Upload
others
View
3
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Weekly Report – Saudi Arabia March 31, 2019
Saudi Arabia Weekly Review – week ended March 28, 2019
Stories of the week Summary of the week Key movers
Saudi Aramco acquires 70% majority stake in SABIC for SAR 260 bn
Zain signs SAR 2.5 bn agreement for tower infra sale
Aggregate profit of Saudi banks rises 3.4% YoY in February 2019
Kingdom Holding’s net profit up 2.7% YoY in FY 2018
NEOM to develop USD 5 bn rainwater recycling project
Saudi’s foreign capital inflows to increase to USD 50 bn in 2019: IIF
Number of the week
5.22% FII Ownership in Tadawul, at the record high at the end of March 21st, up from 5.08% at the end of the previous week
Saudi equity markets rose during the week with TASI increasing 0.9%, while weekly trading volumes fell 18%. The fixed income market had a slightly downward movement, with 10 year sovereign yield down by 0.2 basis points (bps).
In corporate news, State oil giant Saudi Aramco acquired 70% majority stake in SABIC from the PIF for SAR 260 bn, at SAR 123.39 per share. Kingdom Holding Co. reported a net profit of SAR 681.6 mn for FY 2018, a rise of 2.7% YoY. Saudi Arabia's megacity project NEOM is plans to develop a USD 5 bn rainwater recycling project.
Equities
Tadawul All Share Index
S&P Saudi Sharia
NOMU Index
Fixed Income
KSA 10-year sovereign yield
Commodities
ICE Brent
Disclaimer : “The Weekly Report – Saudi Arabia” has been prepared and issued by MEFIC Capital a CMA, Saudi Arabia regulated entity. This Report is intended to be circulated for general information only. The information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but in no way are warranted by us as to its accuracy or completeness. For further information, please contact at Email: [email protected]
1%
0.9%
0.2bps
0.7%
0.4%
Tel: +966 11 218 6666 | Fax: +966 11 218 6668 | Toll Free Number: 800-12-63342 | 7758 King Fahad Road-Office 1Riyadh 4187-12333 Saudi Arabia | www.mefic.com.sa | CMA License Number: 06029-37
CR: 1010237038 | CCR: 184700 @mefic MEFIC MEFIC Capital
Weekly Report – Saudi Arabia
March 31, 2019
2
Key Stories of the week
Saudi Aramco acquires 70% majority stake in
SABIC for SAR 260 bn
State oil giant Saudi Aramco acquired 70%
majority stake in SABIC from the Public
Investment Fund (PIF) for SAR 260 bn. The
private transaction was signed for SAR 123.39
per share. “This transaction is a major step in
accelerating Saudi Aramco’s transformative
downstream growth strategy of integrated
refining and petrochemicals,” Amin Nasser,
President and CEO, Saudi Aramco said.
Zain signs SAR 2.5 bn agreement for tower
infra sale
Mobile Telecommunications Co. (Zain) signed
an agreement worth SAR 2.52 bn with IHS
Holding Limited for the sale and lease back of
its passive towers infrastructure. The
agreement includes sale of approximately
8,100 passive tower infrastructure and the
building of an additional 1,500 over the next 6
years together with the lease back of such
towers, for 15 years with the option to extend.
The proceeds from the sale will be used to
reduce debt of the Murabaha facility by SAR
2.52 bn, which will result in significant savings in
the debt servicing, the company said.
Aggregate profit of Saudi banks rises 3.4% YoY
in February 2019
Saudi-listed banks reported a 3.4% YoY rise in
aggregate net profit to SAR 3.9 bn in February
2019, as per data released by SAMA. The
sector’s aggregate earnings grew by 11% YoY
to SAR 8.83 bn year to date.
Kingdom Holding’s net profit up 2.7% YoY in FY
2018
Kingdom Holding Co. reported a net profit of
SAR 681.6 mn for FY 2018, a rise of 2.7% YoY,
due to higher profit share from equity-
accounted affiliates, hotel and other
operating revenues and dividends income.
NEOM to develop USD 5 bn rainwater
recycling project
Saudi Arabia's megacity project NEOM is
developing a USD 5 bn rainwater recycling
project, as per Gavin van Tonder, Water
Sector head at NEOM. “Under the new
project, seven mega tanks will be built in
several sites to capture, recycle and reuse
runoff and rainwater,” Tonder said. The first
phase of the program is expected to be
finalized by 2022, he added.
