SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme Marta Moren Abat Climate

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS

Natural Hazards Research From the 6th

towards the 7th Framework Programme

Marta Moren AbatMarta Moren Abat

Climate change and environmental risks Climate change and environmental risks UnitUnit

European Commission - DG ResearchEuropean Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate Environment Directorate


From the 6th towards the 7th Framework

Programme

1. Background – Policy context

2. Natural Hazards in the Research Framework Programmes

3. FP6

• Total support

• Some example projects

4. FP7 general

• Structure

• Budget

• Time plan

5. FP7 Natural Hazards

• Specific programme

• Work programme 2007 and beyond

6. Information sources / Links


Addressing Natural HazardsAddressing Natural Hazards

Climate relatedClimate related

(Hydro-meteorological(Hydro-meteorological

Hazards)Hazards)

• Avalanches,• Floods,• Drought,• Storms,• Forest fires,• …

Geological HazardsGeological Hazards Multi-Multi-HazardsHazards

• Earthquakes,• Volcanic eruptions,• Mass movements,• Tsunamis,• …


Earthquakes

Floods

Industrial accidents

Fires

Volcanic EruptionsLandslides Droughts



• International Strategy for Disaster reduction – Hyogo Framework for action 2005-2015, Kobe world Conf. 2005

• International Council for Science – ICSU Natural and human induced environmental hazards (6 year plan 2006-2012)

• International year of Planet Earth 2008 (UNESCO, IUGS, ..)

• GEO (Group on Earth Observation – 10-Year GEOSS Implementation Plan)

Addressing Natural Hazards: Addressing Natural Hazards: Research Policy Context – International levelResearch Policy Context – International level


• FP5/4 years – Overall supportFP5/4 years – Overall support: 48 Mio Euro• FP6/5 years – Overall supportFP6/5 years – Overall support: 58 Mio Euro • FP7 – First year estimateFP7 – First year estimate: 13 Mio Euro

• Some examples of projects…Some examples of projects…

Addressing Natural Hazards: Addressing Natural Hazards: European Framework ProgrammesEuropean Framework Programmes

Environment research programmesEnvironment research programmes


Natural Hazards FP6 Funding12

9.68

3.6

6.43

4.95.7

4.09

6.15

4.45

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Topic: Volcanic Risk AssessmentTopic: Volcanic Risk Assessment• VOLUMEVOLUME: Volcanoes: Understanding subsurface mass movement (3,1 Mio

Euro) http://www.volume-project.net

• NOVAC:NOVAC: Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric change (2,6 Mio Euro) http://www.novac-project.eu

Remark : TTC call + INCO partners in both projects (central/Latin America)

Topic: Long-term forecasting of landslides and Topic: Long-term forecasting of landslides and Avalanches (Global 3)Avalanches (Global 3)• IRASMOS:IRASMOS: Integral Risk Management of Extremely Rapid Mass

Movements (2,4 Mio Euro) http://www.slf.ch/irasmos

• GALAHAD:GALAHAD: Advanced Remote Monitoring Techniques for Glaciers, Avalanches and Landslides Hazard Mitigation (1,6 Mio Euro) BV http://www.galahad-europroject.org

FP6 STREP ProjectsFP6 STREP Projects


Topic: FloodsTopic: Floods• FLASH (Strep):FLASH (Strep): Observations, Analysis and Modelling of Lightning Activity

in Thunderstorms, for use in Short Term Forecasting of Flash Floods (1,2 Mio Euro) MMA

• HYDRATE (Strep):HYDRATE (Strep): Hydro-meteorological data resources and technologies for effective flash flood forecasting (2,4 Mio Euro) managed by I.3

• FLOODSITEFLOODSITE (IP)(IP): Integrated flood risk management methodologies (9,68 Mio Euro) MMA – http://www.floodsite.net

Topic: Forest FiresTopic: Forest Fires (Managed by Unit I3)

• FIREPARADOX (IP):FIREPARADOX (IP): Integrated forest fire management (12 Mio Euro) www.fireparadox.org



Topic: Seismic Early WarningTopic: Seismic Early Warning• SAFERSAFER: Seismic Early Warning for Europe (3,6 Mio Euro)

www.saferproject.net

• SEAHELLARCSEAHELLARC: Seismic Risk Assessment and Mitigation Scenarios in Western Hellenic Arc (1,3 Mio Euro) BV

Topic: Tsunami Risk in EuropeTopic: Tsunami Risk in Europe • TRANSFERTRANSFER: Tsunami Risk and Strategies for the European Region

