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A SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN CRM"PI% SY$qnf II THF SEMI-ARID TRbPlCS INFERNAT1 OML CROPS RESEARCH INS71 TUTE PQR TW SEMI4RlD TNwZc# XCRISAT PATAWCHERU P,O, AMOHRA PRAPESW, lW1A 602 fa4

SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

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Page 1: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

A SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~ ~ V E L O P l N CRM"PI% SY$qnf II THF SEMI-ARID TRbPlCS

INFERNAT1 OML CROPS RESEARCH INS71 TUTE PQR TW S E M I 4 R l D TNwZc# XCRISAT PATAWCHERU P,O, AMOHRA PRAPESW, lW1A 602 f a 4

Page 2: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

4 . K . S . Huda and S . M . V i m n i

ABSTRACT

The semi-arid t rop ics (SAT) a rc chr r rc te r lzed by a hlgh c l ima t l c w r t q r demand. The mean annual f ( ~ ~ ~ e r a t u r e Is qre4ter than 18-c 8nd r r l n f r l l exceeds c v r p o t r m s p l r s t l o n f o r on ly 2 to 4) m t h s i n the dry rnd 44 t o 7 months i n m t l d r y SAT. The coc f f l c l en t of v r r f a b i l t t y of r r l n f a l l ranges from 20 t o 30 percent. A l f i r o l r and V e r t i s o l r r r e two n r j o r sol1 types found In t h a w r rass.

The I n t e r d l r c f p l !nary farming s y s t m r rasarrch term rt ICRISAT alms t o develop basic pr inclp1es, rpp rwchc r , rnd m s t h o d o l q l ~ s tha t ,,#n be re rd l l y used I n a l te rna t tva , ccomnrlcal ly v f r b l c frrmlng syrtams In the seasonal l y dry SAT. Dry-smding technology on dccp Vort l s o l s f o r double cropping, a sml l wstcrshed concept fo r land and wtor manrgclrment, and the broadbed-rnd-furrow systcm arc s faw of t h tcchnologiac devrloped so fa r f o r lncrersed crop production. The r fmu la t lon tcchniquo w l l l be useful t o intcgrste I n s h o l l s t l c way a l l aspects o f opcrst lonr l -sca le systms research k i n g ca r t l ed out I n I C R I S A T watcrshcd unl t s , The process-based dynsmic modcls of crop product Ion syrtom i n v o l v l r q sol I , c r w , weather, and management dsta w i l l a l so be valuablc as rcserrch tools fo r anaryzlng the usefulnesr of prospective tschnologles across locat ions. Pre l imlnsry resu l t s obtalncd from a sorghum growth model ind icate that under a glvcn sct of climatic condi t ions the rn r l yse r c w l d ass i s t i n the selection of crop genotypes I n r e l a t i o n t o the mount of water aval lable i n the soi 1 pmfi 1s s t seedlng and t o the runof f c o l l r c - t l o n r v e l labi, i n thc rcscrvo i rs . Slncc sol 1 types and rainfall p r t t a r n r i n the SAT show eonsidcrable loca t ion speclf l c f t y , such analyses w i l l ass is t cansiderably i n der lv ing e s t l m t o o f the crop growing periods and sul tab le cropplng systems.

Page 3: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

A S Y f T E 6 W Y S I S APPRMCH TO OEVtLOP ING CROPP l)rG SYSTFHS I U 11IE SEHl *ARI D tR6Pl CS

A , K , S , Hudr and S . M . Vlrmsni*

P fanning syston i s b r e d on c a y 1 l c r tod intcract Ions of rovorr l physical, b lo logl-

c41, an^. l r ~ c i ~ - ~ w n m ; r c f@ctors thdt include. c l inuta, %or r , crops, o tc . A sul trblco

farming systam i s theroforc uniquc for n locelc nnd d i f f e r s from plrcc to place

wthods of production, and tha crop(%) qrclwn. Farming ~ y s t o m ~ rcsrlrrch should

thcrcforc bc conductad wl th r rccognltlon of and r focus towards thc interdapm-

dencics and intorrelat ionships that cx ls t bctrmcn alcmnto of ths frrmlng Nyrtms,

and bctucen these clomnts and the farm anvironmcnt.

The task of improving frrmlnq rystcms In the semi-arid t roplcr :SAT)- '/ I ,

compl icatcd by thc prcrcencc of several constraints In thor! srors. Thasc include

intznsivc r a i n f a l l intcrspcrsad w l th unprcdictablc draughts, n ra ls t l ve ly short

rainy scason, highly vnrlable r a i n f a l l durinq the rhiny season, hlgh ~vapotr8ns-

p i ra t ion rates throughout thc growing season, low sol l organlc mattor contont,

Iou i n f i l t r a t i o n capacity of so l l s , grcnt water croslon hazard, s m l l fnrms wlth

fraywnted holdings, I i m i tcd cap1 t n l resources, scvcre unomploym@nt durlng ths

long dry season, c tc . Bet-use of these constraints and thc cvcr-prcsent rlsk of

drwght (or f lood), farmers Ere reluctant t o invcr t I n hlgh y l e l d l ~ var iet lcs,

f c r t i l i z c r s , and othcr inputs evcn when nvai lable. Thus unstablc food production

