SPAIN OVERVIEW BARCELONA MARESME - Lucas Fox · Corts and Sarrià-Sant Gervasi) ended the year with the highest average prices, at €4,610 and €4,787 per square metre respectively,

B A R C E LO N A

M A R K E T OV E RV I E WA N D FO R E C AST FO R 2 0 1 7

M A R E S M E

S I TG E S

I B I Z AM A R B E L L A-CO STA D E L S O L

VA L E N C I A

M A D R I D

B A R C E LO N A

COSTA BRAVA

OV E RV I E WS PA I N

LUCAS FOX / REAL ESTATE MARKET 2016 / BARCELONA13

W W W. LU C AS FOX .CO M BARCELONA COSTA BRAVAMARESME SITGES IBIZAMARBELLA-COSTA DEL SOLVALENCIAMADRIDOVERVIEWSPAIN

“THE MAIN CHALLENGE DURING 2016 HAS BEEN

HAVING ENOUGH QUALITY PRODUCT AVAILABLE TO MEET

THE DEMAND OF OUR CLIENTS.”

“IN 2016 ALMOST 50% OF THE PROPERTIES SOLD BY LUCAS FOX BARCELONA WERE NEW

DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS AND WE EXPECT THIS PERCENTAGE TO

MAINTAIN OR MOST PROBABLY INCREASE THROUGH 2017.”

Rod JamiesonHead of Operations,Lucas Fox Barcelona

BARCELONA: MARKET OVERVIEW

AND FORECAST FOR 2017

The property market in Barcelona continued to grow

significantly during 2016 and is widely promoted as a

European property investment ‘hotspot’. New and newly

renovated homes continue to be demand, particularly

among international buyers, who have continued to

drive sales during 2016. The local market has also seen

increased activity as the local economy continues to

grow and financing becomes readily available. 2016 saw

a steady increase in property prices and in some highly

sought-after districts saw double-digit growth. In the last

quarter Lucas Fox experienced a sharp increase in sales

transactions to cap off an all-round very positive year.

“In 2015 residential New Development projects started coming onto the market in Barcelona for the first time since the property market crash,” explains Lucas Fox Head of Operations Rod Jamieson. “Through 2016 the release of projects accelerated, increasing the supply of much needed New Development property. In 2016 almost 50% of the properties sold by Lucas Fox Barcelona were New Development projects and we expect this percentage to maintain or most probably increase through 2017. 2017 will see the release of some large residential condominium projects in the city centre and the Diagonal Mar area of the city. We expect these projects to be particularly interesting to investor clients and also clients looking to take advantage of the Golden Visa scheme. As well as these larger projects there are a good number of smaller New Development

projects, which are renovations of classic buildings in the Eixample and Old Town areas, that will continue to feed the demand from international lifestyle investors.”

The area of Eixample Right has been the district that has seen the most growth in demand and price increase, mainly due to a limited amount of exclusive high-end renovation projects available. These properties include unique Modernista buildings with high quality fixtures and fittings, located close to good services and amenities. There has also been increased demand for the Gothic and Born districts, where there has been substantial investment in urban renewal in recent years. There is strong demand for renovated historic buildings housing stylish apartments. The beachside district of Diagonal Mar is once again becoming very popular and boasts some large residential projects. Properties here are being bought for investment purposes as potential rental yields are higher than average. These types of investment properties are in demand by Middle Eastern and Asian investors interested in obtaining the residency visa.

“The main challenge during 2016 has been having enough quality product available to meet the demand of our clients,” explains Mr Jamieson. “Although the increased New Development activity is satisfying a part of this demand, there is still a shortage of reasonably priced high quality product in central locations of the city.”

The most sought-after type of properties are apartments in attractive renovated buildings, with 2 to 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, measuring from 80m² to 150m², situated in prime locations and priced between €700,000 and €1.5 million. Also, smaller apartments of around 50m² to 60m² with 1 to 2 bedrooms and priced around €500,000 are increasingly in demand by Golden Visa seekers and as a rental income investment property.

http://www.lucasfox.com

http://www.lucasfox.com/



BARCELONA FREE HOUSING PROPERTY SALES TRANSACTIONS

PEAK (Q1 2007) AND Q3 2012 - Q4 2016

Source: National Institute of Statistics

Num

ber o

f sal

es tr

ansa

ctio

ns

Valu

e in

‘000

€

BARCELONA NEW AND SECOND-HAND PROPERTY TRADING:

TOTAL VALUE OF SALES TRANSACTIONS BY FOREIGNERS

Q1 2013 - Q3 2016

Source: Spanish Department of Development

Spain (‘0s) Barcelona New properties Second-hand properties

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12015

Q22015

Q32015

Q42015

Q12016

Q22016

Q32016

Valu

e in

'00

0 €

Vivienda Nueva Vivienda de Segunda Mano

BARCELONA PROPERTY SALES TRANSACTIONS

Property sales transactions in Barcelona city have shown a steady increase year-on-year during the last 4 years. In 2016 Barcelona saw a significant increase in the number of property sales with the total transaction volume showing an annual growth rate of 21.56%. Barcelona averaged 3,827 transactions per month in 2016, up from an average of 3,148 in 2015.

