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System Status Briefing
Phakamani Hadebe
Interim Group Chief Executive
3 May 2018
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
Contents
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
3
Eskom’s operational performance and new build
programme delivers results
Performance summary
Eskom has maintained operational performance for the year
• Energy availability has improved to 78% for the year ending March 2018 compared to 77.3% in the previous year
During the 2017/18 financial year, the following capacity has been added to the national electricity grid:
• 2 387MW of new generation capacity, exceeding the year-end target of 1 460MW (March 2017: 1 332MW)
• 722.3km of new transmission lines, exceeding the year-end target of 677km (March 2017: 585km)
• 2 510MVA of new substation transformer capacity, exceeding the year-end target of 2 010MVA (March 2017: 2 300MVA)
We have electrified 215 519 new customers for 2017/18 compared to 207 000 in the previous year and exceeded the year end target of 201 200
Eskom continues to focus efforts on increasing electricity demand and ensuring sustainable revenue collection
Load shedding this winter is not likely, as we implement plans to manage a shift in plant performance and coal-stock levels. Eskom last load shed two and a half years ago on 14 September 2015 for 2h20min.
* Numerical data unaudited
Contents
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
5
Operational performance
78% EAF vs. 71.1% in FY16
2 510MVA
Commissioned transformer capacity vs a
2 010MVA target for FY17/18
10,4%
Planned maintenance
vs. a 10.0% target
2 387 MW New Build capacity on the grid vs. a
1 460MW target for FY 17/18 215 519 New connections to the grid
vs. a target of 201 200
722.3km Installed transmission lines vs.
677km target in FY17/18
10.2%
Unplanned
maintenance vs. a 12%
implied target
6
Operational highlights
Description
Generation • 78% availability (EAF) end 2017/18, compared to 77.3% for the same period
last year, despite a deterioration from September 2017
• Year-end planned maintenance at 10.4% compared to target of 10%
• Unplanned maintenance at 10.2%, against a target of 12%
Highlights
Transmission
New Build
• Medupi Unit 5 & Unit 4 commercialised on 3 April and 28 November 2017 respectively, each with an installed capacity of 794MW
• Kusile Unit 1 commercialised on 30 August 2017, with an installed capacity of 799MW
• Kusile Unit 2 & Medupi Unit 3 first synchronised to the national grid on 24 March and 8 April 2018, respectively
• 722.3km transmission lines installed, exceeding target of 677km.
• 2 510MVA transformer capacity commissioned, exceeding 2 010MVA target
Distribution
Generation
• Best ever SM<1 performance of 2.09 against a target of 3.53
• Zero major incidents during 2017/18
• New electrification connections 215 519 against a target of 201 200
Contents
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
8
Overall Generation has sustained the performance of the
previous year, despite a deterioration in performance in the
last quarter
Description
Plant
performance
• 78% Availability (EAF) at the end of 2017/2018 financial year vs 77.3%
in 2016/17
• In March 2018, UCLF increased to 16.6%, as 3 units on general
overhaul at Lethabo PS were not returned to service as planned
Maintenance
• Year-end planned maintenance was at 10.4% compared to a target of
10.0%. This is down slightly from 12.14% last year.
• UCLF was at 10.2%, improving from 10.56% for the same period last
year
Highlights
Open Cycle Gas
Turbine (OCGT)
usage
• Eskom OCGT load factor is at 0.56% for YR2017/18 compared to a
target of 1%.
• OCGT spend for YR2017/18 was R320m, down from R340m in the
previous year
Environment
• Relative particulate emissions (kg/MWh sent out) was 0,27, against a
target of 0.34
• Specific water consumption (l/kWh sent out) was 1.30 against a target
of 1.37
9
Although Generation achieved an Energy Availability
Factor of 78% for FY2018, performance has declined in
the last ~6 months
9
Generation performance for the 2018 financial year
Percentage (%)
1. April 20108 numbers are preliminary
2. Data as per official monthly stats
Per month
82.3 83.0 84.8 87.2 83.4 78.7 80.4 76.6 70.5 69.7 70.2 69.6
78.0 72.6
10.3 7.8 6.4 7.7
8.3 9.9 8.2 11.1
13.7 15.3 14.5 11.1
10.4 8.9
6.4 8.4 8.4 4.6 7.5 10.5 10.3 11.6 13.2 11.8 12.7 16.6
10.2 16.1
1.1 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.7 2.6 3.2 2.6 2.8 1.5 2.3
Key Insights
• Eskom increased
planned maintenance
during Nov to Jan
(summer months).
