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Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis September 29, 2006

Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Page 1: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness

Ben Vollaard

CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

September 29, 2006

Page 2: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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detection ratesickness absence

response time

citizen satisfaction

fear of crime

Finding out how well the police performwithout being knowledgeable about police work

Page 3: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Outline of presentation

Why subjective performance assessment? How useful a performance indicator is citizen

satisfaction? Conclusions

Page 4: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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1. Why subjective assessment?

Page 5: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Ex ante (‘objective’) vs. Ex post (‘subjective’) assessment

Define ‘good performance’ex ante, rule-based, no room forsubjective judgment

Subjective assessment ex post,incl. customer satisfaction/

professional judgment

NL E&Wex ante ex post

choice differs between police tasks

Page 6: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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England & Wales vs. the Netherlands: two styles of performance assessment

English approach: mostly subjective (incl. citizen satisfaction and professional judgment), no overall judgment, comparative

Dutch approach: mostly objective, overall judgment, force-specific

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3. How useful a performance indicator is citizen satisfaction?

Page 8: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Citizen satisfaction: advantages

Link between broad set of (hard-to-observe) police actions and safety► ‘The police react on problems in the neighbourhood’

Information on specific hard-to-observe dimensions of police work► ‘The police don’t intervene sufficiently aggressive’

Page 9: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Reliability of citizens' perceptions

Do citizens have any idea of police work?► Patterns in perceived police performance correspond

with anecdotal evidence (overall performance) and police data (police fining)

Aren’t citizens’ responses biased by the local safety situation?► Across municipalities: judgment in (low-crime) rural

areas just as likely to be negative as in (high-crime) urban areas

► Over time: 1993-2003, declining crime; growing dissatisfaction with police work

Page 10: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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NL: matching two local policing strategies with survey questions

Disorder policing: dissatisfaction with lack of ‘proactive’/ aggressive police intervention

Hot spots policing: is the police visible in those places where people appreciate it most?

‘See police once a week’

‘See

pol

ice

too

little

Page 11: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Relation between perceived disorder and hot spots policing and safety

Crime and disorder go down more rapidly in municipalities that follow a pro-active approach to policing

Tougher, more targeted policing during 2003-2005 reduced disorder by 5%, property crime by 3%, violent crime by 2%

Might be underestimation because of simultaneity that has not been controlled for

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Conclusion

Page 13: Subjective assessment London 29/09/06 Citizen satisfaction as indicator of police effectiveness Ben Vollaard CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy

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Do we get ‘value for money’?

Ask ‘customers’; subjective evaluation of police strategies and how they contribute to safety► Citizen satisfaction provides meaningful information

on local policing► Relation between citizen satisfaction with police work

and local safety

Citizen satisfaction is a useful performance indicator for police tasks visible to the public

BCS citizen satisfaction questions currently very limited

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Dutch Victimisation Survey vs. British Crime Survey (◄)

Set of questions about police contact of victims of crime ◄ ‘The police do a good job’ ◄ ‘The police react on problems in the neighbourhood’ ! ‘The police do not intervene sufficiently forcefully’ ! ‘The police are too little visible’ ! ‘See the police at least once a week’ ! ‘The police offer protection’ ‘The police fine too little’ ‘The police do not arrive quickly when called’ ‘The police get out of the car too little’ ‘The police have too little time for all kinds of things’ ‘The police maintain contact with people in the n’hood’ ‘The police are too little approachable’ ‘The police address problems efficiently’