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Dr. Paul Taylor – Department of Mathematics. Statistics and the cumberland valley rail trail. Cumberland Valley Rail Trail. The current trail What the trail could be Helping the trail with statistics. Where is the trail?. To Newville. Where is the trail?. Seavers. Water Tower. Etter. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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STATISTICS AND THE CUMBERLAND VALLEY RAIL TRAIL
Dr. Paul Taylor – Department of Mathematics
Cumberland Valley Rail Trail
The current trail What the trail
could be Helping the trail
with statistics
Where is the trail?
To Newville
Where is the trail?
Seavers
Water Tower
Etter
McLeanReisner
Where is the trail?
Seavers
Water Tower
Etter
McLeanReisner
Where is the trail?
Shippensburg
NewvilleCarlisle
Chambersburg
Trail facts and figures
National Recreational Trail 9 miles of crushed stone, 0.5 mile
paved, completed 2006 1.5 miles unprepared Parking, picnic area and restrooms at
Shippensburg, Newville and Oakville Maintained by all-volunteer, non-
profit CVRTC
Trail users
Runners Walkers Bikers Dogs Horseback
Trail events
October 2, 2010 5K run and 4
mile hike April 17, 2011
15K run, 5K run, 30K bike ride, 15K walk
June 4, 2011 10K run
Future expansion – Fogelsanger Bridge
Future expansion – Big Spring Bridge
Carlisle Extension
Shippensburg
NewvilleCarlisle
Chambersburg
Carlisle Extension - Obstacles Money – Design, construction, land
purchase PPL must agree to sell Other landowners 465 (Allen Rd) to Dickinson College
Trail usage – Ship trailhead In order to promote the trail with
the community, businesses, landowners, municipal supervisors and politicians, the CVRTC needs trail usage data.
The busiest part of the trail is the Ship trailhead.
Ship students, faculty and staff are major users of the trail.
National Bicycle and Pedestrian Documentation Project (NBPD) National
effort to document trail use
Develops guidelines for low-cost trail use estimates
Trail usage – Ship trailhead Applied Statistics students
(MAT117) record trail use, one hour at a time
Data is compiled adjusted to control for time, weekday and month
User profile is also recorded (activity, approximate age)
Trail usage – Ship trailhead
0
5
10
15
20
25
30Trail Users Recorded
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
Annual Estimated Trail Users
Average 10.36
Average 54,308
Trail usage – Ship trailhead Estimate 40,000-60,000 trail
annual trail users at the Ship trailhead Range is extended on the lower side to adjust for winter usage below NBPD estimates
Ship trailhead – Sample
demographics5.7%
78.2%
16.1%
Child Adult Senior
31.4%
32.7%
23.0%
11.9% 1.0%
WalkingRunningBikingWalking DogOther
The future - Improving the data
More hours Four seasons Other trail locations Trail monitoring
technology QUESTIONS? [email protected]
