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Piotr Białowolski
Warsaw School of Economics
Institute of Statistics and Demography
Social Diagnosis (1) Individual (all household members 16+ years) and
household questionnaire (FKP)
Household: Household composition, Economic (labour market)
activity of households, Nutrition, Wealth incl. Savings and Debts, Housing conditions, Participation in educational services, Culture and leisure, Income situation, Computer and the Internet.
Individual: Health, Human capital, Life satisfaction, Norms, Trust,
Use of financial services, Use of the Internet.
Social Diagnosis (2) 7 survey waves: 2000, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013
(some questions were inherited from a survey „Quality of life of Poland’s households in the transition period” conducted between 1991 and 1997),
Sample size: households - from 3,000 to 12,500 (2009,2011,2013), individuals – from 4,000 to 26,500 (2009,2011,2013),
Panel data,
Weighted in order to replicate households (individual) compositon at the national level but also for individual Voivodeships and the particular classes of place of residence.
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Selected results
Life satisfaction (1)
56
61 62
69 69
72
76 78 78 79
9
16
26
20
14 13
19
27 26
23
29
35 34
55
60
63
68
72 74 76
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1992 1995 1997 2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
%
satisfied with current life
satisfied with situation of the country
households with sufficient incomes
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Life satisfaction (2)
55.4
47.5
54.6 56.4 58.6
55.6 60.4
50.2 52.9 54.8 53.9
56.2 58 54.8
22.7 25.6
35.4 37 41.5
47.9 54.9 53.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
place of residence
state of security
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Health status measured by average number of symptoms and the percentage of subjectively satisifed with their health between 2000 and 2013
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
0.9 0.88
0.84
0.81
0.75
0.69
0.65
65.7 66.1
69.4
70.6
72.3
74.3 74.4
65
67
69
71
73
75
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1996 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
% s
atisfied
Nu
mb
er
of
sym
pto
ms
Number of severesymptoms% satisfied with theirhealth
Social trust
10.3 8.4
10.3 12.4
10.5 10.5 11.5
13.4 13.4 12.2 9.3
12.9 13.6 14.1 15.6 15.6 15.2
12.2 12.1
15.1 13.2
14.8 13.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1992 1995 1997 2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
% Trusting other members of the society
Socially active
Members of an organization
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Trust towards institutions
15.7 26.7 28.1 19.6
35.6 27.2 38.1
48.8 50.6 62 34.3
54.9 56.2
38.7
45.1
33.9 28.3
34 29.7 12.1 50
18.4 15.7
41.7 19.3
38.9 33.6 17.2 19.6 25.9
0102030405060708090
100
No opinion
NO
YES
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Assessment of the reforms in Poland after 1989
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
10.4 7.7 6.1 7.5
10.3 12.5 14
11.7
29.8
47.4
57.4
46.7
40.1 36.3 37.2 44.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1997 2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
successful
unsuccessful
Poland is different and very pessimistic
Bovi’s (2009) mantra for European countries:
As usual, it has got worse than I expected. Especially for the OTHERS. Nevertheless, I think that it will get better. Especially for ME.
The same mantra for Poland (Białowolski and Dudek 2008):
As usual, it has got worse than I expected. Especially for ME. Nevertheless, I think that it will get better. Especially for the OTHERS.
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Despite social difficulties Poland is moving in a positive direction
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
The incomes are growing and the inequalities are declining
0 4
13.2
18.6
38.9 44.6
44.1
-6
4
14
24
34
44
54
2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Cu
mila
ted
% c
han
ge
Year of measure
averageincome
The incomes have increased in the past 13 years by over 44%. Yet the inequalities
from the beginning of the crisis have declined. Gini
coefficient equalled 31.4 (2007); 31.28
(2009); 30.76 (2011) and 29.9 (2013).
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Use of new technologies
35.5 43.1
50.8 54.5
60.6 63.8
23.1 33.4 41.8 50.9
60
63.2
29.9
48.1
70.1
78.4 85.1 87.4
2.8
25.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
%
Computer
Internet
Mobile phone
Smartphone
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Changes in the activity of households on the financial market
31.2 34.1 34.2 33.0 30.3 26.6 25.2
6.3 5.8 6.0 8.6 10.4 12.3 11.6
17.4 17.4 17.0 19.4 21.8 25.2 29.0
45.1 42.7 42.8 39.0 37.5 35.8 34.2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2000 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
debt only debt and savings
savings only
In March 2013 it was the first time in the history of the
Social Diagnosis Survey that the share of households with
savings (almost 41 %) exceeded the share of households with
debt (36.9 %).
The share of households not participating in the financial
services market declined from 45.1% to merely 34.2%.
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Social Dignosis has also its composite indices
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Human capital (1) Procedure:
Development of theoretical model of human capital,
Selection of manifest variables to the measurement model,
Verification of correctness of the model with the use of exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis,
Calculation of the composite human capital index using the categorical principal component analysis (CATPCA).
Definition: Human capital defined as the supply of knowledge, skills and qualifications of specific persons, groups of persons and the entire society defining their ability to work, adapt to change and also act creatively.
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Human capital (2) Operationalization:
education – measured with the number of years of education completed,
civilizational competence – it was assumed that these are manifested through:
use of internet,
command of English,
participation in life-long learning – a measurement made on the basis of answers on new professional qualifications or other skills gained in the preceding two years.
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Human capital – measurement
indicator variable factor loadings
standardized factor loadings
number of years in education 1 0.63
english competences 0.43 0.885
life-long learning 0.344 0.708
computer use 0.423 0.87
internet browser 0.087 0.178
fit indices
CFI = .964 TLI = .953 RMSEA = .076
DIAGNOZA SPOŁECZNA 2013
Participation in the labour force and increasing human capital
41.72 43.76
45.13 45.68
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2007 2009 2011 2013
Human capital index
overall 15-34 years
35-44 years 45 years and more
Improvement in the overall human capital index has
been mainly due to an upward trend in the use of
ICT technologies and better knowledge of
English language. However, the life-long-lerning is
declining.
Differences between the human capital of those
aged 15-34 and 35-44 decreases. However, those aged 45 and over are not catching up with others.