(3,3 Mio Euro) www.transferproject.eu

• NEARESTNEAREST: Integrated Observation from Near Shore sources of Tsunami-Golf of Cadiz (2,8 Mio Euro)



Topic: Multi-risksTopic: Multi-risks

• LESSLOSS (IP):LESSLOSS (IP): Risk Mitigation for Earthquakes and Landslides (6,43 Mio Euro)- BV – www.lessloss.org - (Seismic engineering)

• FORESIGHT (STREP):FORESIGHT (STREP): Frequent Observation-driven Realistic Evaluation and Simulation of Interacting Geophysical Hazard Triggers (1,08 Mio Euro) www.acri-st.fr/foresight/

• 3HAZ CORINTH (STREP):3HAZ CORINTH (STREP): Earthquakes, tsunamis and landslides in the Corinth rift, Greece (1,49 Mio EURO) BV

• ARMONIA (STREP):ARMONIA (STREP): Applied multi-risk mapping of natural hazards for impact assessment (1 Mio Euro) www.armoniaproject.net

• MEDIGRID (STREP):MEDIGRID (STREP): Mediterranean Grid of multi-risk data and models (950.000 Euro) MMA

FP6 ProjectsFP6 Projects


Topic: Multi-risksTopic: Multi-risks • NARAS (SSA):NARAS (SSA): Natural Risks assessment, harmonisation of procedures,

quantification and information (240.000 EURO)

• EU-MEDIN II (SSA):EU-MEDIN II (SSA): Supporting information on Natural Hazards (300.000 Euro) www.eu-medin.org

• SCENARIOSCENARIO (SSA):(SSA): Support on common EU strategy for sustainable natural/induced technological mitigation (652.000 Euro) BV

FP6 ProjectsFP6 Projects


Framework Programme Framework Programme (Council and EP)(Council and EP)

Specific Programme Specific Programme (Council + opinion EP)(Council + opinion EP)

Work Programmes Work Programmes (Commission)(Commission)

Yearly calls Yearly calls (specific topics, choice of instruments,…)(specific topics, choice of instruments,…)

EC RESEARCH STRUCTUREEC RESEARCH STRUCTURE


FP7 - structure2007 - 2013

FP7 - structure2007 - 2013

4 specific programmes + JRC

CooperationCollaborative research

CooperationCollaborative research

PeopleHuman Potential

PeopleHuman Potential

Ideas Frontier Research

Ideas Frontier Research

CapacitiesResearch Capacity

CapacitiesResearch Capacity

JRC (non-nuclear)

JRC (non-nuclear)

+

10 thematic areas

1. Health1. Health

2. Food, agriculture and biotechnology


3. Information and communication technologies

3. Information and communication technologies

4. Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials and new production technologies

4. Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials and new production technologies

5. Energy5. Energy 7. Transport (including aeronautics)

7. Transport (including aeronautics)

8. Socio-eco. sciences and the humanities

8. Socio-eco. sciences and the humanities

6. Environment (including climate change)

6. Environment (including climate change)

10. Security

10. Security

9. Space9. Space

A. Climate change, pollution and risks

A. Climate change, pollution and risks

B. Sustainable management of resources

B. Sustainable management of resources

C. Environmental technologies

C. Environmental technologies

D. Earth observation and assessment tools

D. Earth observation and assessment tools

4 activities (WP)i. Pressures on environment and climate

i. Pressures on environment and climate

ii. Environment and Health

ii. Environment and Health

iii. Natural hazards

iii. Natural hazards

3 sub-activities (WP)1. Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

1. Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

2. Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts

2. Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts

3. Risk assessment and management


4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies


4 core areas (WP)


FP7 sizeEUR 50 521 mill

FP7 sizeEUR 50 521 mill

CC, poll. and risks?

CC, poll. and risks?

B. Sust. mngmt. of res.?

B. Sust. mngmt. of res.?

C. Env. tech.?

C. Env. tech.?

D. Earth obs. & assess.?

D. Earth obs. & assess.?

Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

???

Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

???

2. Vuln. assess and soc. Impacts

???

2. Vuln. assess and soc. Impacts

???


???


???


???


???

