Singapore Property Weekly Issue 94

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    Issue 94Copyright 2011-2012 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/
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    ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that youd like to share

    with thousands of readers interested in the Singapore property

    market? Send them to us at [email protected] , and if theyre good

    enough, well publish them here, on our blog and even on Yahoo!

    News.

    AdvertiseWant to get your brand, product, service or property listing out to

    thousands of Singapore property investors at a very reasonable

    cost? Head over to www.propwise.sg/advertise/ to find out more.

    CONTENTS

    p2 HDB New Flat Prices to Fall by 30%?

    p7 Property Buying Tip #10: Co-Ownership

    p8 Singapore Property News This Week

    p15 Resale Property Transactions

    (February 20 February 26)

    Welcome to the 94th edition of the

    Singapore Property Weekly.

    Im glad to announce that the 2012Q4

    URA data has been updated for

    PropertyMarketInsights.com members.

    >> Click here to find out more

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    HDB New Flat Prices to Fall by 30%?

    By Mr. Propwise

    In a recent parliamentary speech, Minister

    Khaw Boon Wan suggested that his Ministry

    is looking at ways to bring Build-To-Order

    (BTO) flat pricing in non-mature estates downto four years ofsalary, where it was before

    the current property bull market started more

    than six years ago, down from the current 5.5

    times. The media has suggested that this

    means a potential fall of 30% for BTO prices,

    which would be disastrous for both HDBresale flat and mass market private property

    prices.

    http://app.mnd.gov.sg/Newsroom/NewsPage.aspx?ID=4289&category=Parliamentary%20Speech&year=2013&RA1=&RA2=&RA3=http://app.mnd.gov.sg/Newsroom/NewsPage.aspx?ID=4289&category=Parliamentary%20Speech&year=2013&RA1=&RA2=&RA3=http://app.mnd.gov.sg/Newsroom/NewsPage.aspx?ID=4289&category=Parliamentary%20Speech&year=2013&RA1=&RA2=&RA3=http://app.mnd.gov.sg/Newsroom/NewsPage.aspx?ID=4289&category=Parliamentary%20Speech&year=2013&RA1=&RA2=&RA3=http://app.mnd.gov.sg/Newsroom/NewsPage.aspx?ID=4289&category=Parliamentary%20Speech&year=2013&RA1=&RA2=&RA3=http://app.mnd.gov.sg/Newsroom/NewsPage.aspx?ID=4289&category=Parliamentary%20Speech&year=2013&RA1=&RA2=&RA3=
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    New flat prices unlikely to fall by 30% on

    an apples-to-apples basis

    However, I believe such an outcome is very

    unlikely to happen.

    First, it is unclear what combination of

    household income base and flat type Minister

    Khaw is referring to. Even currently, most

    households earning the median household

    income can afford 4-room BTO flats in non-

    mature estates. Over the last two years, therehas been a gradual de-linking of BTO prices

    from the resale market by increasing

    subsidies and keeping BTO prices stable

    even as resale prices rise. Now almost all

    HDB first-timers buy new flats instead of

    resale flats, reflecting the current attractivepricing of BTO flats, at least on a relative

    basis.

    Also, the characteristics of such cheaper flats

    could be different from the current HDB flats.

    They could be smaller, have shorter leases or

    be located in less desirable estates. Thus it

    would not be an apples-to-apples

    comparison.

    We should not forget that home ownership

    has crossed 90% in Singapore, one of the

    highest levels in the world. Policies that are

    implemented will have to avoid negatively

    impacting the majority of Singaporeans who

    already own a home. Thus while drastic

    policies such as reinstating a pre-1971 rule

    that HDB flats can only be sold back to the

    Housing Board have been suggested, I

    believe that they are highly unlikely.

    I also believe that its unlikely that we will see

    new BTO launches of flats at prices that are30% lower than those of recent neighboring

    launches. Imagine the angry outcry from

    those who had previously bought! The whole

    point of these changes to the housing policy

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    is to placate angry Singaporeans, and not

    piss off the silent majority who already own

    property.

    Deflating the property bubble

    Instead, the governments focus is on

    controlling the property market and

    preventing prices from rising further to create

    (or more accurately, inflate) a property

    bubble. Even the media has been

    admonished for their role in highlightingresale flats that go for record high prices.

