheduledprogrammethatiswatchedattimeofbroadcastorwithinaseven-daywindow.
4.Techedge,20195.Ibid6.MediaNationsReportandUKViewingData,OfcomandBARB,August2019
7.Nielsen,20198.Ibid9.Techedge,201310.Techedge,2019
19
Haveyoueverfoundyourselfpatientlywaitingforanonlinevideoadtofinishandthoughtthatitreallystruckachordwithyou,thatitwasveryrelevant?Thislevelofadpersonalisationisrarely,ifever,foundonlineartelevision,1butbroadcastershopetochangethat.HowwewatchTVhaschangedenormouslyoverthepasttwodecades,ashasthewaybrandscanadvertiseontheplatform.Adjustable‘rabbitears’thatcontrolthelevelofstaticareobjectsofthepastastechnologynowallowsustopauselivebroadcasts,catchuponcontentandbingeonboxsets.
AddressableTVadvertisinghasbeenavailableintheIrishmarketsinceMay2017,intheformofSky’sAdSmartservice.
Skyhasthetechnologicalinfrastructuretopre-loadcommercialsontoitsset-topboxes.Theseadscanbetailoredtoappealtodefinedgroupsofviewers.
Alibraryofadsissentbysatellitetothehard-diskoftheset-topbox,whichthenenablesthesystemtoshowdifferentcommercialstodifferenthouseholds.Effectively,twohouseholdswatchingthesameTVprogrammeatthesametimecannowseetwodifferentcommercials.
However,theleveloftailoringislimited,astargetingisbasedonclustersofhouseholds–notindividualpeople.AdSmartusesprobabilisticmatchingtoformlike-mindedgroupsofhouseholds,becauseitcannot
useactualdataataspecifichouseholdlevelduetoGDPRrestrictions.
Currently,thereare24audiencesegmentsandarangeofgeographicalclustersavailable.ThesesegmentsarederivedfromacombinationofSky’sowncustomerdataandinformationfromtheconsumerprofileconsultants,ExperianandTransUnion.
ThesesegmentswillfurtherexpandtoincludeinterestingchoicessuchaslightTVviewersandearlytechadoptersinthecomingmonths.Atsomestage,advertiserswillbeabletousetheirowncustomerdatatocreatebespokesegments.ThisiscurrentlyavailableintheUK,buttherearenofirmplansyetfortheRepublicofIreland.
Calvin Kelly Senior Video Investment Manager COREINVESTMENT
Shane Kiernan Video Investment Manager COREINVESTMENT
WHATISADDRESSABLE ADVERTISING?
VIDEO
20
ADSMART REACH COULD GROW FROM 33% TO 49% OF TV HOMES BY THE END OF 2020.
DatafromSkysuggeststhatAdSmartcampaignscanboostspontaneousadrecallby10%,2buttheservicehasyettobreakintothemarketingmainstreamduetoitsrelativelylowreach.
AdSmartisavailableto33%ofTVhomesintheRepublicofIreland;however,becauseitisonlyaccessibleon14Skychannels,campaignreachisconstrained.Forexample,a14-daycampaignwillbeseenin52%ofAdSmarthomesonaverage,increasingto73%foramonth’sactivity.3Putanotherway,atypicalfour-weekcampaignhasthepotentialtobeseeninapproximatelyonequarterofallTVhomesintheRepublicofIreland.
BROADER REACH ON THE CARDS
However,thingsarelookingupforAdSmart.Duringthesecondquarterofthisyear,theservicewillextendtoincludeVirginMediachannels1,2and3intheRepublicofIreland.Eventually,thiswillexpandAdSmart’savailabilityfrom33%to49%ofTVhomes,4whichwillincreasethelevelofinterestinaddressableadvertising.
ThefirststepinrollingoutthiscombinedofferingwillseeVirginMediachannelsshowingaddressableadsonSkyset-topboxes.VirginwillthenupgradeitsownboxestosupportthetechnologynecessarytocarrybothitsownandSky’saddressableads.ThenewboxeswillbegintorolloutinAprilandaddressableservicesontheseboxesshouldreachcriticalmassforalaunchbeforetheendoftheyear.
Furthermore,Channel4hasagreedadealwithSkytobringAdSmarttoviewersintheUK.
Thedetailshaveyettobefinalised,butitislikelythatChannel4willbeonboardbytheendof2020.However,thiswillnotbepartoftheofferingintheRepublicofIrelandfortheforeseeablefuture.
AFFORDABLE
Althoughthe‘cost-per-thousand’ofaddressableTVisapproximately40%greaterthanstandardTVadvertising(dependingontheaudience),5theabsolutespendcanbecontrolledtomakeitaffordableforsmallerbudgets.AddressableTVgivesbusinessestheopportunitytoadvertiseinawaythatreduceswastage.Forexample,individualcountyareascanberingfenced,whichwillappealtocompanieswithlimiteddistribution.Skyalsoplanstointroduceamoregranularoptionlaterthisyear,whichwillenableustotargetcampaignsaccordingtothefirstthreedigitsoftheEircode.ThisregionaltargetingisthemostcompellingaspectofAdSmartasitprovidesaveryclearadvantageoverconventionalTVadvertising.Ontheotherhand,thelifestyle-basedsegmentsthatSkyoffersalsoprovideprogressivetargetingoptionsforadvertisers,buttheadvantageislessclear-cutduetothetendencyofmanymarketerstoprioritisebroadpenetration(asopposedtotightsegmentation)whenitcomestobrand-buildingcampaigns.However,theavailabilityofthesesegmentsdoesgiveustheoptiontotailorcopytoappealtodifferentaudiences,andthisisworthtesting.
A BLENDED APPROACH
Addressableadvertisingisanimportantdevelopmentfor
television.Thetechgiantscontinuetoincreasetheirshareofthevideomarket.Google,FacebookandAmazonhavesignificantresourcesavailabletoinvestincontentandtechnology,andtheyposearealthreattoTVadvertisinginitscurrentform.AddressableTVprovidesSky,VirginMediaandChannel4withtheopportunitytoreclaimsomeoftherevenuethathasmovedtoonlinevideoprovidersinrecenttimes.
AddressableTVisnotviableasastandaloneoptionduetoitscurrentlimitedreach,butitshouldbeconsideredintandemwithmoreconventionaluseofTVinthesamewaythatonlinevideoadvertisingisblendedwithtraditionalTVadvertising.Thisblendisforeverchangingandwillcontinuouslyevolve.
AsmoreTVstationsintegratewiththeAdSmartplatform,itspotentialwillgrow.Werecommendthatclientsstarttoexplorehowtheycanuseittominimisewastageand/orenhancerelevance.
Lessonslearnedthroughtrialandexperimentationareinvaluable.AddressableadvertisingisthefutureofTVandunderstandingthisnewopportunityoffersadvertisersapotentialcompetitiveadvantage.
1.LineartelevisionmeansaTVchannelthattransmitsscheduledprogrammingselectedbythebroadcaster
2.AddressableTVHalvesChannelSwitchingandImprovesAdRecall,claimsSky,TheDrum,August2019
3.SkyIreland,20204.Coreestimates,20205.Ibid
21
Inthepasttenyears,thenumberofletterspeoplereceiveinIrelandhasfallenbyhalf.1Despitethis,oneaspectofcustomerbehaviourhasbeenrevived-theanticipationofreceivingapostaldelivery.Whilecustomersmaynowreceivefewerbirthdaycardsorbillsinthepost,therehasbeenasignificantincreaseinreceivingpackagesandparcels,asonlineshoppinggrowsinpopularity.
Attheendof2019,AnPostreportedthatthenumberofparcelshandledbythecompanyhadincreasedby40%sincethepreviousyear.1
Thisincreasereflectsthemassadoptionofonlineshopping,witheverythingfromclothestoshavingsoapincreasinglyboughtonline.Peoplenowlookforwardtoopeningtheirpost-boxesanddoorstoreceivetheseitems.
Duringthesameperiod,useofdigitalcommunicationchannelsgrewexponentially,andmanypredictedthedemiseofphysicalpost.However,whilepeoplemaynolongersendasmanylettersastheydidinthepast,thenextgenerationofcustomersstilllookforwardtoreceivingitemsinthepost.
Thisbehaviourhasevenledtoanewphenomenon–‘unboxing’.YouTubeispopulatedwith‘unboxing’videos,wherepeopledocumentthemselvesopeningapackagefromaboxanddisplaying,reviewing,andshowingoffitscontents.
