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7/30/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 83
1/20
Issue 83Copyright 2011-2012 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.
http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/7/30/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 83
2/20
ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that youd like to share
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CONTENTS
p2 5 Bestselling New Property Launches of November
p9 Where Will the Property Market Go in 2013?
p15 Singapore Property News This Week
p18 Resale Property Transactions
(December 5 December 11)
Welcome to the 83th edition
of the Singapore Property
Weekly.
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]7/30/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 83
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What are the top selling projects by
developers this month? In this article, based
on analysis done at
PropertyMarketInsights.com, we will share
with you the five bestselling non-landed
projects launched by developers in November
2012 ranked by the number of units sold,
based on URA data. This list is a quick way
for you to identify new projects that are selling
well. Looking at the location, number of units
sold and prices, you can get a sense of where
the hot areas and projects are, and potentially
spot interesting opportunities in projects that
are nearby that could be selling at a
significant discount.
5 Bestselling New Property Launches of November
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5. Bartley Residences, 43 units sold
(All map screenshots are taken from
OneMap.sg)
With 43 units sold in November, Bartley
Residences ranks fifth. It sold at a medianprice of $1,230 PSF, with the lowest price at
$1,042 PSF and the highest at $1,340 PSF.
With 702 units, the 99 year leasehold Bartley
Residences is expected to be completed by
2015. Bartley Residencess attraction is its
convenient location, located at Lorong HowSun, walking distance from Bartley MRT. Also
in the district are schools like Maris Stella
High School and Bartley Secondary School,
and this project has easy access to an array
of amenities such as public transport, eateries
and supermarkets nearby.
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4. Riversails, 81 Units Sold
With 81 units sold in November, Riversails is
in fourth place. It sold at a median price of
$858 PSF, with the lowest price at $721 PSFand the highest at $1,078 PSF. The 99 year
leasehold condominium is expected to be
completed by 2017 with 928 units. Riversails
offers an interesting array of facilities like a
jungle gym, mini theatre, stage of tales, island
swirl spa, green trellis, camping lawn, paddleboats and yoga pool. Riversails is located at
20, Upper Serangoon Crescent, near
Hougang MRT and Buangkok MRT. Nearby
schools include Pei Hwa Secondary School
and Fernvale Primary School. Residents can
go to Compass Point and Rivervale Plaza fordaily amenities.
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3. Waterbay, 84 Units Sold
With slightly more units sold in November,
Waterbay is in third place with 84 units sold. It
sold at a median price of $743 PSF, with thelowest price at $572 PSF and the highest at
$797 PSF. The 99 year leasehold
condominium is expected to be completed by
2016 with 383 units. Waterbay offers an
interesting array of facilities like gym,
cascading waterfall, reading pavilion,children's lounge, tea pavilion, sun lounge
and the rain shower. Waterbay is located at
45, Edgefield plains, near Cove LRT and
Punggol MRT. Nearby schools include
Punggol Secondary School and Edgefield
Primary School. Residents can go toCompass Point for daily amenities.
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2. D'Leedon, 133 Units Sold
A step up from the previous entry, D'Leedon
takes second place with 133 units sold in
November. It sold at a median price of $1,431PSF, with the lowest price at $1,325 PSF and
the highest at $1,937 PSF. The 99 year
leasehold condominium is expected to be
completed by 2014 with 1715 units. D'Leedon
offers facilities such as swimming pool and
clubhouse. D'Leedon is located at 151 King's
Road, near Farrer Road MRT. There are
many top tier schools in the vicinity like St
Magaret's Secondary School and Nanyang
Primary School. Residents can go to
Empress Road Market and Food Centre orHolland Village down the road for daily
amenities.
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1. Eco Sanctuary, 140 Units Sold
Taking first place is Eco Sanctuary with 140
units sold in November. It sold at a median
price of $1,050 PSF, with the lowest price at
$740 PSF and the highest at $1,290 PSF.
The 99 year leasehold condominium is
expected to be completed by 2016 with 483
units. Eco Sanctuary offers a unique array of
facilities appealing towards nature lovers
such as a picnic lawn, island club, planter
wall, dragonfly path, gym, lotus pavilion and
bio pond. Eco Sanctuary is located at
Chestnut Avenue, near Pending LRT. Schools
in the vicinity include Chestnut Drive
Secondary School and Bukit Panjang
Primary School. Residents can go to Bukit
Panjang Plaza for daily amenities.
