Speed, Distance and Social Space. What Do We Make of Our Cities

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  • 8/6/2019 Speed, Distance and Social Space. What Do We Make of Our Cities

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    Speed, distance

    and social space:What do we makeof our cities?

    Dinesh Mohan

    INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY DELHI 8 July 2011IIT Delhi

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    Urban transport changing concerns

    8 July 2011IIT Delhi

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    India poor

    India middleclass

    India rich

    Rich and middle class must reduce energy consumption

    Poor have to increase energy consumption

    2050

    8 July 2011IIT Delhi

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    City density traditional understanding

    8 July 2011IIT Delhi

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    Car use and density redone

    8 July 2011IIT Delhi

    Source: MEES, P. (2010) Density and sustainable transport in US, Canadian and Australian cities: another look

    at the data, World Council Transportation Research, Lisbon, Proceedings 12th WCTR.

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    Density, cities > 10 million

    IIT Delhi

    Europe/USA

    Asia/Africa

    Income Density

    Density / high rise may not be a major concern

    for usIIT DELHI 8 Jul 2011

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    0

    204060

    80100

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

    Impact speed km/h

    Percent

    Probability of pedestrian fatalityby impact speed

    IIT DELHI 8 Jul 2011

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Time,

    miniutes

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Time,

    minutes

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Time,

    minute

    s

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    Time,minutes

    Walking to station/veh Walking in station - in Waiting at station

    Journey in vehicle Walking in station - out Walking to destination

    Congestion (car) One change

    CAR CAR

    CAR CAR

    BICYCLE BICYCLEWALK

    3 KM 6 KM

    12 KM 24 KM

    DOOR TO DOORTRIP TIMES

    ELEVATED/UNDERGRND

    PT

    ELEVATEDUNDERGRNDPT

    ELEVATEDUNDERGRND/PT

    SURFACEPT

    SURFACEPT

    SURFACEPT

    SURFACEPT

    ELEVATEDUNDERGRND

    PT

    IIT DELHI 8 Jul 2011

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    25

    26

    27

    28

    29

    BMI(ma

    leaverage)

    300

    0

    4000

    5000

    6000

    1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010Year

    Miles per capita BMI (male average)

    Miles travelled by car & motorcycle and average male BMI (USA)

    Source: Ian Roberts, 2011

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Car Bus Rail Motorcycle Walk Bicycle

    k

    m

    perperson

    perweek

    Delhi travel patterns

    Business As Usual

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    Change in disease

    burden

    Change in premature

    deaths

    Ischaemic heart

    disease11-25% 2490-7140

    Cerebovascular

    disease

    11-25% 1270-3650

    Road traffic crashes 27-69% 1170-2990

    Diabetes 6-17% 180-460

    Depression 2-7% NA

    Change in disease burden

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    Vehicle ownership in countries with per capitaincomes US$ 1,500-8,000

    8 July 2011IIT Delhi

    India 2030

    Cars/100 MTW/100

    France 50 10

    Japan 45 10

    Singapore 12 3

    UK 47 2

    USA 69 2

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    Life cycle emissions rail modes

    Source: Mikhail Chester and Arpad Horvath 2008 Environmental Life-cycle Assessment of Passenger Transportation: A Detailed Methodology for Energy,Greenhouse Gas, and Criteria Pollutant Inventories of Automobiles, Buses, Light Rail, Heavy Rail and Air. WORKING PAPER, UCB-ITS-VWP-2008-2,

    University of California, Berkeley.

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    Life cycle emissions road modes

    Source: Mikhail Chester and Arpad Horvath 2008 Environmental Life-cycle Assessment of Passenger Transportation: A Detailed Methodology for Energy,Greenhouse Gas, and Criteria Pollutant Inventories of Automobiles, Buses, Light Rail, Heavy Rail and Air. WORKING PAPER, UCB-ITS-VWP-2008-2,

    University of California, Berkeley.

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    Calculations based on:

    Passengers carried per day (metro system and per bus)

    Energy consumed (Total electricity bill for Metro and diesel consumed

    per bus

    CO2 emitted per MVAH at the powerhouse, well-to-wheel CO2 for

    diesel Fly ash emitted by metro system not included

    Estimates CO2 emissions perpassenger in Delhi

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    ISSUES

    Even cities in high income countries have

    not been able to solve the problems thatall of us have to deal with in the nearfuture

    NO INDIAN CITY HAS MORE THAN 15% CAR USE

    IIT DELHI 8 Jul 2011

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    A typical brick shelter found on a Valley Lines railwaystation in South Wales U.K. (left) and a redesignedtransparent shelter (right) (Source: Cozens, 2004)

    IIT Delhi 2009

    33 per centincrease in

    annual

    passenger flowsIIT DELHI 8 Jul 2011

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    FRIENDS & URBAN TRANSPORT

    3.0 friends5.3 acquaintances

    1.3 friends

    4.1 acquaintances

    0.9 friends

    3.1 acquaintances

    Light traffic2,000 v/day

    Moderate

    8,000 v/day

    Heavy traffic

    16,000 v/day

    Source: Dr.Carlos DoraIIT DELHI 8 Jul 2011

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    An understanding

    Unless the walking trip is safe from accidents, harassment,and crime, people avoid using public transport. Therefore,

    safety emerges as a precondition for promoting publictransport use

    Crime could be reduced by having eyes on the street

    (Jane Jacobs). Shops/street vendors. Vendors only need 1-1.5 m and they can occupy spaces between trees without

    bothering pedestrian traffic.

    A vendor using a non-motorised mode coming to yourhome to sell vegetables does more to prevent global warmingthen you driving a less polluting car to a supermarket.

    The transportation system is driven by positive feedback,people to drive/commute longer distances at higher speeds toa larger house at lower prices.

    Just focusing on public transport not the answer

    8 Jul 2011IIT Delhi

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    Safe roads a precondition for the future lowCO2 city

    Children, elderly, walking speed ~ 0.8 m/s

    Pedestrian green phase < 30 s

    Therefore, motorised lanes < (30 X 0.8) = < 24 m

    Shops and/or street vendors by design

    City blocks ~ 800 m square

    Maintain urban average speeds at 15 km/h

    Public transit on surface