Similarly, Lucas Fox data shows a substantial increase in the total number of property sales in Barcelona with an annual growth rate of 68.57%.

TRANSACTION VALUE OF PURCHASESBY FOREIGNERS

Amongst foreign buyers the total transaction value of purchases of second-hand properties was higher in the first three quarters of 2016 (for which the latest data is available) than in the same period in 2015 (€894,925,200 in Q1-Q3 2016 compared with €773,251,500 in Q1-Q3 2015), showing an annual growth rate of 15.74%. The number of new builds and newly renovated properties continues to increase, with foreigners spending €77,221,100 on new build and reformed properties in the first three quarters of 2016, an increase of 9.89% over the same period in 2015. Total transaction value of Barcelona property purchases by foreigners in the first three quarters of 2016 grew by 15.25% over the amount of trading for the same period in 2015 (€972,146,200 in Q1-Q3 2016 compared with €843,525,700 in Q1-Q3 2015).

Jan 2007

Oct 2013

Feb 2013

Jun 2014

Oct 2012

Feb 2014

Jun 2013

Dec 2014

Jun 2015

Oct 2015

Feb 2016

Dec 2013

Apr 2013

Oct 2014

Aug 2014

Apr 2015

Dec 2012

Apr 2014

Aug 2013

Feb 2015

Aug 2015

Dec 2015

Apr 2016

Aug 2016

Jun 2016

Oct 2016

Dec 2016

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

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6000

7000

8000

9000

Spain Barcelona





€ /

m2

BARCELONA CITY AVERAGE PROPERTY SALES PRICES

PEAK (Q1 2007) AND Q1 2011 - Q4 2016

Source: Idealista

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

€/m

2

Ciutat Vella Eixample GràciaHorta Guinardó Les Corts Nou BarrisSant Andreu Sant Martí Sants-MontjuïcSarrià-Sant Gervasi Barcelona City Average

BARCELONA PROPERTY PRICES

According to leading property portal Idealista (which bases its figures on asking prices), property prices for all of Barcelona averaged €3,879 per square metre by the end of 2016, up €487 over the average at the end of 2015, showing an annual growth rate of 14.36% in average property prices. The more prestigious, luxury districts of Eixample and Zona Alta (Les Corts and Sarrià-Sant Gervasi) ended the year with the highest average prices, at €4,610 and €4,787 per square metre respectively, compared with €3,861 and €4,303 per square metre at the end of 2015 (showing an increase of 19.40% and 11.25% respectively). Every district of Barcelona saw an increase in average prices between the end of Q2 2016 and the end of the year.

13 out of 26 apartments of the Casa Burés New Development in Eixample were sold in the private launch phase

Ciutat VellaEixampleGràciaHorta GuinardóLes CortsNou BarrisSant AndreuSant MartíSants - MontjuïcSarrià - Sant GervasiBarcelona City average





BARCELONA MID-MARKET PROPERTY SALES TRANSACTIONS

(BETWEEN €450,000 AND €900,000), Q1 2012 - Q2 2016


MID-MARKET PROPERTY BUYERS IN BARCELONA CITY: COUNTRY OF ORIGIN, 2016Source: Lucas Fox sales data

Num

ber o

f sal

es tr

ansa

ctio

ns

MID-MARKET PROPERTY BUYERS IN BARCELONA CITY: MOTIVATION FOR PURCHASE, 2016Source: Lucas Fox sales data

Barcelona Spain

SpainUKFranceUSAPolandSwitzerlandMiddle EastScandinaviaSouth AmericaOther EuropeOther

Primary ResidenceSecondary ResidenceGolden VisaInvestmentOther

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

Q12012

Q22012

Q32012

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Q42013

Q12014

Q22014

Q32014

Q42014

Q12015

Q22015

Q32015

Q42015

Q12016

Q22016

Barcelona Spain

24%

2%

14%

3%5%3%

14%

2%

3%

10%

20%

Spain

UK

France

USA

Poland

Switzerland

Middle East (Egypt, Lebanon)

Scandinavia (Norway)

South America (Argentina)

Other Europe (Germany, Italy, Netherlands)

Other (Algeria, Australia, China, Indonesia,Kazakhstan, Phillipines, Russia, Turkey)

37%

31%

10%

2%

20%Primary Residence

SecondaryResidenceGolden Visa

Other

Investment

BARCELONA MID-MARKETPROPERTY SALES TRANSACTIONS Barcelona trading of mid-market properties (valued at between €450,000 and €900,000) has increased every quarter over the corresponding quarter in the previous year since the start of 2013. 1,086 mid-market properties were sold in Barcelona in the first half of 2016 (for which the latest data is available), representing 19.27% of the total Spanish mid-priced property market and an overall growth rate of 30.84% over sales transactions for the corresponding period in 2015.