Contribution of the lntcrnrlt ional Crops Research Inst i t u t r for th r Sml-Arfd Tropics ; Journal a r t i c l c Approvnl Hrr. 113. f o r pr rsantat fm n t ln ts rna t fma l Confcrence of Operot ions Research 1 n hgrl cu l turc and Wqtw Reswrccs , Jsrusalar, I srae I , I'ovornber 25-29, 1979. *!igrocl i m t o l o g i s t and Principal Agrocl lnatologist , Intornational Crops l b r u r c h

I ns t i t u te f o r the Semi-Arid Trop ics (ICRISFIT), Pntanchcrru P.O., Andhra Prdesh 502 324, India,

1'~he SAT are chsrectrr lzcd by r man snnufil tonpereturc greater than 18'C and r a i n fa l l that exceeds cvapotrsnrplrotlon f o r only 2 t o 44 m t h s In the dry and 4) t o 7 m t h s i n vet/dry SAT (T ro l l 1965) .

Page 4: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

2

qnd 1~ c m p v l c l d s ere conan i n thc SAT ( K q ~ n o t a t . 1974; m n & lurfotd

lo??'# K Y W , ~ 1979: Urnnta c t a ] . 1974. V l m n i c t rl. 1979) . Frmlng s y c t ~

s c i c n t i s t ~ at thc internat iml Cmps Rrrcnrch lnst i tutc for tho Sml-Arld i m p l o

i f y e ~ l {zed c r r l y t h t ~Inplc caponcnt qpprwchor could not molvo tho

cmlrx vrch! pr . rn~nuntcrcd i n t h a - r .\. Ther~forc t h d r Invcstlgrtlbns

I ~ M ~ V L - 1 1 f l c ~ t s ~f r.50urcc inventory, dryclopmnt, nnnnprnrnt, u t l l lga t lon ,

*18 - 1 1 f q c i 3 ~ i .rwrlvinq crop production i n systems hpprmch, An lntsr-

i t - rccI .', tt,?rl Is cnqlrg~*d In many fnccts of ogarot Ionid-scnls mymtmm

rcsb?rch ( n nt7tu6 P I w ? t k rshi tl wni ts at ICRISAf. Attutnpts a t0 mdo to lncreaw

and s t n b i l i z c ~ g r i c u l t u r ~ l p rduc t lan through improvcd r o l l , wntar, and crop

rnjnqment p r m t lees, Some of t hc t c c h n o l ~ i c ~ dcvc loplad to at t n i n i ncreansed

crop production w i l l tic discu$scd i n thib pnpcr.

Systcms ruscarch relies to F consldcrnble cxtcnt on the usa of madolr

(wright 1971, b ' i x 1979). b d c l s can bc. uscd to intcgratc 811 nspccts of oprra-

t lonal scale systems research In r h o l i r t ic way and to identi fy the w j o r

cotnponentr of the systcm. Bccause mdcls rcprcscnt only thc rclcvnnt fwnturas

of real i ty, they arc rc ln t l vc ly cssy to mnnipulotc. Thcrcfore models w i 1 1 be

useful to evr! !ate the relative poten * , ? I 5 for v ~ r l o u s p r o s p ~ c t l v ~ technologies

dcvclo~cd a t research ccntcrs ocross different ~grac l lmnt ic location^ i n the

SAT. I t ; s ~ n v . I slgLd thnt process-based dynamic crop product ion modcls i nvolving

sol 1-cropurcather-mrvgmnt factors w i I I hc useful as research tools I n devo-

loping systems thnt provide for c f f ic icr r t and productive crop growth I n the SAT,

The watershed-based resource u t l l i ta t ion resenrch conducted at ICRISAT,

thc existing cropping systear in the SAT, and tha use o f laodellnp and slnulatlon

tcchniquc In systenrr research are discussod I n the fo l lwfng pages*

Page 5: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

W,'iTLRSMf 0-6ASED RESOURCE UT t L l ZATl W R f SEARCH

h7jor cOmpOllants of ths tochmlogy thnt was dcvctspcd In watarrhd-brad roraurca

u t I 1 lr<*t ion wscarch include dry rawlnq an dcep Vort isala, runoff col loc t lon find

supglcmntnl i r r i g r t ion, thc broadb~4-;7nd-f~,rrow systarn af cu l t lvht Ion, r t c .

