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Surviving A Banking CrisisPurchasing and Managing Distressed Debt
September 1, 2010 Santiago, Chile
Presented by James T. Sartain
President and CEO FirstCity Financial Corporation
OpportunityA favorable juncture of circumstances
Webster’s dictionary
•Formed in 1986 as commercial debt buyer in the U.S. •Large buyer of distressed commercial debt in previous banking crisis•Merged with publicly traded holding company in 1995 (Nasdaq-FCFC)•Exported debt purchase/management platform to other geographies:
1996 France1998 Mexico1999 Japan, Thailand2005 Argentina, Caribbean2005 Chile2007 Germany
•Purchased, managed and resolved over $11.5 B of face value distressed debt since 1986.
•Currently managing $3.6B of face value of distressed debt
FirstCity Financial Corporation
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Une
mpl
oym
ent R
ate
%
Unemployment
Unemployment Rates2000 - 2010
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Generated on: August 18, 2010
Nearly 15 million workers unemployed 9.5%
12,347
14,417
6,838
7,9268,315
14,434
8,243
8.7
7.2
9.79.5
5.6
5.3
4
5.6
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Q2 20100.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
# of Banks U.S. Unemployment
Bank Count and Unemployment 1980 - 2010
Ban
k C
ount
Une
mpl
oym
ent %
Each 1.00% of unemployment equates approximately to 1.5 million workers
Historical Interest Rates2000 - 2010
0.18
9.23
6.92
4.684.12
4.34
7.96
5.09
3.25
3.25
8.05
6.17
0.23 0.33
1.08
5.335.02
4.39
2.42
1.121.38
1.88
6.57
0.120.17
5.24
4.16
0.99
2.16
1.25
1.82
6.45
4.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
WSJ Prime Rate 30 Day LIBOR Fed Fund Rate
WSJ
Prim
e R
ate
(in %
)
Fed Fund Rate
30 Day LIBOR
WSJ Prime
Case Shiller 20 City Index(Baseline value of 100 set in Jan 2000)
1987 - 2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
20 City Average
Cas
e Sc
hille
r Ind
ex
Index set to 100 in Jan 2000
Peak value in Jan 2006 of 202.4
Index is 82.3 in Jan 1990
2.15%/yr average increase 1990 - 2000
17.1%/yr average increase 2000 - 2006
12.8%/yr average decrease
2006 - 2009
Case Shiller 20 City Index(Baseline value of 100 set in Jan 2000)
2000 - 2010
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Las Vegas Average 20 City Average Phoenix Average Miami Average
Cas
e Sc
hille
r Ind
ex
Las Vegas values approximately same in 2010 as in 2000
High value of 230.5 in Las Vegas in 2007
High value of 221.8 in Phoenix in 2006
High value of 279.4 in Miami in 2007
High value of 202.3 20 City Average in 2007
3.313
3.105
3.680
3.870
3.004
2.785
2.895
2.682
3.2413.233
2.947
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Average price in USD
$ pe
r gal
. (3.
8 lit
)
Milk Prices (Milk, fresh whole, fortified, per gal )
2000 - 2010
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Average increase of 1.9%/yr from 2000-2010 28.8% increase 2006-2007. Note similar shape to Case Shiller curve)
*7/31/10
The Milk Bubble
Historical CMBS Volume(Commercial Mortgage – Backed Securities)
4312
230
203
169
93
78
52
67
4757
74
3726
161514 16
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
CMBS Volume
CM
BS
Vol
ume
($ b
illio
ns)
WAMU fails, AIG Rescued
FDIC closes 108 banks and sells $13.737 billion
FDIC closes 25 banks and sells $1.597 billion UPB of failed assets
FDIC closes 140 banks and sells $5.683 billion of failed assets
Current Banking Crisis Timeline
July 2007
Sept 2008
Jan-Dec 2009
Bear Sterns Funds FailUnemployed 4.6%*
Unemployed rate 10.0% in 12/09*
Lehman Brothers Files bankruptcyMerrill Lynch sells to Bank of America
Jan-Jul 2010
* Each 1.00% of unemployment equates to approximately 1.5 million workers
Oct 2008
US government funds TARP program to provide liquidity to banking system
