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HISTORICAL APARTMENT OCCUPANCY
US SOUTH ATLANTA US SOUTH ATLANTA
MARKET REPORTATLANTA
www.colliers.com/atlanta
MARKET INDICATORS
Q2 2014OUTLOOK
VACANCY
CONCESSIONS
RENTS
TRANSACTIONS
PRICE PER UNIT
CAP RATES
Q1 2014 | MULTI-FAMILY
HISTORICAL APARTMENT RENTS
87%88%89%90%91%92%93%94%95%96%
2012
2013
2014
Source: MPF Research $400$500$600$700$800$900$1,000$1,100$1,200
2012
2013
2014
Source: MPF Research
Steady Growth Bodes Well for Atlanta’s FutureThe future is bright for the Atlanta metro area despite lagging behind other Southern cities coming out of the recession. Job creation in the area has been spurred by corporate expansion such as State Farm and athenahealth as well as a significant growth in high-tech employment; Fiserv, an IT provider for financial services, is investing $41 million in a new campus in Alpharetta and expects to add hundreds of jobs throughout the remainder of this decade. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, first quarter non-farm employment is up 51,500 jobs (2.2%) year-over-year and up 101,500 jobs (4.4%) in the past 24 months. It is this slow but steady growth that Atlanta hopes to sustain for years to come.
Looking to the multifamily market, Atlanta’s occupancy dropped 50 basis points to finish off the first quarter at 92.5%, mainly due to seasonal occupancy weakness seen during the winter months. Year-over-year the metro’s occupancy increased 100 basis points after a slight dip earlier in 2013. Older properties averaged occupancy rates in the 88% to 89% range, while apartments built in 1980 or newer boasted occupancy rates averaging in the 93% to 94% range.
As occupancy in the Atlanta has continued to increase in recent quarters, apartment owners have begun to aggressively push rents. Effective rents increased by 20 basis points during the first quarter; on an annual basis the metro’s effective rents are up 4.3%, ahead of the US (3.3%) and Southeast regional (2.7%) averages. This marks the 14th consecutive quarter of annual rent growth for the Atlanta MSA. Apartment owners in the northern suburbs are expected to continue aggressively pushing rents while core, infill assets will experience much more modest rent growth due to the influx of new product during the next 12 months.
According to REIS, as of late April, 6,559 market-rate apartments in 23 projects are currently under construction in the metro Atlanta area. Of these 23 projects under construction, 15 projects totaling 4,189 units are slated for completion in 2014. This number is staggering compared to the 381 market-rate units delivered in 2012 and 2,516 market-rate units in 2013, but recent absorption figures have shown that the market can easily bear the new deliveries. Despite the 2,516 market-rate deliveries in 2013, net absorption for the year was 5,954 units. Following this trend of significant demand, the first quarter 2014 saw 215 units delivered to the market and 1,218 absorbed net. Clearly Atlanta is starting to turn the corner in terms of economic recovery and looks to solidify itself as the powerhouse of the South that it once was.
Updated May 2012
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,00020
03
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Millions
ATLANTA MULTI-FAMILY | Investment Volume & Cap Rates
Sales Volume AVG Cap Rate Source: Real Capital Analytics
ATLANTA MULTI-FAMILY
Investment for apartment properties in the Atlanta market has increased by 23.9% by 4Q13 from the previous year in total volume. There have been 206 properties sold YE 2013 representing an average of 72,000 per unit. The average cap rate for apartments in the Atlanta market dropped 20 bps from the end of 2012 to 6.9% YE 2013.
