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Simulating the 4% Universe Hydro-cosmology simulations and data analysis Michael L. Norman SDSC/UCSD

Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

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Page 1: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Simulating the 4% Universe Hydro-cosmology simulations and data analysis

Michael L. Norman SDSC/UCSD

Page 2: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Lecture Plan

• Lecture 1: Hydro-cosmology simulations of baryons in the Cosmic Web – Lyman alpha forest (LAF) – Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO)

• Lecture 2: Radiation hydro-cosmology

simulations of Cosmic Renaissance – Epoch of Reionization (EOR) – First Galaxies

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 2 7/17/2012

Page 3: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Motivation • It’s the part of the Universe we can see • Involves real astrophysics which is complicated

and interesting • Can place constraints on the dark universe • Computational discoveries

Norman (1997) ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 3 7/17/2012

Page 4: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Computational Discoveries

• Physical nature of Lyman alpha forest absorption systems Cen+1994, Zhang+1995, Hernquist+1996

• Existence of the warm-hot intergalactic medium Cen & Ostriker 1999

• Mass scale of Pop III stars Abel+2001, Bromm+2002

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 4 7/17/2012

Page 5: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

What is Hydro-cosmology?

+ =

dark matter +

gravity

ideal gas dynamics +

“microphysics”

hydrodynamic cosmology

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 5 7/17/2012

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1990

adiabatic gas dynamics ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 6 7/17/2012

Page 7: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

1990

adiabatic gas dynamics ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 7 7/17/2012

Page 8: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

1991

gas dynamics + radiative cooling ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 8 7/17/2012

Page 9: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Baryons! (not the Bolshoi simulation)

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 9 7/17/2012

Page 10: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

http://enzo-project.org

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 10 7/17/2012

Page 11: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

http://hipacc.ucsc.edu/html/2010SummerSchool_archive.html

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 11 7/17/2012

Page 12: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

LECTURE 1 Hydro-cosmology simulations of

baryons in the cosmic web ***

(Lyman α forest)

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 12 7/17/2012

Page 13: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Q: Where are the baryons? A: In the IGM mostly

Cen & Ostriker (1999)

IGM

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 13 7/17/2012

Page 14: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Observing the intergalactic medium in quasar absorption line spectra

Source: M. Murphy

Lyman α forest

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 14 7/17/2012

Page 15: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Kirkman & Tytler (1997)

High Resolution Spectrum

virtually every absorption line is H Ly α at a different redshift along the LOS ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 15 7/17/2012

Page 16: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Physical Origin of the Lyman Alpha Forest Cen et al. 1994, Zhang et al. 1995, Hernquist et al. 1996

• intergalactic medium exhibits cosmic web structure at high z

• models explain observed hydrogen absorption spectra

N=1283

Zhang, Anninos, Norman (1995)

5 Mpc/h

“The Cosmic Web”

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 7/17/2012

Page 17: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Ly α absorption directly probes DM distribution

Zhang et al. (1998) ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 17 7/17/2012

Page 18: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Cosmology from the Ly α Forest

• What is measured • The standard model • Observations vs. simulations I:

– spectacular agreement at the ~10% level

• DM power spectrum estimation • Observations vs. simulations II:

– discrepancies at the 1-2% level

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 18 7/17/2012

Page 19: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

The Standard Model

• Your favorite cosmological model (Ωdm, Ωb , ΩΛ, H0, σ8, ns)

• IGM of primordial H and He photoionized by homogeneous but evolving UVB due to GALS and QSOs (JUVB(z))

• Ly α forest due to optically thin absorption in highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

• LLS and DLAs due to optically thick absorption in denser ionized gas in halos

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 19 7/17/2012

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Kirkman & Tytler (1997)

What is Observed

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 20 7/17/2012

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And hundreds more…

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 21 7/17/2012

Page 22: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Simulated Spectra and Fitting

Zhang et al. (1997)

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 22 7/17/2012

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Observations vs. Simulations I. Remarkable Agreement on Line Statistics

<b> = 23 σ = 14

Zhang, Anninos, Norman (1995)

Kirkman & Tytler (1997)

23 7/17/2012

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What is a Ly α Forest Absorber?