    One way the government hopes to cool the

    market is by increasing supply. Minister Khaw

    announced that 25,000 BTO flats would be

    launched in 2013, a slight increase from the

    23,000 previously announced by the HDB in

    January. Compared to the roughly 25,000 in

    2011 and 27,000 in 2012, the pipeline of BTO

    flats in 2013 has been kept stable, higher

    than the 15,000 or so marriages each year, in

    order to clear the demand backlog.

    There is also the hope that the large

    upcoming supply of homes 30,000 units to

    be completed this year, 50,000 in 2014,

    54,000 in 2015 and 63,000 in 2016 will help

    to moderate price and rental increases.

    Minister Khaw also pointed out that as

    Singapores years of high GDP and wage

    growth in the 7% to 10% range are over,property prices (and especially HDB flat

    prices) are unlikely to rise as quickly in the

    future as they have done so as in the past.

    But is the property market out of control?

    The problem is that property prices inSingapore are not being driven by purely

    fundamental factors such as wage growth,

    but also by the sustained low interest rate

    environment which the government has no

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    control over due to Singapores monetary

    policy.

    The affordability of property is a function of

    not just property prices and income, but also

    by the cost of financing (i.e. mortgage rates).

    Add to that Singapores open economy and

    attractiveness to foreigners as a place to park

    their wealth (due to factors such as the low

    tax rates, stability, strong Singapore dollar

    etc), and the result is the continuing strongdemand for property.

    Thus despite seven (!) rounds of property

    cooling measures since September 2009

    (and various tweaks such as those

    announced in the Budget 2013), both

    volumes and price growth have remainedstrong. If we really think about that, we can

    only come to two conclusions.

    First, government policy on the housing

    market is reactive and incremental they

    watch the data on housing prices and

    volumes and try to put in place incremental

    policies to try and control the future direction

    of the market.

    Second, the measures have not been terribly

    effective transaction volumes in the past

    few years have been much higher than

    previously, and prices have grown strongly

    (the URA Property Price Index has risen by37% since 2009Q3). So either the

    government simply cannot do much to control

    the market, or they have severely

    underestimated the demand for property and

    have introduced measures that are too weak

    to tame the animal spirits in the market.More cooling measures on the way?

    The market seems to just shrug off each new

    round of measures, while developers and

    http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/http://www.propwise.sg/the-3-critical-impacts-of-budget-2013-for-property-owners/
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    agents introduce gimmicks (such as ABSD

    rebates, furniture vouchers and other forms of

    hidden discounting) and play on buyer

    psychology (e.g. using the 6.9 million

    population target) to drum up demand for new

    launches, which remains strong.

    I believe that the strong property market

    despite the multiple rounds of cooling

    measures has now almost become an

    embarrassment to the government, and thusthe risk of a new draconian set of property

    measures is significant. If we make it to the

    tenth round of cooling measures and the

    property market is still going strong, would the

    cooling measures become just a joke? So

    every time prices and/or volumes make a newhigh, brace yourself!

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 94

    http://propertymarketinsights.com/
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    Property Buying Tip #10: Co-Ownership

    In Singapore, there are two forms of co-

    ownership for residential property.

    (1) Joint Tenancy [right to survivorship]

    Two or more parties have rights to the land as

    if they were a single owner. It also implies the

    right to survivorship i.e. when one party dies,

    his or her share automatically passes on tothe other parties, over-riding any disposition

    by a Will or the rules on intestacy, and the

    process continues until the sole survivor

    becomes the absolute owner.

    (2) Tenancy-In-Common [no right of

    survivorship]

    Unlike joint tenancy, interests in this form of

    co-ownership contain no right of survivorship,

    where land is held by two or more persons

    but words of severance are used in the

    grant to show their intention to hold separate

    (even if they are equal) shares in the land.As

    such, if you are the sole owner or having a

    Tenancy-In-Common Ownership, it is

    important to have a Will indicating the

    property distribution.

    When you buy a property with your friends

    and/or relatives, besides discussing on the

    shares, it is also vital to determine the exit

    strategy of the investment property prior to

    entering into a co-ownership contract.

