Sustainable Transport Saves Lives

EMBARQ Knowledge Management 11/8/12

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Holger Dalkmann EMBARQ, World Resources Institute

Sustainable Transport Save Lives

Disfuncional relationship


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Source: WHO

Picture: noticiasnorte.com

3.2 million people

Source: WHO Picrure: RPP Noticias

2 million people


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1.3 million people

Source: WHO

South-‐East Asia + Western Pacific = 563,341

Source: WHO


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Sustainable transport saves lives

AVOID long motorized travel SHIFT to safer, healthier and more environmentally friendly modes

IMPROVE vehicle and fuel technology and ensure safe system design


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Strategy

!  Avoid/Shift: Reduce driving (VMT) via high-quality sustainable transport

!   Improve: Mainstream “road safety” into sustainable transport policy & solutions

Sustainable Transport Saves Lives

Source: FHWA Highway StaJsJcs, 2008 Regression Analysis: EMBARQ

U.S. states

R² = 0.69

-

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55

Traf

fic fa

talit

ies

per 1

00,0

00 p

eopl

e

(urb

an ro

ads)

Daily VMT per person (urban roads)

8.4 fatalities per million miles driven

New York and Atlanta

NEW YORK had 3.49 traffic fatalities per 100,000 inhabitants in 2008

ATLANTA had 10.97 fataliJes per 100,000 inhabitants


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ROAD SAFETY & ECONOMICS

NYC case

!  Traffic crashes cost NYC's economy $ 4.29 billion annually

!  The cost of pedestrian crashes alone in NYC is estimated at $ 1.38 billion

!  People of low socioeconomic status and the unemployed are at a higher risk for traffic fatalities

Source: NYC Pedestrian safety study, 2010; Photo: H.Dalkmann

Today 2041Automobility Sustainable Transport

Population (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75Area (Sq. Km.) 1330 6484 3242Emissions(million Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97Traffic Fatalities (per yr) 175 5,232 1,225

Ahmedabad Scenarios


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!   Increased transit use, walking and biking !   Residents are more physically active !   More destinations closer to transit !   Lower car use

URBAN DEVELOPMENT

Transit Oriented Development

BRT & ROAD SAFETY

Macrobús, Guadalajara

5000

3194

1 BRT lane

2 general traffic lanes

Passenger per hour per direction (peak)

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726

1 BRT lane

2 general traffic lanes

Crashes per year


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Safety impact of BRT (example: Guadalajara) Monthly crashes before and after the implementation of the BRT

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

0

50

100

150

200

250

Citywide crashes

Before BRT During BRT construcKon ALer start of operaKons

BRT and busway systems in the world!!   evolution of the # of cities and km per decade!

!!

Total length!

!

Before 1990 (14 cities)!

1990´s (19 cities)!

Since 2000 (114 cities)!493 km!

905 km!

3741 km!

source: BRTdata.org, October, 2012!


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Mexico City Guadalajara

Bogota Curitiba

Porto Alegre

Delhi Ahmedabad

Vancouver

Brisbane

Belo Horizonte Pereira Cali

Global research: BRT and road safety

Results: Metrobus Line 4 before and after

Before (2011): Unprotected pedestrian refuge island

After (2012): Well protected island

!   Road safety audit report 2011


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!   EMBARQ has developed a pilot version of Traffic Safety Guidelines for Bus Systems

!   We will road test these guidelines with external partners on BRT projects around the world

!   The guidelines are available and free to use and anyone is invited to participate in the road test or provide feedback

Upscaling road safety


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Role of ADB?

!   Continue to commit to own Sustainable Transport Initiative

!   Champion sustainable transport as most efficient strategy to save lives

!  Ensure safety as part of all projects (Mandatory Audit)

!   Leadership amongst multilaterals

www.embarq.org

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Thank you for your attention

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Sustainable Transport Saves Lives