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Overview of Oil & Gas in BASF's portfolio (exploration and production as well as natural gas trading) and outlook: pursuing ambitious growth targets.
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Straight Ahead to ValueSegment presentation Oil & Gas
Dr. Rainer SeeleChairman of the Board of Directors of WintershallLondon, December 9, 2010
22
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Exploration and Production
3 | Natural Gas Trading
4 | Outlook
3
Chemical Activities
Agricultural Solutions
Oil & GasPerformance
Products 19%
Functional Solutions
15%
Plastics 16%
16%
7%
Chemicals 18%
Oil & Gas – one of BASF’s core activities
Q1-Q3 2010 total sales: €47 billionincluding ”Other” (9%)
4
Oil & Gas
Oil & Gas business provides significant advantages for BASF
Long term security of gas supply
Significant cash flow
and sustainable profitability
Hydrocarbonhedge
Joint R&D for EOR
(enhanced oil recovery)
5
Natural Gas TradingExploration and Production
Key drivers of profitability
• Successful exploration, acquisitions and farm-ins
• Profit sharing of E&P contracts with host countries
• Selective technology development and deployment
• Synergy potential with downstream gas activities
• Oil and gas price
• Cost development
• Well established relationships with German and European customers
• Long term access to – gas reserves– transport capacity– storage capacity
• Superior security of supply• Spot market opportunities• Price volatility and time lag effects• Weather conditions
6
Exploration & Production• 5.6% CAGR 2002-2009• Gas share increased
to 63% in 2009• In 2010 production level will
almost be maintained despite OPEC production restriction in Libya
Gas Trading• 7.2% CAGR 2002-2009• Decline in 2009 as a result of
the challenging economic climate
• In 2010 gradual recovery of gas sales
Oil & Gas – E&P and Natural Gas Trading
010203040
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Q1-Q3/2
010
Gas Trading (including sales to BASF) in billion m³
24 29 30 33 35 37
Wholesale (WIEH, WIEE)
WINGAS
0
40
80
120
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Q1-Q3/2
010
93109 112 111 112
Oil
Gas
130
42
104136
39
Production in million boe*
* Libya onshore 100%; excluding Achimgaz
98
31
7
Sales• 15% CAGR 2002-2009• Lower sales in 2009 due to a
decline in natural gas prices and lower crude oil production
• In Q1-Q3/2010 sales reduction because gas prices in natural gas trading further decreased
EBIT• 10% CAGR 2002-2009• EBIT in E&P in 2009
declined mainly as a result of lower prices
• In Q1-Q3/2010 EBIT slightly reduced since higher oil price can not compensate drop in gas price
Oil & Gas – Sales and EBIT
E&P
Gas trading
E&P
Gas trading
Sales in billion €
EBIT in billion €
0369
1215
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Q1-Q3/2
010
E&P4.2 4.8 5.3
7.710.7 10.5
01234
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Q1-Q3/2
010
1.2 1.4 1.62.4
3.3 3.0
14.5
3.8
11.4
2.3
7.8
1.7
88
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Exploration and Production
3 | Natural Gas Trading
4 | Outlook
9
Operating Company (OPCO)
Core region
Production and / or Exploration
Russia
Northern Africa Caspian Sea
Europe
South America
Middle East
Exploration and ProductionActivities in core regions
10
Exploration and ProductionSuccess through focus
Wintershall is the starting point of a world-class hydrocarbon value chain called BASF
• #1 German E&P company, #11 in Europe, #58 worldwide*
• 75 years of E&P experience on- / offshore
• Experience in Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR)since the mid 60’s
• Unique partnership with Gazprom
• Up- / midstream integration basis for“Gas for Europe” strategy
• Selective technology development
• World class operational excellence
* Source: Energy Intelligence 2010
11
Exploration and ProductionWintershall competitive position
Production growth [% p.a.]
Production costs [$/boe] Return on capital [% p.a.]**
Finding & Development costs [$/boe] F&D/Production [$/boe]
Reserve replacement [%] Reserve/Production ratio [yrs.]
