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Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Table of ContentsOverview 3Registered Attendees 4Mark Knall Presentation Graphic 5Fred Best RPC Presentation Graphic 6The Value Engine Graphic 7Jane Reifert Incredible Adventures Presentation Graphic 8A Space Market Place Graphic 9Industry Advisory Group 10Information Exchange 12Position Statement 13Pathfinder Project 14Marketing the Pathfinder Project 17Marketing 18Commercial Enterprise Options• Human Life Support / Habitats / Advanced Materials 19• Spacecraft Systems 20• Imaging and Communications 21• Power and Propulsion 23
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Overview
On May 16-18, 2006, representatives from NASA, the Research Partnership Centers, the space industry, and the investment community gathered at the Ames Research Center at Moffet Field to explore the future of space commercialization. This forum was the next in a series of workshops focused on how to encourage the development of a space industry.
The focus of this workshop was how to leverage the technology portfolios and proven research capabilities of the RPC's. The workshop began with a series of presentations by Mark Nall and Frank Best on the history of the RPC's and a sampling of the technologies that the RPC's have developed. Participants then worked through a series of assignments in small teams to define the demand, supply and investment needs in several different focus areas and then identify and develop several investment opportunities in each area. In the final round of work, teams developed a Project Pathfinder plan, marketing ideas for the project, ideas for promoting the space commercialization opportunity and recommendations for an industry advisory group.
This document contains a high level summary of the work completed by the participants at this forum.
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
David AndermanConstellation Svcs. Int’l, Inc.
Woody AndersonNASA MSFC
Hugh ArifCisco Systems, Inc.
Jim BakerSpacehab, Inc.
James BensonSpace Dev
Fred BestCenter for Space Power
Dallas Bienhoff Boeing
Brad BlairCSM-CSR
Dave BoyleSpacecraft Techn. Center
Henry BrandhorstSpace Research Institute
Dave BrandtLockheed Martin
Rita BriggsLockheed Martin
Geoff BrownOntologent / M2Mi
Joe CarrollTether Applications, Inc.
Malcom CarterSpace Island Group
Sean CaseyUSRA
Phil Chapmant/Space
Kathleen ConnellThe Connell Whittaker Group LLC
Bonnie DaltonNASA ARC
Larry DeLucasUAB
Alan DeLunaUnited Space Alliance
Mita DesaiNASA
Mary Lynne DittmarDittmar Associates, Inc.
Dr. Marilyn Dudley-FloresOPS-Alaska
Arthur DulaAttorney At Law
Paul EckertBoeing Company - Space Exploration
Edward EllegoodState of Florida
Mike FinneyFinney Capital
Orin F FlaskGlobeOne Sourcing & Fulfillment Svcs.
Thomas GangaleOPS-Alaska & San Francisco St. Univ.
Rachel GarcesNASA MSFC
Bev GirtenNASA ARC
William GlennNASA Imaging Tech. Ctr. at FL Atlantic Univ.
Francine GordonF Gordon Group
James GordonN/A
Consuelo GriegoGlobal Impact
Lynn HarperSpace Portal NASA ARC
Klaus HeissHigh Frontier
Anthony HeÿengaUniversity of Colorado
Michael HicksLockheed Martin Advanced Tech. Ctr
Esther HillLockheed Martin/ NASA ARC
John HinesNASA ARC
Steve HingNASA ARC
Chris HoeftAndrews Space
Gary C HudsonAirLaunch LLC
Bill HulseyHulsey IP Lawyers, P.C.
Kathleen ImhoffPacific BioFacilities
Gary JahnsNASA ARC
Amaresh KolliparaSpace Venturing Forum
Roger LenardSNL
Henry LeonCreate Tech Village Corp.
Dr. David LivingstonThe Space Show
Chris MaeseNASA ARC
Richard MainsMains Associates
Alan MartyN/A
Paul MassonStrategic Alliances Resources Network, LLC
Goorge MayInstitute for Tech. Development
Beth McKnightResearch Partnership Ctrs. & SpaceClass
Gene MeyersSpace Island Group
Brian MitchellNASA/MSFC
Todd MosherLockheed Martin Space Systems
Gerry MurphyDesignNet Engineering
Mark NallNASA MSFC
Mary NapierN/A
Gene ScoutN/A
Mark NewfieldNASA ARC
Jim Pass, Ph.D.Astrosociology.com
Bruce PittmanACES
Richard PournelleN/A
Julian PrabhuBoeing
Dan RaskyNASA ARC
Paul ReichertSchering-Plough Research Inst.
Debra Reiss-BubenheimNASA ARC
Rex RidenoureEcliptic Enterprises Corp.