LUCAS FOX BUYER COUNTRY OF ORIGINAND MOTIVATION FOR MID-MARKET PROPERTIES

National buyers continue to make up a significant proportion of mid-market property buyers with almost a quarter of Lucas Fox buyers coming from Spain. Lucas Fox data from 2016

shows a reduction in UK buyers from the mid-level market, probably down to the prospect of Brexit following the UK’s referendum in June and the subsequent weakening pound, but a continued strong representation from the Middle East.

A noticeable change has been that buyers looking for a primary residence (frequently as part of a relocation to Barcelona) have dominated the mid-level market in 2016, with 37.29% seeking a primary home. Those looking for properties as a secondary residence (30.51%) or investment property (20.34%) continue to make up a substantial proportion of the market. The number of buyers seeking access to the Golden Visa has increased with 10.17% of buyers purchasing properties in order to take advantage of the scheme where non-European residents receive residency rights when purchasing property over €500,000.





BARCELONA PRIME MARKET PROPERTY SALES TRANSACTIONS

(OVER €900,000), Q1 2012 - Q2 2016


Num

ber o

f sal

es tr

ansa

ctio

ns

Barcelona Spain

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Barcelona Spain

BARCELONA PRIME PROPERTY SALES TRANSACTIONS

Following a peak in the second half of 2014, sales of prime properties (valued at over €900,000) in Barcelona have shown a steady growth since the second quarter of 2015. In the first half of 2016 (for which the latest data is available) 204 prime properties were sold across the province of Barcelona, showing an increase of 26.71% over the same period in 2015 and representing 17.75% of the Spanish prime property market overall.





PRIME MARKET PROPERTY BUYERS IN BARCELONA CITY:

COUNTRY OF ORIGIN, 2016

Source: Lucas Fox sales data

PRIME MARKET PROPERTY BUYERS IN BARCELONA CITY:

MOTIVATION FOR PURCHASE, 2016

Source: Lucas Fox sales data

BARCELONA CITY AVERAGE RENTAL PRICES

PEAK (Q2 2007) AND Q1 2011 - Q4 2016

Source: Idealista

€/m

2

SpainFranceCanada / USAMiddle EastScandinaviaOther EuropeOther

Primary ResidenceSecondary ResidenceInvestmentGolden VisaOther

Ciutat VellaEixampleGràciaHorta Guinardó

Les CortsNou BarrisSant AndreuSant Martí

Sants - MontjuïcSarrià - Sant GervasiBarcelona average

29%

8%

13%8%

17%

8%

17%

Spain

France

Canada / USA

Middle East (Egypt)

Scandinavia (Finland,Norway, Sweden)

Other Europe (Germany)

21%

54%

4%

17%

4%

Primary Residence

Secondary Residence

Golden Visa

Investment

Other

LUCAS FOX BUYER COUNTRY OF ORIGINAND MOTIVATION FOR PRIME MARKET PROPERTIES

Following on from 2015, national buyers continue to make up a significant proportion of Lucas Fox prime property (valued at over €900,000) buyers, with almost 30% of all buyers coming from Spain, up from 17% in 2015. Lucas Fox data for 2016 shows a significant increase in buyers from the United States and Canada (12.50%) and a continued strong presence from Scandinavia (16.67%), Western Europe (16.66%) and the Middle East (8.33%).

In 2016 the motivation for high-end property purchases in Barcelona was dominated by those looking for a secondary residence (54.17%). Other buyers were split between those purchasing property as a primary residence (20.83%) and a long-term investment (16.67%) or in order to obtain a Golden Visa (4.17%).

BARCELONA RENTAL MARKET The average rental prices for Barcelona city and for each individual district have risen substantially in all neighbourhoods in the last three years.

The overall average rental price for Barcelona city ended the year on €17.90 per square metre, up €2.60 over the end of 2015 average, an increase of 16.99%. The city centre neighbourhood of Cituat Vella and the inner city Modernista neighbourhood of Eixample ended 2016 on the highest rental prices, with Ciutat Vella now averaging €19.90 per square metre (up €2.30 from the end of 2015) and Eixample now averaging €18.90 per square metre (up €3.20 from the end of 2015).