Source: Herold, SEC, own calculation
* Benchmark Group (upstream only): Amerada Hess, Apache, BP, ExxonMobil, Marathon, Occidental, Shell, Talisman, Total, Woodside** EBIT / average total assets, Wintershall adjusted by non compensable taxes
Five year average 2005 – 2009 Wintershall Group Average* Group Range
13.7 50.727.1
-2.4 9.2
4.5 14.910.9
9.0 95.527.8
40.219.2
163
12.19.2
5.6
83 194
9.2 16.1
4.5
29.2
9.5
5.6
137
5.02.2
12
• Maintain geographic focus, core region concept
• Ensure adequate reserve base– Increase greenfield exploration,
continue near field exploration – Acquisitions
• Innovation: Evolve from smart follower to one of the leaders in selected technologies exploiting BASF know-how
• Continue production growth into next decade– Short term focus on Russian gas projects– Develop production from discoveries
in Norway and the UK– 2015 overall production target:
150+ million boe/a
Exploration and ProductionStrategy
13
Reduce explorationrisk
Advanced 3D seismicinterpretations
Improve oil and gasrecovery
Chemical EOR Steam flooding
Optimized development of
complex reservoirs
Tight gasMulti frac technology
Exploration and ProductionSelective technology development
14
Exploration and ProductionExploration & development update
Russia• Yuzhno Russkoye• Achimgaz
Qatar• Operator block 3 and 4N
Operating Company (OPCO)
Core region
black
blue
Current Activities
Exploration
Development
Norway• Appraisal: Luno;
Exploration: Grosbeak, Catcher (UK), Maria, Blakeney (UK), Cladhan (UK) and Beta findings
Southern North Sea• Wingate (UK)• Ravn (DK)
Germany• Mittelplate: Dogger beta
central
Mauritania• Taoudeni 2D Seismic
Libya• Operator license 201 Kufra• C97 water injection• Infill drilling As Sarah Phase 6
Argentina• Aguada Pichana
Tight Gas
15
• Five new discoveries in the British and Norwegian North Sea
• One discovery in the Norwegian Sea (Maria)
• Wintershall participates in 6 of the 12 largest discoveries since 2005
• Wintershall is operator at Blakeney, Grosbeak and Maria
• Appraisal and development concepts in preparation
• Total regional production target 2015: 50.000 boe/day
Recent discoveries in the North Sea and Norwegian Sea
BETA (15%, oil)
GROSBEAK (20%, oil & gas, operated)
CATCHER (20%, oil)
BLAKENEY (65%, heavy oil, operated)
CLADHAN (34%, oil)
MARIA (25%, oil & gas, operated)
UK NOR
16
Oil & Gas – Partnership with Gazprom
YuzhnoRusskoye
Achimgaz Nord Stream WINGAS
Transport, Storage& TradingExploration & Production
50%50% 51% (40%*)25-1% (35%*) 51%15.5% 50-1%50+1%
* Economic interest
17
Plateau production at Yuzhno Russkoye gas field
Yuzhno Russkoye• Start of production
ahead of schedule in October 2007
• Accelerated ramp up and earlier plateau phase reached mid 2009 on a daily basis
• Production 2009: 22.5 billion m³* (100%)
• Production 2010 at plateau level of 25 billion m³* (100%)
• All 142 production wells are in operation
* Russian Standard Conditions
Forecast 2006Current schedule
Production in billion m³* (100%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Plateau production
18
Solid ramp up of Achimgaz projects
• Production joint venture with Gazprom
• Gazprom and Wintershall bundle technical expertise for development of complex reservoirs
• 6 wells of pilot phase drilled and completed
• Production tests confirm expectations
• Production 2009: 430,000 tons of condensate and around one billion cubic meters of natural gas
• Start of full field development in 2012
• Plateau production of up to 8 billion m³/a in 2018
19
Reserves distribution end 2009Reserves development
Exploration and ProductionReserves*
* According to SEC guideline without Achimgaz** Libyan concessions C96 / C97 at 51%
14%53%
22%9% 2%
Europe (w/o Germany)
Argentina
Libya**
Russia
GermanySEC Reserves (million boe) No consideration of Achimgaz reserves
R/P (years)
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090 yrs
5 yrs
10 yrs
Oil Gas
1,132
976 978 924 871 814
1,149
1,500
1,250
1,000
Total proven reserves: 1,136 million boe
1,136
2020
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Exploration and Production
3 | Natural Gas Trading
4 | Outlook
21
Sales developmentCore Regions
Natural Gas Trading Activities in Europe
* WIEE
F
UKDK
RO*
BUL*
BCZAU
DNL
0
10
20
30
40
50
2005 2010 E 2015 E
Gas Trading (including sales to BASF) in billion m³ p.a.
