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CSE 403, Spring 2006, Alverson Software Projects – the challenges we face

Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

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Page 1: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006, Alverson

Software Projects – the challenges we face

Page 2: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

MiscellaneousYour pitch and LCO does not need to include a business case analysis. Focus on the technical end, and feasilibity wrt technical challenges/time/resources.

Another grading comment …

Turn in assignments using “turnin” (turnin –c cse403 –p lco file1.doc file2.ppt)

About Wed/Thurs/Fri:o All presentations, submitted Tue night, will be loaded onto a laptop by us

and you will be able to run them from that laptop. LCO’s will also be posed on the web for you to peruse.

o Everyone needs to take part in the presentations -- not just one member per team.

o Teams should plan on a 5 minute presentation – rehearse!o The order of presentations will be announced on Wed in class. o As you listen to the presentations, be thinking about whether you would like

to work on the project. Why, why not? Project preferences will be due Sat 11:59pm (survey link on web).

Page 3: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Readings“Rapid Development”, Steve McConnello Chapter 3 – 3.3 Classic Mistakes

Page 4: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

OutlineWhat is a software project?What makes a project successful?What’s our track record?Is software different?Do we now have all (any) of the answers?

Page 5: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

What is a software project?Projects are a balance of three dimensions, with the goal of producing a successful deliverable

FEATURES

TIME RESOURCES ($$)

SOFTWAREDELIVERABLE

Page 6: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

What is essential to a project?

Risk InvestmentPositive payoff

Take a risk and make an investment in order to get a positive payoff

Look at the prior question from another angle

Page 7: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

What makes a project successful?

On time deliveryFeature set completeReliablePerformantMeets expectationsOn budgetTeam survives without burnout (!)Ability to evolve (maintainable, enhanceable)

What are your ideas? What would make your 403 project successful?

Page 8: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

So…what’s our track record?What would you guess is the percentage of

software projects that fail (i.e., that don’t accomplish their goals)?

0 – 20%20-40%40-60%60-80%80-100%

Page 9: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

And the answer is …

05

101520253035404550

0-20% 20-40%

40-60%

60-80%

80-100%

05

1015202530354045

0-20% 20-40%

40-60%

60-80%

80-100%

Historically, nearly 85% of software projects fail

Past undergrad 403 guess

Past grad 590ET guess

Page 10: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Details from the Standish report

Successful Challenged Failed

16% 64% 20%

84%

Why do you think this is the case??

Page 11: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Chief reasons for software project failures: UGrad answers

o Insufficient planningo Too “rosy” assumptions o Poor communicationo Changes to the requirementso Changes in the context (funding, priorities)o Doing something without a clear customer baseo Competitiono Entrepreneurial nature of software

Page 12: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Chief reasons for software project failures: Grad answers

o Cost overrunso Changing of requirementso Misunderstanding of requirementso Poor understanding of goalso Over-ambitious goalso Lack of clear specificationo Poor planning/researcho Lack of a reasonable & structured software/feature

plano No commercial market for end producto Complexity of software

There are a lot of ways that things can go wrong!

Page 13: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Chief reasons/Classic Mistakes from RD

Rapid Development, p 49

Page 14: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Chief reasons for software project failures: professionals’ answers

The majority of software projects fail…o not because of technical deficiencies or

problemso but because of underestimating the human

aspects of development, including:the relationship with the customersregular and explicit communication between all

stakeholders – managers, developers, testers, marketing, sales, customers

Page 15: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

More from the Standish data

54% of features were rarely or never used! That effort could have been productively spent elsewhere!

Why?

Features Used in a Typical System

Never 45%

Rarely 19%

Always 7%

Often 13%

Sometimes 16%

Page 16: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Is Software Different?(from Other Engineering Disciplines)

Breakout session!

Rows 1&2: Arguments in favor

Rows 3&4: Arguments against

Rows 5&6: Arguments in favor

Hand in your notes so we can capture in the slides later!

Page 17: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Sp06 403 – Arguments in favorLow overhead of actual implementationNew professionHighly technicalHighly market drivenShorter release cyclesLower material investmentSoftware is customer centricLife cycles are longer due to maintenanceWay cooler!Don’t require large groupsTechnology changes faster

Page 18: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Past arguments in favorTesting the quality of software is hardero So many cases, so many paths, …o Unlike bridges and buildings where everything can

be tested using known proceduresMuch higher rate of failureo May also have to do with the immaturity of the

disciplineCustomers have a greater roleFrantic rate of technological changeSoftware is easier to copy

Page 19: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Sp06 403 – Arguments againstSame type of development cycles (spec, dev, release, etc)Still trying to generate a productStill process of “creating” from ground upStart with customer demand, require feedbackAlways breaking new groundStill need to meet deadlines and requirements (performance, reliability)Work in groups

Page 20: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Past arguments against

Software developers still need to plan, execute, test, and sell their products

Page 21: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

More questions to consider:Is software less reliable?Does it break differently?Is the environment of use of software different?Is the culture of software development different?and more…

Is Software Different?(from Other Engineering Disciplines)

Do these differences justify/explain our dismal success rate?

Page 22: Software Projects –the challenges we facecourses.cs.washington.edu/.../lectures/softwareprojects.pdfHistorically, nearly 85% of software projects fail Past undergrad 403 guess Past

CSE 403, Spring 2006

Have we learned from our mistakes?We’re starting to!Driving forces behind the evolution of software development

o Software becomes a business and a professionNo longer just a hobbyStandards

o Best practices get distilled over timeLifecycle processesDesigning for change, for test, for leanness, …

o Productivity tools appear that aid developerso Economic and societal trends play an increasingly important role