Zhang, Anninos, Meiksin & Norman (1998)

LAF

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 24 7/17/2012

Page 25: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

What is a Ly α Forest Absorber?

Zhang, Anninos, Meiksin & Norman (1998)

Z=3

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 25 7/17/2012

Page 26: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

What is a Ly α Forest Absorber? • Sheet or filament of low

overdensity relative to the local mean

• Not gravitationally bound in 3D

• Unbiased WRT to dark matter

• Photo-ionized gas at ~104 K

• D ~ λJeans ~ 100 kpc

Zhang, Anninos, Meiksin & Norman (1998)

λJeans

λJeans

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 26 7/17/2012

Page 27: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Resolving the Ly α Forest Bryan, Machacek, Anninos, Norman (1999)

• Observed linewidths reflect – Thermal broadening – Hubble broadening

(redshift, LOS, and NHI dependent)

– Possibly turbulent broadening

• Simulated linewidths reflect above plus – Numerical resolution

broadening

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 28 7/17/2012

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Higher resolution simulations predict lines that are too narrow

Bryan et al. (1999) ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 29 7/17/2012

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Higher resolution simulations predict lines that are too narrow

• Possible reasons – Cosmological model wrong – UV background model wrong – Box too small (large scale power missing) – Missing heat sources (He II reionization, X-rays, …) – Missing turbulent broadening (galactic winds?) – Magnetic support?

13 years later, this discrepancy has not been resolved Opportunity for a fundamental contribution

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 30 7/17/2012

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N=10243

L = 80 Mpc Baryon Overdensity, z=3

Jena et al. (2005)

• 40 fully hydrodynamic simulations* varying – Cosmological parameters – Box size – Numerical resolution – UV background intensity – Extra heating put in by hand

• Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification

• ObservationsConcordance model @z=1.95

*Data available at http://lca.ucsd.edu/data/concordance/ ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 31 7/17/2012

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Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification

• Derive simple parametric fits that connect key inputs to output

• Key inputs – σ8: amplitude of matter fluctuations – γ912: normalized HI photoionization rate – X228: normalized HeII photoheating rate – L: simulation box size – C: cell resolution

• Key outputs – <F>=exp(-τeff): mean transmitted flux – bσ: median Doppler width – P-2, P-1.5, P-1: flux power at log k=10-2, 10-1.5, 10-1 s/km

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 32 7/17/2012

Page 32: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Flux Power

)( of FT 1D is )( );(*)()(

spectrumfor flux mean is ;)()(

υδδδδ

υυδ

fffff

f

kkkkP

ff

ff

=

−≡

P-2 P-1.5 P-1

Jena et al. (2005)

SIMS

OBS

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 33 7/17/2012

Page 33: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Table of Simulations

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 34 7/17/2012

Page 34: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Table of Simulations, cont’d

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 35 7/17/2012

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Scaling Relations

before scaling after scaling

Jena et al. (2005) τeff

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 36 7/17/2012

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Findings • After scaling out boxsize and

resolution effects, a wide range of σ8 (0.8< σ8 <1.1) fit observations (<F>, bσ, P-1) by adjusting γ912 and X228

• Using only <F>, bσ, P-1 cannot uniquely determine σ8, γ912, X228 because bσ and P-1 are correlated

• Using <F> to fix γ912, then σ8 and X228 degenerate

Jena et al. (2005) ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 37 7/17/2012

Page 37: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Findings (cont’d) • Can potentially remove degeneracy using large scale

flux power P-2

• This was not explored in Jena+(2005) – box sizes too small – observational uncertainties at low k

• Based on scalings, need at least 100 Mpc boxes and at least 50 kpc resolution20003 but preferably 25 kpc40003

• Comparable to largest N-body simulations, but without the need to resolve halo substructure – Eulerian simulations on uniform grids are adequate

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 38 7/17/2012

Page 38: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

a 40963 hydro-cosmology simulation L=614 Mpc, Cell=150 kpc

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 39 7/17/2012

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ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 40 7/17/2012

