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STATE OF THE VITIVINICULTURALSECTOR IN 2019
INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATION OF VINE AND WINE
Pau Roca Director General of the OIVOIV Press Conference23 April 2020
1
Topics▪ State of the world vitivinicultural sector in 2019
• Vineyard Surface Area• Wine Production• Wine Consumption• International Trade of Wine
▪ OIV Focus: The Global Sparkling Wine Market
▪ Southern Hemisphere Wine Production: First Estimates 2020
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Vineyard Surface Area
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Vineyard Surface Area
The world area under vines, corresponding to the total surface area planted with vines for all purposes (wine, table grapes and raisins), including young vines not yet in production, is estimated at 7.4 mha in 2019. The world vineyard has stabilized since 2016, mainly thanks to programs of restructuring and grubbing up of vineyards implemented in the EU, which stand for the fifth consecutive year at 3.2 mha. The current stabilization, however, hides heterogeneous evolutions in different regions of the world.
7,3
7,4
7,5
7,6
7,7
7,8
7,9
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
mha
Evolution of world vineyard surface area
7.4 mha+ 0,1 %/2018
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Vineyard Surface Area
Top 5 vine-growing countries represent more than 50 % of the world vineyard surface area in 2019
Breakdown of vineyard surface area in 2019Spain13%
China11%
France 11%
Italy10%Turkey
6%
Other countries49%
World vineyard distribution in 2019
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Vineyard Surface Area
966 855
794 708
436 408
215 200 195 191
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
Spain China* France Italy Turkey USA* Argentina Chile Portugal Romania
kha
177 149 146 143 122 108 106 103 95 94
0
100
200
300
Iran* India* Australia Moldova South Africa Uzbekistan* Greece* Germany Russia Afghanistan*
kha
Major vine-growing countries by surface area, 2010-2019
*Carried over from latest available data
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Wine production
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Wine Production
In 2019 world wine production, excluding juices and musts, is estimated at 260 mhl, a marked decrease of 34 mhl compared to the historically high 2018 production.After two consecutive years that can be defined as extremely volatile, 2019 brings global wine production back to average levels.
240
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260
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
mhl
260 mhl-12% /2018
Evolution of world wine production
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Italy18%
France16%
Spain13%
USA9%
Argentina5%
Australia5%
Chile5%
South Africa4%
Other countries
25%
Wine Production
Top 8 wine producing countries vinified 75% of all wine producedin 2019. Italy, France and Spain account for almost half of the world production.EU: 156 mhl in 2019, 60% of world total
World wine production distribution in 2019
Breakdown of wine production in 2019
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47,542,1
33,5
24,3
13,0 12,0 11,9 9,7 9,0 8,3 6,7 4,9 4,6 3,0 2,5 2,4 2,1 2,0 2,0 1,8 1,5 1,00
10
20
30
40
50
mhl
10% 7% 6%3% 1%
-1% -2% -4% -6% -7% -8% -10% -10% -10% -12% -12% -13% -15%
-23% -25%
-34% -34%
Main wine producing countries in 2019
2019/2018 % Var.
World wine production
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Wine Consumption
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Wine Consumption
After the slight decline in world wine consumption registered in 2018, world wine consumption in 2019 is estimated at 244 mhl, marking a +0.1% increase compared to the previous year.
This apparent stabilization however is the result of the counterbalancing among countries with opposite trends.
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
mhl
244 mhl+0.1% /2018
Evolution of world wine consumption
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Wine Consumption
USA14%
France11%
Italy9%
Germany8%China mainland
7%UK5%
Spain 5%
Russia4%
Argentina4%
Other countries
33%
Breakdown of wine consumption in 2019
5 countries account for half of the world consumption of wine, while the top 8 countries represent 66% in 2019.