3% s ~ J ! - - ' C + - ..-. \', " t t < o ! $ . . - *.-

Vc'r:isols t-rc on, nf tn., ~ ? j a r . q9i I :yr-. J 'nund n t h c lndl,ln SAT. lhoy hnva law

t b ~ l k dcns i ty nnd hiqh pcorrrity i n t ' r ~ ~ m r ~ r ' r ~ t r liurfacc, lnycrs, the subnal Is

- t c e l r t r m l y hnrd h c n d r y ,*nd v c r f l i t l c k y whcn wct and conrcqusntly rrru d l f f l -

c u l t to t i 1 I . I n I n d l ~ , ncnrly 20 m i l l i o n ha of thcsc $01 1s nru prosantly

fnllowcd during thc rn lny wnaon ( ~ r a n t z c t n l . 1 9 7 h ) . An Imgort8nt fhctor t b t

h-, foci l i tatcd cropping of docp Vcrt l so ls durlng thc rnlny scnrm h8s bsun tho

r i * ) i z n t Inn t h ~ t crc,>s cnn f r rmm I n n t r y icr{!t,~t' short ly nhord of t!,,

~ 7 r l y rains i n arcas whcrc ..roclr I tqt Inn c m n c c s f f i l r l y r c l l r t l y rnll h c r c

thcrc i s a mcl prolt-bl l i ty rrf f o l lowup rnlns tc ensure art# 1 lahncnt nf the

~ ? r m l n a t i n g croi . Cr~py loq thc rnlny scnscn mry r)r*vllc: thc f n m r

w i th n:;.r$rtuni t l c s for tm) c r w s i n ycnr.

R l i n fe l l c o l ' cticm and supplgnwlntnl l r r l g n t l o n

The co l lec t ion of surface runoff during periods of excess r n l n f n l l end Its

S U ~ S ~ Q L - T i J; r r t l g dry periods m)rk idty dc.crcnso thc r isks lnvolvad i n rain-

fed ngr icul turc. * ~ l f i r o l s , mother nwjar so11 type found I n the SAT, have

high bu lk dcns i ty and l o w porosity i n the surfacc layer but below the surface

thcy are o f varinblc texture. These so i l s ore ens i ly c u l t l v a t ~ d when ml8t but

becane vety hard hen dry. Rainfa l l collection and supplemental i r r l g s t i o n

arc pa r t i cu la r l y important on A l f i so la and shallow Vort lsols kcausa of tb l r

l i m l ted watcr retent ion capacity ( large quantf t los of water my b b t 4%

runoff or deep dralnagc during the rainy s e a m ) . On those s d IS, c f w

fmqstmtly su f fe r fm mlstura stress due to dry periods I n ~ h c rally sm%M, "

Page 6: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

4

A p . r t l c u l w -la of the h . b . n t 1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm

i s th rerponw obsama i n the rainy s u m of 1974. wk.n r j0-my dry pr loa

colnclae with the gpreln formtion st-. of sorghum ((CIISAT 1975). A supple-

m t a l i r r f91 on of only S un to sor ,m i n cpra t lan f i ' r a l a nmarch wtar

shorn ir.crorsod y lolas by -1mst I008 over chow I ' r a l n f ~ u craps. Tha g r w 8

v;ltrwl dr LIW ~ncletrars o w to thi, -tar appllcatlcm wl; 27110 h/hs.

Thc oeop Vortlsols rnruly roqulrr tlippllrnontal l r r i ga t l cn for tho rrlny

scarrsw. kwcavur, supplumont4l mtor ~ ; r always bar u8od un n postrainy crop ma

often n ~ocorrd cr tp C,III ba t t . n b t l i ? a o by n srall l n l t l a l quantity of watrr

(Umpen 4 Krfshna 1978).

Brmdbou-sno-f ur row my8 tcms

EstablishmrPnt of s brocrabect-ma-furraw r y r t m w l t h m mpl ltuda of 150 enr ma

fctund t o be ruccassful i n focl 1 1 t a t ing cul t u r d operat lanr control 1 lng sxcrsa

water ( w a n 1979). Tho broadbcd I r about 106-cm wide w l t h a gunkan furrow

of a b c ~ t 50 em, Thu f u r r ~ are grams so thst wstor oischargas ln to gra8sod

wsterwys, which my load to a sms t 1 rur focr rsaervul r. W l th tha broadbaa It

I s por;slbla to plant tun, thna, or four ruws s t 731, 45.1, and fU-cm row #pa-

clngr, raspactively (Flg. l ) . Ccwnpsrtrons uf f l a t plantlng with cu1tlv(lt/on

on brnadbedr arc prascrntrra I n Tatlo 2,. Rasul tr indl umtcu rubatant 161 y la ld

advantsgss of the gradaa t radbea system on map V~,. t lsalr ( ~ m p a n 1979).

Erwlm and runoff are r c la t t vc l y luw I n t h l r system an oesp Vr r t t ro l s b + c d ~ ~ e

tb crlzccss water i s lea o f f a t a m t r ~ l l l e d v ~ l o c i t y In many furrows retblc

than i n cmccintrotoc, s t r e w IKM the s tapest slope. Drainage durlng wt

periws i s aiso f o c i J l tateq.

CROPPIWC SYSTWS I # THE SAT

Severs1 systsrns of cropping such as intercropping, relay erogplng, and t s t m \ cropplrag are being examined m both t h Vertlsols a a Alfllols at ICRIMT.

