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Boston University School of Management Cable Television Industry Ricky Huynh Peter Johnson Wesley Kang Kenny Sumsky Jen Weitzman Yong Min Yun SI 422 Strategy Spring 2015

Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

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Page 1: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Cable Television Industry

Ricky HuynhPeter JohnsonWesley Kang

Kenny SumskyJen WeitzmanYong Min Yun

SI 422 Strategy Spring 2015

Page 2: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Industry in Decline

Page 3: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Key Trends Analysis

SP

E

S

T

FCC Regulation on Net NeutralityFCC scrutiny over industry mergersGeographic monopolies allowed to operate

Per capita Disposable Income expected to increase in 2015Consumer Confidence expected to increase in 2015

Increased personal computer/tablet usageNumber of cable TV subscriptions decreasingSubstitutes becoming stronger (Netflix, HBO Now, Apple)Decreasing Customer Satisfaction with cable providers

Devices (i.e. televisions, computers, tablets, phones) and Fiber-Optics are becoming more interactive and fasterTechnical Fragmentation as Cable Coverage Expands

Page 4: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Key Competitor Analysis

Main Competitors• Time Warner Cable• Comcast• Charter• Cable Vision• DISH• Direct TV

AVG TWC CMCST CHTR CVC DISH DRTV-2

3

8

13

18

235 Year Avg. ROI

Page 5: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Relative Cost Analysis: TWC

Comcast Charter TWC Direct TV -

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

140.00 EBITDA

Technical Operations

Programming & Content

Sales & Marketing

General Op-erating

Customer Care

Page 6: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Strategic Positioning

REGIONAL PROVIDERS

Source of Strategic Advantage

Scope

Broad

Narrow

DifferentiationCost Leadership

Indu

stry

ASP

Page 7: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Strategic IssueWhat should you do if you are stuck in the middle?

Stuck in the

middle?

Stuck in the

middle?

Can achieve

cost leadership?

Can achieve

cost leadership?

Can achieve higher WTP?

Can achieve higher WTP?

Status Quo

Adopt new position

Focused Competitor

Yes Yes

What would have to be true?• Too many product lines• Adding more costly features that do not add value to product• Price of TWC = Industry Avg. Price• WTP of TWC = Industry Avg. WTP

What would have to be true?

• Economies of density• Lower quality (Fewer channels, slower internet, lower quality network)• Fewer product lines• Economies of scale

What would have to be true?

Can it create a sustainable advantage?

Can it create a sustainable advantage?

Cost Leadership

Sell

Page 8: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Newer, Better

Products

Importance on Acquisition of

Network Contracts

Cloud Access to Content

Differentiation through

Advertising & Marketing

Strategic Activity Map

Customer Experienc

e

Customer Service Centers

Trained Technicians

Individualized Consumer

Packages with specific

channelsNetwork

Expansion

Cross-National Cable &

Technology

Investment in Cap Ex & Equipment

Everyday –low-price

Page 9: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

o Regional/Geographic Focus in Major Markets Focused Customer Base

Reduce Operating Costs

Reduce Acquisition Costs

o Cheaper product at acceptable quality Reduce Operating Costs

Reduce Programming & Acquisition Costs

Reduce Advertising & Marketing Costs

Reduce Consumer Care Costs

Focused Cost Leadership

Page 10: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Simple Customer Experienc

e

Remove Customer

Service Centers

Central training centers

Content tailored to

regional customers

Service more customers in

smaller timeframe

Basic Content & Packages

Acquire regional programs

Cloud Access to Content

Awareness Advertising

New Strategic Activity Map

Focused

markets

Cross-National Cable &

Technology

Strong human capital

Leverage Local Government

relationships to maintain regional

monopoly

Page 11: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Next Steps

o Step 1: Geographic Focus Focus on major markets (i.e. New York, Los Angeles) through market swaps Economies of density: centralized training, fewer facilities and less equipment Leverage presence close to suppliers in television and entertainment (LA, NY)

o Step 2: Less Advertising and Leveraging Local Relationships Maintain geographic monopolies through relationships with cities and officials Awareness advertising only

o Step 3: Limit Customer Care Initiative Minimize customer service centers & technician training Less of a focus on consumer experience in product line

o Step 4: Targeted Content and Lower Quality Acquire the regional programs in local markets (i.e. Sports New York, SportsNet

LA). Accept lower quality programming and fewer options

Page 12: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

TWC Relative Cost Goal

Old TWC New TWC -

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

100.00 EBITDA

Technical Op-erations

Programming & Content

Sales & Market-ing

General Operat-ing

Customer Care- 40%

- 40%

- 50%

- 40%

+20%

Page 13: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Any Questions or Comments?

