71
International Republican Institute Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion August 29 – September 5, 2014

Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

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Page 1: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

International Republican Institute

Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion

August 29 – September 5, 2014

Page 2: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Detailed Methodology• The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute, by the Brima market research firm

(member of Taylor Nelson Sofres and Gallup International) under the supervision of David Williams from Williams

and Associates in Salem, Massachusetts.

• Data was collected from August 29–September 5, 2014, using in-person, face-to-face methodology by trained

professional interviewers.

• A total of 1,104 interviews was completed yielding an overall margin of error of plus or minus three percent at

the midrange of the 95-percent confidence level. A nationally representative sample was based on a multistage

stratification proportionate to population sample distribution, with a random selection of households and

respondents.

• The sample was prepared using the State Statistical Office data (2002 census results) for the population aged 18

and older, considering the structure of the population according to age, gender, education, type of settlement,

national affiliation and region and updated according to estimates and primary information, collected by Brima.

• Stratification was based on three stages: first, the number of respondents for each of the regions was specified in

proportion to the size of the population aged 18 and older that live in it. Second, the sampling plan consisted of

164 sampling points located according to: urban/rural split, municipality size and nationality diffusion. Third, the

selection of households was based on random route method, whereby in urban areas, every third household on

the left-hand side of the street was selected. In rural areas, the wave-wise approach is applied and the selected

household is every fourth inhabited house/dwelling on both sides of the interviewer’s route/track, counting from

the first house on the left.

• The next birthday method was used to select respondents 18 years and older.

• Figures in charts and tables may not add to 100 percent due to rounding error.

• This poll was conducted with support from the United States Agency for International Development.2

Page 3: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

International Republican Institute

Macedonians Want Improvements to Standard of Living

Page 4: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

In your opinion what is the most serious problem facing Macedonia today?

Sep-

09

Dec-

09

May-

10

Sep-

10

Dec-

10

Nov-

12

Feb-

14

May-

14

Sep-

14

Unemployment 46% 41% 42% 40% 37% 42% 43% 45% 44%

Name of the country 6% 12% 11% 8% 8% 4% 6% 7% 6%

Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15%

Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6%

Entrance into NATO/EU — — 1% 1% 1% — 1% — 3%

Interethnic relations 1% 1% 2% 1% — 1% 2% 4% 3%

Corruption 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2%

General political situation 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%

Social Problems 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 2% 1%

High Prices/High taxes — — 1% 2% 1% 4% 3% 2% 3%

Low/Non-payment of salary or

pension4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4%

4

Page 5: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

How is your and your family’s economic situation, compared with one year ago?

14% 14%13% 13%

17%

20%

18%15%

20%

18%20% 21%

16%

12%14%

16%

13% 13%11%

14% 13% 14%15% 16%

50%52%

48%43%

43%

37% 37%38%

33%32% 32%

35%

42%44% 43%

41%42%

45% 46%

42%

44%

34%

32%30%

35% 34%

39% 43%40%

42%

45% 46%45%

50%48%

44%42%

44%43% 44%

45%

43% 43%

44%

43%

51%53% 54%

1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Better Worse Same Don’t know

5

Page 6: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

In the next two years, will the Macedonian economy get better, get worse or stay the same?

35%

32%

49%

42%

39%

44%

38%

44%

38%

50%

43%

33%

29%

31% 30%31%

34%

29%

23%

28%

25% 25%26%

21%

26% 30%

13%

17%18%

15%

21%

18% 19%

15% 15%

31%

37%

35% 35%

28%

30%

35%37%

33%

35%

30%29% 29%

33%29%

34%36%

33% 33%32%

35%

29%

36%

29%

30%

29%

30%

37%

30%

32%

36%34%

34%

40% 40%

44%

5%

8% 9%8% 8% 8% 8%

7%

9%

6% 6% 7%

4% 5% 5%4%

5%4% 4% 4%

6%5%

6%7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Better Worse Same Don't know/Refused to answer 6

Page 7: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Which one of these issues would directly make your life better?