Unemployment rate 7.4% on 12/08* Sep-Dec 2008
Unemployment 6.6%*
Unemployed rate 9.5% in 7/10*
Unemployment 6.2%*
Bank Failures 2000 - 2010
25
185
140
30043
1142
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bank Falures
*
*109 banks have failed through August 6, 2010
# of
Fai
led
Ban
ks
Extrapolated 12/31/10 value
25
185
140
30043
1142
100
112.4120.6
135.6
151.7
176.5
202.4 202.3
180.7
146.4146.3
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bank Falures Case Shiller 20 city index
Bank Failures/Home Price Index 2000 – 2010
*
*109 banks have failed through August 6, 2010
# of
Fai
led
Ban
ks
Rapid decline of house prices
Rapid increase in failed bank count
Cas
e Sh
iller
20
Citi
es In
dex
# of
Fai
led
Ban
ks
Prim
e R
ate
(%)
Une
mpl
oym
ent R
ate
(%)
Bank Failures, Prime Rate, Case Shiller Index and Unemployment
2000 - 2010
25
100112.4
120.6
135.6
151.7
176.4
202.4 202.3
180.7
146.3 146.4
140
2 411 3
185
3004
5.09
8.057.96
6.17
4.344.134.68
6.92
9.23
3.25 3.254.2
4.0
5.7
5.85.7
5.34.7 4.6
5.0
7.7
9.7
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 110.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
Case Shiller 2 0 city ind ex Bank Failures Prime Rate Unemp lo yment
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bank failures
Case Shiller Index
Prime Rate
Unemployment Rate
Domino Effect
Non-Current Loans and Real Estate Owned Assets6,772 Reporting Institutions
As of 3/31/10
53
97
419398
44
227
0.49%
0.52%0.87%
3.47%3.36%
1.84%
0
100
200
300
400
500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Balance in $ of Non-Current % of Non-Current Assets & REO to Total Assets
UPB
OF
Non
-Cur
rent
Ass
ets (
$ bi
llion
s)
% o
f Non
-Cur
rent
to T
A
44.8
65.8
83.1
38.3
29.2
9.27.165.5
10.4
6.24.74.7
36.5
10.2 10.713.3
19.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bank Group 1 - Total Assers $100 mil - $1 BillionBank Group 2 - Total Assers $1 Billion - 10 BillionCombined Bank Group
Non
Cur
rent
Ass
ets &
REO
($ in
Bill
ions
)
Non-Current Loans & REO AssetsHeld by Midsized Banks 2010 Q1
Combined Bank Group Curve
FDIC Loan Sales Via Auction
1,450
5,683.8
1.6
1,597.3
69354
675
230336568
335 7.8448.8
2,119
3,480
4,146
2,005
4,562
1,341
5,387
106
180915.5
42020740 1.4
204204
845
1458
3.5 422.2
2453.2
646
1455
2811
882
2654
3332
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Book Value Sale Price
UPB
of L
oan
Sale
s ($
in m
illio
ns)
Duration = 8 years
Aggregate UPB Sold
Aggregate PPx paid
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 6/30/2010
Non-Loss sharing UPB Loss Sharing UPB
$ in billions
UPB of Failed Banks and Introduction of Loss Sharing Agreements
No loss sharing in 200825 banks
140 banks
108 banks YTD
Loss Sharing causes acquiring banks to enter partnerships with FDIC and retain assets for future sale with FDIC approval
Loss Sharing amounts
87% of 2008 UPB amount due to failure of WAMU
91.5
79.3
55.0
36.3
373.6
FDIC Loan SalesSold Via Structured Transactions
Price for EquityLoan Type # of loans BV (Mil) % Equity sold Equity $ (Mil) Leverage Implied Value % Implied $ Pd
SFR, A&D 733 146.0 40% 19.0 na 32.8% 47.9 SFR, A&D 2,829 561.0 20% 43.0 na 38.6% 216.5 2008 Total 3,562 707 62.0 264.4
ADC 1,112 1,120.0 20% 20.0 na 9.0% 100.8 Resi Construction 520 733.0 20% 32.0 na 22.0% 161.3 Commercial Construction 147 702.0 20% 41.0 na 29.2% 205.0 Consumer, Construction, Lots 3,044 1,652.0 20% 54.0 na 16.4% 270.9 SFR, A&D 5,475 1,320.0 50% 64.0 6:01 64.8% 855.4 Commercial Construction 101 4,451.0 40% 551.0 1:01 62.5% 2,781.9 2009 Total 10,399 9,978 762.0 4,375.2
