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Strong Buy on Seagate Technology PLC NASDAQ:STX
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Seagate Technology PLC
NASDAQ:STX
Shayne Heffernan
Symbol STX
Exchange Nasdaq
Current Price 13.03
52 Week High/ Low 9.84 – 21.58
Shares Outstanding 472.69M
Market Cap 6.55B
P/E Ratio 4.48
Recommendation:
Seagate rates a very strong buy given the fall
on rejecting a buyout.
Price Target $28.50 in 2011
Low P/E and Book Value
Strong sales growth
Short Interest 16,459,248.00 will be forced to
cover as the company buys back stock
Key Developments:
• Rejected buyout offer and elected to buy
back $2b of stock
• Seagate Technology announced that for
the second quarter of 2011, it expects
revenue to be at least $2.7 billion
• Seagate Technology and Samsung
Electronics Co., Ltd., announced that
they have entered into a joint
development and licensing agreement.
About the Company
Fiscal 2010 revenue: Approximately $11.4 billion.
Fiscal 2010 net income: Approximately $1.6 billion.
Fiscal 2010 earnings per share: Diluted earnings of $3.14 per share.
Fiscal 2010 units shipped: Over 193 million.
Seagate Technology plc (Seagate) designs, manufactures, markets and sells hard disk drives. The
Company produces a range of disk drive products addressing enterprise applications, where its
products are primarily used in enterprise servers, mainframes and workstations; client compute
applications, where its products are used in desktop and notebook computers; and client non-
compute applications, where its products are used in a variety of devices, such as digital video
recorders (DVRs), and other consumer electronic devices, such as personal data backup systems,
portable external storage systems and digital media systems. The Company sells its disk drives
primarily to major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors and retailers. In
addition to manufacturing and selling disk drives, the Company provides storage services for
small- to medium-sized businesses, including online backup, data protection and recovery
solutions.
Seagate offers a range of disk drive products for the enterprise, client compute and client non-
compute market applications. It offer more than one product within each product family and
differentiate products on the basis of price, performance, form factor, capacity, interface, power
consumption efficiency, security features like full disk encryption and other customer integration
requirements. Its product offerings include Cheetah SCSI/SAS/Fibre Channel Family; Savvio
small computer system interface/ serial attached SCSI (SCSI/SAS); Fibre Channel Family;
Barracuda ES serial advanced technology architecture (SATA) Family; Constellation ES SATA
Family; Momentus advanced technology attachment (ATA)/SATA Family; Barracuda
ATA/SATA Family; Pipeline HD and DB35 SATA Family, and Pipeline Mini SATA Family.
Seagate’s Cheetah 3.5-inch disk drives ship in 10,000 and 15,000 revolutions per minute (RPM)
and in storage capacities ranging from 73 gigabytes to 600 gigabytes. Commercial uses for
Cheetah disk drives include Internet and e-commerce servers, data mining and data warehousing,
mainframes and supercomputers, department/enterprise servers and workstations, transaction
processing, professional video and graphics and medical imaging. The Company ships its fourth
generation Savvio 2.5-inch enterprise disk drive featuring increased throughput and improved
power consumption, targeted at space optimized enterprise storage systems. Its Savvio disk drives
ship in 10,000 and 15,000 RPM and in storage capacities ranging from 73 gigabytes to 600
gigabytes. Seagate’s
The Company’s Barracuda ES 3.5-inch disk drives ship in 7,200 RPM and in storage capacities
ranging from 250 gigabytes to 2 terabytes. The Barracuda ES addresses the market in enterprise
storage using nearline storage systems for capacity-intensive enterprise applications that require
space optimization, maximized performance and availability. It has also introduced Barracuda ES
drives for the surveillance market with capacities ranging from 250 gigabytes to 1 terabytes. Its
Constellation disk drives ship in both 2.5-inch and 3.5-inch and in storage capacities of up to 500
gigabytes to 2 terabytes, respectively, at 7,200 RPM.
Seagate’s Momentus family of disk drives for mobile computing disk drive products ship in 5,400
and 7,200 RPM and in capacities ranging from 80 gigabytes to 640 gigabytes. Momentus disk
drives are used in notebooks for business, government, education and consumer applications.
Consumer uses for Momentus disk drives also include tablet computers and digital audio
applications. Its Barracuda 3.5-inch disk drive delivers storage capacities of up to 2 terabytes at
7,200 RPM and is designed for applications, such as PCs, workstations and personal external
storage devices.
The Company sells its 3.5-inch Pipeline HD and DB35 disk drives primarily for use in DVRs.