0%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

3%

7%

10%

15%

23%

33%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Nothing

Employment

Other

Police presence

All Options one by one

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Court reform

Fight against corruption

Lower taxes

Lower prices

EU membership

Higher wages

7

Page 8: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Overall, is Macedonia moving in the right or wrong direction?

27%

22%

28%

23%

30%

34%

29% 29%28%

38%

34%

32%

25% 24%26%

29%31%

23%

19%22%

27%

31%

39%

36%

38%

43%

31%

36% 31%

27%

32% 33% 33%

28%

31%

33%36%

38%40%

29%32%

45%43%

48%

44%41%

33%

39%

33% 33%

37%

38%

36% 35% 36% 36% 37%

32%33%

38%

36%

32%

40%

35%

31%

36%

30%27%

26% 27%

24%

2% 2%4%

3% 3% 4% 3% 3%1%

2% 3% 2% 1%3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%

2% 2% 2% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Right WrongNeither Don't know

8

Page 9: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Speaking of you personally, is your overall quality of life:

15%14%

18%16% 16%

23%

18%

14%

19%22%

20%19%

15%13%

16% 16%14%

17%

13%15%

13%

17%15%

13%

42%43%

33% 33% 33%

28%

33%34%

31%

24%26%

32%35%

37%36%

33%

37% 38%40%

37%39%

31% 32%

38%42% 43%

48%

51% 50%49% 49%

52%

49%

54%53%

48%50% 49%

48%50%

48%

45%47% 47% 48%

51%53%

47%

1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Getting better Getting worse Staying the same Don't know

9

Page 10: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Has unemployment increased or decreased over the last year?

58%

54%50%

53%

61%

71%

76%75%

72% 71%74% 75%

71%

67%

52%

44% 46%

30%

38% 37%34%

29%

23%

17% 19%21% 21%

19% 19%24%

27%39%

43% 42%

12%8%

13% 13% 10%

6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 5% 6% 7%9%

13%

12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Increased Decreased Don't know/No answer

10

Page 11: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

When was life better for you, today or before the breakup of Yugoslavia?

18% 19% 17% 17%

12%

18%15% 16%

19%22% 20% 21% 21% 21% 22% 22% 22% 23% 22%

27%24%

21%24%

26%

74%72% 72% 72%

80%

71% 71% 70% 70%67%

70% 68% 69%67%

70%68% 70%

67%69%

64% 64% 63%60% 60%

8% 10% 11% 11%9%

11%15% 14%

12% 12% 10% 11% 9%12%

8%10% 8% 10% 9% 9%

12%

16% 16%14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Today Before breakup Don't know

11

Page 12: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

International Republican Institute

NATO and EU Membership Remain Highly Favored

Page 13: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of NATO?

90% 89% 89% 90% 89%91% 91%

89%92% 90% 90% 89%

94% 92%94%

91%89% 89%

91%

87%85%

78% 77%

7% 8% 8% 7%9%

7% 7% 8%5%

8% 8% 9%6% 7%

5%8%

10% 10%

6%9%

11%

16% 15%

3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4%

3%2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3%

4% 4%6%

7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Don't know

13

Page 14: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you support Macedonia becoming a member of the EU?

96% 97% 96% 96%94% 95% 96%

94%96%

94% 93% 92%95%

93%96%

94%92% 90%

87%84%

76%72% 72%

3% 3% 2%4% 4% 4% 3%

5%3%

4% 5% 7%4%

6%4%

6%7%

9% 9%12%

19% 20%23%

2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1%1%

1%1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

1% 1% 1%4% 4%

6%8%

5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Don't know

14

Page 15: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Why do you support Macedonia becoming a member of EU? (n=797)

<1%

1%

2%

2%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

10%

13%

21%

23%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

We deserve/We are part of Europe

Law and order

We will be in Europe/Have the same rights, laws

Government and corruption control

Safety/Peace

Investments/Financial help/Security

Other

Employment

Better future/Perspective for Macedonian youth

Do not know

No visa/Boundaries/Able to travel/Work abroad

Better standards/Economic situation

It will be better/More opportunities/Prosperity

15

Page 16: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Why don’t you support Macedonia becoming a member of EU? (n=252)

2%

<1%

2%

2%

4%

23%

12%

9%

6%

9%

10%

13%

8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

EU will split up

Europe is in crisis and debt

Bad experience of the new EU members

EU acting unfreindly toward Macedonia

Because of the name issue

Other

Living standard will decline/People are poor

Do not know

We are not ready for EU/They don't want us

It will be more expensive

It will be worse/Crisis in Macedonia

We don't need it/It will be the same/No benefit/No Effect

Higher standards that we do not meet

16

Page 17: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you think Macedonia is closer to EU entry today, or was it closer when it got its EU candidate country status?