?.ttaqtts sre k i n g mla t o newlop s y s t o n r thst provldo off lclmt and pmblctlw

Page 7: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

c r g gnrrh fror th. start of tha r d n y r u s m unti l 48 frr Into tho portrrlny

Intercropping Socarno of i t s popular!ty w l th thu p g ~ r a t f@mn ~ r e t l q j In

Gl i n - t a , s c ~ i Is, q n ~ t crryjs arl: tho bul lrllng bluekc f o r l ~ m v l n g tha

cr. f r r i n i ) systems " f n locn l l ty , Sol 1 typor snrt r a i n f a l l pattarns In th, SAT

l l ~ t ~ o l q l o s ~ v a l q d a t ICRlSAT fur Inyrc~vlng ctcy, yruductlon In the SAT

neea t o lo l n t a ~ r a t ~ u ana tertvrcr a t o t h r I rm t i rma of tha SAT batora wholo-

wlcr s m p t l m I n t h s a rugltwrrr, Crop p r m u c t i m s l w l a t l o r , rnooolr that 1.1tI1ito

so i l , cro;,, mather, nncl mnypmcnt factors wf I 1 !w v a l w b l o rosoarch tools In

the f )owla imnt ma entons i on of tochnolvgy,

Systems simulation o f fers a uf stuuylng daclslm problem of famlng

r y s t m taklng In to acwunt the f u l l w()loxlty and uncrr ta ln ty of r ea l l t y ,

Systems analysis rssoarch I s ~ p n e r a l l y c w r i o d out w i t h mooa~ls that, t o vsrylng

datgr-s of p r sc i s im , r lm r l a ta tho rorrl systm. T h klna of mt%l cme should

u t i l l z e daycanas on theG usor's objectives. Tha yurpuso of aor mods1 lng rerorrch

a t ICWlSAT i s :

1. To develop s fmm@wC~k for l n t ~ r a c t i m w i th o t twr ICRISAT progrann and dlsc lp l ines; t a b r lng tagath8r lnformstfocr m differrent aspects of crop granth ma cwm l-nt.

2. To clcwelug a q w t l t a t l w unaerstmoing of crcyl r ~ s ~ s e r to the m v i rommt Imainy to y l e l a predlcticm.

3. To idsntlfy areas khrn qumtftat lue kmuluc~ga i s required to plan altcmstr streteglrr for crsgpyiy), 1- use, snd wator utnsgs#lrlt prscrtclrs.

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5. t.1 s w a t p r l o r l t l o r fo r ~ $ ~ l l l r ~ h an3 drvolupnrrnt that m y n l : ~ In illvaklng crop n u r r r m ~ ~ ~ n t r ~ c l ~ t n r r ~ ,

f7 i m t i f y tho &In: of approach m rkd, l u t i t l t r , d l f f r m t tyy.8

7, , rr.schds has I t s mri tr MI< damr l t ~ e for u ~ ~ I J o , ciJrrmkXI a81Ulpt ~UCIS 1n

s t 3 t l r t i c a l mlimls are not af tan mt, a1tht.wgh thank milwlr urea m r t l y for

growth ,wrd dsrvcllo~lnurt procarsor. P h y r i o l o ~ i c s l w l r hsvu tha gwtmt ia l of

helping us Incroasa wr underatanding about t h ~ b a s k Intetractlcms In tho

sol 1-plant-atmnp)wric system. Hcrwswsr, a aisauvantqr I s that I t ir crt rt.n

d l f f fcul t t o apy l y thore A K X J ~ I S t o large oroas becnuru uf data rcrqui ramnts.

Sorno of these moo~ls ere wry ownplsx I n that t h y at tcny~t to 81mulata thr

v i t a l physlologlcal ptocesrur of ttw plant stop by st of^, Host ryst rnn of

intorest, e,g., soi l water balmat , plant grcmth and mvalupmont atc., ara

dynamic i n nature. We a m therefora convlncec:! that crynarnlc crop growth ~ n o ~ r l a

involv ing roil-cropwather-mana~umnt factors and !ubdjnj t o y l o l d yrscllction

w i l l s u i t wr purpose,

A cans i derab le munt uf l i ng rasaarch has n l ready boon m a urr

wrn. whoat, and rvybeen (~wanscn and ilyonkur l 1979, Huaa 197d, Fvyrrhom

1977). Among the f ivo crops o f in torest to ICRISj41, tmly sorghum her r o a l v r a

sane attentton, ana thus It was m c i m a to w r k on s~ rghun I n l t i r l l y , It

seema aricables to tart the axfsting sorghun mals f o r ~aaptat lm In tb

SAT rather than to oevdcy, new noaels. If tho analyses of thg rwghur -1

sat ls fac tor l l y serve thr pur,pcms out l lneo ear l lo r . then th. w ~ r k vl ll k

wtsndea to other craps faism ln sole or tntarcrouy;lng s#twti~1)1;,

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Sorghum vcmh nodal - Arlrln c t rl. (1976) dcvolcpad n d y n n l c sorghum g m t h nod.1 (SORGf) th t cslcu-

