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Understanding the New Zealand Economy Supported by SAS Colin Lynch Deputy Government Statistician Macro-Economic and Environment Statistics 21 February 2013

Sunz2013 colin lynch

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Page 1: Sunz2013 colin lynch

Understanding the New Zealand

Economy

Supported by SAS

Colin Lynch

Deputy Government Statistician

Macro-Economic and Environment Statistics

21 February 2013

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What I hope you take from this talk

An understanding of what we use SAS for within

Statistics New Zealand

Some snap shots of the New Zealand economy and

the computer system and design industry.

Some insight into the services we provide and how

they might be helpful for you.

Plus a reminder that the Census is on 5 March 2013

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Official statistics

Can be accessed by all

Inform debate and research

Contribute to New Zealand’s:

• economic,

• environmental, and

• social development

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SAS in

Statistics New Zealand

SOCIAL & POPULATION • Population (demographics)

• Social Statistics analysis including

Longitudinal surveys

Household Economic Survey, Census

ORGANISATION DEVELOPMENT

• Corporate – Financial & HR analysis

• IT Solutions Development, Testing,

Support

STANDARDS & METHODS

• Seasonal Adjustment Weighting

• Imputation

• Classifications

• Statistical Analysis

COLLECTIONS & DISSEMINATION

• Data Processing (IRD)

• Data Lab – data matching.

• Time Series analysis

• Tabular data presentation

MACRO ECONOMIC

• Quarterly & Annual GDP

• Economic Dev. Statistics

• Balance of Payments Analysis

• Price Index Validation & Analysis

INDUSTRY & LABOUR

• Data linking and analysis

• Labour Force Survey

• Business Demographics

• Agriculture

• Accommodation

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Transforming Data into National Accounts

Data Sources Transformation/Systems National Accounts

Information about

Businesses

Information about

Households

Information about

Government

Information about

Industries/ Commodities

SNA Framework Methods and Concepts

Reconciliation (quarterly to

annual)

Seasonal Adjustments

Supply-Use Framework

Constant Price Methods

System

Production Account

Income Account

Capital Account

Financial Account

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-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13Annual average percentage change

GDP Growth Percent

Source: Statistics New Zealand

2.5% annual

average growth

Sept 2012 Qtr

0.9% annual

growth Dec

2012 Qtr

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13Annual percentage change

Consumers price index

June 1995 – December 2012 Percent

Source: Statistics New Zealand

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What we measure

Output Intermediate consumption GDP -

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How have we grown over the last 20 years

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Source: Statistics New Zealand

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Where do we fit in the world ?

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What we spend our national income on

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What we produce

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What do we invest in ?

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Changing mixture of investment

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Improving productivity

1988 =

2010 =

=

=

ICT intensive industries Economy

100 100

180 160

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Computer system and design

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Input-output For the motion picture industry to produce $1 million more output, it needs

an extra $35,000 in goods and services from computer systems and design

Industry producing $1 million more Extra output from computer design

Central government administration and justice $44,000

Motion picture and sound recording activities $35,000

Broadcasting and internet publishing $28,000

Telecommunications services including internet service providers

$28,000

Average for all industries $11,000

Residential building construction $7,000

Forestry and logging $7,000

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Online Tools: Business Toolbox

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How to access data

All our statistics are free to download

Freephone 0508 525 525

Email us on [email protected]

www.stats.govt.nz

Talk to us about data we can send you

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2013 Census

Tuesday 5 March 2013