May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 1

GSC9/JOINT_004

Facing Up to Challenges, Seizing Opportunities

John VisserPhone: +1 613-763-7028Fax: +1 613-765-6257Mobile: +1 613-276-6096

Email: jvisser@nortelnetworks.com

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 2

What is happening?

• Unprecedented changes occurring at unprecedented speed

• Major technology shifts mean major growth opportunities and major risks

• Major opportunities for synergies, reuse through convergence: telecoms/IT, fixed/mobile, broadcast

• Regional and global NGN standards initiatives already underway

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 3

Challenges

• A Revolution is underway:– circuit to packet– single medium (voice only) to multimedia– monopolistic to competitive– fixed to mobile– discrete to converged

• How do we meet these challenges?

• What are the opportunities we can seize?

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 4

Communications in the Global Economy

• Yankee Group, News Release 24 Jun 03:– estimate 18.6 percent of world’s population

currently has mobile phones – global wireless user base will increase 49%

over next 4 years, reach 1.72 billion by 2007– global cellular subscriber revenue will grow

from $387B in 2002 to $584B in 2007

• Similar in value to crude oil production

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 5

NGN Essence

• NGN is the current “buzzword”

• What does NGN mean?– packet-switched core network– multimedia (based on 3GPP Rel. 6 IMS)– mobile (all dimensions) an integral part– access independence essential

• SG 13 definition provided in a separate presentation

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 6

Opportunities

• NGN global consistency is a target to which everyone subscribes– essential for an increasingly interconnected

world– immediate value to developed and developing

markets

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 7

Moving forward

• NGN is our opportunity to move everyone into the future together: – everyone must ensure they are well organized

to help “move the yardsticks” forward– existing relationships and cooperation

agreements provide the needed connections (or provide the basis for additional connections)

• A globally unified NGN approach will succeed!

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 8

Challenges for ITU-T

• NGN is one of the key challenges facing ITU-T

• Other significant challenges include:– performance (QoS)– security– management– transport– etc.

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 9

ITU-T Response

• ITU-T is a responsive organization as demonstrated through adoption of AAP, electronic working methods, focus groups, classes of membership, etc.– procedures and working methods are

“state of the art”

• But organization of technical work issub-optimal

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 10

ITU-T Response

• Discussions on technical work organization have progressed slowly

• Essential to get “unstuck”:– must make progress on structural issues– must be seen to make progress on structural

issues

• WTSA-2004 offers a crucial and timely opportunity to demonstrate consensus on the way forward

May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 11

GSC-9 Influence

• It is in our common interest for ITU-T to succeed in global aspects of NGN– part of GSC mandate is to advise ITU-T with the

aim of strengthening its role in global standardization

• Opportunity to input a consistent and coherent message to the Assembly on the urgent need to optimize working arrangements to the benefit of the global standards community