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Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity- Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus OH May 18 th , 2015 Wu Sun, Gregor Schroeder & Matt Keating San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG)

Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

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Page 1: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model:

How Much More Detail Is Enough?

Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model:

How Much More Detail Is Enough?

15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus OH

May 18th, 2015

Wu Sun, Gregor Schroeder & Matt KeatingSan Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG)

Page 2: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

BackgroundBackground

SANDAG Activity-Based Model (ABM) and Active Transportation (AT) Model

ABM/AT model applications Spatial resolution in models

2

Page 3: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Enhanced ABM

CTM

Trans. SystemTrans. Policy

Traffic Assignment

SystemPerformance

Environmental Impact

EconomicAnalysis

3

LU Models

Integrated ABM & AT ModelIntegrated ABM & AT Model

Special Models

bicycle & Ped Route Choices

Improved NM Impedance

Improved Mode Choices

AT Model

Page 4: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Spatial ResolutionSpatial Resolution

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• MGRA (gray lines)

• 23002 MGRA

• 4996 TAZs

MGRA: Master Geographic Reference Area (Grey Lines)TAZ: Transportation Analysis Zone (Orange Line)

Page 5: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

What Are Affected by Spatial Resolutions?

What Are Affected by Spatial Resolutions?

Land use inputs Synthetic population Non-motorized impedances

– MGRA-MGRA walk– MGRA-MGRA bike

Transit impedances– MGRA-TAP walk

Highway impedances?

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Vary by scenario

Page 6: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

A Base ScenarioA Base Scenario

Path between zone 1 and 2 Path between zone 1 and 2

11

22

Page 7: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

A Scenario with Smaller ZonesA Scenario with Smaller Zones

Path between zone 1 &1a and 2 Path between zone 1 &1a and 2

11

22

1a1a

Page 8: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

How Spatial Resolutions Affect the Model?

How Spatial Resolutions Affect the Model?

Demand side– Location choices: tour, trip, and parking locations– Other choices?

Supply side– Skimming: walk, bike, transit, and highway.– Highway assignment?– Transit assignment?

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Page 9: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Result AnalysisWalkability

Result AnalysisWalkability

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Base Small Zones

6500000

7000000

7500000

8000000

8500000

9000000

9500000

Base Small Zones

100000

105000

110000

115000

120000

125000

130000

135000

Walkable zone pairs Walkable zone-TAP pairs

Page 10: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Result AnalysisAvg Walk Distance Btw Zones

Result AnalysisAvg Walk Distance Btw Zones

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Avg_Walk_Dist Avg_WalkTransit_Dist0.50

0.70

0.90

1.10

1.30

1.50

1.70

1.90

2.10

BaseSmall Zones

Page 11: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Result AnalysisAvg Bike Distance Btw Zones

Result AnalysisAvg Bike Distance Btw Zones

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Base Small Zones0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Page 12: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Result AnalysisTrips by Mode

Result AnalysisTrips by Mode

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  Trips Mode Shares

Mode Base Small Zones Diff Base (%)Small Zones (%) Diff %

Auto 8,944,716

8,938,479 -6237 85.40 85.35 -0.06%

Walk 1,063,005

1,065,769 2764 10.15 10.18 0.27%

Bike 101,848

114,498 12650 0.97 1.09 12.43%

Walk to Transit

202,856

192,762 -10094 1.94 1.84 -4.96%

Other Transit

19,506

19,410 -96 0.19 0.19 -0.48%

Other 142,582

142,384 -198 1.36 1.36 -0.13%

Total 10,474,513

10,473,302   100.00 100.00 

Page 13: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Result AnalysisAvg Walk Trip Distance

Result AnalysisAvg Walk Trip Distance

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Avg_Walk_Dist Avg_WalkTransit_Dist0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

BaseSmall Zones

Page 14: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Result AnalysisAvg Bike Trip Distance

Result AnalysisAvg Bike Trip Distance

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Base Small Zones2.05

2.10

2.15

2.20

2.25

2.30

2.35

2.40

Page 15: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

ConclusionsConclusions

• Finer spatial resolution• Improve walkability• Non-motorized trips increase and auto trips

decrease• Impact on bike trips more significant than on

walk trips

• How much more detail is enough?• What is important to you?• Other things to consider

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Page 16: Spatial Resolution in SANDAG Activity-Based Model: How Much More Detail Is Enough? 15th TRB National Transportation Planning Applications Conference, Columbus

Questions?Questions?

Contact: Wu Sun 619-6995757 [email protected]