84%ofUSadultsunder40yearsofageclaimthey“taketimetolookthroughtheirmail”2,oftenanticipatingthearrivaloftheirmostrecentonlinepurchase.Thismoment,inthehome,isaprimepointtoengagecustomers,butwhenbrandsusedirectmailtheymustactwithrelevance,respectandtheymustdelightthecustomer.
MOBILE SEARCH BATTLEGROUND
IS THE KEY
Spendonsearchmarketingcontinuedtogrowin2019,butatanincreaseof9%,thisrepresentsthelowestgrowthratesince2015.Searchmarketingboomedoverthelasttenyears;in2019,globalspendonsearchreachedapproximately€122.7billion—equalto22%ofalladvertisingspendworldwide.1Pay-per-click(PPC)advertisinghas,inrecentyears,reachedamaturestage.Whileinvestmenthascontinuedinthespace,theonlyareacapableofgrowthwillbe‘mobile.’Mobilesearchadspendisexpectedtoriseby19.2%thisyearandrepresentsalmosttwo-thirds(64.8%)oftotalsearchspendworldwide.1
InIreland,whenwetalkaboutsearchwemeanGoogle,whichhasanalmostcompletemonopolyhere,with96.3%ofallsearcheshappeningonitsbrowserorapp.2
BingandYahoo’smarketshareremainsaroundthe3%mark,soratherthanarivalsearchengine,itisAmazonthatrepresentsthemostrealisticthreattoGoogle,whichlikelycomesfromitsdigitalmarketingoffering,AmazonWebServices(AWS).WhileyoucanadvertisewithAWSonadirect-buybasishereinIreland,wecontinuetowaitforthefulllaunchoftheplatform.
Lookingtotheyearahead,therearefourkeyissuestobeawareof:
1. THE BRAND PPC DEBATE
WeexpecttheretobecontinuedscrutinyofbrandPPC(biddingonyourownbrand’skeywords,suchasNikebiddingon‘Nikerunningshoes’)into2020.
Withsearchbudgetsmostlygrowingbysmallpercentagesyear-on-year,youmayneedtofreeupPPCbudgettoensurethatyouaremoreactivewithyourgenericstrategy(e.g.‘runningshoes’),soyouhaveastrongpresenceintheearlyresearchstage.Thiswillbeparticularlyrelevantforbrandswithouthighcompetitionontheirbrandterms.
WerecommendrunningatrialperiodwithbrandedPPCpaused,sothatyoucanmonitortheimpactonorganicresults.Hopefully,therewillbenolossofleads,andyoucanre-investthesavedbudgetfurtherupthemarketingfunnel.
22
Shane Lyons Head of Search Strategy CORE
SEARCH
DO NOT PLACE TOO MUCH EMPHASIS
ON VOICE TECHNOLOGY.
2. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TO DRIVE EFFICIENCY
AnotherkeytrendwillbethecontinueduseofArtificialIntelligence(A.I.)basedfeatures.WeuseA.I.inourdailylivesfrompersonalisedSpotifyplayliststoreal-timetrafficinformationonGoogleMaps.Increasingly,A.I.isthecentralcomponentinallsmart bidding strategies.Inoneparticularcase,byintroducingthistechnologytoaclient’sbidstrategywesawanincreaseintheamountofbidmodificationsof70,000permonth;thisisduetotheA.I.’sincreasedsophisticationandabilitytoadjustinrealtime.A.I.hastakencontrolofthemoremenialtasks,allowingsearchmarketerstofocusmoreoftheirtimeonstrategyandoptimisation.
WhenitcomestoA.I.,ouradviceistohandoverthereinstothemachinesandreaptheefficiencybenefits.Clientsforwhomwehaverunsmart-biddingstrategieshavealsoseencost-per-conversionsreduce.
3. VISUAL AD FORMATS
In2019,GoogleintroducedGalleryads,amobile-specificformatthatdeliversalarge‘swipeable’carouselofimages.GoogleShoppingadswasthefirstformattointroduceimagestopaidsearchbackin2016,butwepredictthatsearchresultswillbeincreasinglyimage-based.
5Gisnowavailableincertaincitiesacrossthecountry,andwhilemainstreamadoptionmaystillbeawhileaway,theincreasedinternetspeedsand
reducedlatencythat5Gwilldeliverwilllikelymeanthearrivalofmoreinteractive(andpossiblyevenvideoformats)tosearchin2020.
4. VOICE SEARCH/ NO-CLICK SEARCHES
Ontheorganicsideofsearch,‘voice’continuestobethemostnewsworthyarea.While‘digitalassistants’arenowineverythingfromfridgestocarstowearables,recentindustryusagestudiesshowthatadoptionanddailyuseremainverylow.It’sstillearlydaysforvoicetechnology,intermsofsearch,marketingandecommerce.Whilethepotentialisthere,therearemanyunknownsaboutwhatthefutureofvoicewilllooklike.Intheshorttermitisimportantforcompaniesnottoplacetoomuchemphasisonvoicetechnology.
Oneareathatisworthexaminingistheriseofno-clicksearches.AstudybySparkTororecentlyfoundthat56%ofsearchesonmobilenowreturnno-click,meaningtheusersimplyfindstheinformationtheywerelookingforwithinthesearchresultsratherthanhavingtoclickthroughtoawebsite.3
Animportanttaskistocarryoutanorganicrankingsreportofyourtoptraffic-drivingkeywords.
Withthere-designofGoogleSearchformobile,organicsearchresultsarebecominglessimpactfulonmobile.
Acrosshotelandtravelsectorsinparticular,brandshavenochoicebuttoadvertiseinordertobeseenacrossmobile
search,astheflightandhotelfinderfromGoogleispushing‘Position1’furtherandfurtherdownthepage(andwearelesslikelytoscrollonmobile).IfyourbusinessgeneratesalotofleadsonGoogle,toremaincompetitiveyoumusthaveplansforhowtodiversifyyourtrafficsources,andhowtooptimiseyourcontenttobenefitfromzero-clicksearches.
23
1.SearchGrowthhasCooledandVoiceisaNichePursuit,WARC,November2019
2.SearchEngineMarketShareIreland,2020
3.LessthanHalfofGoogleSearchesNowResultinaClick,SparkToro,August2019
2020isexpectedtobeanotherrollercoasteryearforsocialmediaplatforms.Thepressuretobesociallyresponsiblewillcontinuetomountforall.Inthepastyear,significantshiftsinthewaythatFacebookmanagesuserdataresultedinincreasedawarenessofprivacyissuesacrossthecompany’sportfolio(whichincludesInstagramandWhatsApp).
Instagramremoved‘likes’fromposts,ostensiblytoreducetheirnegativeeffectsonsomeusers.Morerecently,eachplatformhascommunicatedtheirdifferentapproachestohandlingpoliticaladvertising.Facebookwasheavilycriticisedforitsdecisiontoacceptpoliticaladsandnotpolicethetruthfulnessoftheircontent.
Twitter,ontheotherhand,haswonthePRbattlebydeclaringa‘nopoliticaladspolicy.’Apartfromwatchingthecontinuingfalloutofthiscontroversyandtheinevitableslideintoaneraofregulation,theotherkeyissuestowatchthisyearareoutlinedoverleaf.
ANOTHER
Stha Banks Head of Paid Social COREINVESTMENT
YEAR
1,000,000
150
25
7
3
10
50
1
235
SOCIAL
24
However,relyingonthesecompetitiveadvantageswillnotguaranteeadvertisers’supportindefinitely–Facebookmustdomoretofacilitateviewerengagement.
THE RISE OF TIKTOK
TikTokisnowanimportantsocialplatformandhasalreadybeendownloaded1.5billiontimesglobally.4Ownedby$75bnChinesetechcompanyByteDance,TikTokisamobileappforcreatingandsharingshort15-secondmusicvideos.Itclaimstobethego-toplaceforfun,raw,videostorytelling.Ithasseveraltoolsforpeopletoeasilycreatemicro-contentanddisplaysapersonalisedcontentfeedtoeachuser.Italsohasplanstointroduceashoppingtool,allowinguserstobuydirectlyfrombrands.
Globally,TikTokhascirca500millionactivemonthlyusers.5InIreland,dailyactiveusers(over15yearsofage)areestimatedat90,000.6
BrandsafetyhasbeenaconcernforTikTokduetothevulnerabilityofitsyounguserbaseandnervousnessabouttheplatform’sabilitytoreininharmfulcontent.ThereisalsoanationalsecurityinvestigationintheUSintoTikTok’sallegedcensoringofanti-Chinesecontentandquestionsabouthowitstorespersonaldata.