JntLrr 'Q * i7i7c t i ~ ~ y n t h c s l s , r spi r*t Ion , 3nd wnter ,is, th>*lt pro Indapen&ntly

ccn'rut (! -nd uscd o r h d u r r . The yrpc~r l rc ; at It .nvcs, thart t growth rate,

b o c r i t 'ng tbs phy%ialnqlc?l proccss,x rrc o m ~ l r i c d ly dcrivcd fram field nwhsura*

mcntr. 1, gencrnlfzad flaw diagram of SORCF i s glvcn i n Figuro 2 , Tho modal

oparatcs on ,7 dally bnsls find u t l l i z o ~ aol l , crop, wanthrar, nndmrrncrgornont

factors. the input data rcquirod nrc given i n Tnblc 3 .

Tcst l ng SORGF: the S O W mode 1 was coqutar i rod find i # currant 4 v w a l labla

on the I C R I S A T computer syrtsm. The minlmum d ~ t n se t requl red to tcst th is d l

wcrc not rcadily ~ v r l l a h l e nt ICRlSP8T. b v a r , thc mttmrologlcal d8ta that

WIG nw&d to test th is madcl were available for both tho ralny and portralny

seasons of 1978. Aosunpt ions fagarding other input dhtn such a% $01 1 , crop,

nnd mmgcmcnt, ctc., w r e ma& I n consultation w i t h the concernad ICRISAT

rcicntlsts so that ffrst spprawlmatlon rosul t r of tho model ccrn be obtalnad, The

asrunptions are 3 5 follow^ (1) Dotes of sowing wcrc 14 June and 10 October for

rainy and postrniny-reamn crops, r~spoct ivc ly . (2) h p t h of scwrng W 8 S 5 em.

(3) Raw spxing w ~ s 75 cm. (4) Adequrrtc f e r t i 1 l z r r t ion, mod control and other

plant protection wasurcs wcrca undertnkcn. (5) !b i r r lgn t lon msg glvm, And

(6) Crop stand was 180,oo plrmtdha.

Results ohtalncd frm the 1978 rainy season ~ r 6 presented I n Flguro 3.

fhcsc results indicate that mdcr thc c l i m t l c condl tlms a t ICfISA't Center brlng

this t l n e (anaunt of rqinfal l recelvcd during June-Octokr was 1077 n) , 8

sorghm cultivar producing 18-20 loaves with a maturity duration of 90.106 wa

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WSE results nrc r cqsmh ly In Wrwmnt with t k ron l i t y sinco rom of thr beat

cul t i v w r rccarrndcd for t h l r r @ # h tnkc cbwt 100 d y s to nwtun cmd y l d d

In tho ~ o r t r a l n y : rsm, thc c r a ~ thrivrrs r n tho C O ~ S F ~ M ~ prof1 la sol1

FPIE~U~L hence w ~ t r ' r ~ O C O I ~ ~ J thc mqtn j l m l tfng ffictor for crirl, productton.

Thcrcfor," nn r t t c m t war nndc to silnulntc sorghum y l o l d for tho 197fl poctralny

rcosan In response to voryfng Iuvelo af I n i t l ~ l p ro f l lo ,011 m l ~ t u r o . Tha

results n r ~ ! ;~rcscntad i n Tntrle 4. Tho duratlon of gorphun hnd bcltln dsflnrd by

t k numbcr of m ~ x l n n a t leavas u t l l i t o d 8s Input dntn by the model. Tho Input

data r r e 18 and 14 for long and short-durrrt Ion crop9 rospcctlvoly. T h mdel

simrlntions %haw thnt a long-duration crop would trrke npproxlmntoly 94 h y s

to mnturc, uhcreas thc short-duration crop would marturc In 68 days. Thr

rcsul ts Indicate;

1 , Short-durst Ion sorghum y ic lds are higher thnn long-durat Ion sorghum whan nvnl l rb lc so i l wa te r i n root p ro f i le 4 t ra~lng i s only 10 un,

2 . Long-durat ion sorghm y lc ldr nre higher thnn short-durnt Ion sorghum whcn nvnilablc p r o f l l ~ wntcr nt sowing l a 3 15 cm,

3 , Optlmm yields of short-durntioo sogrhun can ho obtnintld w i t , 15-un svol lnhlct xni l w t e t : long-durntlar c r q , yields arc hlghcst with 20-cm ava i lnb lc sol 1 whtcr rt sawing.

Scch ,*n91vq s roulr' bi: us f a l l 1 1 41 v, ldplng r t r s t - 9 1 lc, for r>ptlmlzlng

the use of water (avai lnhlc i n the ooi I prof i le! and I n thc su r f su storqla tanks

s t thc Lrginnlng of thc postroiny sc,qson). Thlr inforiwtlon alonp wlth surface

watershed hydrology data could trc: uscd i n hui ldlng a stachortlc model b a r d

on long-term rnlnfal l obscrvationr for opt imizlng crop productton.