Saudi’s foreign capital inflows to increase to
USD 50 bn in 2019: IIF
Non-resident capital inflows in Saudi Arabia
are expected to increase to USD 50 bn in
2019, from USD 37 bn in 2018, as per the
Institute of International Finance (IIF). Equity
inflows are expected to make a significant
contribution to portfolio flows as Saudi
Arabia’s stock market was admitted into the
FTSE on March 18, it noted in a report. It also
noted that Saudi stocks will also be benefitted
significantly from the addition to the MSCI EM
Index during May, as the eight-largest
constituent with 2.6% weight.
Source: Tadawul, Bloomberg, Media reports
Weekly Report – Saudi Arabia
March 31, 2019
3
Key Charts – Trends for rolling year
Equities
Fixed Income
Commodities
TASI 10-yr Sovereign Yield (%) Brent (USD/bl)
Volume (daily mn shares) SEC Sukuk Yield (%) Arab Light Crude (USD/bl)
P/E Saudi Arabia CDS (10 YR) Gold (USD/Oz)
FII Ownership (%) SAIBOR – 3M (%) CRB Commodity Index
Source: Tadawul, Reuters Eikon, Bloomberg
Data as of March 28, 2019
28-Mar,
8789
6500
7000
7500
8000
8500
9000
1-J
an
31-J
an
2-M
ar
1-A
pr
1-M
ay
31-M
ay
30-J
un
30-J
ul
29-A
ug
28-S
ep
28-O
ct
27-N
ov
27-D
ec
26-J
an
25-F
eb
27-M
ar
16.7%
29-Mar,
3.80
3.50
3.75
4.00
4.25
4.50
4.75
1-J
an
31-J
an
2-M
ar
1-A
pr
1-M
ay
31-M
ay
30-J
un
30-J
ul
29-A
ug
28-S
ep
28-O
ct
27-N
ov
27-D
ec
26-J
an
25-F
eb
27-M
ar
6M 75 bps
1M 21 bps
28-Mar,
68.0
40
50
60
70
80
90
19-D
ec
18-J
an
17-F
eb
19-M
ar
18-A
pr
18-M
ay
17-J
un
17-J
ul
16-A
ug
15-S
ep
15-O
ct
14-N
ov
14-D
ec
13-J
an
12-F
eb
14-M
ar
1M 4.6%
6M -15.4%
28-Mar,
123.0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1-J
an
31-J
an
2-M
ar
1-A
pr
1-M
ay
31-M
ay
30-J
un
30-J
ul
29-A
ug
28-S
ep
28-O
ct
27-N
ov
27-D
ec
26-J
an
25-F
eb
27-M
ar
1M
22.9% 29-Mar,
3.27
3.00
3.25
3.50
3.75
4.00
4.25
4.50
1-J
an
31-J
an
2-M
ar
1-A
pr
1-M
ay
31-M
ay
30-J
un
30-J
ul
29-A
ug
28-S
ep
28-O
ct
27-N
ov
27-D
ec
26-J
an
25-F
eb
27-M
ar
6M 82 bps
1M 31 bps
28-Mar,
67.9
40
50
60
70
80
90
19-D
ec
18-J
an
17-F
eb
19-M
ar
18-A
pr
18-M
ay
17-J
un
17-J
ul
16-A
ug
15-S
ep
15-O
ct
14-N
ov
14-D
ec
13-J
an
12-F
eb
14-M
ar
1M 1.6%
6M -15.9%
28-Mar,
19.6
15
16
17
18
19
20
8-M
ar
7-A
pr
7-M
ay
6-J
un
6-J
ul
5-A
ug
4-S
ep
4-O
ct
3-N
ov
3-D
ec
2-J
an
1-F
eb
3-M
ar
0.7x
3.3X
1M
6M
28-Mar,
133.91
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
14-F
eb
16-M
ar
15-A
pr
15-M
ay
14-J
un
14-J
ul
13-A
ug
12-S
ep
12-O
ct
11-N
ov
11-D
ec
10-J
an
9-F
eb
11-M
ar
1M -1bps
6M -5bps
28-Mar,
1,290.6
1150
1200
1250
1300
1350
1400
5-D
ec