TikTokisawareofitsshortfallsandseemstobelearningfast.Currently,itplanstolaunchitsfullsuiteofadvertisingopportunitiesintheIrishmarketinthesecondquarterof2020.Werecommendacautiousapproachtoensurethattherequisitebrandsafetycontrolsareinplacebefore
committingtoanyadvertisinginvestment.However,thisisaplatformtowatch.
REGULATORY CONTROL AND MORE SCRUTINY
InApril2019,atFacebook’sF8developerconference,innovationwasde-prioritisedinfavourofstructuralchangesregardingprivacy.Facebooktriedtobattlethenegativeperceptionofitsdatapoliciesbyfocusingmoreonconnectinguserswiththeir‘closefriendnetworks’acrossitsplatforms.Facebookhasalsobeenonapublicitydrivetoeducateusersonhowtomanagetheirprivacysettings.
MargretheVestager,theEuropeanCommissionerforCompetition,recentlyannouncedshewillincreaseherfocusonregulatingthetechindustry.Sheistakingstepstospeedupinvestigationsandisapplyingararelyusedruleknownas‘interimmeasures’,thatactsasa‘ceaseanddesist’orderforcompaniestostopcertainbehavioursduringanyinvestigations.ThismeansthatVestagerwillnothesitatetoactinafastandeffectivemannerwhencompetitionrulesarebroken.Largefinesareinevitable.
TheincreasedfocusonregulationcouldimpactFacebook’splantomergeallthreeofitsplatformsundertheone‘messenger’umbrella.MarkZuckerberghasalwaysenvisionedreplicatingtheChineseappWeChat,withFacebook,InstagramandWhatsAppallcomingtogetherinoneapplication.IfVestagerhasherway,this‘super-app’mightnothappen.
Formarketers,increasedandtightermeasuresmaymeanareductioninadvertisingopportunitiesovertime.
Withthe2020USelectionslooming,manypublicfigurescontinuetoquestionFacebook’sroleindemocracy.Brandsshouldremainwatchfulofhowtheplatformevolvesin2020andtheirdecisionmakingshouldbeagile.
FACEBOOK’S VIDEO STANDARDS NEED TO EVOLVE
In2017,Facebook’sQ2earningsreportindicatedthattheplatformwasrunningoutofadspaceinitsnewsfeed.Atthetime,thiswasdeemedasignificantissueforthecompany.Forthefirsttimeinitsshorthistory,growthinadspendwasslowing.
ThefirstsolutionwastoallowbrandstobuyadvertisingthroughacombinedFacebookandInstagramadplatform.
Thismadeiteasierforadvertiserstoruncampaignsacrossbothplatforms,whichwouldultimatelyresultinInstagram’srevenuegrowingbyamultipleoffour(since2017)to$14billionin2020.1
In2020,Instagramisexpectedtoaccountfor30%ofFacebook’soverallrevenue.2OnceWhatsApp’slong-awaitedadofferingislaunched,weexpectittobeintegratedwiththecombinedFacebookandInstagramadplatform,whichshouldfacilitatestrongrevenuegrowthforthemessagingapp.
Facebook’sseconddecision,tomovetoa‘videofirst’model,changedthebusinessforever–andledittobecomeoneoftheworld’slargestcommercialonlinevideoplatforms.In2019,mostofFacebook’srevenuecamefromvideoformats.3
Today,thebigissueforthecompanyisthequalityofconsumerinteractionwithvideoadsontheplatform.
IfFacebookistocompeteeffectivelyinthelongrun,itsapproachtovideoneedstoevolve.
Adsaremuted,meaningusersmustengagewiththecommercialtohearthecontent(subtitlesareessential).Viewabilityisquestionable,asusersscrollquicklypastthecontentbeforeitevenloads.Theresultofthisislowerviewingcompletionrates.
Despitethis,Facebookstillearnsenormousrevenuefromvideoadvertising,becausetheaboveissuesareoffsetbythesheerscaleofitsplatforms’reachanditstargetingcapabilities,whicharestillstreetsaheadofthecompetition.
IF FACEBOOK IS GOING TO COMPETE EFFECTIVELY IN THE LONG RUN, ITS APPROACH TO VIDEO NEEDS TO EVOLVE.
1.InstagramUserGrowthintheUSWillDroptoSingleDigitsFortheFirstTime,eMarketer,January2020
2.Instagramrevenue,Statista,20193.Coreestimates,20194.TikTokClocks1.5BillionDownloads,SensorTower,November2019
5.GlobalWebIndex,20196.SocialNetworkingTracker,Ipsos,December2019
25
ERA,CHALLENGES
Thenextdecadepresentscountlessexcitingopportunitiesforaudioandallsignspointtothetransformationofitsroleinthemedialandscape.Whilewearenotyetanaudio-firstsociety,aboomingaudiolandscapeawaitsus.
SincethearrivalofApple,brandshavelargelyfocussedonvisualidentitiesinamulti-screen-dominatedera.Thenexttrendwillbethescienceofsoundwithadistinctfocusonsonicidentities.
Aninterestingquestiontoconsidernowisnotwhatyourbrandlookslike,butwhatdoesyourbrandsoundlike?Consumerbehaviourischangingatanunprecedentedrate,andas‘voicesearch’growsstronger,brandsmustoptimisealltouchpoints.
Today,Irelandcontinuesitsloveaffairwithaudio,with3.15millionadultlisteners(81%)tuningintoradioonatypicalweekday.1
Evenamongstthemorevolatileandharder-to-reach15-34-year-oldmarket,71%listendaily.2However,evenwiththesestrongaudiencefigures,itisfairtosaythatradio,oraudioaswenowknowit,doesn’tcommandenoughattentioninthemarketingmix.
Ifwetakeradioinisolation,theseareimportantstatistics,whichdemonstratethateveninamarketwithsomanyemergingandgrowingmediaplatforms,traditionalmediacanstillcommandaudienceattention.
Fiona Field Deputy Managing Director MEDIAWORKS
AUDIO
26
CREATIVE INVESTMENT
Investinginthecreativeprocessisanabsolutemustforradioadvertisingtoachieveitspotential.Thiscanonlybeachievedbyplayingtothestrengthsofthemediumbyusingtherightstory,soundandproductionelements.
Itisfairtosaythatwhilevideoiscertainlynotkillingtheradiostar,thecontinueddominationof‘termsandconditions’inadvertisingandbelow-standardproductionvalueshavecastashadowoverthepowerandpotentialofradio,particularlyintermsofcreativity.
Radioranksasthesecondmostpowerfulmediumintermsofitsabilitytotriggerapositiveemotionalresponse,andanopportunityexiststounlockthispotentialthroughcreativity.3
SONIC IDENTITY AND AUDIO STRATEGIES
Ifthelastdecadewasdominatedbyvisualidentity,thenextdecadewillplacealargefocusonaudiostrategiesandsonicidentity,notleastbecauseofthegrowingpartmusicplaysinthelivesofourGenZconsumers,theriseinvoicesearchandthepowerofaudio.
Thesmartbrandswillpayattentiontotheirsonicidentityandhowthisscalesacrosseverytouchpoint,fromtheircallcentrestotheirradioadstotheirbrandedaudiocontent.
Mastercardisacaseinpoint;havingdroppedtheword‘Mastercard’fromitslogo,ithassinceunveiledanewsonicbrandidentitytoleveragetheconnectionbetweenthebrandandtheconsumer.HSBChasdonethesame;itcommissionedJean-MichelJarretocreateanewmelodythatwouldmakethebank’scommunicationsinstantlyrecognisable.Furthermore,BMWpaidOscar-winningfilmcomposerHansZimmertodesignthesoundofitsotherwisesilentelectricvehicles.
ENVIRONMENT IS KEY
Moretechnology,moretargetingopportunitiesandmorepersonalconnectionsallpointtoagrowingneedtodevotemoreattentiontoleveragehowpeoplelisten,withamessagethatfitstheenvironment.
Toooften,advertisersapplyaone-size-fits-allapproachtoaudio,andtheyriskirritatingtheiraudience.AUSstudyin2019showedthataudioadsonmusicstreamingservicesorpodcastsrankedasthethirdmostannoyingelementwith47%agreeing.4
Advertisersmustpayattentiontohowandwheretheconsumerlistensandserveaudiothatiscomplimentaryratherthandisruptive,payingparticularattentiontothefrequencyatwhichitisdelivered.