    By Eileen Tan and Ui Wei Teck, propertyinvestors and authors of Enjoying Mid-Life

    Without Crisis. This tip and dozens more are

    from theirbook.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 94

    http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/http://aktive.com.sg/store/enjoying-mid-life-without-crisis/
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    Singapore Property This Week

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    ResidentialSlew of launches expected in March

    With a slew of launches expected in March,

    sales figure for the month is expected to be

    strong. The launches expected include The

    Trilinq in Clementi, Sennett Residence in

    Potong Pasir, Urban Vista in Tanah Merah,

    Bartley Ridge and Kingsford.Hillview Peak; all

    are 99-year leasehold projects.

    The Trilling, which is located near The

    Clementi Mall and Clementi MRT Station, will

    offer 200-250 of its 755 units for the initialphase at an early-bird average price of about

    $1,400-1,500 psf after discounts. There will

    be two 36-storey towers with an attic, and a

    33-storey block housing 112 one-bedroom

    units (538-603 sq ft), 192 two-bedroom units,

    346 three-bedroom units, 94 four-bedroom

    units and 11 penthouses (2,573- 4,456 sq ft),

    some of which offer a double-volume, six-

    metre floor-to-ceiling height in either the living

    room or the master bedroom. Facilities

    include a tennis court and three swimming

    pools.

    Meanwhile, Sennett Residence near Potong

    Pasir MRT station is expected to be launched

    at an average price of $1,400 psf, with the

    absolute prices starting from $700,000 for a485-sq- ft one-bedroom unit and ending at

    $5-6 million for the most expensive

    penthouse.

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    It offers a total of 332 residential and three

    shop units in four blocks linked by a sky

    terrace which will house a 50-metre infinity

    pool and a sky-gym. Sizes of the one, two,

    three and four-bedroom apartments andduplex penthouses will range from 485 sq ft

    to 4,252 sq ft.

    Also expected for a March launch are the

    582-unit Urban Vista in Tanah Merah

    (expected average price of $1,300-1,400 psf),

    868-unit Bartley Ridge near Bartley MRT

    Station ($1,300 psf) and Kingsford.Hillview

    Peak, which has around 500 units named.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Public housing policies under review to

    bring down BTO prices

    To ensure the affordability of public housing,

    the housing policy would need to be reviewed

    with the changing demographics and

    economy in mind. In addition to cooling

    measures such as increasing the BTO flat

    supply from 23,000 to 25,000 flats, HDB will

    also be looking into designing alternative

    housing options.

    Meanwhile, first-timer singles aged 35 and

    above who earn up to $5,000 per month will

    be able to buy new two-room flats directly

    from the HDB with effect from the July BTO

    exercise, with the first BTO exercise in

    Sengkang. They will get to choose between

    35-sq-m and 45-sq-m flats in non-mature

    estates.

    Other changes announced also include the

    extension of the Parenthood Priority Scheme

    to pregnant mothers with effect from the MayBTO launch. This will be further extended to

    cover those already married but without

    children next year. The Parenthood

    Provisional Housing Scheme, previously only

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    an option for first-timer married couples with a

    child, will be extended to married HDB first-

    timers without children. Second-timers

    intending to downgrade will also benefit from

    the increased quota for two-room and three-room flats in non-mature estates doubled

    from 15% to 30%. Of the 30%, 5% will be

    reserved for divorcees or widows with below

    16 years. The debarment period from

    subsidised flats for divorcees will also be

    shortened from five years to three years.

    In addition to building more studio

    apartments, a new Studio Apartment Priority

    Scheme (SAPS) where half of the supply of

    studio apartments will be set aside for seniors

    who apply for one near their current flat ornear where their children live will be

    introduced. This will replace both the Ageing-

    in-Place Priority Scheme, and the Married

    Child Priority Scheme.

