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SINTROPHER Partner Meeting
WP2 WorkshopWP2A15 Economic Feasibility of
Fylde Coast TramTrain and Tram-Rail Options
Contents
• Context: Existing tram and rail infrastructure
• Phase 1 (complete): Outline economic feasibility of options• Tram extension to Airport• Tram extension to South Fylde Line• Tram train on South Fylde Line• Tram extension to North Fylde Line• Tram train on North Fylde Line
• Phase 2 (ongoing): Detailed economic feasibility of options• Business and stakeholder consultation• Demand for travel • Local economic effects• Wider economic benefits
Tram Extension to Blackpool Airport
Airport Passenger Demand
Mode of Travel To/From Blackpool Airport
33%
23%
13%
22%
5%
1% 3%
Car (alone)Car (with friend/relative)Car (dropped off)TaxiBusTrainWalk
Geographic Distribution of Airport Passengers
• 92% from outside tram catchment
Tram Extension to Blackpool Airport: Conclusions
• Airport passenger demand seems to have peaked• Geographic distribution of passengers is not aligned
with tramway
• Potential demand for tram extension is too low to demonstrate a fundable business case
Tram Extension to South Fylde Line
Preferred Alignment: New Road
Passenger Demand: Rail
Blackp
ool South
Blackp
ool Plea
sure
Beach
Squire
s Gate
St-Annes-
On-The-S
ea
Ansdell
& Fa
irhav
en
Lytham
Moss Sid
e
Kirkham
& W
esham
Salw
ick0
50
100
150
200
250
Annual Entries & Exits (000s)
Bus network
• 8+ buses per hour between St Annes/Lytham and Blackpool
• Frequent bus service which penetrates much deeper into urban areas than the tram
Passenger Demand: Bus
• Bus carries 90% of the passenger demand between north+central and south parts of Fylde Coast
Trips Rail Bus Total
Daily 360 3,000 3,360
Annual 132,000 1,100,000 1,232,000
Curtailment of Heavy Rail on South Fylde Line
• Some existing rail passengers are disadvantaged • ‘Least worst’ place to curtail is St Annes
Origin of trips Tram train to Preston
Tram to St Annes Tram to St Annes (with BPN link)
Preston +20,000 -20,000 -
Through Preston -5,000 -5,000 -5,000
Intermediate +20,000 +1,000 (Min.) -3,000
+1,000 (Min.)-3,000
Net position +35,000 -27,000 -7,000
Tram Extension to South Fylde Line
• Existing demand on SFL is small• Business case dependent on transfer from large
existing bus market
• Funding opportunities: Interchange only: no case Extension to St Annes/Lytham: possible business case –
also good as intermediate step towards full tram train Tram train: currently too expensive, option for future
Tram Extension to North Fylde Line
Preferred Alignment: Talbot Road/High Street
Passenger Demand: Rail
Blackp
ool North
Layton
Poulton-Le
-Fylde
Blackp
ool South
Blackp
ool Plea
sure
Beach
Squire
s Gate
St-Annes-
On-The-S
ea
Ansdell
& Fa
irhav
en
Lytham
Moss Sid
e
Kirkham
& W
esham
Salw
ick0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Annu
al E
ntrie
s & E
xits
(000
s)
Blackpool North Passenger Origins/Destinations Within 800m of Tramway
North; 29%
South; 24%
Outside buffer; 48%
Mode of Travel To/From Blackpool North
3% 1%
13%
23%
15%
42%
2%
Car (alone)Car (with friend/relative)Car (dropped off)TaxiBusWalkOther
Tram Extension to North Fylde Line
• Large potential market: 1,600,000 passengers per year 53% with origins/destinations close to tramway 65% currently walk or use bus to access the station
• Disadvantage to existing passengers travelling north-south or vice versa through North Pier 35% existing tram passengers in high season 30% in low season
• Business case depends on relative attraction of extension versus disadvantage to existing ‘through’ passengers
• Funding opportunities: Tram train: expensive with little added benefit Interchange: business case appears plausible
Ongoing Work: Phase 2
• Business consultation• Public consultation• Wider economic benefits• Spatial distribution of economic benefits• Social and Distributional Impacts• Demand forecasting• Ticketing• Low Cost Alternative
• Engineering/Design/Costs (by Mott McDonald)
• Outputs: Detailed Option Comparison Business Case