MEASUREMENT OF DIGITAL AUDIO
Whilethenumberofpodcastsavailablecontinuestogrow,audiencesremainrelativelylowcomparedtootheraudioformatsandtheresearchvaries.In2019,JNLR(JointNationalListenershipResearch)reportedthat9.3%ofadultsinIreland‘listenedtoanymusic/audiofromapodcastinthelastweek.’5
Likeotherdigitalplatforms,therearesignificantchallengesinrelationtomeasurementofdigitalaudio.Mostplatforms
nowallowthirdpartyverificationofadvertising,butmarketersareunabletoindependentlyverifyactuallistenstosponsoredaudioorvideocontent.
Allplatformssitbehindwalls,meaningtheyself-reporttheiraudiencenumbers.Thiscontrastswiththeradioindustry,whichhastheJNLRtoverifylistenershipacrossallstations.
Digitalisrifewithcontroversiesaroundself-reporting,so,forthisindustrytogrow,anindependentbodyortoolneedstobecreatedtoaddressthelackoftrustthatcurrentlyexists.
MAXIMISING POTENTIAL BEYOND AUDIO
Pushingtheboundariesofradioisexcitingandisnowstartingtogaintraction.2FM’sfirstlivebreakfastbroadcastsimultaneouslyshownontheRTÉplayerwasevidenceofthis,andthemagictrulyhappenswhenthemediaowner,clientandagencycollaborate.Butwhatnext?
Astheaudiomarketchanges,wemustconsiderhowdigitalaudioadsshouldevolve.OnesuchinnovationistheShakeMe™format,whichinviteslistenerstoshaketheirphonesinordertopursueanactionrequestedintheaudioad(suchasacoupon,testdrive,furthercontent).
Clevertechnologysuchasthisenablesconsumerstoengageeasilywithapositiveexperience.Otheremergingaudioformatsnowhavethefunctionalitytomarryadvertisingwiththeperson’sindividualmusicpreferences.
Audioisundergoinganinterestingtransformation,andwhilewemustembracenewtechnologiesandcontinuetotestandlearn,wemustalsorememberthoselargeaudiencesthatradiostationscontinuetodeliver.
Wemustconsiderhowpeopleinteractwithdigitalaudioandusecomplementarymethodstoengage,ratherthandisrupt(andpossiblyirritate)listeners.
Asaudiocontinuestoevolve,thistransformationpresentsnewopportunitiesforbrandstocapitaliseontheirpoweranddevelopaudiostrategiesandcontentthatplaytotheemotionalimpactofthemedium.
DIGITAL IS RIFE WITH CONTROVERSIES AROUND SELF-REPORTING; AN INDEPENDENT BODY OR TOOL NEEDS TO BE CREATED TO ADDRESS THE LACK OF TRUST.
1.JNLRJanuary–December20192.Ibid3.Re-evaluatingMedia,Ebiquity,2018
4.BizrateInsights,eMarketer,July2019
5.JNLRJanuary–December2019
27
Fromcompulsoryredundanciestothecontinuedchallengeposedbydecliningprintrevenues,2019wasadifficultyearformanyIrishpublishers.
Despitethis,theindustrycontinuestoexcelwhereitmatters–inproducingqualityindependentjournalism-asevidencedbytheworkcelebratedattheannualNewsBrandsIrelandJournalismAwardsinNovember.Thewinningworkhighlightedtheimportantimpactthatgreatqualityreportingandwritingcandeliver.
Thisyear,theawardscategoriesalsoshowcasedexcellentoutputacrossdigitalchannels.Therecognitionoftheimpactofdigitalformsofjournalismisimportantandwillbeintegraltotheindustry’ssurvival.
Forinstance,intheUK,theGuardianannouncedin2019thatitmadeanoperatingprofitforthefirsttimeintwodecades,withitsrevenuegrowthattributedtofactorsincludinganincreaseindigitalrevenuesandincreasedreadercontributions.
I D P N E T N E E D N
F RE
THE VALUE
OFA
AND
PRESS
Hannah-Louise Dunne Head of Content Partnerships CORE
NEWSMEDIA
28
Globally,TheNewYorkTimeshassetastandard.ByclearlyshowcasingthevalueofitspremiumqualityreportingintheTrumpera,itnowhas5.25milliondigitalandprintsubscribersinachallengingadvertisingrevenuemarket,justoverhalfwaytoitsdigitalsubscriptiontarget.6
Withameteredpaywall–readersareallowedaccesstoacertainnumberoffreearticlesonlineeachmonth–TheNewYorkTimes’soutputhasevolvedbeyondtheboundariesoftraditionalnewsjournalism,andnowincludesprojectssuchasheavily-subscribedpodcasts,docuseriesandinvolvementinfeature-lengthdocumentaries.
AcrosstheIrishnewssector,TheIrishTimes,TheBusinessPost,TheCurrencyandIndependent.ie–withitsrecentlaunchofasubscriptionmodeltoaccesspremiumcontent–areamongstthepublicationscommittedtogrowingtheirrespectiveaudiencesofdedicatedpayingdigitalsubscribers.Inthesetransformativetimes,successwillrequirecommitment.
Newspublishersmustinvestintestingdifferentwaysoftellingstoriesandreachingaudiences.Whatevertheform,quality
mustbeimbuedthroughouttheoffering,withsharpjournalisticinstincthonedandtranslatedacrosseverytouchpoint.
Thisyear,debatearoundpublicinterestjournalismmustamplify.Premiumservicesarelikelytoattractasmallerdedicatedaudienceofreadersandwillrequireconsiderableinvestmenttosucceed.Asaresult,itislikelythatnewsorganisationswillhavefewerresourcestoinvestinstoriesofnationalimportance,andthesestoriesmaynotbeavailabletoall.
Whothenwillfundpublicinterestjournalism?Currently,thisresponsibilityissharedbetweenourpublicservicebroadcasterandtherestoftheindustrybutwillrequireconsiderableinvestmenttocontinue.IntheUK,TheCairncrossReviewmaderecommendationslastyear,coveredinOutlook2019,whichincludedacallfordirectsupportfromGovernmenttofundpublicinterestjournalism.
HereinIreland,wehavealsocalledforasimilarreview.Bigtechplayerswhobenefitfromtrafficgeneratedbyexcellentjournalismmustdomoretosupportthispartofthe
industry,particularlyinlocalnewsorganisations.
Finally,theadvertisingindustryalsohasaroletoplay,andshouldcontinuetosupportthenewssectorthroughappropriateadvertisinginvestmentandadriveforexcellenceintrustedbrandedcontent.
Insum,whilethefutureisyetunwritten,theoutcomewilldependonthededicationofboththewidermediasectorandreaderstovalueandrespectthepoweroftrulyvaluablejournalism.Thenewssectorinturnmusthonourthisbydeliveringquality,incisivejournalismacrosseveryaudiencetouchpoint.
Oneoftheearlyadoptersofdigitalasaplatformtoextenditsjournalisticoutputs,theGuardianmaintainsastrongfocusonleveragingdigitalandsocialtoengagereaders.
TheGuardian’sapproachhaspaidoff;inanAugust2019report,itrevealedthatUKprintadvertisingaccountedforjust8%oftotalincome.1WhileanearlierreportinMay2019revealedthepublicationhas655,000monthlysupportersacrossbothdigitalandprint–withanadditional300,000peoplemakingone-offcontributionsinthelastyear.2
Thisishearteningnewsandshowcasestheimpactwhenreadersrespectandrecognisetheimportanceofexcellentjournalism.
Ina2018pieceinTheWashingtonPost,whichdiscussedthefutureofprintjournalism,DouglasMcLennanandJackMileshighlightedtheconsequenceofafuturewheretheimportanceofanindependentpressthatfocuseson‘bootsontheground’journalismisnotrecognised.3
Withlocalnewspaperslesssuccessfulindrivingrevenuefromdigital,thewritersvoicedconcernforafuturewhere
smalleroperationsclose,leavingstoriesthatchallengecontemporarysocietyandpoliticsundiscovered.
HereinIreland,publicinterestreportinghasshonealightonstoriessuchastheTuamMotherandBabyHomescandalandcorporategovernanceissuesattheFAIinrecentyears.Clearly,theIrishnewsmediasectorplaysacrucialroleininformingIrishpeopleofimportantissuesthroughdigital,printandsocialchannels.
