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Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

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Page 1: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

Status of the Wine industrySouth Africa

OIVMarch 2013

Yvette van der Merwe

Page 2: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2002 2007 2011

1-100 ton 2173 1717 1461

101-500 ton 1545 1475 1273

501-1000 ton 404 482 457

>1001 ton 224 325 336

250 750

1 2501 7502 2502 7503 2503 7504 2504 750

50%43% 41%

36%

37%36%

9%

12%13%

5%8%

10%

1-100 ton 101-500 ton 501-1000 ton >1001 ton

4 3463 999

3 527

NUMBER OF WINE GRAPE PRODUCERS“20% of producers produces 70%+ of the crop”

Page 3: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

WINE CELLARS”10% – 15% of cellars crush 70% - 80% of crop”

2002 2007 2011

0-100 ton 171 263 258

100-500 ton 111 139 158

501-1000 ton 38 41 55

1001-5000 ton 56 62 58

5001-10000 ton 24 14 15

>10000 ton 28 41 38

50

150

250

350

450

550

650

40%47% 44%

26%

25% 27%9%

7% 9%

13%

11% 10%

6%

3% 3%

7%

7% 7%

0-100 ton 100-500 ton 501-1000 ton 1001-5000 ton 5001-10000 ton >10000 ton

428

560582

Page 4: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

40.6 43.7 45.3 46.0 45.7 44.9 44.2 43.9 43.8 44.0 44.4

59.4 56.2 54.6 54.0 54.3 55.1 55.8 56.1 56.2 56.0 55.6

Red White Total

TOTAL SURFACE PLANTED TO WINE GRAPE VINEYARDS (excluding Sultana)

% of total

94 412 102 146

Total

100 568

Page 5: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

5 662

6 241 5 887

4 895

4 032

3 535

2 886 2 839 2 800 2 417

4 661

3 828 4 095 4 062

3 942 4 114 4 070 3 663

3 958 3 722

Total plantings Total uprootings Capital maintenance

NEW PLANTINGS AND UPROOTINGS

Hectares

Page 6: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

Cabernet Sauvignon

Cinsaut Merlot Pinot Noir Pinotage Ruby Cabernet

Shiraz0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

AREA – MOST PLANTED RED VARIETIES (2001 - 2011)

Page 7: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

Colombar Semillon Muscat d'Alexandrie

Sauvignon blanc

Chenin blanc Chardonnay Viognier0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

AREA – MOST PLANTED WHITE VARIETIES (2001 - 2011)

Page 8: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

WINE GRAPE HARVEST & AREA

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

0

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

1 400 000

1 600 000

Area under vines Production

hectares tons

Page 9: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

*

2013

*0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

65 71 68 75 69 69 70 70 7078 79 82 78 78

31 3

58 9 8 10 8

7 4 3 6 416

15 1513

14 14 15 14 1512 12 11 13 1317 13 14 7 9 7 7 6 7 3 5 4 3 5

Wine Wine for brandy Distilling wine Grape juice and concentrate

UTILISATION OF THE CROP

* Estimate/Forecast

Page 10: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012*

2013*

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Stock Production Sales

Pro

du

cti

on

an

d s

ale

s

Sto

ck

31

/12

WINE – PRODUCTION, SALES AND STOCK

* Estimate/Forecast

million litres

Page 11: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

200

250

300

350

400

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Natural wine Fortified wine Sparkling wine

Na

tura

l

Fo

rtif

ied

an

d S

pa

rkli

ng

DOMESTIC SALES OF WINE

million litres

Page 12: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

SALES OF NATURAL WINE - HP, MP AND SP

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

32 33 34 35 36 36 38 38 40 41 43 45 48 49 48 48 51 52

86 89 89 87 87 86 86 8482 80 79 79 81 82 85 87 89 95

193 206 199 188 194 208 214 215 174 178 172 172 183 181 163 170 171 173

HP MP SP* 2012 - Estimate

Page 13: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Glass Plastic Bag-in-box Foil Tetra

DOMESTIC SALES – PACKAGING TYPE

Page 14: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Brandy WhiskyWhite spirits Rum and liqueurs

DOMESTIC SALES OF SPIRITS

million litres

Page 15: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

350.00

400.00

450.00

White-packaged White-bulk Red-packagedRed-bulk Rosé Total

Pac

kag

ed a

nd

bu

lk

To

tal e

xpo

rts

EXPORTS OF NATURAL WINE

million litres

Page 16: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

35 38

45 39 40

49

61

65 62 55 61 60

51 39

BULK PACKAGED TOTAL

million litres

VOLUME OF NATURAL WINE EXPORTED

Page 17: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

TOP TEN PACKAGED (incl > 2l) MARKETS

2007 Rank 2012% of total

Rank

UK 34.5 1 18.7 1

SWEDEN 13.6 2 13.7 2

GERMANY 8.0 4 10.0 3

NETHERLANDS 9.8 3 9.6 4

USA 5.0 6 5.8 5

CANADA 3.8 7 4.9 6

DENMARK 5.2 5 3.9 7

FINLAND 1.8 10 3.3 8

CHINA 0.4 21 3.3 9

BELGIUM 2.6 8 2.8 10

% of top ten 86.8 76.0

AFRICA * ±2.5 6.5

* Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, Angola, Zimbabwe

Page 18: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

TOP TEN BULK MARKETS

2007 Rank 2012% of total

Rank

GERMANY 37.2 1 24.7 1

UK 17.8 2 24.6 2

RUSSIA 0.8 13 12.1 3

USA 0.9 11 5.6 4

CANADA 5.2 5

FRANCE 3.0 9 4.6 6

SWEDEN 4.9 6 4.4 7

DENMARK 5.4 5 3.8 8

NETHERLANDS 8.7 3 2.8 9

ITALY 4.0 8 2.4 10

% of top ten 94.6 90.3

Page 19: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

BULK WINE PRICES (c/litre)Increase of 27% since 2007

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012100

200

300

400

500

600

700

215 212229

299

378354 338 338 335 341

384413 425 438

568604 608

625643

547

440406

374 387

459

503534

558

164 146 156

216

292 288 298 311 314 315345

365 372 383

All Red White

Page 20: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

WINE SUPPLY AND DEMAND

2011 2012 (e) 2013 (f) % +-

Grape harvest (ton) 1 302 530 1 395 158 1 381 248 -1.0

Total wine production (m ) 1012.8 1 083.5 1 067.9 -1.4

Wine 831.2 843.8 834.9 -1.1

Wine for brandy 34.2 62.4 43.0 -31.1

Non alcoholic 40.2 39.9 53.3 +33.7

Distilling wine 107.2 137.4 136.7 -0.5

Wine sales (m ) 742.5 819.3 842.8 +2.9

Wine stock (m ) – 31/12 417.5 419.2 388.1 -7.4

Imports of concentrate for sweetening purposes (m )

15.4 17.2 10.1

Imports of raw wine spirits (LAA) 5.8 2.26 1.92

Page 21: Status of the Wine industry South Africa OIV March 2013 Yvette van der Merwe

QUESTIONS ?

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