*(until Nov. 2012 the question was phrased “…today, or four years ago?”)

48%

58%

32%

39%

32%31%

23%

45%

34%

43%

22%

19%

23%

27% 25%

Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%Closer today Four years ago Don't know/No answer

17

Page 18: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

In how many years do you think Macedonia will become a member of the EU?

8%

24%

8%

25%

8%

4%

23%

0 to 2

3 to 5

6 to 9

10 to 15

16 to 26

30+

Don't know

18

Page 19: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

International Republican Institute

Concerned about Freedom of Speech and Freedom of Expression

Page 20: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you think that free speech and the free expression of ideas exist in Macedonia today?

48%49%

48% 48%

42%

46% 47% 46%

43%

49%

6%4%

6%9% 10%

Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Yes No Don't know/No answer

20

Page 21: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you think that civil society organizations are free from political influence, or are their programs and agenda

influenced and funded by political parties in Macedonia?

19%

26%24%

27%

16%

69%

64%61%

55%

60%

12%10%

16%18%

25%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14

Free from party influence Influenced by parties Don’t know/No answer

21

Page 22: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

To what level do you agree with the statement: government advertising in the media negatively affects press freedom?

18%

17%

32%

9%

7%

16%

Completely agree

Somewhat agree

Neither agree nor disagree

Somewhat disagree

Completely disagree

Don’t know/Refused to answer

22

Page 23: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

International Republican Institute

Opinions on Internal Stability and Foreign Policy

Page 24: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

How do you estimate the current internal political situationin Macedonia?

50%

31%

26%23%

44% 53% 54%51%

56%

44%

28%

48%

42%40% 39%

44%

39%37%

53%

58%61%

43% 36% 36%38%

35%43%

55%

41%

43%45% 45%

41%

46%

9%12%

13% 13%10%

8% 7% 7% 6% 10%

15%

9%

13% 13% 12%

9%

12%

5%4% 3% 3% 3%

4%3%

4% 3%

3% 2% 2%3% 3%

4%6%

4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%Peaceful and stable Intense and uncertain Critical and unstable Don't know/No answer

24

Page 25: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Is the Republic of Macedonia more or less stable today than it was one year ago?

33%

23%26% 26%

31%

36%

23%

23% 21%

26%

33%30%

24%21% 22%

27%25%

14%

19%18%21%

23% 22%

18%16%

18%

12%

19% 19%17%

29%30%

35%

25%17%

23%

24%

17%19%

18%

20%

43%

26%

29% 28%

33%

27%

31%

49%

57%60%

53%

46%45%

47% 46%43%

46% 47% 46%

51%

60%58%

54% 54%

42%

54%53%

50%

43%45%

47%

1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%5%

4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

More Less Same Don't know

25

Page 26: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Which one of these would you say is the most important foreign policy issue facing Macedonia?

1%

1%

5%

8%

11%

22%

25%

28%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

All of this simultaneously

Other

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Relations with neighbors

Becoming member of NATO

Increasing foreign investment

Start negotiations with the EU/EU integration

Recognition of name

26

Page 27: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

International Republican Institute

Performance of Government and Institutions

Page 28: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

According to you, does the government have an effective plan to address the economic problems Macedonia is facing?

41% 40% 38% 38% 38%34%

32%

37% 36% 37%

45%

34%

42%

46%49% 49% 49%

56%59%

56%

51% 50%

42%

52%

18%14%

13% 13% 13%10% 10%

8%

13% 12% 13% 14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

28

Page 29: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Using the scale used in Macedonian schools, where one is unsatisfactory and five is excellent, what grade would you give for the... ?

