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  • Synthetic Data for Power Grid R&D

    Tom Overbye and Adam Birchfield Texas A&M University

    [email protected], [email protected] July 20, 2017

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    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

  • Background Access to data about the actual power grid is often

    restricted because of requirements for data confidentiality (e.g., critical energy infrastructure)

    For power system community to engage in research that adheres to the scientific principle of reproducibility of results, we need common access to models the mimic the grid complexity

    Work presented here is mostly based an ongoing ARPA-E Grid Data Project involving researchers at TAMU, Illinois, Cornell, ASU and VCU

    2

  • Overview The overall goal of the project is the creation and

    dissemination of synthetic (fictional) models and scenarios associated with the high voltage grid The models will be of varying size and complexity, ranging

    from 200 buses up to 100,000 buses; the models will also include contingencies and extra parameters for transient stability and GMD analysis

    All delivered models with have geographic coordinates Scenarios will be hourly for a year, SCOPF solved Validation metrics are also a key consideration

    3

  • Approach The approach is to make models that look real and

    familiar by siting these synthetic models in North America, and serving a population density the mimics that of North America The transmission grid is, however, totally fictitious

    This approach is predicated on gathering statistics associated with actual grids, and then using those statistics as appropriate Actual grids have idiosyncratic characteristics that need to be

    considered; outlier characteristics can be quite important!

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  • Model Complexity Examples A recent 76,000 bus Eastern Interconnect (EI) power

    flow model has 27,622 transformers including 98 phase shifters Impedance correction tables are used for 351, including

    about 2/3 of the phase shifters; tables can change the impedance by more than two times

    The voltage magnitude is controlled at about 19,000 buses (by Gens, LTCs, switched shunts) 94% regulate their own terminals with about 1100 doing

    remote regulation. Of this group 572 are regulated by two or more devices, 277 by three or more, 12 by eight or more, and three by 12 devices!

    5

  • Geography is Key! Actual power grids are geographically consistent

    This is an inherent characteristic that has profound modeling implications

    Examples include line impedance, and constraints such as lakes and mountains

    Traditionally power system planning models did not usually include location

    This is now changing, partially because of GMD studies that require geography

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  • Current Status Weve created 200, 500 and 2000 bus systems, with a

    10,000 bus model almost finished The 200 bus model has OPF, transient stability GMD data,

    contingencies plus 8760 hourly scenarios The 500 bus has OPF, transient stability and GMD data The 2000 bus has OPF data Additional scenarios and models are being developed

    All models are (or will be) publicly available in a variety of common formats at different locations https://electricgrids.engr.tamu.edu/

    7

  • Example: 2000 Bus Model Geographic footprint is part of

    Texas (corresponding with ERCOT footprint)

    Four voltage levels: 115 kV, 161 kV, 230 kV, and 500 kV

    Eight areas, appealing onelines

    This is a synthetic power system model that does NOT represent the actual grid. It was developed as part of the US ARPA-E Grid Data research project and contains no CEII. To reference the model development approach, use:

    For more information, contact [email protected].

    A.B. Birchfield, T. Xu, K.M. Gegner, K.S. Shetye, and T.J. Overbye, "Grid Structural Characteristics as Validation Criteria for Synthetic Networks," to appear, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2017.

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    Amps DALLAS 1North Central

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    DALLAS 3North Central

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    WILMERNorth Central

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    LANCASTER 1North Central

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    HUTCHINSNorth Central

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    DALLAS 38North Central

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    North Central

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    North Central

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    WILLS POINTEast

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    North Central

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    North Central

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    OLNEY 1North Central

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    BRYSON 1North Central

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    BRYSON 2North Central

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    ARCHER 2North

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    NORTH RICHLAND HILLS 1

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    WEATHERFORD 3North Central

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    BOYDNorth Central

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    JACKSBORO 1North Central

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    GRAFORDNorth Central

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    PERRINNorth Central

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    ALEDO 2North Central

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    WEATHERFORD 2

    North Central

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    SANTONorth Central

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    161.00 kV1SPRINGTOWN

    North Central

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    MILLSAPNorth Central

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    PALO PINTO 2North Central

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    LIPANNorth Central

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    GORDONNorth Central

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    TOLARNorth Central

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    STEPHENVILLE

    North Central

    ARLINGTON 5North Central

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    ARLINGTON 4North Central

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    ARLINGTON 10

    North Central

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    ARLINGTON 3North Central

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    GRAND PRAIRIE 1North Central

    161.00 kV1

    GRANBURY 3North Central

    161.00 kV1

    FORT WORTH 28North Central

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    GRANBURY 1North Central

    500.00 kV5

    GRANBURY 2North Central

    500.00 kV6

    ARLINGTON 9North Central

    161.00 kV1

    HALTOM CITYNorth Central

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    EULESS 2North Central

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    HURSTNorth Central

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    North Central

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    IRVING 5North Central

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    North Central

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    GRAND PRAIRIE 2

    North Central

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    ARLINGTON 6North Central

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    FORT WORTH 3

    North Central

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    IRVING 3North Central

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    North Central

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    FORT WORTH 6North Central