World wine consumption distribution in 2019
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Wine Consumption
2,02,12,32,32,42,52,72,7
3,33,53,53,94,0
4,75,0
5,98,5
10,011,1
13,017,8
20,422,6
26,533,0
GreeceCzech Republic
AustriaSweden
ChileHungaryBelgium
SwitzerlandBrazil
NetherlandsJapan
RomaniaSouth Africa
CanadaPortugalAustralia
ArgentinaRussiaSpain
UKChina
GermanyItaly
FranceUSA
1,52,0
3,28,3
9,712,3
14,915,7
22,223,323,523,924,425,2
27,827,827,928,3
29,229,429,7
36,543,0
49,556,4
China_mainlandBrazilJapan
RussiaSouth Africa
USACanada
ChileGreece
Czech republicUnited Kingdom
RomaniaNetherlands
ArgentinaSpain
SwedenBelgium
GermanyAustralia
AustriaHungary
SwitzerlandItaly
FrancePortugal
* Countries with total wineconsumption in 2019 equal to or above 2 mhl
Top countries* by total consumption (mhl) in 2019 Top countries* by consumption per capita +15 (l )
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International Trade of Wine
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International Wine Trade
In 2019 the global value of wine exports continues the sustained growth started in 2010 and reaches a new record high.
After the decrease in wine exports volume recorded in 2018, in 2019 global exports seem to be back on the growth track started in 2013.
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
mhl
105.8 mhl+1.7% / 2018
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
bn EUR
31.8 bn EUR +0.9% / 2018
Evolution of world wine export by volume
Evolution of world wine export by value
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International Trade of Wine
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
mhl Bottled (<2 l) Sparkling BiB Bulk (>10 l)
Bottled 53%
Sparkling9%
BiB4%
Bulk 34%
Bottled 69%
Sparkling21%
BiB2%
Bulk 8%
By analysing export data by type of product/packaging, in 2019 the following trends are observed:-Bottled wines increased both in volume (0.5% ) and value (0.7% )-A positive growth was observed for sparkling wines which increased by 2.5% in volume and 4.3% in value -BiB registered a sharp decrease in volume (-13.1%) and, to a lesser extent, in value (-1.2%) -Bulk wine exports strongly increased in terms of volume (+4.9%), with a consequent decline in value (-6.6%)
Breakdown of global trade volume in 2019
Breakdown of global trade value in 2019
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Main Wine Exporters
In 2019 the international trade of wine was dominated by threecountries - Italy, Spain, and France - accounting for 54% of the world market by volume. Among the top 10, only Australia and South Africa exported significantly less than in 2018.
In 2019 France and Italy, with more than 16 bn EUR, account for half of the world export by value. Spain and South Africa sharply decreased their export value with respect to 2018.
21,6 21,3
14,2
8,7 7,43,8 3,6 3,2 3,0 2,7
0
5
10
15
20
25
Italy Spain France Chile Australia Germnay USA South Africa Portugal Argentina
mhl
2018 2019
9,8
6,4
2,71,8 1,7 1,2 1,1 1,0 0,8 0,7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
France Italy Spain Australia Chile USA New Zealand Germany Portugal Argentina
bn €
2018 2019
Top 10 by volume
Top 10 by value
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Main Wine Exporters
Among the top 10 exporters by volume:
Top bottled →Italy, France, Spain
Top sparkling → Italy, France, Spain
Top bulk → Spain, Italy, Chile
Top BiB→ Germany, France, Italy
Among the top 10 exporters by value:
Top bottled→ France, Italy, Spain
Top sparkling → France, Italy, Spain
Top bulk → Italy, Spain, France
Top BiB → France, Italy, Germany
0
5
10
15
20
25
Italy Spain France Chile Australia Germany USA South Africa Portugal Argentina
mhl
Bottled (<2 l) Sparkling
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
France Italy Spain Australia Chile United States New Zealand Germany Portugal Argentina
bn €
Bottled (<2 l) Sparkling
Top 10 by value
Top 10 by volume
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Main Wine Importers
14,613,5
12,3
7,26,1
4,5 4,2 4,23,1 2,9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
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Germany UK USA France China Russia Netherlands Canada Belgium Portugal
mhl
2018 2019 Germany, the UK, and the USA, confirm to be
the largest importers by volume in 2019,
accounting for 38% of the world total
5,5
3,8
2,62,2
1,7 1,61,2 1,0 1,0 0,9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
USA UK Germany China Canada Japan Netherlands Russia Belgium France
bn EUR
2018 2019
The USA, the UK and Germany represent 39%
of the total value of world wine imports,
reaching 11.9 bn EUR.c
Top 10 by value
Top 10 by volume
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Main Wine Importers
02468
10121416
Germany UK USA France China Russia Netherlands Canada Belgium Portugal
mhl
Bottled (<2L) Sparkling BiB Bulk (>10L)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
USA UK Germany China Canada Japan Netherlands Russia Belgium France
bn €
Bottled (<2L) Sparkling BiB Bulk (>10L)
Among the top 10 importers by volume:
Top bottled →USA, UK, Germany
Top sparkling → USA, UK, Russia
Top bulk → Germany, France, UK
Top BiB → Germany, Belgium, Portugal
Among the top 10 importers by value:
Top bottled → USA, UK, China
Top sparkling → USA, UK, Japan
Top bulk → UK, Germany, France
Top BiB→ Germany, UK, Belgium
Top 10 by value
Top 10 by volume
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Market Internationalisation Index
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Prov.