2.78

2.51

2.7

2.78

2.52

2.74

2.7

2.55

2.73

2.72

2.5

2.7

2.45

2.32

2.5

2.52

2.2

2.43

2.55

2.41

2.54

2.53

2.29

2.53

2.76

2.62

2.88

2.78

2.59

2.84

2.66

2.55

2.78

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

The government'spolicies so far

Ability of thegovernment to

communicate itspolicies to you

personally

Ability of thegovernment to

communicate to thepublic

Sep-14

May-14

Feb-14

Nov-12

Dec-10

Sep-10

May-10

Dec-09

Sep-09

Jun-09

Apr-09

29

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Do you consider that, with its actions and behavior, the government of Nikola Gruevski is transparent or non-transparent?

38%

48%

15%

36%

55%

8%

35%

57%

9%

36%

54%

11%

38%

53%

9%

40%

48%

12%

49%

40%

11%

39%

45%

16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Transparent Non-transparent Don't know/No answer

Dec-09 May-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Nov-12 Feb-14 May-14 Sep-14

30

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Has Prime Minister Nikola Gruevskidone his job well enough to deserve re-election?

59%

61%

54%

56%

54%

66%

61%61%

51%

45%47%

45% 43%

42%39%

36%39%

41%

44%

40%

23%24%

30%

27%

33%

22%

27%25%

38%40%

39%

31%

40%

48%48%

53%

44%46%

38%

45%

18%

15% 16%

17%

14%12%

12%

15%

11%

15%

14%

23%

17%

11%

13%

11%

17%

13%

18%

15%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer31

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According to you, to what degree do the following, through their work and activities, contribute to solving problems in our country?

16%

18%

15%

14%

11%

14%

23%

20%

22%

14%

14%

13%

15%

31%

15%

23%

19%

18%

20%

22%

21%

21%

22%

24%

21%

22%

24%

20%

23%

24%

29%

22%

23%

28%

26%

27%

27%

25%

23%

34%

25%

35%

26%

21%

28%

22%

27%

28%

29%

22%

21%

18%

18%

17%

21%

27%

20%

22%

12%

25%

5%

11%

13%

6%

6%

4%

3%

3%

4%

2%

7%

4%

3%

2%

4%

5%

4%

3%

4%

13%

12%

8%

12%

11%

8%

6%

4%

14%

12%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

The assembly

The president

The government (ministries, etc.)

ministries

Custom administration

Cadastre of real estates and land registry

Courts

Public prosecution

State Commission for Preventing Corruption

Public enterprises

Bodies of local administration

Political parties

Civic associations

Labor unions

Media

Not contribute at all Do not contribute Neither contribute nor not contribute

They contribute They contribute greatly Don't know

32

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To what degree did you trust the following according to their actions in the last 12 months?

17%

17%

16%

15%

13%

13%

24%

20%

22%

13%

14%

16%

14%

29%

15%

22%

16%

18%

18%

21%

22%

23%

24%

25%

22%

23%

25%

19%

22%

24%

31%

22%

27%

30%

25%

27%

27%

26%

24%

33%

25%

37%

28%

22%

30%

22%

29%

24%

27%

22%

20%

17%

17%

16%

22%

27%

17%

21%

11%

24%

4%

12%

13%

5%

5%

5%

3%

3%

3%

3%

6%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

3%

5%

14%

13%

6%

10%

10%

7%

5%

3%

14%

13%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

The assembly

The president

The government (ministries, etc.)

Ministries

Custom administration

Cadastre of real estates and land registry

Courts

Public prosecution

State Commission for Preventing Corruption

Public enterprises

Bodies of local administration

Political parties

Civic associations

Labor unions

Media

I have no trust at all I have no trust I neither trust nor distrust them

I trust them I fully trust them Do not know

33

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International Republican Institute

Perception on the Assembly, Experience with MPs and

View on Election Day

Page 35: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Have you contacted a member of parliament in the last 12 months?

