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Social Models of the New East European Capitalisms. by Pál TAMAS [Hungarian Academy of Sciences]. Regional Clusters. Agriculture regions. Industry regions. Basic service regions. Business service regions. Capital cities. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Social Models of the New East European
Capitalismsby
Pál TAMAS[Hungarian Academy of
Sciences]
Agriculture regions
Industry regions
Basic service regions
Business service regions
Capital cities
Regional Clusters
Growth of gross domestic product:
Wider Europe% annual change, 2006 and 2006-2020
forecasts
1.1
2.31.5
2.8
4.1
5.24.8
5.2
7.36.8
6.05.8
8.9
7.4
6.1
3.2
6.86
9.6
12.1
7.1 7
2.3
4.9
6.14.6
6.5
5.6 5.2
2.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2003 2004 2005 2006 2006-2015
EU-15 NMS-10 Bu,Ro,Cr Turkey SEE-5 Ukraine
wiiw
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Employment GDP Employment GDP
Employment and GDP growth 1995 = 100
EU-15 NMS-10
4
8
12
16
20
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
CZ HU PL SK SI BG RO
Unemployment rates 2000-2007
LFS, %, annual average
Source: wiiw Database
Stylized U-shaped pattern of employment growth in NMs
Employment levels
TimeStrong presence of sectors with declining output shares and strong productivity catching-up
Increasing weight of sectors with strong output growth and lower productivity catching-up
Aggregate GDP growth / catching-up and convergence in output structures (with more advanced economies)
-6-4
-2024
68
Agriculture, forestry,fishing
Industry total Trade, hotels,restaurants
Finance and businessserv.
Value added Productivity Employment
Growth by sectors, 1995-2005 in % p.a.NMS-7
-6-4
-20
24
68
Agriculture, forestry,fishing
Industry total Trade, hotels,resaurants
Finance and businessserv.
Poland
Employment by educational categories
1992-2005
405060708090
100110120130140
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Hungary:(Index: 1992 = 100)
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
Poland:(Index: 1992 = 100)
40
60
80
100
120
140
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
Czech Republic:(Index: 1993 = 100)
Primary education
Secondary education
Tertiary education
Total employment
2005
Skill shifts – between and within components in low-, medium- and
high-skill sectors,1999-2005
-1
0
1
2
3
4
L M H L M H L M H L M H
between within total skill shift
Source: wiiw
CZ HU SI SK
L=low-skill sectors, M=medium-skill sectors, H=high-skill sectors
High education