Lucas Fox Barcelona’s long-term rentals division continues to grow with the vast majority of its clients during 2016 coming from abroad (88% foreign clients and 12% national

clients), often as part of a relocation package. The biggest proportion of foreign rental clients came from the UK (12%), followed by the Netherlands (7%) and France (7%). Most rental clients are looking in central areas such as Eixample or the Old Town. Families tend to look at locations near to international schools such as the Zona Alta, Gavà or Castelldefels. The price ranges between €1,800 (for an MBA student) and €6,000 (for expat families). The average price of a Lucas Fox rental property in 2016 was €4,571.58 and it took an average of 20 days to rent a property. 10% of rental clients go on to buy a property in the city.

0

5

10

15

20

25

Ciutat Vella Eixample Gràcia Horta Guinardó

Les Corts Nou Barris Sant Andreu Sant Martí

Sants-Montjuïc Sarrià-Sant Gervasi Barcelona average





FOREIGN TRAVELLERS STAYING IN HOLIDAY APARTMENT

ACCOMMODATION, Q1 2011 - Q4 2016


PASSENGER ARRIVALS AT BARCELONA AIRPORT

Q1 2011 - Q4 2016

Source: Aena

FOREIGN TOURISTS WITH A PRIMARY TRAVEL DESTINATION IN

CATALONIA (INCLUDING BARCELONA), Q1 2012 - Q4 2016


Fore

ign

trav

elle

rs (‘

000s

)

Pass

enge

r arr

ival

s (‘0

00s)

Inte

rnat

iona

l tou

rists

(‘00

0s)

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Mill

ares

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

SHORT-TERM RENTAL DEMAND

Barcelona airport arrivals and the number of travellers staying in holiday apartments are good indicators of both the demand for short-term rental accommodations and for the potential benefit of purchasing property for investment as tourist accommodation or for use as a holiday home with some income generation during periods when the property is not in personal use, although tourist licences are still not available in Barcelona Old Town.

Holiday apartment accommodations again outperformed the previous year with 708,286 foreigners staying in holiday apartments in 2016, up from 641,766 in 2015, representing an annual growth rate of 10.37%.

Monthly passenger arrivals at Barcelona’s El Prat airport have been higher for every month of this year over 2015 figures, which in turn were higher than in 2014. 2016 saw an increase of 11.19% over passenger arrivals in 2015, with a total of over 44 million passenger arrivals in 2016.

Foreign travellers with Catalonia as a primary destination – the majority coming to Barcelona – rose again in 2016, maintaining a consistent proportion of almost 25% of all international tourists visiting Spain, similar to the previous two years. Almost 18 million international tourists visited Catalonia in 2016, showing an annual growth rate of 5.27%.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000


Títulodelgráfico

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jne Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Mil

lare

s

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

10

20

30

40

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Mill

ares

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

10

20

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40

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60

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80

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Mill

ares

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016





WEBSITE INTEREST IN BARCELONA PROPERTY: COUNTRY OF ORIGIN, 2016Source: Lucas Fox website data

24%

20%

11%4%

3%2%

2%2%

2%

30%

Spain

UK

USA

Greece

Netherlands

France

Russia

Australia

Ukraine

Other

SpainUKUSAGreeceNetherlandsFranceRussiaAustraliaUkraineOther

LUCAS FOX WEBSITE INTEREST

Almost a quarter of interest in Barcelona properties on the Lucas Fox website came from Spanish residents in 2016. Website visitors from the United Kingdom made up nearly 20% of the total number of visitors and just over 10% of visitors came from the United States. European buyers from France, Germany and the Netherlands also regularly review Barcelona properties on the website.





LUCAS FOX PREDICTS

“The Barcelona property market continues to attract investors from all over the world, thanks to its exceptional lifestyle and investment potential. In 2017 we expect New Development sales to drive the

residential property market in Barcelona. We expect prices in the city centre to continue to increase, by between 6% to 8%. Other larger New Development projects that should come onto the market in the second half of 2017 are located in the areas of Eixample Left, Diagonal Mar and Poble Nou. They are perfect rental investments and will also attract non-European buyers looking to take advantage of the Golden Visa residency scheme. Our prediction is that sales in these developments will make up a high percentage of the mid-market transactions by foreign buyers. We predict further growth in the national market, more specifically in the Zona Alta, as the economy recuperates and financing becomes more accessible. We believe that Barcelona will continue to be an investment hotspot for several years to

come, and capital gains growth will be consistent throughout.”

Rod JamiesonHead of Operations, Lucas Fox Barcelona



Documents

SPAIN OVERVIEW BARCELONA MARESME - Lucas Fox · Corts and Sarrià-Sant Gervasi) ended the year with the highest average prices, at €4,610 and €4,787 per square metre respectively,