The preliminary simulation results are cncourrglnp, and further testing

including the sensi t iv i ty amlyslr of the adel i s undoway. Tho prrllmlmy

rerults shaJ a need for modtfylng and l o v d o p ? y l subroutlms In ordrr to d t r h

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9

spoclf lc a n m r s udcr the condltlons oncountorad In t r d troplcr In

rn r t i cu ln r . r)lc Rltchla (1972) adel . which has h ~ n u r d In SMkF, Is f m d

to undcrcstimtc thc dai ly ovaporntian ratc frcm thc crop rurfncu a t I C R l S A T

C ~ n t c r . A t t q t s nru Dolng m k to cdculnta dai ly sa i l w$ f i t r r hnlnnco u s l q dnts

on 1 o~en-p%n cvymrat Ion. wI-l l n b l c $01 l wrtor qt ~ n r l n g , watcr s tornw

c-i r c i t y for d i f f l rcnt 1eyr.r~ of sol! p ro f i l k , crop chnrnct~nr l r t icr , a t e .

i t t h ~ prcsunt t ime wc do not hnv~. f l c l d dnt? to c m o r e tho rlmulntlorc

rcsu' t: . fhcr~ for r , I t b c c m rwcosrlry to cnnduct f iolld s r p r r l m k s * 4n o h r to

cot lcct thc crrcnt I q l sets uf ~011, crop. wathcr. nnd mnnngomont d8tn for

tcst lng t k SORCF d c l . II mlt l locntlon coopcrntiw elcpcrtmnt on gorghum n t

17 fcw ~~~~~4 locat ions i n thc S/\T w i 1 l be uscful to modify r w r of the ruh-

mol&cls usod i n SORCF to ndnpt than to s~ccific ragionr. In othcr word; t h e

cxpariwnts w i I1 h d p cxmine thc locnt ion r p w l f l c l t y of tho modcl. Thur frm

1979 owmrds, thu mult i locntlan r xpc r iwn t on sorghum l r hcing canductad n t the

I C R I S A T Ccnter and nt clght athcr ccntk6r$ i n Indin.

CWCLVS I o:rs

Wc. hblic.vc that thc user of modr;ls i n systcms nnnlysls i s canplamntary to the

study of r e d systcms. The sfmulatlon d c l $ that Involve r o l l , e r g , waathar,

~ n d nrc-nagemnt factors have the potent 181 of lntcqrnt lng Informnt Ion aval labls

from f i f f ~ r ~ n t ~ x , ~ ~ r i m c n t s a d idcnt ifying major coqmmntr of tha sylitm.

F i r s t -pproxim~tion answers wf ll bc ohtelncd to such qwrt ions, for onomngle,

as what w i l l happcn to the y i e l d when crop praductlon factors such as date of

swing, dcpth of swing, rm spacing, nvni lnblc so i l wator n t sawing, s a i l

watcr starage -capacity, plant stand, egrocl incrtlc condl t ions, rtc . , are chsngsd,

Field expertaints arc usual ly conducted t o evalunte the effects of thr8s

production factors singly o r i n a comblnatlon, but thsy are tlns-msmlng 8td

expensive. ~ r g &cling rcsearch could help i n ~ y n t h . s I s of sush rp l r la l

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i~(trrrfucinq .W tochnaloglcra into ,.r r w g u of ~ g r o c l l m t f c r l tun t lma , Anrworr

:c, t b . 5 . questions w i l I hclrt ldont i f y thc crqts nr gomtypar w d o d to crbtcrln

1 , , +. ., f * , , v t i c u l n r .?grnclimtlc location, Such sirnul8tion8 w ~ u l d

- : 6% 1 ' * i " < n t i f y imravud t c c h r m l q i c s that w l d hco h s t rui tad for the C~OI)

c! % P f r "hat 1 r 61 1 9 t y . Q n c ~ such qucr t Inns arc uncJutatoad for arro crop, o *Q,,

:,r ryh 4 hi.. c r t i c ~ , C I ~ V ! , ! ! c t:rtr;ndod for ccthcrs to idunt l f y typcrr of crops that

;?rosfuct. c c * r . n t i Idc c o m b i n ~ t i t n s I n bath t lmo nrnd snr)ce fa obtain optlmun y l ~ l d i l ,

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krhin, G.F., 4.L. kcirnatrliy rna J.I, A i t c h i r . I J I b , r"\ dyrlfsruhic ctraIn s ~ r q b r ~ l ~ i qVth , ; t~ L L L C I ~ ~ C ~ . T r a t ~ ~ . &it. S ( ~ L . A t j t i ~ . L r q . I t ) : br"!*b30.

% F i a r ~ i 119 S y s tr*r II H t < ~ e * r r c 1.r SV~iic)rdtrr, I ) / / , A ~ I i nt~jrr 1 ~ 4 I , t t ~ t i u , ~ i F t - b 1 i ) t 1 ,,r"ubjujrt*cq ; I . : ' I t ( FSRP ~f f , \ t t t ~ v 1 1 1 I I , ~ ! I o r l 4 4 I tr [ l i tv i < ~ * ~ f + ~ ~ ~ t . l ,

I 1 I t tt* t . t r t l b ~ 5e101 - I \ I i t1 I rup I 5 .