Peter SageSpace Island Group
Greg SchmidtNASA ARC
Hans SchnettlerLockheed Martin Space Exploration
Andrea SeastrandCalifornia Space Authority
Michael SimsNASA ARC
Phil SmithCal Space Grant Foundation
Robin SnelsonN/A
Ken SouzaSETI/NASA ARC
Louis StodieckBioServe Space Technologies
Dennis StoneNASA
Paul SuttonKabria Technologies
Al TadrosSpace Systems / Loral
Judy TurnerCalifornia Space Authority
Mark UhranNASA
Erika WagnerMIT Mars Gravity
Rod WilksATK
Lana WilsonCenter for Space Power
Dennis WingoSkycorp Incorporated
Mike WiskerchenCalifornia Space Grant Foundation
Bruce YostInovamar LLC
Allison ZunigaNASA ARC
Registered Attendees
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Industry Advisory Group
• Advisory Committee on Commercial Enterprise in the Solar System (ACCESS):– Industry members representing a
cross-section of space entities– Bring strengths of industry diversity
to internal planning and collaboration
– Bring strengths of industry diversity to recommendations to NASA and other government agencies
– Draft regulatory environment for space commerce
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Industry Advisory Group
• Discuss in ad-hoc industry group by August 1, 2006 ACCESS concept and agenda:
– Lunar Commerce Executive Roundtable sponsors, US Chamber of Commerce, Space Enterprise Council
• Issues to be discussed include:– Property rights in context of Outer Space Treaty, etc.
• Intellectual and physical• International recognition / compliance
– ITAR / INA / etc. as impediments to international collaboration
– Traffic control– Search and rescue– Liability– Salvage– Common standards – interoperability– Dispute solution / settlement– Space / surface debris– Government / industry roles– ACCESS organization – funding and mandate– Environmental issue– Heritage site protection (Apollo, etc.)
NASA
ARC
SpacePortal
IPT
ACES
International Agency
NASA Programs
DOD
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Information Exchange
• Questions:– Other than money, what resources
would you most like to see or have access?
– Who else could benefit from the different aspects of what your project does?
– How can we share information and value?
• Resource hub• Space portal• “MySpace” for Space
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Position Statement
• Government’s Role:– The role of government should be to
facilitate, not dominate, the growth of space commerce.
– Government’s role should ultimately decrease to achieve the goal of self-sustaining commercial activity
– Government should provide incentives, and legal-regulatory regime, and infrastructure.
– Important roles include:• Advance purchase• Coordination• Regulation
• Outcome:– To communicate in a compelling and concise
way the benefits that commercial space can bring to commerce, communities, and humanity at large. And lay out and present a way that making that happen that is believable, desirable, and inspirational…and compels economic development.
• Methods:– Documentaries
• Commercialization of space• Tie with TV, pop culture and gaming• Inventions of possibility / ROI
– Press conference• Communicate message• Incentives• Example of vision that NASA supports• The legacy of NASA
• Taglines:– The door to commercial space has just been
opened– The solution to a better world lies just
beyond this one – welcome to the magic of space
– We’ve spent 40 years and billions of dollars opening the door, now we’re sending you a VIP invitation
– We’re giving you the space to make it happen!
– Developing the magic of space
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Pathfinder Project
• Comprehensive and Persuasive• Define and describe product(s)• Market research:
– Identify market(s)• Primary• Secondary• Etc.
– Quantify market(s)– Describe target addressable market(s)
• Define product development requirements
• Cost requirements• Build business models (include value
chain)• Build business case• Build business plan:
– Revenues– Costs– P/L– Cash flow– Balance sheet
Iterate
Pro forma 5 years
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Pathfinder ProjectSpace Based Crystal Growth Business
• Grow crystals – fee for service• Grow crystals and determine
structure• Develop own drugs and license• Business plan (3 months)• Hanser, late access (-36 hrs),
temperature control, gentle re-entry• Pharma and jewelry• Develop a company that can
commercialize technology and fly monthly.
• Funding requires $500-1000K• Sample return requires grants or
funding source• 6 flights, 1000 samples/flight
• Start to finish 7-25 years• Target identification• Produce protein• Crystallization and structure• Medical and test• Culture• Animal• Human
– I, II, III
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Pathfinder ProjectInfectious Disease / Drug Development / Human Health
• Infectious Disease Drug Development:– Target Identification– Drug test with SF associated models
• Business case as a function of launch $• Risk adjusted IRR• Venture Philanthropists• Central labs of big pharma / biotech• Team:
– Mary Lynne Dittmar, Louis Stodieck, Larry DeLucas, Lynn Harper / Rita Briggs (alt.), Bruce Pittman, David Livingston (?), Dallas Bienhoff(?), Bev Garten, Joe Casas, Joe Caroll
• Reconfigure CGRA for small free flyers• Approximately $500K development• Pharma-customer• Bio Booster
• Electronic nose UAB– Measure volatiles in samples (200
compounds) 1 sec.• 2 lasers – library of signatures• Cancer detection – NIH• Health monitoring• NASA – life detection, environmental
monitoring• Funding need for handheld version $500-
1000K• Wearable physiological monitoring in
extreme environments– NASA – EVA– Military – battlefield diagnostics– Firefighters– Deep sea diving– TRL – 4-5 – Need to rugged-ize and simplify
ops– Med ops funding now and DOD
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Marketing the Pathfinder Project
• Objectives:– Educate / raise awareness of the need and
our solution– Inspire and build support
• Audiences:– High-tech (knowledgeable of space R&D)– General public at key milestones– Education community– NIH– CDC– Medical press– AMA– Health insurance companies– Pharmaceutical Companies
• Messages:– Flight-proven– Urgency!– Hardware built– We’re the best – i.e, differentiate– Value – fast track to a cure– Benefits – on the ground takes too long– Help us help you!