Press. on env. & climate2007: est 36 mill

Press. on env. & climate2007: est 36 mill

ii. Env. & Health2007: est 19 mill

ii. Env. & Health2007: est 19 mill

iii. Nat. hazards2007: est 13 mill

iii. Nat. hazards2007: est 13 mill

Cooperation32 413 mill

Cooperation32 413 mill

People4 750 mill

People4 750 mill

Ideas7 510 mill

Ideas7 510 mill

Capacities4 097 mill

Capacities4 097 mill

JRC (non-nuclear)1 751 mill

JRC (non-nuclear)1 751 mill

+

1. Health

6 100 mill

1. Health

6 100 mill


1 935 mill


1 935 mill

3. ICT

9 050 mill

3. ICT

9 050 mill

4. Nano++, materials and new production technologies

3 475 mill

4. Nano++, materials and new production technologies

3 475 mill

5. Energy

2 350 mill

5. Energy

2 350 mill

7. Transport

4 160 mill

7. Transport

4 160 mill

8. Socio-eco. Sciences623 mill

8. Socio-eco. Sciences623 mill

6. Environment

1 890 mill

6. Environment

1 890 mill

9. Space

1 430 mill

9. Space

1 430 mill

10. Security

1 400 mill

10. Security

1 400 mill

2007 - 2013


FP7 - Time plan

02468

101214161820

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Year

FP

7 A

pp

rop

riat

ion

s [

Bill

ion

Eu

ro]

Commitments

Payments


Climate Change, pollution and risks

Sustainable management of resources

Environmental Technologies

-Conservation and sustainable management of natural and man-made resources- Evolution of marine environments

- Earth observation- Forecasting methods and assessment tools

- Pressures on environment and climate- Environment and health- Natural Hazards

- Technologies for observation, prevention, mitigation,…, of the natural and man-made environment-protection, conservation and enhancement of cultural heritage, including human habitat- Technology assessment, verification, testing

Earth observation and assessment tools

CooperationEnvironment (incl. Climate Change)


The Way ForwardCore Work Programme in Natural Hazards2007 Call (indicative budget : 13 Mio Euro)

• Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecastingHazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting European storm risk

• Vulnerability assessment and societal impactsVulnerability assessment and societal impacts Frame for better vulnerability assessment

• Risk assessment and managementRisk assessment and management Assessing and managing volcanic threat Harmonising avalanche forecasting, risk mapping and warning Investigating Europe’s risk from droughts

• Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategiesMulti-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies European (multi) hazard database analysis

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------• GeoGeo

– Contributing to the development of a worldwide network of in-situ observatories for seismogenic hazards


Natural HazardsRationale – Specific programme

“Management of natural hazards related to climate and geological hazards requires improved knowledge, methods and an integrated framework for the assessment of hazards, vulnerability and risks.

Multidisciplinary research aiming to understand better the underlying processes should be pursued to improve

detection, prediction and forecasting methods.

Multi-risk approach combined with spatial planning, mapping, modelling are needed for the development of prevention and mitigation strategies.

Environmental and societal resilience and repercussions of major natural hazards should be quantified.”


Natural Hazards in Europe

Future trends ?Future trends ?

Climate related natural hazards will increase throughout Europe, although different type of hazards will predominate in different regions e.g.– Increasing risk of floods, snowmelt-related floods, flash floods.– Possible storms increase in the north-eastern Atlantic, decrease

in storminess and wind intensity in the Mediterranean– Extreme precipitation events may increase landslide hazard– In mountains, change in T° and snow conditions may increase

avalanches, affect permafrost and rock falls– In the Mediterranean, decrease precipitation and increased

temperature may lead to a longer fire season and dry season.


• Towards better prediction of landslides events

• Generation, propagation and fate of sediment and debris in extreme floods

• Vulnerability assessment of buildings, lifelines systems and network related to earthquakes

• Environmental, social and economical assessment and management of flood: Present and future scenarios, for EU and key areas in non EU countries

• Environmental, social and economical assessment of drought risk approaches (EU and non EU perspective)

• Public perception, behaviour and response to risks

• Seismic and other geo-hazards risk assessment and mitigation for built environment and infrastructures

• Towards a European science research agenda in support to the UN strategy for disaster reduction and its European national initiatives

• Assessment of socio-economic benefit of prevention and mitigation strategies and plans

• Climate change and social impacts on wild fires regimes and landscape recovery

The Way ForwardCore Work Programme in Natural Hazards

Possible Future Topics beyond 2007


• EUROPEAN RESEARCH ON NATURAL HAZARDS: Catalogue of selected FP5 and FP6 Projects - Volume 1

• EU research:http://ec.europa.eu/research

• More information on European Commission environmental research:

http://cordis.europa.eu/sustdev/environment/

http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/index_en.htm

• Info on programmes and projects:http://www.cordis.lu/

• RTD info magazine:http://ec.europa.eu/research/rtdinfo/

• Information requests:http://ec.europa.eu/research/enquiries/

Information sources and linksInformation sources and links


Questions?

Thank you!Thank you!

Documents

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme Marta Moren Abat Climate