33
Wholesale (WIEH, WIEE)
WINGAS
40~ 45
22
Natural Gas Trading Well positioned in a liberalizing market
• WINGAS # 3 in German market, expanding into Europe
• Excellence in gas distribution, trading, transport and storage
• Strategic partnership with Gazprom through successful joint ventures (WINGAS, WIEH, WIEE)*
• Large long term supply contracts beyond 2030• Access to modern and expanding infrastructure
– Well structured pipeline system in NW Europe
– Largest gas storage facility in West Europe (Rehden)
• Direct connections to European gas hubs
* WINGAS: 50+1% BASF / 50-1% Gazprom; WIEH and WIEE 50/50 each.
23
Natural Gas TradingWINGAS competitive position
Gas sales growth [% p.a.]
Sales per employee [million €/employee] EBIT per employee [million €/employee]
Return on capital [% p.a.]** Return on sales [% p.a.]
-8.6 9.6
7.16.3
9.6
6.2 20.5
0.39 1.2
1.8 20.5
0.12 1.2
6.3 13
3.7 9.8
WINGAS Group average* Group Range
Source: Annual Reports, own calculation
* Peer Group: E.ON Ruhrgas, Verbundnetz Gas AG, Centrica, ** (Income before tax + interest on borrowed capital) / average total assets
-2.7
10.7 12.9
Five year average 2005 – 2009
24
• WINGAS offers long-term security of supply
• Diversified portfolio: competitive advantage through optimisation of short and long term supply
• Innovative sales strategies:– Gas for Europe– Optimization of customer portfolio:
Move closer to end user– Focus on storage related products:
Value before volume• Value creation through access to storage and
pipeline infrastructure
• Industry leader in cost efficiency
• Strengthen partnership with Gazprom through the whole value chain
Natural Gas TradingWINGAS strategy
25
Natural Gas TradingWINGAS turntable for Russian gas
• Decreasing indigenous production (e.g. North Sea)
• Increasing demand• Growing import and
storage needs• Increasing share of
Russian importsEurope needs gas and flexibility
25
14
2
3
5
INTERCONNECTORJAMALNET4GASBBLNORD STREAM (incl. OPAL and NEL)Gas storageWINGAS TRANSPORT- pipeline systemNord Stream (incl. OPAL and NEL) under construction
1
2
3
4
5
Imports
Local production
EU 27in billion m³
2009 2020
550-590
520
~ 37% ~ 20%
~ 80%~ 63%
26
Offshore:• 55 bn m³/a capacity via two 1,220 km subsea
pipelines*• All approvals received since February 2010• First gas to be delivered in October 2011• JV between Gazprom 51%, BASF** and E.ON**
15.5% each, Gasunie** and GDF SUEZ** 9% each
Onshore:• System expansion: OPAL (2011), NEL (2012)• Increased transportation capacity to NL, B, F, (UK)
through system upgrade incl. storage• Germany as distribution hub for Europe
Total investment €2.3 billion (BASF-share)***
Nord Stream Major project for European supply
* Nord Stream estimates project budget for the offshore part at €7.4 billion ** indirect through subsidiary companies*** thereof €1.15 billion offshore, €1.15 billion onshore incl. Farm Out of 19% NEL to Fluxys
27
Natural Gas Trading Diversified supply portfolio
short-/mid-term (1-4y)
long-term West (>4y)long-term Russian supplies (2035)„Nord Stream“long-term Russian supplies (2030)
WINGAS sales
Supply
• Portfolio of long-term supply contracts from different sources
• Active at different spot markets in NW Europe
• Logistical integration of storages, spot markets and long term supplies
Diversification,optimized logistics,providing flexibility and security of supply
Sales
• >70% of sales volumes already contracted at least until 2012
WINGAS supply portfolio*in billion m³ p.a.