4-J
an
3-F
eb
5-M
ar
4-A
pr
4-M
ay
3-J
un
3-J
ul
2-A
ug
1-S
ep
1-O
ct
31-O
ct
30-N
ov
30-D
ec
29-J
an
28-F
eb
1M -0.2%
6M 5.4%
21-Mar,
5.22
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
13-D
ec
12-J
an
11-F
eb
13-M
ar
12-A
pr
12-M
ay
11-J
un
11-J
ul
10-A
ug
9-S
ep
9-O
ct
8-N
ov
8-D
ec
7-J
an
6-F
eb
8-M
ar
15bps 1M
21bps 6M
28-Mar,
2.87
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
2.50
2.75
3.00
3.25
4-D
ec
3-J
an
2-F
eb
4-M
ar
3-A
pr
3-M
ay
2-J
un
2-J
ul
1-A
ug
31-A
ug
30-S
ep
30-O
ct
29-N
ov
29-D
ec
28-J
an
27-F
eb
1M -4bps
6M +13bps
28-Mar,
2,953.2
2500
2650
2800
2950
3100
3250
4-D
ec
3-J
an
2-F
eb
4-M
ar
3-A
pr
3-M
ay
2-J
un
2-J
ul
1-A
ug
31-A
ug
30-S
ep
30-O
ct
29-N
ov
29-D
ec
28-J
an
27-F
eb
1M 0.1%
6M -1.3%
3.5% 1M
6M
Weekly Report – Saudi Arabia
March 31, 2019
4
Key Statistics
Asset Class Equity
Indices
Index M.Ca
p $ Bn
Last
Close
1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%)
YTD
(%)
2018
(%)
P/E
(TTM)
P/B
(TTM)
D/Y
(%)
Tadawul All Share 550.2 8789 0.9 3.5 12.3 8.3 19.4 2 3.2
S&P Saudi Sharia 351.9 1130 0.7 3.6 12.8 7.4 21 2.1 3.4
NOMU Index 1.2 3689 1 2.7 46.3 -19.7 10.8 1.8 6
MSCI EM Index 14293 1045 -2.3 -0.5 8.2 34.9 13.1 1.6 2.7
Volume & Value
Index Volume (Mn) % Change
Weekly Value (SAR Mn)
Tadawul All Share Index 619.6 -18 14644.5
Parallel Market Index (NOMU) 0.5 31.1 8.6
Tadawul (Top 10)
Companies M.Cap
$ Bn
Last
(SAR)
1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%)
YTD
(%)
P/E
(TTM) P/B
(TTM) D/Y
(%)
Saudi Basic Indust Corp 99 123.8 -1 1.1 6.5 17.3 2.1 3.5
Saudi Telecom 57.2 107.2 1.1 7.8 16.8 19.9 3.3 3.7
Al Rajhi Bank 46.2 106.6 3.5 6.2 21.8 16.8 3.6 4
National Comm Bank 43.9 54.9 3.8 5.4 14.7 15.4 2.8 3.9
Samba Fin. Group 20.5 38.4 2.7 5.3 22.3 13.9 1.8 4.7
Riyad Bank 19.3 24.1 0.9 8 21.5 15.3 2 3.2
Saudi Electricity 18.3 16.5 -1 -0.1 9 39.1 0.9 4.2
Saudi Arabian Mining 17.1 54.8 -0.4 0.2 11.2 34.7 2.3 0
Saudi British Bank 15.1 37.7 3.3 3.3 15.5 11.5 1.7 5.2
Almarai 14.7 55.1 0.2 2.2 14.8 28.3 3.9 1.5
Top Gainers
Companies Last
(SAR) 1Wk (%)
MTD
(%) YTD (%)
P/E
(TTM)
P/B
(TTM) D/Y (%)
Al Tayyar Travel Group 28.3 7.2 17 41.5 NA 1 1.7
Herfy Food Services 54.8 6.2 11.4 20.2 17.4 3.8 3.9
United Intl Transp 32.4 5.4 10.4 22.8 13.5 2 4.7
Banque Saudi Fransi 37 3.9 2.4 17.7 13.4 1.4 3.4
Yamama Cement 15.4 3.9 10.2 20.7 NA 0.9 0
Top Losers
Companies Last
(SAR)
1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%)
YTD
(%)
P/E
(TTM)
P/B
(TTM)
D/Y
(%)
Al Rajhi Co for Coop Insur 65.1 -12 -13 -2.7 11.8 3.4 NA