    Measures to prevent growth of foreigner

    enclaves in some HDB blocks such as a cap

    on approvals for all new and renewal of HDB

    tenancy agreements, involving non-citizens,

    to one-and-a-half years will also beintroduced.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Freehold Kovan Lodge back on the

    collective sale market

    After an unsuccessful earlier attempt, Kovan

    Lodge, a freehold four-storey development

    with 16 apartments of 1,200 sq ft to 1,800 sq

    ft has been put up for collective sale by

    tender again, with an asking price of under

    $30 million or around $790 psf of potential

    GFA with no development charge. This is

    lower than the earlier asking price of $31.5

    million. Zoned for residential use, the 27,090

    sq ft site has a 1.4 GPR. Buyers of Koan

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    lodge may be able to buy an adjoining 505 sq

    ft plot of state land. The tender will close on

    March 26.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Freehold residential project the Maisons in

    Braddell to be launched by months end

    The Maisons consist of the twin residences R

    Maison and E Maison are are expected to be

    priced at around $1,350-1,450 psf, 10-15%

    from what was originally planned in responseto the recent hike in ABSD rates. There will be

    a total of 175 units in the project, ranging from

    570 sq ft for a one-bedroom apartment to

    2,357 sq ft for a two-storey penthouse.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Steady sales at Sennett Residence brisk;

    less so at The Trilinq

    Despite the similar average pricing of $1,400-

    $1,500 psf, the sales of Sennett Residence

    near Potong Pasir MRT and The Trilinq at

    Clementi showed a marked difference as a

    result of their locations.

    332-unit Sennett Residence near Potong

    Pasir MRT station had sold 175 units at anaverage price of $1,450 psf after upfront

    discounts of 10% plus 8%. Units sold include

    a 2,600 sq ft penthouse and a 3,600 sq ft

    penthouse at $3.5 million and $5.2 million

    respectively. Absolute prices start from

    $734,000 for a 485 sq ft one-bedroom unit.

    On the other hand, 755-unit Trilinq at

    Clementi is said to have sold around 85 units

    of its 200 released units at an average price

    of $1,400-$1,500 psf. The prices for each unit

    vary from $1,200 psf to $1,800 psf depending

    on whether the units have void space whichwould usually mean a lower psf price. 38% of

    the units offer a double-volume, six-metre

    floor-to-ceiling height. One reason for the

    slower sales is the plan to sell the project over

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    its construction period rather than selling all

    within a month and another is that they only

    process options only for buyers who were

    physically present. The lowest absolute price

    was $855,000 for a 538 sq ft one-bedroomunit and the lowest absolute price for a 1,518-

    sq-ft unit four-bedroom unit with void space

    was $1.82 million.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Freehold Ultra Mansion sold in collectivesale for $149.13 m

    13-storey Ultra Mansion which sits on a

    45,512 sq ft site at 4, Derbyshire Road near

    Novena MRT station, has been sold for

    $149.13 million or $1,170 psf of potential GFA

    with no development charge payable. Zoned

    for residential use, the site has a 2.8 plot ratio

    and 140,000 sq ft potential GFA, including a

    10% bonus gross floor area allowance, which

    can generate 170 one- and two-bedroom

    units ranging from 600 sq ft to 900 sq ft each.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Commercial

    2HR at 2 Havelock Road sold to Guthrie at$283m

    Seven-storey commercial building 2HR which

    sits on a 54,560 sq ft site with a remaining

    lease of about 69 years has been sold at

    $282.88 million, or $1,626 psf based on its

    current NLA of 173,912 sq ft (36,992 sq ft

    retail and 136,920 sq ft offices). Located near

    Clarke Quay MRT station and the future

    Chinatown MRT station on the Downtown

    Line, the building offers 95 basement carpark

    lots. It offers a net yield of 3.2% based on itscurrent average monthly rental of about $6

    psf. Outline approval for redevelopment into a

    12-storey hotel has been given.

    (Source: Business Times)

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    Steady sales for 99-year SBF Centers

    small offices; sales slower for medical

    suites

    60% of the 196 small strata office units (590-

    1,500 sq ft) on the 10th to 28th levels on the

    10th to 28th levels at SBF Center at Robinson

    Road/Cecil Street near Tanjong Pagar MRT

    Station is said to have been released, of

    which most of which have been sold. The

    units are said to be priced at $3,200 psf after

    100 of them had been sold. It is believed that

    the top-three levels consisting of whole-floor

    office units of 10,850 sq ft have yet to be

    released.