• Due to financial reasons,
the majority of PCLF was
phased during the latter
part of the year.
• In addition, some
outages could not be
postponed further and a
decision was made to
continue with higher
PCLF despite high UCLF
to ensure capacity is
returned in time for
winter demand increase.
• Increased breakdowns
and units in extended
cold reserve led to
reduced availability since
September 2017.
Unplanned maintenance (UCLF) Energy availability factor (EAF) Planned maintenance (PCLF) Other losses (OCLF)
10
Open cycle gas turbine (OCGT) usage increased in the last
4 months FY2017/18 as a result of reduced plant availability
OCGT performance
Insights
• Eskom has run
OCGTs to
manage the
system between
December 2017
and March 2018
• The usage of
OCGT’s from
December was
due to reduced
availability as a
result of
increased
planned
maintenance,
coal supply,
UCLF+OCLF
• OCGT load
0.56% at a total
cost of R320m
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Nov-
17
2,8
Oct-17
0,5
Sep-
17
1,7
68,4
Feb-
18
15,2
Jan-18
0,0
Dec-
17
18,2
Apr-18
1,2
Jun-17
4,2
May-
17
1,1
Apr-17
1,4
Mar-18 Aug-
17
1,4
Jul-17
2,9
Load
Factor
(%)
Cost
(R’m)
OCGTs (GWh)
GWh
0.08 0.06 0.24 0.16 0.08 0.1 0.03 0.16 1.01 0.0 0.94 3.82
6 10 13 12 8 9 5 10 41 5 44 158
0.07
TBC
• Coal stockpile levels are at 35 days, excluding Medupi and Kusile
• Six of the 15 power stations are below the required target.
• Measures are in place to address the current coal shortages. The recovery plan includes securing additional coal supplies and a redirection of coal stock to address the imbalance.
• Eskom has informed NERSA of the current coal supply challenges and planned remedial actions as per regulatory requirements.
• The situation cannot be compared to 2008 when the number of stockpile days was at an average of 12 days.
• Tenders are currently being evaluated to procure 100Mt of coal for the next five years, and sufficient coal to address the short-term shortfall
Plans in place to address coal stock levels for stations below minimum stock days
12
Eskom’s maintenance planning shows that
OCGTs will be required to meet peak demand
• Prognosis from the Tetris Maintenance Plan confirms that the
system will need OCGT to meet peak demand in May 2018 and
from August until December 2018
• Eskom plans to optimise operations to reduce the use of OCGTs
13
Capacity Outlook until March 2019
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
2018 2019
Available Capacity Gas units Operating Reserves PCLF UCLF Peak Demand Installed Capacity
UCLF
PCLF
Operating Reserve
Available Capacity
Gas
Winter UCLF
5500 MW Summer 6500 MW
Average Planned Maintenance (PCLF) 4500 MW
Contents
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
15
Distribution exceeded targeted performance for the FY 2017/18
Customers experienced a
more reliable network
performance even in the
most challenging weather
conditions
215 519 electrification connections vs
a target of 201 200
Approximately 350 643 km of
distribution lines are
maintained
SAIFI: interruption
frequency
18.7 vs. target of 20.0
SAIDI: Interruption
duration
38.7 vs. target of 39.0
16
Distribution continues to exhibit operational excellence in sustaining network performance
Description Highlights
Smart meter
installations
Technical
Performance
• Achieved above target technical performance as measured through
System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) and System
Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI)
• Maintenance index is on target and implemented in preparation for the
Winter period.