UPDATE Recent Transactions in the Market
SALES ACTIVITY
PROPERTY SUBMARKET SALES DATE SALE PRICE # UNITS PRICE/UNIT BUYER
Jasmine At Winters Chapel Northlake 10/03/2013 $33,000,000 592 $55,743 Spire Capital Pty LtdThe Falls At Gwinnett Place NE Atlanta 11/25/2013 $31,981,300 520 $61,503 Spire Capital Pty LtdBexley Apartment NW Atlanta 11/01/2013 $30,600,000 496 $61,694 American Property Holdings CorpPromenade At Berkeley NE Atlanta 12/12/2013 $33,700,000 492 $68,496 Oak Coast PropertiesPinewood Manor South Atlanta 12/04/2013 $9,650,000 460 $20,978 Anthos Properties, LLC
Jasmine At Holcomb Bridge North Fulton 10/25/2013 $26,302,500 437 $60,189 Resource Real Estate OpportuntyMarquis 2200 Northlake 10/17/2013 $51,900,000 399 $130,075 CWS Capital PartnersAlderwood Trails Northlake 11/08/2013 $16,500,000 399 $41,353 Kim Rock Capital, LLCWoodlands Park NW Atlanta 12/17/2013 $7,900,000 386 $20,466 City of MariettaWoodchase NE Atlanta 11/8/2013 $16,575,000 380 $43,618 Mesa Capital Partners, LLC
Source: CoStar
MULTI-FAMILY PIPELINE | Urban Atlanta
# NAME DEVELOPER MARKET # UNITS
1 98 14th Street Arquitectonica Int’l Corp Midtown 1,163
2 Simon Properties Lenox Mall Simon Property Group Buckhead 750
3 Prominence in Buckhead Crocker Partners Buckhead 703
4 JBL Sandy Springs Gateway JLB Partners C. Perimeter 700
5 3449 Lakeside Drive AMLI Residential Props Buckhead 640
6 Parkview on Peachtree Spruce Street Partners Northlake 500
7 250 Piedmont Paces Properties Downtown 453
8 22 14th Street The Related Companies Midtown 400
9 811 Peachtree St Integral Development LLC Downtown 391
10 Grant Street Walton Communities Downtown 386
11 Buckhead Atlanta (u/c) Oliver McMillan Buckhead 370
12 1138 Peachtree St Tivoli Properties Midtown 370
13 SkyHouse Buckhead (u/c) Novare Group Buckhead 364
14 Crescent Terminus (u/c) Crescent Properties Buckhead 355
15 Amli Arts Center AMLI Residential Props Midtown 351
16 60 11th Street Selig Enterprises, Inc. Midtown 350
17 1160 Hammond (u/c) Northwood Ravin C. Perimeter 350
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45
7 910
P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
MARKET REPORT | Q1 2014 | MULTI-FAMILY | ATLANTA
RON CAMERON WILL MATHEWS
UNITED STATES:
Southeast Multi-FamilyInvestment ServicesPromenade | Suite 8001230 Peachtree Street, NEAtlanta, Georgia, 30309TEL +1 404 888 9000FAX +1 404 870 2845
RESEARCHERS:
AtlantaScott Amoson | Director of ResearchEdward Alexander | Financial AnalystDany Koe | Research AssociatePromenade | Suite 8001230 Peachtree Street, NEAtlanta, Georgia, 30309TEL +1 404 877 9286FAX +1 404 870 2845
482 offices in 62 countries on 6 continentsUnited States: 140Canada: 42Latin America: 20Asia Pacific: 195EMEA: 85
• $2 billion in annual revenue
• Over 1.1 billion square feet under management
• Over 13,500 professionals
This market report is a research document of Colliers International. Information herein has been deemed reliable and no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Colliers International-Atlanta, Inc., and certain of its subsidiaries, is an independently owned and operated business and a member firm of Colliers International Property Consultants, an affiliation of independent companies with over 480 offices throughout more than 62 countries worldwide.
www.colliers.com/atlanta
Accelerating success.Accelerating success.
TOP EMPLOYERS
COMPANY # EMPLOYEES
Delta Airlines 27,000
Wal-Mart Stores 26,000
AT&T 19,000
Emory University 17,994
Publix Supermarkets 9,453
The Home Depot 9,000
Emory Healthcare 8,648Source: Moody’s Analytics
WORLD CLASS UNIVERSITIES, COLLEGES
UNIVERSITY CITY # STUDENTS
University of Georgia Athens 34,536
Georgia State Atlanta 32,000
Kennesaw State Kennesaw 24,600
Georiga Tech Atlanta 21,475
Georgia Perimeter Decatur 21,123
Emory Atlanta 13,898
University of West GA Carrollton 11,952Source: Atlanta Business Chronicle 2013 Book of Lists
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MARKET REPORT | Q1 2014 | MULTI-FAMILY | ATLANTA