Upload
jennifer-fleming
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Source: Trade
ACA MeetingACA MeetingBenin - Sep 2006Benin - Sep 2006
Global Cashew Global Cashew ScenarioScenario
OriginOrigin ProductionProduction
(MT ‘000)(MT ‘000)
IMP/EXPIMP/EXP
(MT ‘000)(MT ‘000)
ProductionProduction
(‘000 (‘000 ctn))DomesticDomestic
(‘000 ctn)(‘000 ctn)
ExportExport
(‘000 ctn)(‘000 ctn)
South (Sept-Jan) of Prev. YrSouth (Sept-Jan) of Prev. Yr
BrazilBrazil 245245 00 2,4502,450 (200)(200) 2,2502,250
E. AfricaE. Africa 165165 (140)(140) 250250 00 250250
Indonesia+Indonesia+ComboCombo
dia, Thailanddia, Thailand115115 (110)(110) 5050 00 5050
North Feb-JuneNorth Feb-June
IndiaIndia 360360 580580 9,4009,400 (4,000)(4,000) 5,4005,400
VietnamVietnam 300300 8585 3,8503,850 (40)(40) 3,8103,810
W. AfricaW. Africa 425425 (415)(415) 100100 00 100100
TOTALTOTAL 1,6101,610 00 16,10016,100 (4,240)(4,240) 11,86011,860
World Cashew Production 2005
Source: Trade
West Africa -- leading RCN producer . . .
OriginOrigin ProductionProduction
(MT ‘000)(MT ‘000)
IMP/EXPIMP/EXP
(MT ‘000)(MT ‘000)
ProductionProduction
(‘000 (‘000 ctn))DomesticDomestic
(‘000 ctn)(‘000 ctn)
ExportExport
(‘000 ctn)(‘000 ctn)
South (Sept-Jan) of Prev. YrSouth (Sept-Jan) of Prev. Yr
BrazilBrazil 245245 00 2,4502,450 (200)(200) 2,2502,250
E. AfricaE. Africa 170170 (140)(140) 300300 00 300300
Indonesia +Indonesia + 115115 (110)(110) 5050 00 5050
North (Feb-Jun)North (Feb-Jun)
IndiaIndia 360360 584584 9,4409,440 (3,800)(3,800) 5,6405,640
VietnamVietnam 300300 9090 3,9003,900 (40)(40) 3,8603,860
W. AfricaW. Africa 435435 (424)(424) 110110 00 110110
TOTALTOTAL 1,6251,625 00 16,25016,250 (4,040)(4,040) 12,21012,210
World Cashew Production 2006
Source: Trade
…with India leading in kernel production.
’06 vs ’05 exports up 2%- 3%.
Source: Trade
World Cashew Usage
North America
50%
Europe29%
Asia / Other21%
N.A. continues to be the major user
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Pe
an
uts
Ca
sh
ew
s
Mix
ed
Nu
ts
Pis
tac
hio
s
Tri
al
Mix
Alm
on
ds
Se
ed
s
Ma
cs
Pe
ca
ns
Oth
er
US
Sn
ac
k N
ut
Sa
les
Value %
Quantity %
U.S. Snack Nut Sales
Source: AC Nielsen Last 52 wks ending April 29, 2006
Most popular tree nut in Snack Category but…
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Feb-
05
Mar
-05
Apr
-05
May
-05
Jun-
05
Jul-0
5
Aug
-05
Sep
-05
Oct
-05
Nov
-05
Dec
-05
Jan-
06
Feb-
06
Mar
-06
Apr
-06
% C
hang
e vs
PY
Cashew Snack Demand Almond Snack Demand
Snack Category Growth: Cashews vs Almonds
Feb’05-Apr’06
Source: AC Nielsen Last 52 wks
…cashew growth rate went negative Oct’05
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Fe
b-0
5
Ma
r-0
5
Ap
r-0
5
Ma
y-0
5
Ju
n-0
5
Ju
l-0
5
Au
g-0
5
Se
p-0
5
Oct-
05
No
v-0
5
De
c-0
5
Ja
n-0
6
Fe
b-0
6
Ma
r-0
6
Ap
r-0
6
% C
ha
ng
e v
s P
Y
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
Do
llars
Pe
r L
B
Almond Snack Demand
BS Price Lagged 6 months
Source: AC Nielsen Last 52 wks
Almond Snack Category Growth vs Market Price
Even with record prices, almond demand is still strong…
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Fe
b-0
5
Ma
r-0
5
Ap
r-0
5
Ma
y-0
5
Ju
n-0
5
Ju
l-0
5
Au
g-0
5
Se
p-0
5
Oct-
05
No
v-0
5
De
c-0
5
Ja
n-0
6
Fe
b-0
6
Ma
r-0
6
Ap
r-0
6
% C
ha
ng
e v
s P
Y
$2.00
$2.10
$2.20
$2.30
$2.40
$2.50
$2.60
$2.70
Do
llars
Pe
r L
B
Cashew Snack Demand
W320 Price Lagged 6 months
Cashew Snack Category Growth vs Market Price
…while cashew prices and demand decreased
Thank YouThank You