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Global Fuel Economy Initiative: Case study of Bahrain Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

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Growth in population, GDP & Vehicles in Bahrain (2000 – 2010)

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Page 1: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Global Fuel Economy Initiative:

Case study of Bahrain

Strategic Growth Programme (SGP)Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region &

Europe (CEDARE)

Page 2: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Transportation in Bahrain>501,000 Vehicles today>99% Gasoline7.3% annual increase in vehiclesConsumes 22% of tot. energyFuel consumption & emissions expected to

double in Bahrain between 2010 and 2030

Page 3: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Growth in population, GDP & Vehicles in Bahrain (2000 – 2010)

150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 4000000

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

Population GDP

Page 4: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

(CEDARE 2011, World Databank Data)

Page 5: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Gasoline consumption trends

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

Annual growth of 5.7%

Page 6: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Study methodologyGFEI methodology (tool)LDVs include mini, small, compact, family

and big cars in addition to light vans and sport utility vehicles (SUVs)

Main source of data:General Directorate of Traffic – Ministry of

Interior

Page 7: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Data set:Year of manufactureFirst registration date Vehicle make code and nameVehicle model code and nameEngine capacity (cc)Weight (kg)Fuel type Vehicle type code and namePlate type code and nameNumber of axlesNumber of cylinders

Page 8: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Sample data set

Page 9: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Results:Fuel economy recent improvement

2005 2008 2010 20125

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

200

210

220

230

240

250

260

Average CO2 emissions (g/km) Average fuel economy (CAFE)Average fuel economy (NEDC)

L/10

0 km

g/km

Page 10: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Average fuel economy (L/100km) and CO2 emissions (g/km) for new LDVs in Bahrain

YearAverage fuel

economy (CAFE)

Average fuel economy (NEDC)

Average CO2 emissions

(g/km)2005 10.5 12.1 247.1

2008 10.6 12.2 249.0

2010 10.7 12.2 251.0

2012 9.6 11.1 229.6

Year 2005 2008 2010 2012

Bahrain 10.5 10.6 10.7 9.6USA* 7.8 7.5 7 6.6

Page 11: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

CO2 emissions from new models of passenger vehicles in the EU and Bahrain (gCO2/km)

Year 2005 2008 2010 2012

Bahrain 248.5 250.4 252.4 230.9

EU* 162.4 153.6 140.3 -*Source: EEA, 2013

Page 12: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Average weight and engine size

2005 2008 2010 20121500

1600

1700

1800

1900

2000

2500

2700

2900

3100

3300

3500

Average curb weight (kg) Average engine size (cc)

kg cc

Item 2005 2008 2010 2012Average curb weight (kg)

1685 1753 1731 1718

Average engine size (cc)

3191 3417 3061 2955

Page 13: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Key findingsOverall improvement in fuel economy of new

LDVs since 2005 (1 L/100 km eventual improvement by 2012)

…but trends toward buying heavier cars probably offset much more potential for improvement.

Average emissions are still nearly double the EU.

No restrictions exist yet for fuel economy or CO2 emissions.

Environmental labeling, emission reduction targets and action plans yet to be developed

Page 14: Strategic Growth Programme (SGP) Centre for Environment and Development for the Arab Region & Europe (CEDARE)

Thank you

[email protected]