Currently,audienceinterestinnewsremainshigh.ResearchconductedinDecember2019byCorerevealedthatnewsisofkeeninteresttoIrishadults,with55%ofparticipantscitingitasoneoftheirtopthreeinterestareas.4
Butwidespreaddebateandcoverageofthefakenewsphenomenonhashadanimpact.Trustinreportingoffactsacrosswebsitesislowwith44%ofpeoplesurveyedindicatingconcernaroundthis.
However,informedcontentappeals.60%ofIrishadultssurveyedconfirmedtheystillreadlong-formcontentwhenatopicisofinteresttothem.
Trustandqualityarepoisedtotakecentre-stageinthefuture,aspublishersfocusonintegratingdigitalattheheartoftheiroffering.
Acrosstheworld,acautiouslyoptimisticmoodisevident.IntherecentReutersJournalism,MediaandTechnologyTrendsandPredictionsreport,73%ofrespondentssaidthattheyfeelconfidentabouttheircompany’sprospectsin2020.5Butthereisarecognitionthatthefuture–andpresent–willlookverydifferenttothepast.
Whileprinttitlesremainanimportantadditiontothesector,sustainedfuturegrowthliesinastreamlineddigital-firstoperation.Andherethechallengeistwofold.
Firstly,todriverevenuesuccessfullyacrossdigital,publishersmustshiftgearsandmovefromgeneratinganendless24/7contentcycleto,insteaddeliverapremiumofferingforreaders.
Secondly,readersmustinturnseethevalueinthiscontentandevenmore,bewillingtopaytheprice.
TRUST AND QUALITY ARE POISED TO TAKE CENTRE-STAGE.
1.GuardianBrokeEvenLastYear,ParentCompanyConfirms,TheGuardian,August2019
2.GuardianBreaksEvenHelpedbySuccessofSupporterStrategy,TheGuardian,May2019
3.AOnceUnimaginableScenario:NoMoreNewspapers,TheWashingtonPost,March2018
4.CoreResearch,December20195.DigitalNewsProject,ReutersInstituteandUniversityofOxford,2020
6.TheNewYorkTimesTops5MillionSubscriptionsasAdsDecline,NewYorkTimes,February2020
29
Aileen McDaid Director of Digital Planning SPARKFOUNDRY
Theyearis1994andapluckyupstartofadigitalbanneradboldlyasksinternetusers,‘Haveyoueverclickedyourmouserighthere?–YOUWILL!’Atthesametime,itsdistantcousin,theoutdoorbillboard,sitsstoicandcalmwithouttoomanytricksupitssleeve.
Fastforward26years,andthesedistantrelativescouldbemistakenfortwinsduetoallthestrikingsimilaritiestheynowpossess.Bothmediahavearangeandcomplexityofspecs.Thereareover40sizesofonlinebannertochoosefrom,butout-of-home(OOH)trumpsthiswithawhopping
84differentformatsduetothewiderangeofstandard,digitalandambientdisplaysavailable.1
Inadditiontotherangechallenge,thereisamismatchbetweenperceptionandrealitywhenitcomestohowquicklyOOHanddigitalbannerassetscanbeimplemented.
Thereisaperceptionthatanythingdigitalcanbeimplementedimmediately;however,thelayersoftrackingandtestinginvolvedtodayhaveswollenlead-timesfromhoursintodaysinsomecases,withthelikesofYouTuberequiring72hoursforitsowncopyreviewprocessalone.
AnadditionalsimilaritybetweenthesemediaisthatneitherOOHnordigitalbannershaveacaptiveaudience.‘Bannerblindness’emergedasanissuewithonlineadvertisinglessthanfiveyearsaftertheintroductionoftheformat.
ThesamecanbesaidofOOHwheretheaudienceisliterallytravellingpasttheadvertisements,oftenwiththeirattentionfocusedontheirsmartphones.
OUT-OF-HOME
30
A DRAFT EU PAPER PROPOSES A BAN ON THE USE OF FACIAL RECOGNITION IN PUBLIC PLACES FOR UP TO FIVE YEARS.
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION
Forallthesimilaritiesthatmakethemcomplex,therearealsosimilaritiesthatbindthesemediaintheireffectiveness.Outdooristheultimatelocation-basedmedium,butwhenlocation-basedoptionsbecameavailableonlinethroughIPanddevicetargeting,thisbecameaneffectivenessgamechangerfordigitalbannersonmobiledevices.Proximitytargetingcreatedsynergiesbetweenthetwomediaatthispoint,while‘quickresponse’(QR)and‘nearfieldcommunication’(NFC)technologybroughtthemclosertogether.
CHALLENGES TO OVERCOME
OOHhasalwayshadamajoradvantageoverdigital;itisinthephysicalworldandcanbeheldtangiblyaccountable.ButwiththeadventofdigitalOOH,theproportionofdigitisedinventoryisexpectedtoincreaseto30%ofOOHrevenuein2020intheRepublicofIreland.2
Nowthatfixedpostersitesarestartingtobeconvertedtoscreen-basedadrotationdisplays,thereisaneedforthesedigitalOOHunitstoembracethesameaccountabilityrequirementsasonlineadvertising.
Websitebanneradshavebeenchallengedbyquestionablevisibilityclaimsinthepast,and,tocombatthis,viewabilityisnowastandardmetricindigitalbuying.Todate,thestandardforOOHreportinghasbeensurvey-based,somodernisationisneeded.
THE FACIAL RECOGNITION DEBATE
TherelaunchoftheJointNationalOutdoorResearch(JNOR)willbringsomeimprovementinthemetricsassociatedwithOOH,butotheroptionssuchas‘Glimpse’and‘Quividi,’whichuseliveimagerecognitiontoquantifyviews,arealsoavailable.
Therearesomeexamplesofimpactfulusesofthistechnologyinadvertising;themostfamousbeinga2015campaigntoraiseawarenessofdomesticviolenceintheUK.
Thecampaignwascalled‘lookatme.’Theposterdepictedawomanwithabruisedfacethatactuallychangedandhealedaspassers-bystoppedandlookedattheimage.Theposterusedfacialrecognitiontechnologytonotewhenpeoplepaidattentiontotheadandgraduallyalteredtheimageasthenumberofpeopleincreased.
Thistypeoftrackingisnotonlyusefulinquantifyingaudiencenumbers;itcanalsobeusedtopersonaliseadvertising,anditisthisuseofbiometricdatathathascausedmuchdebate,becauseitinvolvestheuseofourfacestoestimateourage,genderandwhetherwearehappyorsad.Thisraisesobviousethicalconcernswhichdeserveourattention.
Theuseofimagerecognitiontechnologyinoutdooradvertisingisenticingformarketers,butweneedtoexercisecaution,whichiswhythecurrentprovidersinsistitis‘facialdetection’asopposedto‘facialidentification’technology.
Thisisimportantnotjustbecauseofbasicprivacyconcernsbutbecauseofclaimsthatthetechnologyisinherentlybiased;forinstance,ithasbeenshowntobeproblematicwhendistinguishingraceandgender.3
Naturally,theindustryisalwayslookingforthe‘nextbigthing’toboostadrevenueandultimatelyincreaserelevance,whichinturnreduceswasteofadspend.Thisisunderstandableinanuncertainadvertisinglandscape,butregulationofthistechnologyisessential.EvenMicrosoftsupports‘agovernmentinitiativetoregulatetheproperuseoffacial-recognitiontechnology,informedfirstbyabipartisanandexpertcommission.’4
CompaniesthatuseimageprocessingwithdigitalOOHclaimcompliancewithGDPR,becausenoimagesarerecorded,butgiventheuncertaintieswiththistechnology,weshouldtreadcarefully,andthisviewseemstobegrowinginEurope.AdraftEUpaperonthesubjectproposesabanontheuse
offacialrecognitioninpublicplacesforuptofiveyearswhilepolicymakersgettogripswiththetechnology.
BLENDING THE TWO
Inthemeantime,digitalOOHallowsforampleopportunitytobuyeffectivelyandefficientlyviaothertechnologicalmeans.Thereispotentialtoincreasetherelevanceofadvertisingthroughdatathatcanbeuseddynamicallytofuelcreativethattriggerscopychangestoreflectthetimeofday,dayofweek,changesintheweather,breakingnews,etc.
However,wemustnotforgetthat70%ofsitesintheRepublicofIrelandarenon-digital,andtheseformatswillcontinuetodelivermostofthereachandimpactinthemediumterm.Therehasbeencontinuousinvestmentinupgradingoutdoorsitesinrecenttimes,includingthegrowthofbacklit48-sheetsandtheongoingredevelopmentofbusshelters.Thismeansthatthemediumhasneverlookedbetter.