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Now that you know what new properties are
selling well, use this knowledge to your
advantage. Identify market trends and choose
the right time to make your move. Till nextmonth!
Want a longer list of the bestselling new sale
projects? Or a list of the cheapest ones? You
can get this and much more at
PropertyMarketInsights.com, a site that helps
investors spot opportunities and time theirSingapore property purchases. Click here to
get your FREE report on Understanding the
Property Market Cycle to invest profitably
now.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 83
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Where Will the Property Market Go in 2013?
By Mr. Propwise
Its that time of the year where we sum up
what happened in 2012 and peer into 2013 to
divine where the market may go. While Im
not a fan of forecasting (the type that says
the market will fall by 5% in the secondquarter) because I believe that the future is
not knowable with any certainty, I do think its
important for investors (and really anyone
looking to buy a sell a property) to take stock
of where we are in the market cycle and
analyze the factors that affect the supply anddemand of property to make a good decision.
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A quick summary of 2012
We had two additional rounds of property
control measures by the Government in
September and October 2012, aiming to cap
the proliferation of shoebox units and tighten
mortgage financing respectively, bringing the
total measures to six since the first round in
September 2009.
Figure 1 URA PPI since 2000
Have the measures worked? Well to some
extent, yes. The URA Property Price Index
(PPI) has risen by a muted 1.0% in the first
three quarters of 2012 versus 5.6% over the
same period in 2011, so the upwardacceleration in prices has been halted. But
prices are at a level that many feel are too
expensive and unaffordable, thus breeding
some discontent.
The other standout trend in 2012 was the
spiraling out of control of industrial property
prices. In 3Q2012 the Industrial Property
Price Index registered a stunning 8.8%
quarter-on-quarter growth to hit 183.3, an all-
time high, the twelfth quarter of growth. The
Industrial Property Price Index has already
risen by 26.7% in the first three quarters of
2012, and an astonishing 102.8% since
3Q2009, versus just 34.9% for the residential
PPI over the same period.
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Industrialists with thin margins are going to
have a tougher time funding their real estate
needs.
Plentiful supply in 2013 and beyond
The URA has collated that a total of 93,800
private housing units (including about 9,800
EC units) that will be constructed over the
next few years, with about 43% or 40,000 of
those (including 3,400 EC units) still yet to be
sold.
Based on the URA data collated by
PropertyMarketInsights.com, residential
completions will peak in 2015 at 23,667 units
based on the private residential supply
pipeline, or a 47% increase over thecompletion expected in 2013. Despite this,
the government has kept the land supply
relatively constant (at least so far based on
the 1H13 Government Land Sales
Programme), perhaps in an effort to prevent
the perception of a squeeze in the supply ofland that could lead to higher prices.
has been matched by a strong demand
for property
While the large increase in supply sounds
scary, it is worth pointing out that demand hasbeen very strong for the past few years, and
has continued to be strong so far this year as
well.
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Year-to-date till November 2012 there has
been an estimated total transaction volume of
37,597 units, comprising 24,970 developer
and 12,627 secondary sales (Figure 1.1.5b).
This is 118% of the annual average of 31,826
units. If demand going forward continues tobe as strong as it has in the past couple of
years then the upcoming supply could well be
absorbed without any weakness in the
market.
Low interest rates could continue to prop
the market up
The standard argument I hear about why
property prices will continue to stay high is
due to the abundant amount of liquidity andcurrent low interest rate environment, thanks
to a trigger happy Fed whose new mission is
to protect high prices by flooding the market
with dollars via Quantitative Easing every
time there is any sign of weakness.
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I completely agree that a low interest rate
environment is supportive of property prices,
and with interest rates close to zero,
borrowing money to reach for yield sounds
like a rational idea. The problem is that givenweve had interest rates hovering close to
zero for several years now since the Global
Financial Crisis, many people are starting to
believe that interest rates will be low forever.
Well, my friends, forever is a very long time,
and iftheres one thing Im certain about, it is
that interest rates will not stay low forever. Do
remember that the current low interest rate
environment is an abnormal situation, one put
in place to support a weak growth
environment in the Developed World.