• Vehicles:– Medical journals / research publications– News media– Special events– Prizes– Conferences / workshops / exhibits
• Take space to biotech conferences and other customers
– Special class education programs– Press conferences– Medical writers fly on KC-135 with crystal
experiment and other experimental opportunities
– Give away crystal jewelry– Launch promotion– Live television and webcast– Website for project– Newsletter (print and electronic) to audiences
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Marketing
• Audiences:– Investors– Policy makers (elected officials)– Trades– Potential partners– Research community– Educators– Next generation scientists
• Messages:– Capability– Innovations– Unique, will improve our life = value– Cost-savings– Time-savings
• Vehicles:– Authenticators– Television– Newspapers– Magazines– Trade publications– Education programs– Internet– Special events
How to get the word out
Audience
VehicleMessage
Communication
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Commercial Enterprise OptionsHuman Life Support / Habitats / Advanced Materials
• Corporate Built Facility– Ownership: suitable for transfer to
commercial– Commercial management– Must be modular– NASA must guarantee minimum
usage• Possible Tenants:
– NASA exploration vehicle– NASA science– Department of Defense– China and Russia– Tourism industry– Mining– Other industries– Commercial science
• Lunar Base for exploration and other support– NASA funds and serves as an
“anchor tenant”– Staged development– Pay rent, utilities, etc.
• Options for building:– NASA built– Consortium– Commercial
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Commercial Enterprise OptionsSpacecraft Systems
Cost= $7M+$7M+$6M= $20M
LV SC Ops
Facilities -$10M
Non-recurring engring -$30M
• Refuel & Resupply Service for Large GEO Assets– Extend lifetime of $400M
investment for $40M price yielding $20M profit
– Market assumptions:• 25 GEO launches per year
• 5 want servicing
• 5/yr @ $20M = $100M profit/yr
200
100
C
0Initial Funding
Development
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Commercial Enterprise OptionsImaging and Communications
1. Timely Google Earth, Moon, Mars• Who are the customers?:
– World of internet users– Precision agriculture – viticulture– Real estate / insurance– Land use planning– Nosey neighbors– Commodity markets / investment– FEMA
• Size of market?:– Free now, would pay?
• Revenue strategy:– Creating tools for
• Cost:– Licensing of data by government entities
• Barriers:– Coverage, real-time, trending, time-
stamping, security• Do we need more infrastructure data or
correcting systems?:– Tools created by commercial interests
• E.g. Urban maps, Zillow Real Estate Portal
2. In “space” communication utility / Data storage (stage 1)
• 5-10 year implementation for development
• Who are the customers?:– Everyone!– Voice, video, data– Government– Private– Education
• Size of market?:– Requires government as anchor tenant– Execution – 80 satellites in 5 years as
Grayscale Iridium Corp.• Speed timeline:
– ROI at a cost of $5 million per unit LU/O unit transport cost
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Commercial Enterprise OptionsImaging and Communications
3. Virtual Exploration of Moon, Mars, everywhere (stage 2)
• Who are the customers?:– Resource utilization– Government– Video game market / entertainment (e.g.
movies, commercials, etc.)• Discovery Channel• National Geographic
– Education• Size of market?:
– Competitive analysis and determine market• Scale:
– Both II and III can be used universally to be modified by end users
• Intangibles:– Knowledge
• Value propisition:– Gaming becomes virtual in real universe /
world • “Flying spacecraft in real space”
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Commercial Enterprise OptionsPower and Propulsion
Propellant Sales:• Market: $5B/year LEO, $3B/year
Moon• R&D: LEO <$2.5B, Moon <$7B• Simple payback: 3.5 years LEO,
7 years Moon. • Simple ROI: $5B/year LEO and
$3B Moon cash flow. 20% of cash flow for investor ROI
Proven Science:• CEFGW• Propellant• Cryo management and ISRU• AR&D
• Good management team – yes• Track record• Market Barrier: NASA/USG for
LEO – Space X success• Demos 5 GEO transfers• Gut incentive / lunar refueling• 0-g, 0-tax
Summary Document ▪ May 16-18, 2006 ▪ NASA Ames Research Park ▪ Moffet Field, California
Commercial Enterprise OptionsPower and Propulsion
Opportunity #3:• ISRU propellants + building
materials• Analogue solar cell production with
regolith stimulants• (Moon) futures market: straddles,
puts, calls, hedge funds, long/short, R.L. & K.H.
Opportunity #4:• Government guaranteed purchase
contract• Performance bond moon base 2015• Business development bank
financing• Title IX loans• (Now!) Scar for refueling: SM, LSAM