Page 14: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

o Porter’s 5 Forces

o Analysis of Strategic Effectiveness

o TWC Firm History

o Geographic Spread

o Market Swaps

o Network Cost & Viewership

o TWC General Revenue Breakdown

o Per Unit Price

o RCA 100%

o Price Breakdown

o Operating Costs

o Relative Costs (Per Unit)

o Solutions

Appendix

Page 15: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

IndustryRivalrySuppliers Buyers

Potential Entry

SubstitutesPower of Suppliers (Medium)•Vertical integration with content suppliers• High Switching Costs•Cable providers can select from many content suppliers•Cable providers are competing for exclusive content

Threat of Entry (Low)• Large economies of scale• High capital requirements• Government regulations• High vertical integration• Adapt to new technology

Extent of Rivalry (Medium) Comcast, Cox Enterprises, Charter Communication, Cable Vision Systems Corporation• Low switching costs• Pricing wars (basic vs. premium)• Targeting the same market

Power of Buyers (Medium)• Medium switching costs• Only a handful of cable TV providers• Some bargaining power (bundle services)• Industry dependent upon buyer’s economic conditions

Threat of Substitutes (High) Online streaming services• Other activities such as video games, read, computer, movies, satellite tv• Price performance increasing

Porter’s Five Forces

Page 16: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Analysis of Strategic Effectiveness

• Industry Definition: • Satellite & Cable Television Providers

• Industry Firms: • Average Profits obtained from mathematical average of top competitors

• Is this firm in a Good or a Bad Industry? • An Average Industry

• Does your firm outperform or underperform the industry average? • Underperforms relative to other firms in the Cable TV & Satellite Industry

Analysis of Financial Performance

6%

Economic Average

+0.5%

Industry Influence

-2.5%

Strategy Influence

4%

Company’s Profitability

6.5%

Industry Profitabilit

y

Page 17: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Client Firm History

Key Events:• 1990: TWC formed as merger

between Time Inc. and Warner Cable

• 2008: TWC separated from parent company, Time Warner

• 2012: TWC acquired Insight Communications Company, Inc. for $1.3 billion

• 2014: Comcast offer to acquire Time Warner Cable• Still unresolved; pending FCC

review

Competitive Advantages:• Geographic Monopoly

• Does not compete in same areas as Comcast• Geographic Price Discrimination

• Controls two largest markets: LA & New York

• Scale (Second Only to Comcast)

• More power over suppliers (i.e. Viacom, Disney) relative to competitors

• Advanced Technology & Network• High Speed Internet, etc.

Page 18: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Geographic Spread

Page 19: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Market Swaps

Page 20: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable
Page 21: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Per Unit Price & Cost

Costs

Margin

Page 22: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Revenue Breakdown

80%

12%

8%

Sales by Segment

Residential ServicesBusiness ServicesOther Operations 2012 2013 2014

$0.00

$5,000.00

$10,000.00

$15,000.00

$20,000.00

$25,000.00

Other Opera-tionsBusiness ServicesResidential Services

Sale

s in

Mill

ions

Page 23: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Relative Cost Analysis: TWC

RCA0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

EBITDepreciation & Amor-tizationProgramming & ContentSales & MarketingTech & General Op-eratingCustomer Care

Page 24: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

• Focus on major markets: LA, NY, & Dallas • Economies of Density

• Lower administrative and transportation costs

• Centralized training = decrease costs & increase technician quality

• Fewer facilities & less equipment nationwide

• Means accepting lower quality network

• Market Swaps with Comcast

Solution: Geographic Focus

Page 25: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Solution: Less Advertising & Geographic Focus

o Less Marketing & Advertising Abandon Customer Care Initiative

Awareness Advertising

o Leverage local relationships with City Officials Local Officials determine who can run cables through public

