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Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

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Page 1: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

1090

Page 2: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)
Page 3: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

2012

1090

Page 4: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

WMO METEOTERM

.http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/lsp/meteoterm_wmo_en.html WMO

http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/acronyms/index_en.html.

1090

2012 ©

Chair, Publications BoardWorld Meteorological Organization (WMO)7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03P.O. Box 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected]

ISBN 978-92-63-61090-4

WMO

WMO

Page 5: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

1

3 1

3 2

4 3

6 4

6 5

7 5.1

7 5.1.1

7 3 5.1.2

8 6 5.1.3

8 9 5.1.4

8 24 12 5.1.5

9 6

9 6.1

9 6.2

9 7

10 Windows 8

13 9

16

16

Page 6: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)
Page 7: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

2009 11 8 –SNR

WMO NDMC

NOAA

54 UNCCD USDA

22

SPI

NMHSs

2011

WMOhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/agm/meetings/wies09/

documents/Lincoln_Declaration_Drought_Indices.pdf.

Mark Svoboda WMO

NDMC Deborah A Wood Michael Hayes1

agm@wmo int WMO

World Meteorological Organization, 2012 Standardized Precipitation Index User 1

Guide M Svoboda, M Hayes and D Wood WMO No 1090 , Geneva

Page 8: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)
Page 9: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

3

1

2

1993 SPI Kleist Doesken McKee

1995 1993 McKee

Windows UNIX Windows

60 50 30 20

1994 Guttman

6

85 90

85 75

Page 10: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

4

SPI 3

70

SPI

1993 J Kleist N J Doesken T B McKee

McKee

12 6 3 1993

48 24

1997 McKee Edwards

1 SPI 1993 McKee

1

SPI – 1

2.0

1.99 1.5

1.49 1.0

99 99

1.49 1.0

1.99 1.5

2

Page 11: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

5

McKee

9.2 24

McKee 2.3 4.4

1993 “ ” 2.3 SPI

“ ”10

McKee 2

1993

2

SPI100

0.99333

1.49 1.001010

1.99 1.5520

2.02.550

SPI

SPI

SPI

6

24 6

Page 12: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

6

4

ET PET

2010 Vicente Serrano

SPEI –

SPEI.http://sac.csic.es/spei/index.html

5

1985 Glantz Wilhite –

6 –

24 6

24 6 6

72

1999 1994 Guttman 24 1

60 50 Guttman 24

100 80

24

30

Page 13: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

7

30

5.1

5.1.1

30

4

0.00

2006 Wu

24 “ ”

4

3 5.1.2

3

3 – 3

3

3

3

3

Page 14: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

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3 3

“ ” “ ”

3

3

SPIs

6 5.1.3

6 6

6

6

6

6

6

9 5.1.4

9

1.5

12 9

24 12 5.1.5

12

12 12

12

Page 15: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

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6

1997 McKee Edwards 1995 1993 McKee

McKee SPI 1998 Guttman

1997 McKee Edwards 1995 1993

1997 Edwards

6.1

McKee Edwards

1997

SPI

SPI

1.0

6.2

30

24 SPI

7

PC Windows

SPI SL 6 exe SPIhttp://drought.unl.edu/MonitoringTools/DownloadableSPIPro- PC Windows

.gram.aspx

SPI 6

C

Page 16: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

10

Windows 8

Windows

Falls City 1

99

30

Excel

cor

SPI SL 6 exe 2

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3

4

12 9 6 3

Page 18: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

12

5

dat

Microso"

MS DOS ASCII

Fall City

12 9 6 3

Page 19: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

13

99.00

3

3

1949 12 SPI

12 SOI

9

“ ”“ ”

“ ”

IDW Spline Kriging

Kriging

Spline

IDW

“ ”

FEWS

Page 20: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

14

2011 31 – 2011 1 3

GrADS

Cressman

0.4 1 2 4 7 10

nps

lat lon.http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current

“pixel”

“ ”

–3 –2.5 –2 –1.5 –1 0 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

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Edwards, D. C. and T. B. McKee, 1997: Characteristics of 20th century drought in the United States at multiple time scales. Climatology Report 97-2, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado.

Guttman, N.B., 1994: On the sensitivity of sample L moments to sample size. Journal of Climate, 7(6):1026–1029.

Guttman, N.B., 1998: Comparing the Palmer drought index and the Standardized Precipitation Index. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 34(1):113–121.

——— , 1999: Accepting the Standardized Precipitation Index: a calculation algorithm. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 35(2):311–322.

McKee, T.B., N.J. Doesken and J. Kleist, 1993: The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scale. In: Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, California,17–22 January 1993. Boston, American Meteorological Society, 179–184.

——— , 1995: Drought monitoring with multiple timescales. In: Proceedings of the Ninth Conference on Applied Climatology, Dallas, Texas, 15–20 January 1995. Boston American Meteorological Society, 233–236.

Vicente-Serrano, S.M., S. Beguería and J.I. López-Moreno, 2010: A multi-scalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index – SPEI. Journal of Climate, 23(7):1696–1718, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2909.1.

Wilhite, D.A. and M.H. Glantz, 1985: Understanding the drought phenomenon: the role of definitions. Water International, 10:111–120.

Wu, H., M.D. Svoboda, M.J. Hayes, D.A. Wilhite and F. Wen, 2007: Appropriate application of the Standardized Precipitation Index in arid locations and dry seasons. International Journal of Climatology, 27(1):65–79.

http://drought.unl.edu/MonitoringTools/DownloadableSPIProgram.aspx

http://drought.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/spi.html

http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/spi/spi.html

http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu/standardizedprecipitation.php

http://www.wmo.int/drought

Page 23: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)
Page 24: Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide (Arabic)

World Meteorological Organization

7 bis, avenue de la Paix – P.O. Box 2300 – CH 1211 Geneva 2 – Switzerland

Communications and Public Affairs Office

Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 83 14 – Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 27

E-mail: [email protected]

Climate and Water Department

Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 83 05 – Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 42

E-mail: [email protected]

www.wmo.int/agm

P-C

LW_

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