Saudi Cable 43.5 -8.6 -6 13.9 NA 5.5 NA
Saudi Enaya Coo Ins 13.4 -7.2 -1.5 -35.6 NA 5.2 NA
Zamil Industrial Invest 18 -6.6 -1.2 3.4 NA 0.8 0
Arabian Shield Insur 17.3 -6.3 -6.2 -5.8 15.2 1.2 0
Most Active (Volume)
Most Active Volume
Volume
Traded
(Mn)
1Wk
(%)
YTD
(%) P/E (TTM) P/B (TTM) D/Y (%)
Saudi Kayan Petchem 58.8 -4.2 6.7 12.4 1.3 NA
Alinma Bank 42 -2.7 5.4 14.3 1.7 4.1
Abdullah Abdul Mohsin 41.5 -5.2 -12.2 NA 0.9 0
Al Tayyar Travel Group 39.9 7.2 41.5 NA 1 1.7
Dar Al Arkan Real Estate 37.7 -2.5 19.3 22.8 0.6 4.6
Most Active (Value)
Most Active Value
Value
Traded
(SAR Mn)
1Wk (%) % YTD P/E
(TTM)
P/B
(TTM) D/Y (%)
Al Rajhi Banking & Invest 1831.7 3.5 21.8 16.8 3.6 4
Saudi Basic Indust Corp 1800.2 -1 6.5 17.3 2.1 3.5
Al Tayyar Travel Group 1133.5 7.2 41.5 NA 1 1.7
Alinma Bank 1031.1 -2.7 5.4 14.3 1.7 4.1
Saudi Kayan Petchem 836.3 -4.2 6.7 12.4 1.3 NA
NOMU (Top 5)
Companies M.Cap
$ mn Last (SAR) 1Wk (%) MTD (%) YTD (%)
P/E
(TTM) P/B (TTM)
Al Aseel 220.8 27.6 0.4 8.2 33.7 14.6 1.6
Raydan 91.3 15.2 2.8 1.5 -0.1 12.6 1.2
Baazeem 78 28.9 3.2 -8.5 -0.7 10.8 1.5
Abo Moati 60.4 14.2 5.5 8.9 15.5 12.4 1
Arab Sea 36 13.5 0 4.8 9.8 NA 0.9
Tadawul Indices (sorted by weekly performance)
Index M.Ca
p $ Bn
Last
Close
1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%)
YTD
(%)
2018
(%)
P/E
(TTM) P/B
(TTM) D/Y
(%)
Consumer Services 4.6 3663 3.9 10.4 24.3 -20 272.7 1.4 2.1
Banks 188.8 8506 2.5 5.1 17.9 31.1 14.4 2.2 3.6
Food retail 2 6003 2.4 6.5 1 5.9 28.9 3.1 2.1
Retailing 8.2 7148 1.8 7.1 4.1 21.9 33 6.1 3.1
Transportation 3.2 3752 1.1 3.5 7.9 -13.3 20.2 1.6 4.2
Diversified Financials 9.2 3718 0.6 2.1 6.9 -13.7 NA 1 3.2
Telecommunication 62.9 6511 0.2 8.7 20.5 27.1 27.4 2.3 2.7
Food & Beverages 22 4325 -0.2 0.5 11.3 -20.6 225.5 2.5 2.1
Health Care 5.8 3781 -0.2 0.5 0.6 -15.4 22.2 2.3 2.7
Utilities 19.1 3688 -0.5 0.7 9.5 -26.1 35.5 1 4.3
Materials Industry 173.7 5760 -0.6 1.9 9.7 3.9 19 1.8 3.2
Real Estate 20.8 3282 -0.6 -0.9 1.7 -31.3 51.2 1.3 2.2
Pharma & Biotech 0.9 3641 -0.7 3.6 -6.1 -2.3 32.6 1.3 3.6
Energy Industry 8.6 4613 -0.8 0.4 -4.9 13.3 25.8 1.5 3.6
Consumer Durables 0.8 3735 -0.9 3 1.9 -11.5 NA 1.1 2.5
Capital Goods 2.4 4019 -1.9 4.2 3 -10.1 NA 1.2 1.3
Media 1.8 9837 -2.1 -3.8 -3.3 31.6 57.8 6.2 NA
Commercial Services 2.1 4137 -2.3 -3.2 0 -1.6 18.5 4 6
Insurance 10 4123 -4 -3.6 -1.3 -11.6 63.8 2.3 0.6
Asset Class Fixed Income
Corporate Bonds: Top 5 Performance (sorted by weekly
performance)
Name Size ($
Mn)
Close
Price
1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%)
YTD
(%)
Cur.