Themediaplanner’sjobistoadviseclientsonthebestblendofthetraditionalandthenewtoachievetherightcombinationofreachanddynamism.
Ultimatelyhowever,itiscreativebraveryandanintricateknowledgeofhowtouseeachformatthatdeliversrealsuccess.Thesetooarequalitiesthattheonlineandout-of-homeworldshaveincommon.
1.PML,20202.Ibid3.TheMajorConcernsAroundFacialRecognitionTechnology,Forbes,September2019
4.FacialRecognitionTechnology:theNeedforPublicRegulationandCorporateResponsibility,Microsoft,July2018
31
Inthepasttenyears,thenumberofletterspeoplereceiveinIrelandhasfallenbyhalf.1Despitethis,oneaspectofcustomerbehaviourhasbeenrevived–theanticipationofreceivingapostaldelivery.Whilecustomersmaynowreceivefewerbirthdaycardsorbillsinthepost,therehasbeenasignificantincreaseinreceivingpackagesandparcels,asonlineshoppinggrowsinpopularity.
Attheendof2019,AnPostreportedthatthenumberofparcelshandledbythecompanyhadincreasedby40%sincethepreviousyear.1
Thisincreasereflectsthemassadoptionofonlineshopping,witheverythingfromclothestoshavingsoapincreasinglyboughtonline.Peoplenowlookforwardtoopeningtheirpost-boxesanddoorstoreceivetheseitems.
Duringthesameperiod,useofdigitalcommunicationchannelsgrewexponentially,andmanypredictedthedemiseofphysicalpost.However,whilepeoplemaynolongersendasmanylettersastheydidinthepast,thenextgenerationofcustomersstilllookforwardtoreceivingitemsinthepost.
Thisbehaviourhasevenledtoanewphenomenon–‘unboxing.’YouTubeispopulatedwith‘unboxing’videos,wherepeopledocumentthemselvesopeningapackagefromaboxandthendisplaying,reviewingandshowingoffitscontents.
84%ofUSadultsunder40yearsofageclaimthey‘taketimetolookthroughtheirmail,’oftenanticipatingthearrivaloftheirmostrecentonlinepurchase2.Thismoment,inthehome,isaprimepointtoengagecustomers,butwhenbrandsusedirectmailtheymustactwithrelevance,respectandtheymustdelightthecustomer.
Emer Lawn Deputy Managing Director STARCOM
PEOPLE ARE
LKINGFORWARDTO RECEIVING POSTAGAIN
DIRECTMARKETING
32
Unlikeothermassmedia,directmarketingcanbeusedasanarrowchannel.Datasets,includingMosaic,CSOandgeo-locationcanprovidenicheregionstotarget,whichmayrequiredifferentinsight-ledmessagingtoensurethebrand’srelevancetodifferenttypesofhouseholds.
Thesecondpointtoacknowledgeisrespect.Giventhatpeoplelookforwardtopostanddeliveriesthattheyhaverequestedandboughtonline,itiskeythatbrandsrespectthatdirectmailgoesintosomeone’sprivatehome.
Languageandimageryshouldbesensitivetoachildpotentiallyopeningthepost-box,callstoactionshouldbeunderstandableandpractical,andanypersonalisationshouldbeatanappropriatelevel(e.g.householdtype)andnotseemlikeBigBrotheriswatching.
CONSIDERATION IS REQUIRED
AsoutlinedinOutlook2019,GDPRensuredthatcustomershavegreaterprotectionovertheirprivacyanddatainrelationtodirectmarketing.Thisalsomeansthatmarketersshouldbefarmoreconsiderateofthereasonswhytheyengageindirectmarketingefforts.
Formarketingagencies,thisfocusesgreaterattentiononcreatingthebestcustomerexperience,butmarketersmusttakecarenottointrudeontherecipient’smostpersonalspace–theirhome.
Unlikedigitalexperiences(whichareoftenmobile),directmarketersarevirtuallyguaranteedthattheitempurchasedonlinewillbeopenedinthehome,aplacewherecustomersaremostrelaxedandcomfortable.
AneurosciencestudycarriedoutinCanadarevealedthatunlikedigitalstimuli,directmailrequireslesscognitiveefforttoprocess–itiseasierforrecipientstounderstandthekeymessages.3Thesamestudyalsohighlightedthatphysicalstimuli,thatengagemultiplesenses(e.g.ascentedenvelope),canincreasethelikelihoodoftherecipienttakingaction.
Awell-executeddirectmarketingexperiencecanhavegreatimpactonthepotentialcustomer,whileproducingastrongreturnforthesender.
Takeforexamplethenot-for-profit(charity)sectorinIreland,wheredirectmarketingisusedtogreateffect.Accordingtothe‘2into3FundraisingPerformanceReport,’€25ofevery€100raisedinfundingcomesthroughdirectmarketingactivities.
AccordingtoresearchcommissionedbyCharitiesInstituteIreland,directmailisthebestwaytomakedonors‘feelvalued,’with27%ofpeoplesayingtheywouldsignuptoadirectdebitifcontactedbydirectmail.4
Thissectorunderstandsthatdirectmail,whereexecutedeffectively,cancommunicateanemotionalstoryaboutthecause,presentthevalueoftheorganisation’sworkandmotivatethereceivertosignupasaregulardonor.
Fororganisationsandbrandsinvestingindirectmarketing,therearethreeareastoconsiderwhenplanning.Thefirstisrelevance.
REMEMBER – MAIL CAN DELIGHT THE RECEIVER
Lastly,agreatdirectmarketingcampaigncandelighttherecipient.Thecreativeteamworkingontheoverallbrandordirectresponsecampaigncanbringanideatolifeinpeoples’handsandhomesinavarietyofways.
Frompop-upcardstoanunboxingexperience,creativeteamsnowcompeteoverparcelsthatpeopleareexcitedtoreceive,andthereforethechallengeistostandoutanddelight.
Likeallmarketingchannels,planningformeasurementiskey.Usinguniquephonenumbers,websiteURLsoractivationcodescanhelptotracktheeffectivenessofdirectmarketinginvestment.
Finally,in2020,insteadofviewingdirectmailasawaytoreachcustomers,itistimebrandsuseitasanopportunitytostartarelationship.
Integratingdigitalelementssuchasuniquecustomerwebexperiencesandcustomerrelationshipmanagementtools(e.g.IntercomorHubSpot)
willmovedirectmailintothefuture,ensuringalong-termcustomerrelationshipratherthanaone-offtransaction.
1.PacktotheFuture,fora.ie,December2019
2.ALookatHowMillennialsRespondtoDirectMail,USPostalService,2017
3.ABiasforAction,CanadaPost,2015
4.DonorInsights,CharitiesInstituteofIreland,March2017
ANTICIPATION HAS LED TO A NEW PHENOMENON – ‘UNBOXING.’
Core’sentryintheAnPostDirectChallenge2019
33
Despitestrongforecastsforthenationaleconomy,weexpectanotherchallengingyearforthemediamarket.Weanticipatethattheshort-termandvolatilenatureofadvertisinginvestmentwillcontinue.Ourforecastsdonottakeaccountofthecoronaviruscrisis,becauseitistooearlytounderstanditspotentialimpact.
IrelanddoesnotenjoythegrowthlevelsinadvertisinginvestmentexperiencedbyothercountriessuchastheUSandUK.ThosemarketsbenefitfromsubstantialspendbythetechgiantsincludingFacebook,Amazon,AlphabetandNetflix.
Itisthisactivity,plusinvestmentfromothermajorinternet-reliantbrands(likecomparisonandbookingwebsites)thatcontributetogrowthlevelsintheselargermarkets.
AttemptstounderstandthesizeoftheIrishmediamarketandtrackanytrendsremaindifficult,withverydifferentnumbersreportedacrossthemarket.Lastyear,wetookpartinanindustryinitiativetoimprovewaysofmeasuringinvestment,butitdidnotbuildthenecessarymomentum.
Wehaveinvitedtheindustry’srepresentativebody(IAPI)tore-establishthiscommitteein2020sothattogetherwecancreateamoreformalframeworkfortrackingadvertisingspend.
Asreportedinlastyear’sOutlook,wedonotsuggestthattheadvertisingrevenueofeachindividualmediaownerbepublished–thatisunnecessary;whatisnecessaryisanaccuratebreakdownoftotalspendbymedium.
