Solar Resource Mapping in Pakistan F MODEL VALIDATION Resource Mapping in Pakistan FINAL MODEL VALIDATION REPORT JANUARY 2017 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure

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  • Solar Resource Mapping in Pakistan

    FINAL MODEL VALIDATION REPORT JANUARY 2017

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  • This report was prepared by DLR, under contract to The World Bank. It is one of several outputs from the solar resource mapping component of the a

    Planning [Project ID: P146140]. This activity is funded and supported by the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP), a multi-donor trust fund administered by The World Bank, under a global initiative on Renewable Energy Resource Mapping. Further details on the initiative can be

    obtained from the ESMAP website.

    As a result of the Master Agreement awarded to Solargis for global solar resource assessment and mapping

    services and the resulting restructuring of this project component, this report is the final DLR output from the above-mentioned project. Users are strongly advised to exercise caution when utilizing the information and data contained, as the results are preliminary and have not been peer reviewed. The final output from this project will be a validated Pakistan Solar Atlas prepared by Solargis, which will be published once the project is completed.

    To obtain maps and information on solar resources globally, please visit:

    http://globalsolaratlas.info

    Copyright 2017 THE WORLD BANK Washington DC 20433 Telephone: +1-202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org

    The World Bank, comprising the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA), is the commissioning agent and copyright holder for this publication. However, this work is a product of the consultants listed, and not of World Bank staff. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent.

    The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work and accept no responsibility for any consequence of their use. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

    The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for non-commercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: +1-202-522-2625; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. Furthermore, the ESMAP Program Manager would appreciate receiving a copy of the publication that uses this publication for its source sent in care of the address above, or to esmap@worldbank.org.

    http://www.dlr.de/dlr/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-10002/http://www.worldbank.org/https://www.esmap.org/re_mappinghttp://solargis.com/?_ga=1.145962804.1659929352.1479214454http://globalsolaratlas.info/http://www.worldbank.org/

  • ESMAP - Renewable Energy Resource Mapping

    Initiative

    - Solar Resource Mapping for Pakistan -

    WB Selection #11260861

    Final Model Validation Report

    Project Coordinator: DLR

    Authors: Steffen Stkler and Dr. Christoph Schillings (DLR)

    Date: January 2017

    Document Name: esmap_pakistan_final_validation_report.docx

  • ESMAP Pakistan Solar: Final Model Validation Report

    2

    Contents

    1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 4

    2 Comparison methodology ............................................................................................................... 4

    3 Validation of measured against satellite data ................................................................................. 4

    4 Site specifics Hyderabad/Jamshoro................................................................................................. 5

    4.1 Validation results ..................................................................................................................... 6

    4.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance .......................................................... 6

    4.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance ................................................................ 9

    4.1.3 Validation results of Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance ....................................................... 11

    4.2 Discussion and conclusion ..................................................................................................... 14

    5 Site specifics Islamabad ................................................................................................................. 15

    5.1 Validation results ................................................................................................................... 16

    5.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance ........................................................ 16

    5.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance .............................................................. 19

    5.1.3 Validation results of Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance ....................................................... 21

    5.2 Discussion and conclusion ..................................................................................................... 24

    6 Site specifics Karachi ..................................................................................................................... 25

    6.1 Validation results ................................................................................................................... 26

    6.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance ........................................................ 26

    6.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance .............................................................. 29

    6.1.3 Validation results of Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance ....................................................... 31

    6.2 Discussion and conclusion ..................................................................................................... 34

    7 Site specifics Khuzdar .................................................................................................................... 35

    7.1 Validation results ................................................................................................................... 35

    7.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance ........................................................ 36

    7.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance .............................................................. 39

    7.1.3 Validation results of Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance ....................................................... 41

    7.2 Discussion and conclusion ..................................................................................................... 44

    8 Site specifics Lahore ...................................................................................................................... 45

    8.1 Validation results ................................................................................................................... 46

    8.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance ........................................................ 46

    8.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance .............................................................. 49

  • ESMAP Pakistan Solar: Model Validation Report

    3

    8.1.3 Validation results of Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance ....................................................... 51

    8.2 Discussion and conclusion ..................................................................................................... 54

    9 Site specifics Multan ...................................................................................................................... 55

    9.1 Validation results ................................................................................................................... 56

    9.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance ........................................................ 56

    9.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance .............................................................. 59

    9.1.3 Validation results of Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance ....................................................... 61

    9.2 Discussion and conclusion ..................................................................................................... 64

    10 Site specifics Peshawar .............................................................................................................. 65

    10.1 Validation results ................................................................................................................... 66

    10.1.1 Validation results of Global Horizontal Irradiance ........................................................ 66

    10.1.2 Validation results of Direct Normal Irradiance ................