Yield Duration
Saudi Electricity Global 5.50% 689.8 106.5 0.9 2.1 4.5 5.2 13.5
Acwa Power Mgmt 5.95% 814 100.9 0.6 1.4 7.3 5.9 7.8
Saudi Electricity Global 4.00% 1500 102.5 0.5 1.7 3.3 3.9 4.4
KSA Sukuk Ltd 2.89% 4500 99.7 0.5 1.2 2.3 2.9 2.9
Saudi Electricity Global 5.06% 1000 101.3 0.5 2.2 5.1 5 13.6
Government Debt Instruments: Top 5 Performance (sorted
by weekly performance)
Description Size ($
Mn)
Close
Price
1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%)
YTD
(%)
Cur.
Yiel
d
Duration
KSA 5.00% 17 April 2049 3500 104.2 0.7 2.3 7.3 4.8 15.4
KSA 2.89% 20 April 2022 4500 99.7 0.5 1.2 2.3 2.9 2.9
KSA 4.50% 26 October 2046 6500 98.4 0.4 2 7.7 4.6 15.3
KSA 3.63% 20 April 2027 4500 99.7 0.3 1.5 3.1 3.6 6.8
KSA 4.50% 17 April 2030 3000 105.1 0.2 1.8 5 4.3 8.6
ASSET CLASS: REAL ESTATE
Index M.Cap ($ Bn) Last 1Wk
(%)
MTD
(%) YTD (%) D/Y (%)
Tadwaul REIT Index 3.2 3673 0.3 2.3 1.4 5.8
NAREIT 1095.6 732 0.7 4.1 16.4 3.9
ASSET CLASS: COMMODITIES
Name Last 1Wk (%) MTD (%) YTD (%) 2018 %
ICE Brent (Spot Prices $/bl) 68 0.4 3 2.1 -0.9
Arab Light Crude (Spot $/bl) 67.9 -1.4 1.9 4.3 2.3
Gold (Spot prices $/Oz) 1290.6 -1.4 -1.7 -0.9 0.8
Source: Tadawul, Reuters Eikon, Bloomberg
Note: NM – Not meaningful (e.g. negative PE ratio); NA – Not available; Data as of March 28, 2019
Disclaimer
The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is
addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for
any purpose.
This document is based on data sources that are publicly available and are thought to be reliable. MEFIC Capital
may not have verified all of this information with third parties. Neither MEFIC Capital nor its advisors, directors or
employees can guarantee the accuracy, reasonableness or completeness of the information received from any
sources consulted for this publication, and neither MEFIC Capital nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any
liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its
contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document.
Further, this document is not an offer to buy or sell any security, commodity or currency. This document does not
provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial
circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a particular investment or currency
will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives. The investments referred to in this document
may not be suitable for all investors.
This document is not to be relied upon and should not be used in substitution for the exercise of independent
judgment.
This document may contain certain statements, estimates, and projections with respect to the anticipated future
performance of securities, commodities or currencies suggested. Such statements, estimates, and projections are
based on information that we consider reliable and may reflect various assumptions made concerning anticipated
economic developments, which have not been independently verified and may or may not prove correct. No
representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy of such statements, estimates, and projections or as to its
fitness for the purpose intended and it should not be relied upon as such.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only and may change without
notice.
Disclaimer: This report has been prepared and issued by MEFIC Capital a CMA, Saudi Arabia
regulated entity. This Report is intended to be circulated for general information only. The information
and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but in no way
are warranted by us as to its accuracy or completeness. For further information, please contact at
Email: [email protected]