74%

14%

12%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

I have not contacted anyone

I tried, but have notmanaged to establish contact

Yes

35

Page 36: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

If you have contacted a member of parliament in the last 12 months, how did you establish that contact?

(n=131)

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3%

In electoral district office

Through personal contact or friend

At Parliament office

Via telephone

Via letter

Staff member

Through party mediator

Other

36

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Have you been personally contacted by a member of parliament in the last 12 months?

8%

92%

Yes

No

37

Page 38: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you think that Parliament should be open to citizens, for example, to be allowed to enter the premises of the Parliament without prior schedule and to

follow sessions of Parliament or its committees?

52%38%

10%

Yes, open for citizens

No, should not beopen

Don't know/Refused toanswer

38

Page 39: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you believe that your vote on election day is secret?

66%

27%

7%

Yes

No

Don't know

39

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Have you, a member of your family, relative or someone you personally know ever been subjected to pressure such as force, threats, vote buying or

other illegal means, to vote in a particular way? *(in Feb. 2014 responses refer to 2011, 2013 and 2014 elections)

* (in May 2014 responses refer to 2014 elections)

18%

3%

72%

7%

17%

5%

75%

3%

15%

7%

72%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

I personally know peoplewho were subjected to

pressure

I was personally subjectedto pressure

I was neither subjected topressure nor know people

who were

Refused to answer

Sep-14

May-14

Feb-14

40

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International Republican Institute

Experience and Views on the Judiciary

Page 42: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Did you, or a member of your family, have any experience with the courts within the last 12 months (as a witness, party in a case, filed a complaint or

any other business in the courts)?

18%

78%

2%

3%

Yes

No

Refused to answer

Don’t know

42

Page 43: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you think the courts in Macedonia resolve cases in a timely manner?

5% 16% 25% 21% 22% 1% 12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Definitely yes Rather yes Neither yes or no Rather no

Definitely no Refused to answer Don’t know

43

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Are all citizens equally treated under the court procedures and in deciding cases?

3% 16% 24% 25% 21% 1% 11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Yes, definitely equal In general they are equally treated

More or less Not equally treated

Not equal treated at all Refused to answer

Don’t know

44

Page 45: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

What is the main reason for unequal treatment? (n=507)

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

5%

5%

11%

31%

39%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Gender

Other

Connections/Friends

Refused

Religious

Don't know

Corruption/Bribes/Money

Ethnic

Economic/Social

Political

45

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According to you, to what extent are the courts susceptible to political influence in deciding court cases?

20% 31% 22% 8% 2%

2%

15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Fully susceptible Rather susceptible

Neither susceptible nor unsusceptible Rather unsusceptible

Not susceptible at all Refused to answer

Don't know

46

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Do you think in practice that all citizens have equal opportunities to access courts in order to exercise their rights?

7%

18%

23%

21%

18%

3%

10%They absolutely have equalopportunities

In general they have equalopportunities

Neither yes or no

In general they have unequalopportunities

They do not have equalopportunities

Refused to answer

Don't know

47

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What is the main reason for unequal access to the courts? (n=428)

<1%

<1%

2%

3%

4%

6%

8%

11%

31%

32%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Connections

Other

Physical barriers (distance) of thecourts

Bribes

Lack of information on how to file acase

Don't know

Lack of information on how courtsoperate

Low level of legal culture of citizens

Political reasons

Financial reasons (court fees/lawyerfees)

48

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International Republican Institute

Civil Society and Citizen Participation

Page 50: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Which of the following statements best describe your knowledge about nongovernmental organizations (NGO) or citizens’

associations in your community?

8%

21%

31%

41%

I am very well informedabout what they do and theservices they offer

I am informed about whatthey do and the servicesthey offer

I am not informed aboutwhat they do and theservices they offer

I am not informed about anyNGO or similar group

50

Page 51: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

According to you, what is the motivation (principal reason) that citizens in Macedonia become members of citizens’ associations (NGO)?