2019Prel.
43%
This market internationalization index is constructed as the ratio between the volumes of world wine exports world wine consumption.
In 2019 the wine market internationalisation index is at 43%, meaning that on average in 2019 every 10 bottles of wine consumed in the world more than 4 have crossed (at least) one boarder.
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The Global Sparkling Wine MarketOIV Focus
April 2020
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Sparkling Wine Production
10
12
14
16
18
20
22mhl
5% 6%7%
0
100
200
300
2002 2010 2018
mhl
World production of sparkling wine
World production of still wine
Italy27%
France 22%Germany
14%
Spain11%
USA6%
Other countries
20%
Share of sparkling wine in world wine production
Breakdown of sparkling wine production in 2018Evolution of world sparkling wine production
In 2018 the world sparkling wine production reached for the first time 20 mhl, with an overall increase of +57% since 2002
While before the economic crisis of 2008 sparkling wine used to represent about 5% of global wine production, in recent years it reached an average weight of 7%
Sparkling wine production is highly concentrated with only 5 countries accounting for 80% of the world sparkling wine production.
20 mhl+57% / 2002
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Sparkling Wine Production
Between 2008 and 2018, the largest increases in production along the top producers where registered in Italy (+9% per year on average), followed by Spainand USA (both at +4% per year on average)
France lost some market share in terms of volume with respect to the past but its production volume is in line with the average registered over the last 15 years.
Germany, among the top producing countries, is the one with the largest share of sparkling wine in national wine production (28% in 2018).
5,3
4,4
2,9 2,9
1,3
4,1
0
2
4
6
Italy France Germany Spain USA Other countries
mhl2008 2018
25
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Sparkling Wine Consumption
In 2018 global sparkling wine consumption reached 19 mhl, after 8 years of steady growth path.
In terms of the relative weight of sparkling wines in overall wine consumption, while in 2002 it was at 5%, in 2018 sparkling wines represent about 8% of total wine consumption.
In 2018, five countries - Germany, France, USA, Russia, and Italy – represent more than 60% of global sparkling wine consumption.
Germany17%
France 14%
USA14%
Russia9%
Italy8%
Other countries
38%
5% 6% 8%
0
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100
150
200
250
2002 2010 2018
mhl
Still wine Sparkling wine
10
12
14
16
18
20
mhl
19 mhl+61% / 2002
Evolution of world consumption of sparkling wine Breakdown of sparkling wine consumption in 2018
Share of sparkling wine in world wine consumption
26
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Sparkling Wine Consumption
In the last years many countries increased significantly their sparkling wine consumption with countries recording average growth rates up to +13% / year.
USA, Italy and UK registred an average annual growth rate in the volumes consumed over the period 2008/2018 of 7%, 5.5 % and 7% respectively .
In contrast, Germany, France and Russia experienced a slight decline in consumption.
3,32,6 2,6
1,6 1,6 1,5
5,7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Germany France USA Russia Italy UK Other countries
mhl
2008 2018
788
387315
268216 215 179
134
0
200
400
600
800
Australia Japan Argentina Brasil Sweden Switzerland Canada Mexico
khl
2008 2018
Top sparkling wine consuming countries
Emerging sparkling wine consuming countries
27
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International Trade of Sparkling Wine
Since the beginning of the century the international trade of sparkling wine has steadily increased both in volume and in value.