Geographic monopoly = lack alternatives & advertising unnecessary

Page 26: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Solution: Targeted Content & Lower Quality

o Acquire targeted, regional programs around the NYC and LA area Ex: SportsNet LA

o Accept lower quality programming Avoid overpriced contracts

Drop networks that are tough in contract negotiation

Acquire cheap programming that will be acceptable quality

o Leverage regional presence in LA & NY, close to suppliers Human Capital: Hire Industry insiders

Develop Relationships

Page 27: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Promo Price Price 1 Price 2 Upfront

1 Year Cost

RCN 70 80 90 50 890

TWC 79 91 1092

Comcast 90 115 145 1080

Cox 108* 138 30 1476*Mo 1-6

Dish 52 97 624

Direct 65 112 780

Price Breakdown

Page 28: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Customer Care

General Operating

Sales & Marketing

Programming & Content

Technical Operations EBITDA

Comcast 2,205 5,412 3,075 9,819 5,517 18,112

TWC 839 4,729 2192 5294 1,530 4632

Charter 1,675 827 529 2,459 428 3,190

Direct TV 2,320 2,113 3,659 14,930 1886 8,352

Operating Costs (millions)

Page 29: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Customer Care

General Operating

Sales & Marketing

Programming & Content

Technical Operations EBITDA

Total Price

Comcast 5.99 14.71 8.36 26.69 15.00 49.24 120

Direct TV 4.53 4.13 7.15 29.18 3.69 16.32 65

TWC 3.93 22.15 10.27 24.79 7.17 21.69 90

Charter 6.28 5.72 9.90 40.40 5.10 22.60 90

Relative Costs (Per Unit)

Page 30: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Bibliography & Footnotes

“Cable Networks in the US.” IBISWorld. 1 Nov. 2014. Web. 3 Mar. 2015. http://clients1.ibisworld.com/reports/us/industry/default.aspx?entid=1263.

“Company Overview.” Time Warner Cable. Web. 3 Mar. 2015. http://www.timewarnercable.com/en/about-us/company-overview.html.

Khan, Sarah. Cable Providers in the US. Rep. no. 51711a. N.p.: n.p., n.d. IBISWorld. Web. 3 Mar. 2015.

“Major Pay-TV Providers Lost About 150,000 Subscribers in Q3 2014.” Leichtman Research Group | Press Releases. Web. 3 Mar. 2015. http://www.leichtmanresearch.com/press/111414release.html.

“Time Warner Cable Annual Report.” Time Warner Cable. Web. 3 Mar. 2015. http://ir.timewarnercable.com/files/doc_financials/Annual%20Reports/Time_Warner_AR3_29_11.pdf.

Time Warner Cable Inc. Company Profile. Rep N.p.: n.p., n.d. Marketline. Web. 3 Mar. 2015.“Time Warner Cable Inc. (TWC.N) Quote.” Reuters. Thomson Reuters. Web. 3 Mar. 2015.

http://ww.reuters.com/finance/stocks/overview?symbol=TWC.N.

Page 31: Strategic Analysis for Time Warner Cable

Boston University School of Management

Bibliography & Footnotes

Berr, Jonathan. “Can Comcast improve its dismal customer service.” 20 Mar. 2014. CBS Money Watch. 15 Mar. 2015. Web. <http://www.cbsnews.com/news/can-comcast-improve-its-dismal-customer-service/>.

Nisen, Max. “The 15 Companies that Frustrate Americans the Most.” 26 Dec. 2013. Business Insider. 5 Apr. 2015. Web. <http://www.businessinsider.com/companies-with-the-worst-customer-ratings-2013-12?op=1>.

“Charter Communications Unaudited Income Statements of Operations and Operating Data.” Charter Communications. Web. 4 Apr. 2015. <http://ir.charter.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=112298&p=irol-earnings>.

“Annual Report on Form 10K.” Comcast. Web. 4 Apr. 2015. <http://www.cmcsa.com/annuals.cfm>.

“DIRECTV 2014 10K.” Direct TV. Web. 4 Apr. 2015. <http://investor.directv.com/financial-information/quarterly-results/default.aspx>.