Behaviorally, we human beings tend to
extrapolate the current situation into the
future, but markets dont work like that.
What could possibly happen to reverse the
low interest rate environment? One possibility
is a recovery of US growth. Another is a spike
in inflation. In the 1970s the US was plagued
by a combination of spiraling inflation andweak economic growth, otherwise known as
stagflation. It took a strong Fed chairman by
the name of Paul Volcker to beat the inflation
monster, but at the cost of a recession, and
he did it by hiking the federal funds rate rates
to a peak of 20% (!) in June 1981. If thathappens again, it will certainly be a disaster
for property.
But beware of the Black Swans
A reader recently wrote to me to sum up his
view of where the market would go in 2013:Property prices are unlikely to correct at all in
2013 given the liquidity and low interest
rates.
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And heres my response to him: One of the
favourite Latin phrases that economists like to
use is ceteris paribus, i.e. all else being
equal, to assume away any other
inconvenient or unknown variables. So ceterisparibus, yes seems like prices are unlikely to
correct. But markets have a funny way of
throwing a curveball when you least expect it
things like a recession (GDP growth is
already slowing) and unemployment, an
inflation shock, or a new crisis (whetherfinancial or otherwise, e.g. epidemics). And
given where we are in the cycle, I think the
market is vulnerable as lots of buyers have
already committed.
As members of PropertyMarketInsights.com
know, we are currently in the Late Bull stage
of the Property Market Cycle Model, when
property price increases start to slow down
after a steep run up during the Early Bull
Market Phase, and is an indicator that we are
nearing the peak of the cycle. In other words,
the downside risk is greater than the upside,
and anyone thinking of buying a property now
should be very cautious when doing so.
Mr. Propwise is the author of Timing the
Property Market.
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Singapore Property This Week
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Residential
Private home sales fell by 44% in
November
1,087 private homes excluding ECs were sold
in November, a 44.2% fall from 1,948 in
October, and a 36.1% from the same periodin 2011. This is attributed to the lack of major
launches (773 units, a 53% fall from
Octobers 1,633 units) and possibly the latest
cooling measures. While there were no ECs
launched in November, 179 ECs from earlier
launches were sold. Including ECs, 1,266
homes were sold, compared to 2,624 in
October, though demand remained high. 65%
of the private homes sold excluding ECs werefrom the OCR. 20,879 private homes
(excluding ECs) were sold by November
2012, and the year is expected to end with
21,000-24,000 homes sold. 3,672 EC units
were sold in the same period, and the figure
may exceed 4,000 by year end with 1,000-1,300 units sold in December. While prices
are likely to continue their upward trend as a
result of inflated land prices, sales volume is
expected to fall to 16,000-18,000 units or
even 10,000-12,000 units in 2013 if land
sales stabilise.
(Source: Business Times)
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Caution abounds in collective sales
market
With the introduction of ABSD in December
2011, developers have increasingly turned
towards smaller sites in 2012, and this islikely to continue in 2013. In particular, small-
to mid-size land parcels of below $200 million
are expected to be the most popular. While
there were record deals such as the sale of
Thomson View condominium at $712 psf ppr
or $590 million, such cases are rare and
attributed to its proximity to the newly
announced Upper Thomson MRT station , or
the need of some developers to replenish
their land banks. 24 sites were transacted
year-to-date at a total value of around $2
billion, compared to the 51 sites transacted at
$3.2 billion last year. Only three out of the 24sites sold were in the prime districts; this due
to the smaller demand for homes in such
districts as a result of the cooling measures.
(Source: Business Times)
Last two 99-year H2 GLS residential sites
released
The first is a 1.2-hectare confirmed-list site
located along Commonwealth Avenue, next to
Queenstown MRT Station with a 4.9 GPR
allowing it to potentially yield 700 units in a
condominium over 40 storeys. The expected
top bid for the site ranges from $700 psf ppr
to $1,100 psf ppr from five to 10 bidders. It is
expected to be highly popular since it islocated in a mature estate. The tender will
close on Feb 5 2013.