Kdrnpen, J. . f,lrn3r ns j b j s tc , , , , rc' ,c . ,rr~lr , r i ~ r I t @ * i , t ~ r i ~ ) i ~ r c j y f { ~ t ( 1 1 t .

r r i I t I I r l l r - I r ~ r t t i J r l ~ l C r t ~ p " I ' r , c * * , f * , t r 1 h Ir l* ,t i t u t c f ( r r Llrc Sanri - A r i 'J i r . i , j i L., . P r t ~ c c c t j i r,ql i o f ttrr L ' I I l oilugur , ) t I { I ' I Synyl(j",um, Pattrr~i:ber u, I r r d i , ~ .

&,d61p~n, 3 . I . Jt, t*: r.iatracj mitrinc,t:ficitt J I I ~ ! t cctlr1:r lt,(jy t r l r l a , t c * ~ i r l tttc ~cnri -a : i <: 1 r , w r / r i ~ g , . I l ~ t ~ ~ l ~ i l t I ~ P I I A t C I ( ~ I f * r I(~'L~c.,AT ( 1 1 1 I ~ i * , t i t i l l c ' IIJI t t ~ Semi - & r i u Trl r p i ~ b . P ~ Q L C C U I ncjs of ttce I L R I U ~ 1 I t ~ a t u q u r ~ ~ t ion S y m p ~ s i ~ ~ ~ , Yataneht - ru t l 15d1 , ! ,

Kacnper~, I., ~ J R U J.14. hr i %!mae ljji?. Resourrc. Lc,rl!lcrv411 i ~ m , arrrrraqcfr~nt and use i l l tiic s c l l ~ i - a r ~ a t r t r p i ~ ~ . Funteri~arl ' J O C ~ C ~ ~ 0 1 A q r i ~ u l t u ~ d l Pngir:rer!,, as~srwrrer met ing . Loc)$n, iltaln, USA.

Kampen, J.,drlu J.K. Burfora. 1 Proauction systam.s, soi l rsletsd con5 t rd ints and po ten t ia ls i n the strari-arid troyio w i El! bpvciirt reference to I n d i a . 1~ttcrrcat l ~ r ~ l W C S E J ~ C E " ~ I n s t l tuta . Procee- dings Conference on Friclri t io for Lsl lcc t ing ossi 1 - r e i a t ~ d coclstreintr to fooa prouu~tion in the tropicr. Lo$ banor, Phillipplnrl ( In Press).

Page 14: SYSTEMS &NALYS?S APPROACH TO ~~VELOPlN ...oar.icrisat.org/7798/1/RP 03111.pdf4 A p.rtlculw -la of the h.b.nt1 affact of supplrntrl irrtgatlm is th rerponw obsama in the rainy sum of

Uwp8n, J., end A s $ w i ~ t e ~ $ . 1974. 501 1 w&tcate ennrarvrt ian rna rtlarrrl)slmnt i n Feirnring s y % &mri r w a d t ~ h for the -ar It! t rop ics . I n t c r ~ a t l ~ n a ) Work$hop un Farniinq Sy3tcarrrs. L C H I S A f , Hywrirha, tndlrr,

Ksnw&r, J.S. Icjl""f. Rrscsrrctt 4 t l t R l S A T - An Ovarvicsw. I n t o r t ~ s t l ~ n a I Craps kcscar CFI ins t i cute fur the Saml-At. i a Trop;Flcs, Prnceaaic~ga, of the I C R I S A T InjugrrratFon Synrl,ostum, Prtanchcr'u, Inui;r.

Krrntr, B,A., anu A s w ~ c i d t a s . 1974. Crttppitrg ~ r $ t tcrrr~s f t r" ~ n c r w s i n g and s t a b i l i x i t \ q r n q r i c r ~ l t r ~ r s l pruarrctlcwi in t lm smti*r#rftl 1 r u ) r i ~ ~ . Intar- n a t i ~ r ~ a l work\twp urr Fnrrfilr,cj ~ ~ q ~ t r " ' ; , I L R I S A T , t i y r i ~ r . ~ ~ i ~ , ~ d , I ~ I C I I ~ ,

Maman, J.L. 1914. Ap~3ly lny wtaoroluyv t o aqr i c u l turc ( ~ r l i t o r i a l ) . Agri I . m t e o r ~ l . 13 : I - j.

N i x , H. 9 . Ayrt~cl i m a t i c arrerloywa iri t rdns tcr of tcschrrolcryy. Procc~ct- rlitkqb o f thtl l r r ttrrlatlortal Crop% Rrasarrrc-h I r t s t i twt r For tltc Somi-Arid Troyi L,, I r~~bu( jurr t i r ~ n Syng)cjs iur:r, P ~ \ P I ~ c ~ I ~ ~ u , 1 1 t t 1 i 4 4 .