Commercial Real Estate 1,184 1,028.0 40% 91.0 1:01 44.7% 459.5 Residential ADC 5,166 2,253.0 40% 172.0 1:01 38.6% 869.7 Commercial ADC 345 799.0 40% 72.0 1:01 45.7% 365.1 SFE 3,373 491.0 50% 34.0 2:01 42.0% 206.2 Commercial RE, ADC 57 421.0 40% 68.0 1:01 82.3% 346.5 SFR, A&D 1,456 314.0 50% 28.0 1:01 35.4% 111.2 Commercial Real Estate 1,660 1,849.0 40% 218.0 1:01 59.9% 1,107.6 SFR, A&D 3,755 898.0 40% 66.0 1:01 37.4% 335.9 2010 Total 16,996 8,053 749.0 3,801.6
Grand Total 30,957 18,738 1,573 8,441
FirstCity Operations
U.S.A. Europe Latin America
FirstCity Business Model
Identification
Evaluation
Execution
Servicing
Asset by Asset pricing discipline
Asset specific disposition strategies
Pricing Analysis (Economics, Industry, Operational)
FirstCity is a brand name in asset acquisition business
Sourcing comes from 24 years of relationships
Experience allows precise targeting of purchase opportunities
Sale Documentation
Servicing Transfer
Leverage considerations
Experience – tested and validated asset servicing methodologies
Extensive reporting for management and investors
Feedback Loop
Portfolio Management; Surveillance; Reporting
FirstCity Commercial FirstCity Servicing
Monitoring Servicing and making proactive changes to collection strategies
Feedback process is used to continuously refine and improve the purchase process
Knowledge gained from actual performance provides feedback for pricing
Specific resolution successes and failures reviewed with Evaluation team
FirstCity Markets – United States
• Year Established
• Assets Under Management
• Locations
• Employees
• Primary Asset Type
• Investment/Funding Capital Partners
$769 million
Waco, Texas
106
1986
Improved Commercial RE Commercial & Industrial Office
Warehouse Business Assets
Varde Partners Cargill
Perella Weinberg Partners Bank of America Bank of Scotland
• Entity FirstCity Commercial FirstCity Crestone American Business Lending
Denver, Colorado Dallas, Texas
20062007
$137 million$46 million
Small Business Loan Origination/Servicing
through SBA programs
Small Private Equity Turnaround Financing
6 14
Bank of America BFI Business Finance
Bank of Scotland
Wells Fargo Capital Finance Bank of Scotland
FirstCity Markets – Europe
• Year Established
• Assets Under Management
• Locations
• Employees
• Primary Asset Type
• Investment/Funding Capital Partners
France
$856 million
Paris
190
1997
Fonds D’Commerce Business Assets Commercial &
Industrial Single Family Residence
MCS Cargill BESV
Germany
$389 million
Hannover Siegberg
58
2006
Commercial & Industrial Business
Assets
MCS Cargill
Bank of Scotland
• Country
FirstCity Markets – Latin America
Mexico
$868 million
Mexico City Guadalajara
113
1996
Commercial & Industrial Single Family Residence Business Assets
Consumer
AIG Banco Santander
Brazil
4
2008
$282 million
Sao Paulo
Commercial & Industrial Business
Assets
AIG
Chile
$289 million
Santiago
559
2005
Consumer Commercial &
Industrial Business Assets
ServincoDeutsche Bank
• Year Established
• Assets Under Management
• Locations
• Employees
• Primary Asset Type
• Investment/Funding Capital Partners
• Country
Historical Equity Investments By Region
2.2
$ in millions
Total2004 47.7$ 80% 9.9$ 17% $ 4% 59.8$ 2005 58.6$ 79% 2.2$ 3% 13.8$ 18% 74.6$ 2006 120.2$ 70% 15.2$ 9% 34.5$ 20% 2.3$ 1% 172.2$2007 125.7$ 84% 14.3$ 10% 8.7$ 6% 148.7$2008 114.2$ 91% 7.1$ 6% 3.9$ 3% 125.2$2009 182.8$ 94% - 0 - 11.1$ 6% 193.9$-0-
-0-
Europe Other-0--0-
U.S.Latin
America
-0-
YTD 2010 71.8$ 91% - 0 - 79.1$-0-
* FCFC Investments, including other
7.3$ 9%*
• Economic and governmental uncertainties extend globally
• Uncertainties create challenges
• Unemployment in the U.S. will remain at historically high levels
• U.S. economy will struggle with a jobless recovery (the new norm)
• Dislocated markets create new opportunities
• Investors remain cautious
• Debt issuers and banks will need to adjust
• Bankers back to banking
Take - Aways
“Out of adversity comes opportunity”
James T. Sartain
(Nasdaq – FCFC)