Anindependentthirdparty(i.e.,anaccountancyfirm)couldfacilitatethis,whileprotectingtheconfidentialityofcompany-levelinformation.
Anindustry-widepushtoaddressthisissuewouldprovideareliablevaluationofthesizeofthemarketandwouldbeanimportantproofpointoftransparencyandcooperationatatimewhentrustinthemediaindustryisatalowebb.
Eddie O’Mahony Chief Investment Officer COREINVESTMENT
Colm Sherwin Managing Director COREINVESTMENT
INVESTMENTADVERTISING
IRELAND DOES NOT ENJOY THE SAME GROWTH LEVELS AS THE US AND UK.
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
1037.9
210.6
210.3
215.6
2018
1051.72019
1069.8
2020 (F)
ROI NITotal Spend (€M) Source:CoreEstimates
IncludesmediasponsorshipsandexcludesdirectmarketingAverage2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
INVESTMENT
34
WE EXPECT TOTAL MEDIA SPEND IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND TO GROW BY 1.7% TO €1.07 BILLION IN 2020.
SPENDTOTALMEDIAAccordingtothelatestCentralBankquarterlybulletin,theIrisheconomygrewby5%in2019.1However,thisperformancedidnottranslatetoabuoyantmediamarket.Weestimatethattheoverallmarketincreasedbyjustover1%,recordingaspendof€1.052billion.
WhileBrexitconcernshaveeasedsomewhat,webelievethatthemediamarketintheRepublicofIrelandwillremainsluggish,withgrowthofjust1.7%to€1.07billionin2020.
Ashasbeenthetrendoverthelastnumberofyears,onlinespendwilldrivethisgrowth.Theofflinesegmentofthemarketwilldeclineagainin2020,falling4.1%to€503million.
NorthernIrelandexperiencedaslightdeclineinexpenditurein2019.Weestimatethatoverallinvestmentfellbyjust0.2%to£184.6million(€210.3m).
Growthwillreturnthisyear;governmentspendingaccountsfor50%ofthemarket,andtherecentresolutiontothepoliticalimpassewillhaveapositiveimpact.Weestimategrowthof2.6%to£189.3million(€215.6m).
Itshouldbenotedthatifthecoronaviruscontinuestogathermomentumitwillputdownwardpressureonthisandallotherforecasts.
35
1.Q1Bulletin,CentralBank,2020
TELEVISION
2019wasatoughyearfortelevisionrevenue.Spendfellby4.7%to€210.9million.Thisdeclinewasdrivenbyspotadvertising,whichcontractedforthesecondyearinarow.Anincreasingshareofbudgetsfollowedaudiencesontoonlineplatforms,andthatwasthekeyfactorbehindthedeclineinspend.
Weanticipatethattelevisionadvertisingrevenuewilldeclineby2.5%in2020to€205.6millionintheRepublicofIreland.TVwillcontinuetocommandasignificantshareofbudgetsforthetopbrands,butfallingaudiences,inflationandchangingconsumptionpatternswillputdownwardpressureonrevenuefortheforeseeablefuture.SpendwillcontinuetomovetoonlinevideoandtoFacebook,InstagramandYouTubeinparticular.
InvestmentinTVinNorthernIrelandalsofellin2019.Itdroppedby3%to£75.0million(€85.4m).
ThiswasslightlydeeperthanthedeclineintherestoftheUK,whichsawTVrevenuefallbyjustover1%lastyear.For2020,weforecastslightgrowthinTVrevenueforNorthernIreland,increasingby1%to£75.7million(€86.3m).
ONLINEVIDEO
TheonlinevideomarketcontinuedtoperformverystronglyintheRepublicofIrelandlastyear,increasingby24.5%to€139.4million.Facebook,includingInstagram,accountsforthreeoutofeveryfourEurospentononlinevideoadvertisingintheRepublicofIreland;itsrevenuehasalmostdoubledtoanestimated€105millionoverthelasttwoyears.ThisisdespiteFacebookhavinghigher‘muterates’andlowerviewer‘completionrates’comparedtoothervideoplatformssuchasbroadcasterplayers.Weexpecttoseecontinuedgrowthin2020,andwepredictanincreaseof19.6%to€166.7million.GrowthlevelsforIrishbroadcasterplayerswillberestrictedagainin2020astheystruggletomeetthedemandforinventoryinthemarket.
2018
2019
2020 (F)
ROI NITotal Video Spend (€M)
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
Source:CoreEstimatesAverage2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
221.2 112.0 7.4
88.1 17.6 1.7
210.9 139.4 7.6
85.4 20.4 1.7
205.6 166.7 7.6
86.3 23.4 1.8
TV Online Video Cinema
OnlinevideoadvertisingrevenuesinNorthernIrelandareonasimilartrajectorytotheRepublicofIrelandandUKmarkets.In2019,revenuesincreasedby15.6%to£17.9million(€20.4m).Weexpectthat2020willagaindeliverstrongdouble-digitgrowthof14.7%to£20.5million(€23.4m).YouTubeandFacebookwillcontinuetodominate.
CINEMA
2019wasabetteryearforcinemaintheRepublicofIreland.Advertisingrevenueincreasedby3.6%to€7.6million.Anincreaseinthebrandcountandastrongperformancebyseveralcategories,mostnotablythefinancialcategory,werethemajorfactorsbehindtheincrease.Weforecastthatrevenuewillremainflatin2020.
InNorthernIreland,themarketsawaslightincreaseinspendof1%to£1.52million(€1.73m)in2019.
Regarding2020,theJamesBondfranchise,whichwillreleaseitsnextinstalmentinApril,tendstobenefitfromadisproportionateboostincinemaadvertisingacrossBritainandNorthernIreland,becausebrandstendtosinglethismovieoutforattention.Therefore,weforecasta3%increaseinadspendto£1.56million(€1.78m).
TV SPEND IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND COULD FALL BY 2.5% TO €205.6 MILLION
IN 2020.
VIDEOInvestment:
36
ONLINE
In2019,onlinemediaspendincreasedby7.8%to€526.9millionintheRepublicofIreland.Thisfigureincludessearch,social,classifiedanddisplayspends.Displayisacatch-alldescriptionforonlinevideo,(includingbroadcasterplayers),digitalaudio,email,textandnativeformats.
GoogleandFacebookcontinuetoincreasetheirshareanddominatetheonlinemediamarket.Weestimatethatadvertisinginvestmentlevelswiththesetwocompaniesincreasedbyaround7%and25%respectively,bringingtheircombinedrevenuefor2019toapproximately€425million.Thisrepresentedawhopping81%oftheonlinemarketand40%ofthetotaladvertisingspendintheRepublicofIrelandin2019.
For2020,weexpecttheonlinemarketwillincreaseby7.5%to€566.4million.Google’srevenuewillgrowbycirca6%.Thisisalowerrateofgrowththanpreviousyearsduetothematurityofitssearchbusiness.
Facebook,ontheotherhand(whichincludesInstagram),willcontinuetoseesubstantialgrowthin2020.Weforecast17%growthforthecompanyoverall.Video,whichnowaccountsformostofitsrevenue,isdrivingthisincrease.
ThedominanceoftheduopolyhasasignificantimpactonthebudgetsavailabletoIrishonlinepublishers.Weestimatethatthesliceofthedisplaymarket(includingvideoonthebroadcasterplayers)thatisavailabletoIrishpublisherswasworthjust€62.5millionin2019,andwebelievethiswilldeclineby7%to€58.1millionin2020.
InNorthernIreland,thelevelofonlineadvertisingwasworth£65.3million(€74.4m)in2019,anincreaseof6.1%on2018.Weexpectgrowthtocontinuein2020;totalonlinerevenueinNorthernIrelandisexpectedtohit£69.8million(€79.5m),anincreaseof6.9%.
2020 ONLINE SHARES
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
488.8
70.12018
526.9
74.42019
566.4
79.52020 (F)
ROI NITotal Online Spend (€M) Source:CoreEstimates
Average2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
Search
Social
Display
ClassifiedNote: Online video spends (including broadcaster players) is captured in Social and Display. Video will account for 29.4% of total online advertising (€166.7m) in 2020.
ONLINE SPENDS IN THE REPUBLIC OF
IRELAND COULD INCREASE BY 7.5% TO €566.4 MILLION
IN 2020.
31.9%
48.8%
13.4%
5.9%
37
Investment:
In2019,theradiomarketcontinuedtofeelthepressure.Weestimatethatadvertisingrevenuesfellby6%to€110.5million.Asinpreviousyears,demandforradiosponsorshipassetsremainedstrong;itwasweakerdemandforspotadvertising,bothnationallyandlocally,thatcontributedtothedecline.