    On the other hand, sales for the 48 medical

    suites (680-1,300 sq ft) located on Levels 3 to5 and priced at $3,800-$4,000 psf are slower.

    This could be due to the lack of an existing

    hospital or key medical facility nearby.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Four strata retail units at freehold

    Queensway Shopping Centre up for sale

    The four retail strata units totalling 10,388 sq

    ft in size is asking for at least $32 million or

    $3,080 psf. The four units include the street-

    facing second-floor 2,734-sq-ft unit currently

    leased to McDonald's and three adjacent

    units on the third-floor totalling 7,654 sq ft that

    are leased to Sports Link. The monthly rental

    of $50,000 would mean a nearly 2% net yield

    based on the price of $32 million. The four

    units make up 11% of the share value in the

    overall development which includes

    apartments. While the sellers prefer to sell to

    a single buyer, they are open to selling in two

    lots (one on second-floor, another on the

    third) if it brings in more profit. The

    expression-of-interest exercise will closes on

    April 2.

    (Source: Business Times)

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    Freehold Ibis Novena sold for $150m

    The 241-room Ibis Novena at Irrawaddy Road

    has been sold for $150 million or $622,000

    per room. This will mean substantial profits

    for the owner, the Kum family, which bought it

    at $118 million less than two years ago. While

    the hotel faced competition from two new

    hotels in the area - the 405-room Days Hotel

    Singapore and the the 384-room Ramada

    Singapore, both at Zhongshan Park, the

    buyer, Alpha Investment will gain from the fact

    that the hotel is managed by the well-

    established Accor group and the resilience of

    such three-star hotels in weathering market

    cycles.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 94

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    S G O O ssue 9

    Page | 15Back to Contents

    Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Feb 20 Feb 26

    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    5 PARC IMPERIAL 388 698,000 1,801 FH

    5 THE GRANDHILL 926 1,313,000 1,418 FH

    5 HERITAGE VIEW 1,195 1,440,000 1,205 99

    5 PASIR PANJANG COURT 1,378 1,280,000 929 FH

    9 LEONIE PARC VIEW 2,013 4,850,000 2,409 FH

    9 THE INSPIRA 1,259 2,168,888 1,722 FH

    10 ARDMORE PARK 2,885 10,500,000 3,640 FH

    10 GALLOP GREEN 3,692 7,310,160 1,980 FH

    10 GALLOP GREEN 3,563 7,054,740 1,980 FH

    10 LATITUDE 2,788 5,322,500 1,909 FH

    10 SOMMERVILLE PARK 1,948 3,200,000 1,642 FH

    10 BALMORAL HEIGHTS 1,163 1,885,000 1,621 FH

    10 BOTANIKA 2,605 4,200,000 1,612 FH

    12 THE ARTE 1,399 1,835,000 1,311 FH

    12 THE CALLISTA 1,109 1,080,000 974 999

    13 D' ALMIRA 947 1,130,000 1,193 FH

    15 ONE AMBER 1,335 2,020,000 1,513 FH

    15 THE SEAFRONT ON MEYER 1,066 1,600,000 1,501 FH

    15 THE ESTA 1,345 1,860,000 1,382 FH

    15 CASERO @ DUNMAN 646 875,000 1,355 FH

    15 ARTHUR MANSIONS 1,227 1,650,000 1,345 FH

    15 AQUENE 753 935,000 1,241 FH

    15 STILLZ RESIDENCE 1,012 1,110,000 1,097 FH

    16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,475 1,965,000 1,333 99

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    16 THE DAFFODIL 732 700,000 956 FH

    16 CASAFINA 1,528 1,460,000 955 99

    16 CASAFINA 1,345 1,253,500 932 99

    17 CARISSA PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,302 1,130,000 868 FH

    20 GOLDENHILL PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,335 1,850,000 1,386 FH

    21 JARDIN 1,701 3,146,850 1,850 FH

    21 THE CASCADIA 581 1,068,000 1,837 FH

    21 JARDIN 1,722 2,910,000 1,690 FH

    21 REGIS MANSIONS 1,023 970,000 949 FH

    23 MAYSPRINGS 915 825,500 902 99

    23 REGENT GROVE 1,259 1,018,888 809 99

    28 SERENITY PARK 1,324 1,280,000 967 FH