The second is a 2.6-ha reserve-list site in
New Upper Changi Road, next to Tanah
Merah MRT Station. It can potentially yield
600 units. It is expected to attract 10 bidderswith a top bid of $780-$830 psf ppr if
launched now.
(Source: Business Times)
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Commercial
MTI to release 22 industrial sites in H1
2013
The 22 sites (13 confirmed-list sites and nine
reserve-list sites) have a total site area of
24.84 hectares. To ensure that genuine
industrial end-users get factory space that
meets their needs, certain sites a subject to a
minimum number of large factory units. All 13
confirmed-list sites are zoned B2, possibly
due to the already ample supply of B1
industrial sites. Of these sites, eight are under
1.0 ha; six of which are 22-year leasehold
0.5ha sites with a 1.0 plot ratio located in
Tuas South. Such small sites can draw five-
19 bids with top bids of $30-78 psf ppr, under
$10 million. The nine sites on the reserve list
include five small sites on Tuas South Street
6 and Street 8) have debut on the reserve list
and four larger 30-year leasehold sites.
(Source: Business Times)
URA releases last 2 commercial sites
under GLS
The first is a confirmed-list 1.1-ha site on
Venture Avenue near Jurong East MRT
Station. It can yield a 25-storey development
with a maximum GFA of 694,939 sq ft, of
which 90% must be set aside of offices that
can be strata sub-divided. It is expected to
attract five to eight bids with a top bid of
$700-800 psf ppr.
The second is a reserve-list 0.8-ha site
located at Cecil Street/Telok Ayer Street near
Tanjong Pagar MRT Station which can
support a 50-storey development with a
maximum GFA of 830,510 sq ft. The sitezoned for commercial and open space use
may attract three to six bids with a top bid of
$800-1,000 psf ppr, if triggered for sale.
(Source: Business Times)
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Dec 5 Dec 11
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
1 THE SAIL @ MARINA BAY 1,184 2,700,000 2,280 99
3 RIVER PLACE 743 985,000 1,326 994 MARINA COLLECTION 1,873 5,525,350 2,950 99
4 REFLECTIONS AT KEPPEL BAY 1,076 1 ,833,000 1,703 99
4 CARIBBEAN AT KEPPEL BAY 840 1,428,000 1,701 99
4 CARIBBEAN AT KEPPEL BAY 1,227 1,928,000 1,571 99
5 THE PEAK 5,500 7,700,000 1,400 FH
5 CARABELLE 947 1,195,000 1,262 956
5 BLUE HORIZON 936 1,050,000 1,121 99
5 PARC IMPERIAL 1,464 1,620,000 1,107 FH
5 DOVER PARKVIEW 1,249 1,360,000 1,089 995 DOVER PARKVIEW 1,324 982,000 742 99
7 BURLINGTON SQUARE 667 935,000 1,401 99
8 URBAN LOFTS 753 950,000 1,261 FH
8 RANGOON VIEW 1,335 1,600,000 1,199 FH
8 KENTISH COURT 1,066 1,180,000 1,107 99
9 THE SUITES AT CENTRAL 1,012 2,500,000 2 ,471 FH
9 PATERSON RESIDENCE 1,313 3,103,000 2,363 FH
9 THE COSMOPOLITAN 1,141 2,480,000 2,174 FH
9 SCOTTS HIGHPARK 4,209 8,900,000 2,115 FH
9 THE PATERSON 1,206 2,500,000 2,074 FH
9 MIRAGE TOWER 570 1,168,000 2,047 FH
9 ROBERTSON 100 872 1,570,000 1,801 FH
9 MIRAGE TOWER 958 1,680,000 1,754 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
9 ROBERTSON 100 1,001 1,728,888 1,727 FH
9 ROBERTSON 100 678 1,170,000 1,725 FH9 ASPEN HEIGHTS 883 1,500,000 1,699 999
9 ASPEN HEIGHTS 1,324 2,138,000 1,615 999