In 2018 the volume of global exports was 8.9 mhl, which represents 9% of total wine exported worldwide.
In 2018 the total value of sparkling wine exports reached a record-high 6.2 bn EUR, which represents 20% of the overall value of wine exported
5%
6%9%
0
20
40
60
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100
120
2002 2010 2018
mhl
still wine sparkling wine
16%17%
20%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2002 2010 2018
bn EUR
still wine sparkling wine
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
mhl
8.9 mhl+155% / 2002
Evolution of international trade volume of sparkling wine Weight of sparkling wine in total export volume and value
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International Trade of Sparkling Wine
Different impact of the 2008-2009 economic crisis on global sparkling wine export volume vs value
Different impact of the 2008-2009 economic crisis on average export prices of sparkling wines vs bottled still wines
2
3
4
5
6
7
8EUR/l
Bottled still wine Sparkling wine
50
100
150
200
250
300
Index volume Index value
Evolution of international trade in volume and value of sparkling wine (index=100 in 2002)
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Main Sparkling Wine Exporters
The export market is highly concentrated, with three countries –Italy, France and Spain - representing 85% of world sparkling wine exports in volume and 84% in value.
Between 2002 and 2018, the exported volume of Italian sparkling wine has registered an average growth rate of more than +10% per year.
France still represents 52% of theglobal export value with 3 bn EUR,although in 2003 this share wasabout 70%.
Since 2002 Spain more than doubled the volume of its exports of sparkling wines, notably Cava that accounts for 66%.
3,9
1,9 1,91,3
0
1
2
3
4
5
Italy France Spain Other countries
mhl
2002 2010 2018
Italy43%
France 21%
Spain21%
Other countries
15%
3,2
1,5
0,5
1,0
0
1
2
3
4
France Italy Spain Other countries
bn EUR
2002 2010 2018
France 52%
Italy25%
Spain7%
Other countries
16%
Breakdown of exports by volume in 2018
Breakdown of exports by value in 2018
30
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1,4 1,4
0,7
0,4 0,4 0,40,3 0,2 0,2 0,2
0,00,20,40,60,81,01,21,41,6
UK USA Germany Belgium Russia Japan France Sweden Switzerland Australia
mhl
2008 2018
Main Sparkling Wine Importers
In terms of value, the top three importers are the USA, the UK and Japan, all of which show very high growth rate over the period 2008-2018
In 2018, more than half of the bottles of sparkling wine exported were shipped to the 5 world-largest importers: the UK, the USA, Germany, Belgium and Russia.
1112
723
523425
308 260188 181 180 168
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
USA UK Japan Germany Singapore Belgium Australia Italy Switzerland Russia
m EUR
2008 2018
Top 10 importers of sparkling wine by volume
Top 10 importers of sparkling wine by value
31
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Wine Production inSouthern HemisphereFirst estimates 2020
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Southern Hemisphere Wine Production 2020
Prov.
2019
Prel.
2020
Trend
2020
Var. 20-19
(%) Trend 2000-2020
Argentina 13 019 11 600 -10.9%
Australia 11 970 11 500 -3.9%
Brazil 2 025 2 000 -1.2%
Chile 11 939 10 500 -12.1%
New Zealand 2 974 2 900 -2.5%
South Africa 9 696 10 200 5.2%
Uruguay 585 650 11.1%
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Key Facts and Figures
The surface area of the world vineyard is estimated at 7.4 mha, stable since 2016
World wine production, excluding juices and musts, in 2019 is estimated at 260 mhl, a marked decrease, compared to the historically high 2018 production
After the slight decline in world wine consumption registered in 2018, world wine consumption in 2019 is estimated at 244 mhl, marking a +0.1% with respect to the previous year
In 2019 the world wine export market has expanded with respect to 2018 both in volume, estimated at 105.8 mhl (+1.7%), and in value with31.8 bn EUR (+0.9%)
Sparkling wines are pursuing a sustained growth path in terms of production and consumption as well as international trade, thus confirming their increasingly important role in the global wine market
First estimates of wine production in the southern hemisphere indicate low expected volumes for 2020 for the majority of countries, with the exception of South Africa and Uruguay
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATION OF VINE AND WINE
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