• During Winter, localised outages tend to increase due to network
overload as a result of increased illegal connections, vandalism and
equipment theft.
• Plans are in place to limit the duration of these outages
Technical
Performance
Customer
Growth/
Connections
• To increase revenue, 148 large power customers were connected -
generating sales of 1 361GWh
• A total of 26 065 small customers were connected to the network
• . Prepaid
Metering
• Exceeded the targeted installation of prepaid meters in Sandton,
Midrand and Soweto at 36 738 installations against a target of 35 500.
We are on track to deliver Universal Access
Number of
Connections
2016/17
207,436 200,000
2015/16
201,200
2017/18
215,519
158,016
194,374
Actual
Planned
• We have electrified more than 5 million
households since 1991.
• Universal access has been reached in
terms of clinics and we will continue to
connect new clinics and schools as they
are built.
• In the past two years Eskom has connected
over 200 000 customers, per year
Contents
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
19
Transmission achieved the following highlights in FY2017/18
Description
• Approximately 9 479 GWh procured from RE IPP’s in 2017/18 in comparison with 7 227 GWh in 2016/17 (31 % increase)
System
performance
• For 2017/18 System Minute <1 is a new best ever reported performance of 2.09 against a target of 3.53
• Zero Major Incidents have occurred in 2017/18
• The number of interruptions in 2017/18 was reduced to 24 against a target of 34
Highlights
• Sustained high levels of maintenance execution with more than 99% of planned work executed
• Sustained excellent line fault performance per 100km of line, 1.86 against a target of 2.2
• Substation plant reliability and availability attained with relatively few major plant failures
Plant
Performance
RE IPP Energy
Procurement
Contents
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
We remain focused on bringing new capacity online
P80 dates
CO = Commercial Operation
FY 2015 – FY 2017
Ingula
Unit 4
Mar-17
Jun-16
333
Ingula
Unit 1
Jul-17
Aug-16
333
Ingula
Unit 2
May-17
Aug-16
333
Ingula
Unit 3
Jan-17
Jan-17
333
Medupi
Unit 5
Mar-18
Apr-17
794
Kusile
Unit 1
Jul-18
Aug 17
799
Kusile
Unit 2
Jul-19
800
Medupi
Unit 4
Jul-18
Nov-17
794
Medupi
Unit 3
Jun-19
794
Medupi
Unit 2
Dec-19
794
Medupi
Unit 1
May-20
794
Sere Wind
Farm
Mar-15
100
Medupi
Unit 6
Aug -15
Aug-15
794
Kusile
Unit 4
Mar-21
800
Kusile
Unit 3
Aug-20
800
Kusile
Unit 5
Nov-21
800
…6 382 MW to be commissioned over the next 5
years
Kusile unit 6 (800MW) is scheduled for FY 2023
4 613 MW commissioned since 2015 &
10 750 MW commissioned since 2005 ….
FY 2018 – FY 2022
P80 schedule
Achieved CO on or
earlier than P80
Contents
4 Distribution overview
5 Transmission
6 New build update
3 Generation performance
7 Conclusion
2 Operational highlights
1 Performance summary
Conclusion
• While the risk of load shedding always exist, it is not likely to occur this winter, as we implement
plans to manage a shift in plant performance and coal-stock levels.
• We have set a target to improve plant performance and are on course to achieve plant availability
of 80% with 10% of units on planned maintenance and 10% on unplanned maintenance by
FY2018/19.
• Plans are in place to improve stockpile levels at the power stations, that are currently below
minimum stock levels.
• We continue to fast-track the build programme with 6 382 MW to be commissioned over the next 5
years
• Collection of municipal arrear debt remains a challenge, however, we continue with our
interventions and have enlisted the support of government to enhance our efforts.
• We continue to focus efforts on increasing growth in demand of electricity and ensuring sustainable
revenue collection.
• We ask customers to be vigilant of the risks of illegal electricity connections and to report cable and
electricity theft.
• Through a collaborative approach and relentless focus we are on a path to stabilise the
organisation and to achieve sustained success for Eskom.
23