9 HORIZON TOWER 2,422 3,000,000 1,239 99
10 THE ORANGE GROVE 2,691 6,076,278 2,258 FH
10 THE SOLITAIRE 1,625 3,000,000 1,846 FH
10 GLENTREES 1,442 2,230,000 1,546 999
10 CHARLESTON 1,206 1,830,000 1,518 FH
10 JERVOIS REGENCY 1,905 1,875,000 984 FH
11 PARK INFINIA AT WEE NAM 850 1,800,000 2,117 FH11 SOLEIL @ SINARAN 1,722 3,444,000 2,000 99
11 D' IXORAS 840 1,290,000 1,536 FH
11 NEWTON EURO-ASIA 1,539 2,308,500 1,500 FH
11 SHELFORD REGENCY 1,098 1,618,000 1,474 FH
11 M21 1,345 1,920,000 1,427 FH
11 CHANCERY PARK 1,679 2,350,000 1,399 FH
11 THE ARCADIA 3,821 4,400,000 1,151 99
12 TREVISTA 861 1,300,000 1,510 99
12 TREVISTA 861 1,288,888 1,497 99
12 TRELLIS TOWERS 1,647 1,850,000 1,123 FH
13 EURO-ASIA PARK 1,528 1,671,500 1,094 FH
14 CASSIA VIEW 2,314 2,400,000 1,037 FH
14 STARVILLE 1,216 1 ,200,000 987 FH
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 83
7/30/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 83
20/20
Page | 19Back to Contents
NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
14 SIMSVILLE 1,249 1,200,000 961 99
15 AALTO 1,959 3,150,000 1,608 FH
15 THE MAKENA 1,636 2,428,000 1,484 FH
15 ONE AMBER 1,701 2,510,000 1,476 FH15 THE MAKENA 1,615 2,300,000 1,425 FH
15 ESPIRA SUITES 678 950,000 1,401 FH
15 THE MEYER PLACE 1,453 1,970,000 1,356 FH
15 EASTERN LAGOON 893 1,130,000 1,265 FH
15 GRAND DUCHESS AT ST PATRICK'S 2,508 3,110,000 1,240 FH
15 SANCTUARY GREEN 1,141 1,400,000 1,227 99
15 HAIG COURT 1,475 1,768,800 1,199 FH
15 HERITAGE RESIDENCES 1,163 1,280,000 1,101 FH
15 ST PATRICK'S COURT 1,324 1,450,000 1,095 FH
15 CEYLON CREST 1,206 1,230,000 1,020 FH
15 CRESCENDO BUILDING 1,206 1,190,000 9 87 FH
15 MANDARIN GARDEN CONDOMINIUM 1,572 1,500,000 954 99
15 LAGUNA PARK 1,615 1,380,000 855 99
15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,636 1,350,000 825 99
16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,227 1,728,800 1,409 99
16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,916 2,242,000 1,170 99
16 BREEZE BY THE EAST 2,368 2,625,000 1,108 FH
16 BAYSHORE PARK 936 1,030,000 1,100 99
16 THE BAYSHORE 980 1,028,800 1,050 99
16 THE BAYSHORE 958 950,000 992 99
16 TANAMERA CREST 1,604 1,280,000 798 99
16 KEW GREEN 3,509 2 ,400,000 684 99
17 FERRARIA PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,023 980,000 958 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
17 EDELWEISS PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,335 1,210,000 907 FH
17 BALLOTA PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,012 888,000 878 FH
17 AVILA GARDENS 1,755 1,460,000 832 FH
18 MELVILLE PARK 1,302 920,000 706 9919 THE QUARTZ 1,044 1,070,000 1,025 99
19 RIO VISTA 1,249 1,090,000 873 99
19 CHUAN PARK 1,496 1,270,000 849 99
19 RIVERVALE CREST 1,195 948,888 794 99
20 CLOVER BY THE PARK 1,604 1,605,000 1,001 99
20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,582 1,360,000 860 99
21 THE CASCADIA 581 1,100,000 1,892 FH
21 THE CASCADIA 1,184 1,921,000 1,622 FH
21 THE CASCADIA 1,163 1,765,000 1,518 FH
21 CAVENDISH PARK 1,227 1,399,999 1,141 99
21 SPRINGDALE CONDOMINIUM 926 1,035,500 1 ,119 999
21 HUME PARK I 1,356 1,288,000 950 FH
22 PARC OASIS 1,507 1,390,000 922 99
23 MERAWOODS 1,345 1,375,000 1,022 999
23 HILLTOP GROVE 1,238 978,000 790 99