RO t t h i ~ , J.T. I . Mdcl tor ( ~ r ' c d i c t in11 rw,lpor*(t~ictn f r o m d ILW ~ r o p w l th incmp lr:r* ctrvcnr. Water Ht\ourr.c', H ~ L . 8 : 1 2 0 4 - 1 3 1 j.

Ryan, J.G., nrrtt A s s o c i s t c * ~ . I . 50( i r ) - ra r ,~ r r~c .wnr L I ) * D I L G C , C % o t r~tlr lctr l t u r p l deve l ( ~ p ~ ~ t t * t ~ t i 1 1 the 5 ~ 1 i - . 3 r i 4 1 1 f t q j 1 t p * 8 + I I I LV I 11;~t 1tj1141 W ~ r b ~ ~ ~ t ~ o ~ ~ 014

Farmi-t(j Ey; tiern<, , I CRY S A T , l i y i l ~ r d b ~ d , l i ~ c ~ i J.

Swanson, i . H . , arra J , L o t4dylnhur i . ! 3 / l y . I r r l 1 trc-rrcc: c , r f crcdtr l tier rrr~d ~ U L I ~ ~ O - logy fin ~ o r r r srlu "J,,ybdrin y i e l d t f c r ~ r : ~ ~ . I 1 . fir. tc.c,rtrt, 20 : j2/-342.

Technical Aauirbry Conuni t tw tu CGIAR, TAC Lc LI cttxr / a t , F./t.U, I Tho Rev iw of Farriitig :,/atrrfi~% k c s e d r ~ h d t t t w I riterrr,j t iorrull Hqr / C U ~ t u rd ! R C S C J T L ~ I Cef~t t r ' . r LICIT, I I T i i , IL~ISEIT . r ~ r l c l IHRI. 1 A l f)c.rcurrtcnt AGU/'TAC: IAR/78/15.

T r o l l , C. I4b4. Seasonal C l i r ~ ~ ~ i t c s of the Ihtrth. In World Hbpr of C;linrm t o l ~ ~ g y . f d ~ . E , Hoc~tmwalot and 11. Jus{ltz. SprrnycraVcrIsg, Bar I I n . py. 28,

Virmanj, S.H., N.Or,C+, Livilkunrcrr, and S.J. flaaay, IY7y. C I irrtdtuIuglco1 features 7 . r t tttc sen~i-aria tropics i n ruldt iorr tc~ thc fsrrming $ybtcm#l sroyran. ln ternat iocwl Lrapo k a c a r c h Inst i tu tc For thcl Scmi-Arid Tropirs. Proccaings of the lntcrrlat i ~ l r u1 Work$hop on the Agrocl i u matologi c.a l Research Meeds of the Semi -Aria Tropic%, Hyacrrubab, India ( I n Press),

Yripht, A. 1971. Farming System,, Mdcls and Simulation. I n Systm Analysis i n Agr icul tura l Msnagsnent. &as, J,M. Drtrrt and 3.R. Anwrwn, John Ul l e y t Sons. Australasfa, PTY LtJ, yp. 17.

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?a! lc 1. #i :hront a p p r o ~ b a ot 6 t q -8th.r l l n ~

k1.r (1977) Crop gmrth rlulrt Ions r t a t l r t lo l l y brae crop u t h o r malyrir; .na u l t l p l e ngr~rrlan

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Table 3. tmt mtr r q u l n o for 'SOlltFB - r aorghu rlu\.t lon 1)001 ( ~ r ~ l n o t . I . 19%)

L~tclf nuobsr - total numbor of h m s pnoducoo 1 Loaf arus - nautnun arw of wch Inolvldurl I d , w

Plmtlng data, m t h , yaar Clmt -1st Ion. plentslhs Row wldth, un

hrinra gup.rstura, *C Hlnimm tonprature, *C Solat rnblat im, ly/bny Rainfall , d a y

Soil a t a

Avaflablo w&t@t-bldlng caprclty, cm I n i t i a l evailabl~ water amtent, cm

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Avni ; .ablr! so! l 6tatn rleld (Irehl h - t ~ # - R E ~ ~ t q G~PII durrtlm

Q 2 - 1 L h hor t- IL-

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brtw rSdms a d furrauu rm only rdaptad t o 75 m ran,

BtordbcKLn nnb furrorno b r a adapted t o mny row ~ p d c l n y w :

A m a i m crop

A r i l q h u n ~ or rat l let crop

A growndnut or ~ h l c k y e d crop

Figure 1 . Flternative cropping syotsmr &nd row nrrangsmdnts on broadbedl (150 cm); a l l dlmnsions i n cm ( a f t e r Kampsn, 19791

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I c ~ l c u l u t a d r i l y total tea1 area

--.---- - "T---- -- a

---..- A . - - - d u l c ~ ) r t r chi ly tota l

avhpotran)pt~ e t i ~ -* --" -.. - i -7 If -"-' - - --" --

I - - .. - - A,-,,,,, &r f c u l r t r dally i t 4 9

or rJrr~11opmtt .-----r- 7

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-\ \

C

P

k y r to mtur l ty

---.-- Days to rnthrer i s