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    North Central

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    North Central

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    CELINANorth Central

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    LITTLE ELMNorth Central

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    FRISCO 1North Central

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    PROSPERNorth Central

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    AUBREYNorth Central

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    PONDERNorth Central

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    DENTON 1North Central

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    FLOWER MOUND 1

    North Central

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    LEWISVILLE 2North Central

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    LAKE DALLASNorth Central

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    DENTON 3North Central

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    FLOWER MOUND 2

    North Central

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    LEONARDNorth

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    ANNANorth Central

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    TRENTONNorth

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    PLANO 2North Central

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    WOLFE CITYNorth Central

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    GREENVILLE 1North Central

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    NEVADANorth Central

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    GREENVILLE 2North Central

    161.00 kV1LAVONNorth Central

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    PRINCETONNorth Central

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    WYLIENorth Central

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    FARMERSVILLENorth Central

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    RICHARDSON 1North Central

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    PLANO 6North Central

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    THE COLONYNorth Central

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    CARROLLTON 1

    North Central

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    PLANO 4North Central

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    FRISCO 2North Central

    500.00 kV2

    MCKINNEY 2North Central

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    MELISSANorth Central

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    MCKINNEY 3North Central

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    CARROLLTON 3North Central

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    MCKINNEY 1North Central

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    PLANO 3North Central

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    PLANO 5North Central

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    ALLEN 1North Central

    500.00 kV2

    ALLEN 2North Central

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    PLANO 7North Central

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    CARROLLTON 2

    North Central

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    DALLAS 19North Central

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    DALLAS 35North Central

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    Amps 40%A

    Amps Zoomed View of North Texas

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  • Synthetic Model Design Process The assumed peak load is based on population, scaled by geographic values

    Generation is partially derived from public data (e.g., EIA-860)

    Substation oriented approach

    9

  • Matching Transmission Systems We use a number approaches to better mimic the

    transmission system structure including Delaunay Triangulation, minimum spanning trees, and minimum cycle distribution

    Below image shows Delaunay triangulation of 42,000 North America substations; statistics only consider single voltage levels; this is computationally fast (order n ln(n))

    The minimum spanning tree (MST) is a subset of the Delaunay triangulation

    10

  • Validation is Key! To-date weve developed about 20 metrics that cover

    the proportions, size, and structure of actual power grids models, with more coming!

    For example: Buses/substation, Voltage levels, Load at each bus Generator commitment, dispatch Transformer reactance, MVA limit, X/R ratio Percent of lines on minimum spanning tree and various

    neighbors of the Delaunay triangulation

    Statistics collected from 3 actual interconnects and 12 subset cases from FERC 715 data

    11

  • Validation of the 2000 Bus Model

    *Note: this model represents a higher load-bus density than actual by design

    12

  • Validation of the 2000 Bus Model Number of buses in substation Amount of load per bus

    Orange/blue/black actual data, red synthetic

    13

  • Validation of the 2000 Bus Model 14

  • Development of Model Scenarios Goal of project is to develop models and hourly

    variation scenarios, SCOPF validated for a year This is being done initially for the 200 bus model

    Assumed Hourly Maximum Wind Generation

    Assumed Hourly Load

    15

  • 200 Bus SCOPF Validation We are currently combining the 200 bus model, the

    load schedules, the wind generation variation and the contingencies to do SCOPF validation on model Using PowerWorld Simulator Time Step Simulation

    The PowerWorld Simulator tool allows us to easily sequentially solve ac SCOPFs for each of the hourly time points

    16

  • Transient Stability Models Ultimately all models will also include transient

    stability models; this is done for the 200 and 500 bus models, with the 2000 bus almost done

    Were developing models with increasing complexity in model diversity, while using models that run in PowerWorld, PSSE and PSLF

    Validation metrics are also being developed

    17

  • Next Up: Ten Thousand Bus Case Model has 10K buses,

    4700 substations, 16 areas, seven nominal transmission voltages (765, 500, 345, 230, 161, 138 and 115kV); total peak load is 150GW

    Green arrows show initial MW flows

    Model should be publicly available soon!

    18

  • Applications To be widely used synthetic models need to be high

    quality and available in common formats Researchers will be able to exchange models and

    demonstrate techniques on realistic models Larger models can be used to enhance teaching

    TAMU use of 2000 bus model in undergrad courses Vendors adopting synthetic models for training

    Utilities and ISOs may want models adopted to their particular footprints and needs Can be provided to a wider range of potential vendors

    19

  • Conclusion Having access to realistic synthetic models can be an

    important driver of innovation The field of synthetic electric grid models is rapidly

    developing Creating realistic, large-scale synthetic model is difficult but

    not impossible Larger scale models are now starting to be released

    There is still much research still to be done especially in the areas of algorithms to create large models and validation metrics!

    20

  • Thank You! 21

    Questions?

    Models are available at https://electricgrids.engr.tamu.edu

    Synthetic Data for Power Grid R&DBackgroundOverviewApproachModel Complexity ExamplesGeography is Key!Current StatusExample: 2000 Bus ModelSynthetic Model Design ProcessMatching Transmission SystemsValidation is Key!Validation of the 2000 Bus ModelValidation of the 2000 Bus ModelValidation of the 2000 Bus ModelDevelopment of Model Scenarios200 Bus SCOPF ValidationTransient Stability ModelsNext Up: Ten Thousand Bus CaseApplicationsConclusionThank You!