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Socio-Technical Transitions. Models for Change. Jeffery Cottes Adjunct Professor October 30, 2013 Eckhardt-Gramatté Hall, University of Winnipeg Find out more at www.insidepolicy.wordpress.com. Socio-Technical Transitions. Definition: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Socio-Technical TransitionsModels for Change
Jeffery CottesAdjunct ProfessorOctober 30, 2013
Eckhardt-Gramatté Hall, University of WinnipegFind out more at www.insidepolicy.wordpress.com
Socio-Technical Transitions
Definition:
◦a gradual, continuous process of change where the structural character of a society (or complex subsystem of society) transforms.
1845
Inno
vatio
n
IronWaterpower
MechanisationTextiles
Commerce
Steam powerRailroad
SteelCotton
1785 1900 1950 1990 2020
ElectricityChemicals
Internal combustion
engine
PetrochemicalsElectronics
AviationSpace
Digital NetworksBiotechnology
Software Information technology
SustainabilityRadical resource
productivityWhole system design
BiomimicryGreen ChemistryIndustrial ecology
Renewable EnergyGreen nanotechnology
1st Wave
2nd Wave
3rd Wave
4th Wave
5th Wave
6th Wave
Energy Transitions
Source: Hargroves, K. and M. Smith (2008)
Socio-Technical Transitions‘transition studies’
◦brings together research on socio-technical systems, public policy and administration, and sustainability studies
◦bidirectional analysis between human and technological systems
◦niches, regimes and landscapes are analytical levels within the social-technical system
Models of Growth
Innovation
Time
Conventional growth
Time
Conventional growth
Conventional Development Paradigm
Innovation
Models of Growth
Models of Growth
Time
Sustainable Development Paradigm
Conventional growth
Innovation
Conventional Development Paradigm
Models of Growth
Time
Conventional growth
Sustainability
Innovation
Conventional Development Paradigm
Sustainable Development Paradigm
Time
Technological Diffusion
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Model of Technological Diffusion
Model of Technological Diffusion
Time
Technological Diffusion
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Model of Technological Diffusion
Time
Technological Diffusion
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Landscape Pressures
Model of Technological Diffusion
Time
Technological Diffusion
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Niche development pathways
Landscape Pressures
Model of Technological Diffusion
Time
Technological Diffusion
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Niche development pathways
Regime
Landscape Pressures
Model of Technological Diffusion
Governance and Change
How do we couple Innovation with Technological Diffusion?
Time
Tech
nolo
gica
l Diff
usio
n
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Regime
Landscape
Niches
Time
Sustainable Development Paradigm
Conventional growthIn
nova
tion
Conventional Development Paradigm
Sustainability
Time
Technological Diffusion
Predevelopment
Stabilisation
Breakthrough
Take-off
Regime
Governance and Change
Conventional growth
Sustainability
Sustainable Development Paradigm
Conventional Development Paradigm
Final Thoughts
1. Change will occur, so what kind of change do we want?
2. What forces are in play, and how can we make sense of them?
3. Which of these system levels are able to shape the future of sustainability?
Socio-Technical TransitionsModels for Change
Jeffery [email protected]
www.insidepolicy.wordpress.com
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