5%

5%

6%

6%

8%

10%

11%

20%

29%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

In order to improve theirknowledge

In order to influence national orlocal policies

In order to be social

Because they have a considerableamount of free time

In order to realize the programgoals of the NGO

In order to help other people

In order to solve a concreteproblem or need

Don't know

Because of their personal interests

51

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To what degree are you motivated to engage in activities of citizens’ associations on issues you consider to be of social importance?

43%

17%

19%

5%

4%

11%

I am not motivated

I am not motivated enough

I am motivated enough

I am fully motivated

Refused to answer

Don't know

52

Page 53: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

What is the reason you are motivated to engage in NGO activities? (n=267)

4%

4%

6%

10%

11%

13%

15%

16%

21%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Because they have a considerableamount of free time

Don't know

In order to realize the programgoals of the NGO

In order to be social

In order to influence national orlocal policies

In order to improve my knowledge

Because of my personal interests

In order to help other people

In order to solve a concreteproblem or need

53

Page 54: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

What is the reason you are not motivated to engage in NGO activities? (n=665)

1%

2%

2%

5%

6%

11%

16%

18%

19%

21%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

No time

Older person

I am afraid of the consequences

Don't know

I know they will not hear me out

It would be a waste of time

It's not my business

I don't believe anything will bechanged

I don't have a specific reason

Personal indifference

54

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Please indicate if you have personally supported NGO activities in the last 12 months in any of the following ways.

17%

25%

4%

6%

7%

8%

5%

9%

4%

83%

75%

96%

94%

93%

92%

95%

91%

96%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Donating money

Donating goods

In-kind donations

Providing free professional services

Participating as a citizen volunteer

Participating in online activities/initiatives

Participating in advocacy or oversight activities

Attending an event or activity by an NGO

Some other activity

Yes No

55

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In which area is the NGO activity that you have supported?

<1%

<1%

<1%

5%

28%

66%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Education

Youth and sports

Other

Charity

Red Cross

I have supported but don'tremember the name

Have not supported

56

Page 57: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Have you engaged in activities to address a social or community problem in the last 12 months? (e.g. participated in a protest, filed a complaint, initiated

or supported an online petition, etc.)

6%

94%

Yes

No

57

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Have you have ever signed a petition, do you think you might, or would you never, under any circumstances, do it?

12%

36%

36%

16%

Signed a petition

I might sign a petition

I would never

Don't know/Refused toanswer

58

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Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted or that you need to be very careful in dealing with people?

7%

85%

9%

Most people can be trusted

Need to be very careful

Don’t know/Refused to answer

59

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International Republican Institute

Climate Change

Page 61: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Some argue that human activity is altering the world’s climate, do you…

42%

29%

12%

5%

11%Completely agree

Somewhat agree

Somewhat disagree

Completely disagree

Don't know

61

Page 62: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Do you think climate change will affect you or your family in some way?

49%

28%

11%

4%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Sep-14

Probably yes

Maybe yes, maybe no

Probably no

Definitely no

Don’t know

62

Page 63: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

In your view, is climate change having any impact on the region (within Macedonia) where you live?

72%

19%

9%

Yes

No

Don’t know

63

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How important is it, in your view, to take collective action to reduce any negative impacts arising from climate change ?

42%

30%

14%

3%

2%8% Definitely important

Rather important

Neither important orunimportant

Rather unimportant

Definitely unimportant

Don't know

64

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International Republican Institute

Demographics

Page 66: Survey of Macedonian Public Opinion - IRI September 26...Low standard of living/Poverty 13% 11% 10% 14% 16% 13% 11% 13% 15% Economic problems 15% 17% 20% 17% 18% 17% 12% 8% 6% Entrance

Gender

50%50%Male

Female

66

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Age

13%

20%

18%18%

15%

15%

18-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

54-64

65+

67

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Ethnicity

65%

25%

5%3%

1%<1%

2%

Macedonian

Albanian

Turkish

Roma

Serbian

Vlach

Other

68

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Education

5%

24%

53%

18%

No education/Uncompletedelementary

Elementary

Secondary

Hgher/University

69

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Occupation

20%

5%

9%

11%19%

24%

7%

2%

Blue-collar worker

Agricultural

White-collar worker

Housewife

Retired

Unemployed

Student

Other

70

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