In2020,weanticipatefurtherdeclinesasinflationarypressuresinothermedia,suchasTV,willdrawrevenueawayfromradiotoshoreupvideoadvertisingbudgets.Therefore,webelievethatinvestmentinradioadvertisingwillfallby6.4%intheRepublicofIrelandto€103.4million.Digitalaudio(podcastsandonlinestreaming)isstillinitsinfancyandwillcontinuetogrow.Weestimatethatdigitalaudiowillbevaluedatapproximately€5millionin2020—anincreaseofover20%year-on-year.
ThemarketinNorthernIrelandcontinuestobenefitfromtheincreasedradiospendexperiencedacrosstheUKoverthelastfewyears.However,growthin2019waslowerthanoriginallyforecast.Weestimatethatthemarketgrewby1.2%to£14.5million(€16.5m).Thisreflectstheweaker-than-anticipatedperformanceintherestoftheUKwherespendonlyincreasedby2%in2019.Weforecastanincreaseofjustunder1%in2020to£14.6million(€16.6m).
AUDIOINVESTMENT OVERVIEW
117.6
16.32018
110.5
16.52019
103.4
2020 (F)
ROI NITotal Radio Spend (€M) Source:CoreEstimates
Average2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
RADIO SPEND IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND
COULD FALL BY 6.4% TO €103.4 MILLION
IN 2020.
Note: Above spends are for radio only. Digital audio spends are captured in the online section of this report. See page 37.
38
Investment:
16.6
NEWS MEDIA
Therewasnolet-upinthedownwardpressureonadvertisingspendintheprintsectorlastyear.BothpartsofIrelandexperienceddouble-digitdeclinesinrevenueonceagain.
IntheRepublicofIreland,totalinvestmentinprintadvertisingfellby12.3%to€105.1million.Weestimatethatadrevenueacrossthenationaltitlesfellby11.9%to€85.3million.Thisperformanceiscompoundedbythelossofotherrevenuethroughfallingcirculationsandadigitalmarketthatwasflatyear-on-year.Weestimatethatdigitalrevenueswereintheregionof€24.5to€25.5millionlastyear.Theregionalprintmarketperformedmarginallybetter;butwebelievethatspendwasstilldownbycloseto10%.
TheUEFAEuropeanFootballChampionshipsandTheOlympicsmayoffersomeopportunitiestogeneratemuch-neededrevenuein2020.However,wepredictthattheRepublicofIrelandprintmarketwillcontractbyafurther12.3%to€92.2million,withnationalnewspapersfallingto€75.3million,adeclineof11.7%.
Printadvertisingrevenuesfellby11.4%to£11.6million(€13.2m)inNorthernIrelandlastyear.Wepredictfurtherdeclinesin2020,albeitataslowerrateasgovernmentspendingisexpectedtoimprove.Therefore,investmentinprintadvertisingislikelytofallby7.8%to£10.7million(€12.2m)intheNorththisyear.
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
119.9
14.92018
105.1
13.22019
92.2
12.22020 (F)
ROI NITotal Print Spend (€M) Source:CoreEstimates
Average2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
PRINT SPEND IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND
COULD FALL BY 12.4% TO €92.2 MILLION
IN 2020.
Note: Above spends are for print only. News media digital spends are captured in the online section of this report. See page 37.
39
Investment:
OUT-OF- HOME
IntheRepublicofIreland,theOOHmarketperformedstronglyin2019,recordinga9.3%increaseto€90.7million.DigitalOOHcontinuedtodrivedemandandaccountedforapproximately26%ofadvertisinginvestment,withaspendof€23.6million.Inadditiontothesignificantone-offspendbehindtheFreeNowrebrandlastsummer,thekeygrowthcategoriesincludedretail,foodandtelecoms.
Weareforecastingthattherateofincreasewillslowto4.1%in2020,deliveringaspendof€94.4million.ThePublicHealth(Alcohol)BillrestrictswhatOOHformatsthealcoholcategorycanuse.ThiscameintoeffectfromNovember2019.Itwillresultinlowerspendsforthecategoryandcontributetothelowergrowthlevelsweareforecastingfor2020.WealsoexpecttoseemoreofthealcoholOOHbudgetsmoveintodigitalpath-to-purchaseformatsthisyear.
Digitalwillcontinuetogrow,andweanticipatethatitsoverallsharewillincreaseto30%ofthemarketwithaspendintheregionof€28.3million.
TheNorthernIrelandOOHmarketin2019fellby2.5%to£16.7million(€19.0m).Adeclineinactivityfromtelecomsandenergyadvertiserswasanotablefactor.AsintheRepublic,thedigitalOOHmarketperformedwell.Itaccountedfor28%ofthetotalOOHspend.
WeexpecttheOOHmarketinNorthernIrelandtoreturntogrowththisyear,albeitataslowerratethanthelatestUKforecastsof3.2%.ThetotalOOHrevenuewillgrowto£17.0million(€19.3m),anincreaseof1.5%.LiketheRepublicofIreland,digitalOOH’ssharewillgrowtoapproximately30%thisyear.
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
83.0
19.52018
90.7
19.02019
94.4
19.32020 (F)
ROI NITotal OOH Spend (€M) Source:CoreEstimates
Average2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
OOH SPENDS IN THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND
COULD INCREASE BY 4.1% TO €94.4 MILLION
IN 2020.
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Investment:
SPONSOR SHIP
InvestmentintheIrishsponsorshipmarketcontinueditsupwardtrajectoryin2019butthepaceofgrowthslowed.BothmarketswereheldbackbyacautiousapproachtoinvestmentinthefaceofBrexitandothermacrofactors.
IntheRepublicofIreland,growthreducedfrom12.9%in2018to8%in2019.Weestimatethevalueofthemarketwas€188.9million.
TheNorthernIrelandmarketgrewby5%lastyearcomparedtotheforecasted6.6%.Theoverallspendwasapproximately£12.1million(€13.8m).
In2020,despitetheOlympicGamesandUEFAEuropeanFootballChampionshipstolookforwardto,weestimatethatthepaceofgrowthwillbesimilar,withan8.9%year-on-yearincreaseintheRepublicofIrelandto€205.7million.
LiketheRepublicofIreland,webelievethatthe2020growthlevelsinNorthernIrelandwillbeinlinewiththe2019numbers.Weestimatethattheoverallspendwillincreaseby5%to£12.7million(€14.5m).
2020willchallengemanyrightsholdersasbrandscontinuetoexercisecautionwhile,atthesametime,severalnewsponsorshippropertiesenterthemarket.TheFAI’schallengesaresettocontinueastheorganisationmustnegotiatetherenewalofkeysponsorships.
Onamorepositivenote,investmentinwomen’ssportwillenjoysignificantgrowth,furthercementingsport’sgeneraldominanceofsponsorshipfees.Weexpectanincreaseinvenue-namingrightsofferedtothemarketasIrishmarketersgetmorefamiliarwithhowtoexploitthissponsorshipasset,somethingatwhichtheUSmarketexcels.
INVESTMENT OVERVIEW
174.8
13.22018
188.9
13.82019
205.7
14.52020 (F)
ROI NITotal Sponsorship Spend (€M)
Source:CoreEstimatesAverage2019Euro/Sterlingexchangerateshavebeenappliedtoallyears,tofacilitatecomparison.
INVESTMENT IN SPONSORSHIP IN
THE REPUBLIC OF IRELAND COULD
INCREASE BY 9% TO €205.7 MILLION
IN 2020.
Wepredictsustainabilitywillbecomecentraltomanyinvestmentdecisions,asmorebrandslooktosponsorshipsthatdemonstratesustainabilityinaction.Itisimperativeforrightsholderstoreviewandimprovetheirsustainabilitycredentialsinordertoattractandretainsponsorshipinvestmentin2020.
DespiteDublinhostingfourEuro2020matches,theimpactofthetournamentontheIrishsponsorshipmarketwillbesmallasmostofthedealsaretiedupataEuropeanlevel.Elsewhere,IrishOlympicsponsorsandsponsorsofIrishOlympianswilltakeadvantageofthelong-overduerelaxationoftheinfamousRule40,allowingsponsorsfreedomtoassociatewithathletesduringthegames,thusensuringmoreIrishsponsors,suchasCircleK,cancapitaliseonthesuccessofourathletes.
41
Investment:
OUTLOOK20
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