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Frontier Markets Fund Managers Financing the Power Sector – the case for local currency Chris Vermont Head, Debt Capital Markets October 2008

Stockholm Presentation

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Page 1: Stockholm Presentation

Frontier Markets Fund Managers

Financing the Power Sector – the case for local currency

Chris VermontHead, Debt Capital MarketsOctober 2008

Page 2: Stockholm Presentation

Emerging Africa Infrastructure Fund - EAIF

First dedicated infrastructure debt fund for sub-Saharan Africa

Size: US$365 million, increasing to US$ 600m shortly

Equity capital from governments of Sweden, Netherlands,

Switzerland and UK

Additional debt from development finance institutions and private

sector international banks

Over $130m financing provided for AES Sonel (Cameroon), Bugoye

(Uganda), SAEMS (Uganda), Rabai (Kenya) and Aldwych (pan

African). Total investment enabled - over $800m

"The most prominent fund in project finance in Africa" Project Finance

International - 2008 yearbook

Page 3: Stockholm Presentation

Infrastructure projects financed / in the process of financing by EAIF

Page 4: Stockholm Presentation

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Case Study – The Bugoye Power Case Study – The Bugoye Power ProjectProject

Page 5: Stockholm Presentation

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Bugoye power project basic facts

Bugoye is located at the foot of the

Rwenzori Mountains - western

Uganda, bordering DRC

It will be a run of the river hydro

plant with an installed capacity of

13 MW

It will feed its energy into the main

grid

Page 6: Stockholm Presentation

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The Project’s Structure

Total Project Costs:

US$ 56m

Grant from GON:

US$ 10m

Equity:

US$ 16m

Total Debt US$30 m

- Tranche A: US$ 6m,

5 year tenor

- Tranche B: US$ 24m 15 years tenor

Trønder Energi

Trønder Kraft

100%

Tronder Power Limited (the Borrower)

Norfund

Ca 70% Ca 30%

GON Grant

EAIF

Grant ca 10 MUSD

Govt of Uganda

UETCL

Support Agreement

PPA

ERA

NEMA

DWD

Licence & permits

Dire

ct a

gree

men

ts

Construction contracts

Contractor

Norplan

Owners’ engineer

Page 7: Stockholm Presentation

7

The Project Time Line

Mandate signed October 2007 Credit Committee Approval December 2007 Board Approval January 2008 Financial Close May 2008

A project A project cancan be closed in 8 months be closed in 8 months

Page 8: Stockholm Presentation

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A funding structure that mitigates hydrology risks Strong sponsors – Tronder Energi & Norfund A well established power sector and regulator in

Uganda A dedicated team which worked together with GOU, the

sponsors and the lenders to find a bankable structure

……but who bears the FX risk?

Key Success Factors

Page 10: Stockholm Presentation

The GuarantCo initiative

GuarantCo’s business is:

“Credit enhancement of local currency debt issuance by the private, municipal and parastatal infrastructure sectors in lower income countries”

In addition to enabling infrastructure this approach also builds sustainable financing capacity in domestic capital markets through partnering with local institutions and introducing new approaches to project risk evaluation and financing

Page 11: Stockholm Presentation

Why local currency finance?

Local currency finance is better at both project level and country level

Financing in local currency allows a project to match its currency of revenue with its currency of debt service

Even if a GenCo has a PPA with a DisCo that allows pass through of currency risk, the end consumer may not be able to pay if there is a devaluation - contractual agreements may fail

Financing with local currency involves productive recycling of savings within a country instead of increasing the country’s external debt burden

Involvement of domestic banks and institutions helps build capacity to finance further projects

Page 12: Stockholm Presentation

…So why are most power projects in Africa financed in $ or Euro?

DFI’s and multilaterals find it easier to lend in $ or Euro

National utilities are used to accepting pass through of currency risks through PPA’s

Domestic debt markets cannot usually offer the tenors required and interest rates may appear comparatively high

But national governments can begin to break the vicious cycle…..

Reliance on $ debt

from DFI’s and

Multilaterals

Crowding out of

Domestic lenders

Absence of

long term

debt markets

Page 13: Stockholm Presentation

Local currency guarantees. A partnership between offshore

guarantors and domestic institutions

Funding of projects by domestic banks / pension funds who take as much or as little risk as they wish

Partial risk or partial credit guarantees from offshore for the balance risks

Offshore guarantors have more experience of assessing project risks

Domestic lenders have more experience of conditions on the ground

Partnership with important contributions from both sides

The key focus is extending debt maturities – both credit risk and funding risk

Page 14: Stockholm Presentation

Extending tenor of domestic finance – Nigerian IPP example

180MW open cycle gas fired IPP. Financing requirement $120m of which $25m equivalent in Naira

Local banks would not take repayment risk on the Naira loan beyond 7 ½ yrs or funding risk beyond 10 years

IPP needs 15 years finance to make tariff affordable

Solution….

The local banks make a 15 year loan with GuarantCo guaranteeing loan repayments after year 7 ½. GuarantCo also agrees to take over the loan at the end of year 10 if the local banks wish to exit.

The guarantee is flexible and can be cancelled at any time

There is a viable alternative………

Page 15: Stockholm Presentation

Contact

• Chris Vermont, Head Debt Capital Markets

Tel: + 44 207 8152950

Email: [email protected]

• Douglas Bennet, Senior Guarantees Executive

Tel: +44 207 8152786

Email: [email protected]