Spot price (NBP)German border price
Long term vs. spot price in ct/kWh
0
1
2
3
4
5
Jan00
Jan02
Jan04
Jan06
Jan08
Jan10
0
10
20
30
40
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
* Annual Contracted Quantity, effective volumes could be lower and compensated by spot volumes
28
Competitive advantage through storage portfolio
• Different markets/regions
• Different storage characteristics
• Pipeline linkage
Arbitrage potential
Physical portfolio optimization
Security of supply
Integrated sales products for target customer
existingplanned/under construction
With planned expansion to 6.4 billion m³ storage volume WINGAS # 3 in NW Europe
Natural Gas Trading Competitive storage portfolio
* Capacity 50% WINGAS, 50% Gazprom** Capacity 5/6 WINGAS, 1/6 VNG*** Capacity 1/3 WINGAS, 1/3 RAG,
1/3 Gazprom28
Jemgum**(2012: 1.2 bn m³)
Haidach***(2007: 1.2 bn m³) (2011: 2.4 bn m³)
Saltfleetby*(>2012: 0.8 bn m³)
Rehden (1993: 4.2 bn m³)
2929
1 | Oil & Gas in the BASF portfolio
2 | Exploration and Production
3 | Natural Gas Trading
4 | Outlook
30
Oil & Gas Pursuing ambitious growth targets
2009 2010
Crude oil and natural gas production of 136 million barrel oil equivalent
Slightly lower crude oil and natural gas production with appr. 133 million barrel oil equivalent expected
Natural gas sales of 39 billion cubic meters
Increase of natural gas salesto 40 billion cubic meters expected
Net income Oil & Gas: €712 million*
Net income Oil & Gas: Increase compared to previous year expected
2004 – 2009 2010 – 2015
Investments 2004-2009: €4 billion**
Investments 2010-2015:Gas trading capex: ~€3 billion***E&P capex: >€3 billionE&P exploration expenses: >€1 bn
*** incl. Nord Stream Offshore* Brent average 2009 of $/bbl 61.67, $/€ 1.39** Excl. asset swap with Gazprom;
incl. acquisition of REVUS Energy ASA
31
Forward-looking statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
3232
33
-49% of after tax income
50%
15.5%
100% 100%
LibyaConcession
96 & 97Achimgaz WINGAS Nord Stream
offshore
100%
Projects with Gazprom Impact on BASF’s P&L structure
Dividends
Oil & Gas EBIT
Financial results (equity method)
= Income before taxes and minority interests
./. Income taxes (incl. n.c. taxes in Libya)
= Income before minority interests
./. Minority interests
= Net income
Yuzhno RusskoyeSNG Gas Mktg C.
-50% of after tax income
34
• BBL Balgzand Bacton Line
• E&P Exploration and Production
• EOR Enhanced Oil Recovery (technology)
• ERM Erdölraffinerie Mannheim-Pipeline
• F&D costs Finding and Development costs
• Frontier exploration Exploration activities in unknown basins, structures
• Greenfield exploration Exploration activities in known basins with proven hydrocarbons in unexplored / undeveloped structures
• GUP Gas Utilization Plant
• HSE Health Safety Environment
• IOC International Oil Company
• JAGAL Jamal-Gas-Anbindungs-Leitung
• LNG Liquified Natural Gas
• LPG Liquified Petroleum Gas
• MIDAL Mitte-Deutschland-Anbindungs-Leitung
Glossary (A-M)
35
Glossary (N-R)
• NBP National Balancing Point
• Nearfield exploration Exploration activities within the vicinity of developed oil /gas fields
• NEGP North European Gas Pipeline, former project name of Nord Stream
• NEL Nordeuropäische Erdgas-Leitung
• NOC National Oil Company / Corporation
• OPAL Ostsee-Pipeline-Anbindungs-Leitung
• OPCO Operating Company
• OPEC Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
• OPEX Operating Expenditures
• PEG Point d’ Echange de Gaz
• PSA Production Sharing Agreement
• RAG Rohöl-Aufsuchungs Aktiengesellschaft (Austria)
• RHG Rehden-Hamburg-Gasleitung
• R/P Proven reserves divided by annual production (years)
36
Glossary (S-Z)
• SEC Securities and Exchange Commission
• SEL Süddeutsche-Erdgas-Leitung
• SNG Severneftegazprom
• SPEAD Special Professional Experts Accelerated Development Program
• STEGAL Sachsen-Thüringen-ErdGas-Leitung
• TTF Title Transfer Facility
• VNG Verbundnetz Gas AG
• WEDAL West-Deutschland-Anbindungs-Leitung
• WIAG Wintershall Aktiengesellschaft
• WIAR Wintershall Argentina
• WIEE Wintershall Erdgas Handelshaus Zug AG
• WIEH Wintershall Erdgas Handelshaus
• WINO Wintershall Norway
• ZBH Zeebrugge Bunde Hub
37
Measuring units & Conversion factors
• bbl barrel
• bcm billion cubic meter
• boe barrel oil equivalent
• kWh kilo Watt hours
• bscf billion standard cubic feet
• toe tons oil equivalent
• Btu British thermal unit
• 1 bbl = 159 liter
• 1 bscf = about 0.17 million boe
• 1 m³ at 0°C (nomal cubic meter) = 37.3 scf (at 60°F) at 20°C (Russian standard) = 34.8 scf (at 60°F)
• 1 toe = about 7.6 boe
• 1 therm = 29.3 kWh
• 1 Btu = 100,000 therms
• 1 mBtu = about 1.07 scf