These disk drives are optimized for digital entertainment and range from 160 gigabytes to 1
terabytes. It sells its 2.5-inch, 5,400 RPM Pipeline Mini disk drives, with capacities ranging from
160 gigabytes up to 500 gigabytes, for use in low-profile DVRs, gaming consoles, home
entertainment devices and small footprint media PCs. Seagate ships external backup storage
solutions under its Free Agent Go and Free Agent Go Flex product lines. Both of these product
lines utilize its 3.5-inch and 2.5-inch disk drives, which are available in capacities up to 2
terabytes and 750 gigabytes, respectively.
The Company competes with Western Digital Corporation, Hitachi Global Storage Technologies,
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd., Toshiba Corporation, Micron Technology, Inc., SanDisk
Corporation, Intel Corporation and STEC Inc.
Recent News
Fitch Upgrades Seagate Technology's IDR to 'BB+'; Outlook Stable
Wednesday, 28 Apr 2010 03:15pm EDT
Fitch Ratings announced that it has upgraded the Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of Seagate
Technology to 'BB+' from 'BB'. The rating outlook is stable.
Seagate Technology Terminates Private Equity Discussions; Announces Share Repurchase
Authorization
Monday, 29 Nov 2010 04:21pm EST
Seagate Technology announced that Board of Directors terminated discussions with private equity
firms regarding a going private transaction, principally because it determined that the indications
of the valuation range were not in the best interest of the Company and its shareholders. As
previously announced by Seagate, the Company had received a preliminary indication of interest
regarding a going private transaction and its board of directors was in discussions with that party.
Additionally, Seagate's Board of Directors has authorized the Company to repurchase up to an
additional $2 billion of its outstanding ordinary shares. This new share repurchase authorization
continues Seagate’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value. Seagate expects to fund the
share repurchase through a combination of cash on hand, future cash flow from operations and
potential alternative sources of financing.
Share repurchases under this authorization may be made through a variety of methods, which may
include open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions, block trades, accelerated share
repurchase transactions, or by any combination of such methods.
The timing and actual number of shares repurchased will depend on a variety of factors including
the ordinary share price, corporate and regulatory requirements and other market and economic
conditions. The share repurchase authorization may be suspended or discontinued at any time.
Valuation Ratios
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
P/E Ratio (TTM) 4.49 15.64 23.03 17.89
P/E High - Last 5 Yrs. NA 4.33 1.45 19.18
P/E Low - Last 5 Yrs. NA 1.01 0.36 4.87
Beta 1.98 1.22 1.08 1.26
Price to Sales (TTM) 0.57 0.67 2.59 2.08
Price to Book (MRQ) 2.24 2.21 3.42 2.86
Price to Tangible Book (MRQ) 2.25 2.63 4.07 7.85
Price to Cash Flow (TTM) 2.80 8.90 8.79 10.46
Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) 6.63 17.73 14.72 47.51
Profitability Ratios
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Gross Margin (TTM) 27.14 14.16 30.50 33.13
Gross Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 22.29 13.89 36.73 29.48
EBITD Margin (TTM) 22.00 -- -- --
EBITD - 5 Yr. Avg 10.59 7.36 24.05 18.73
Operating Margin (TTM) 15.30 5.29 12.62 --
Operating Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 3.56 5.07 13.99 16.26
Pre-Tax Margin (TTM) 13.49 5.54 13.14 15.06
Pre-Tax Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 2.86 5.48 12.45 15.87
Net Profit Margin (TTM) 13.82 4.35 9.83 11.19
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 2.73 4.17 9.53 11.65
Effective Tax Rate (TTM) -2.40 19.79 21.56 49.38
Effecitve Tax Rate - 5 Yr. Avg. 4.49 17.86 28.87 25.27
Efficiency
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Revenue/Employee (TTM) 217,281 17,388,946 13,597,194 683,552
Net Income/Employee (TTM) 30,019 533,491 1,217,713 86,580
Receivable Turnover (TTM) 8.30 7.51 5.13 10.76
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 12.20 12.19 84.31 6.87
Asset Turnover (TTM) 1.54 1.98 0.80 0.56
Management Effectiveness
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Return on Assets (TTM) 21.21 7.24 9.48 6.11
Return on Assets - 5 Yr. Avg. 3.46 7.52 10.88 5.85
Return on Investment (TTM) 35.19 15.36 12.32 7.85
Return on Investment - 5 Yr. Avg. 5.29 15.24 14.96 7.57
Return on Equity (TTM) 67.16 17.87 14.68 18.37
Return on Equity - 5 Yr. Avg. 7.95 16.70 16.06 9.37
Shayne Heffernan PhD
Shayne Heffernan of Ebeling Heffernan holds a PhD in Economics serves as CEO of Heffernan Holdings Inc and Co Founder of Ebeling Heffernan www.ebeling-heffernan.com and oversees trading at Heffernan Capital Management www.heffcap.com
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Tel: +65 6329 6408Fax: +65 6329 9699
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