Page 40: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

• Key ansatz: • Where bias b(k) is determined from hydro simulations

(Croft et al. 1998, 2002) • Difficulty with SDSS spectra is that lines are not resolved,

and therefore PF(k) needs to be corrected for many systematics errors – Continuum level – Metal line contamination – High column density absorbers

• In practice, b(k) is estimated on large scales from non-hydrodynamic simulations of the LAF that model the absorption phenomenologically

• UPSHOT: lots of systematic uncertainties

),()(),( 2 zkPkbzkP MF =

Estimating P(k) from SDSS Quasars McDonald et al. (2005)

-- Noise -- UVB fluctuations

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 41 7/17/2012

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• Revisit Jena et al. (2005) suite of simulations with more analysis on the effect of box size on LAF observables, incl. PF(k)

• All parameters except L kept constant (incl. resolution)

• Bigger box means: – More total power – Higher peak densities – Higher peculiar velocities – Hotter gas

Observations vs. Simulations II. Tytler et al. (2009)

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 42 7/17/2012

Page 42: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Effect of Box Size

Tytler et al. (2009)

IN: 1D Matter Power OUT: 1D Flux Power

76.8 Mpc ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 43 7/17/2012

Page 43: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Effect of Box Size

Tytler et al. (2009)

• Simulated spectra are visibly different for given path length

• As L increases: – Deeper absorption – Longer gaps – Wider lines

L

L/2

L/4

L/8

L/16

L/32

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 44 7/17/2012

Page 44: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Have we converged?

• Largest box has – Converged <F> – Essentially converged for

PM(k) and PF(k) – Approaching

convergence for f(b), f(NHI)

10243

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 45 7/17/2012

Page 45: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Does it agree with observations?

• Mean flux, line widths can be made to agree to 5% for suitable choices of parameters

• Flux power underestimated on large scales by 50-100%

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 46 7/17/2012

Page 46: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Baryon acoustic oscillations in the Lyman alpha forest

or What can intergalactic gas tell us

about dark energy? Michael L. Norman

Pascal Paschos Robert Harkness SDSC and UCSD

Page 47: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

Standard rulers to measure dark energy

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 49 7/17/2012

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Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) in the Cosmic Microwave Background

(148 Mpc)

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 50 7/17/2012

Page 49: Simulating the 4% Universehipacc.ucsc.edu/LectureSlides/19/215/Simulating_the_4percent_Universe-I.pdf · highly ionized gas in intergalactic filaments tracing the DM distribution

BAO: Origin of Standard Ruler Overdense perturbations launch a spherical acoustic wave in the photon-baryon fluid which moves at speed c/sqrt(3) in a frame comoving with the expanding universe

rectcD3

=

Eisentstein & Bennett Physics Today 2008

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 51 7/17/2012

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Evolution of Point Perturbation

Eisentstein & Bennett Physics Today 2008

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 52 7/17/2012

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BAO in Galaxy LSS

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 53 7/17/2012

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Detection of BAO in SDSS luminous red galaxy LSS (Eisenstein et al. 2005)

Galaxy 2–pt correlation

function

Existence proof of BAO technique

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 54 7/17/2012

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Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS)

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 55 7/17/2012

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BAO in the Ly α Forest • Not yet detected • BAO method more powerful at higher redshift

where survey volumes are larger • BAO modes are long wavelength (150 Mpc) and

in the linear part of the CDM spectrum • Ly α absorption arises near mean density of the

IGM and should show BAO modulation with minimal redshift space distortion

• Large numbers of absorbers per LOS, and large number of quasars makes for a very large statistical sample

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 56 7/17/2012

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Simulating BAO in the Lyman Alpha Forest Technical Difficulty: Range of Scales

• Wavelength of BAO is 150 Mpc – Need a box at least 4 x this to contain enough

modes

• Absorption filaments are 100 Kpc thick • Ncell=4 x 150,000 Kpc/100 Kpc = 6000 • Need 3D grid of size 60003

– 216 BILLION CELLS – 216 BILLION DARK MATTER PARTICLES

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 57 7/17/2012

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Simulation Campaign

Grid Box size (Mpc) Cell size (kpc) ICs 10243 614 600 WMAP5

no BAO 20483 307, 614 150, 300 WMAP3

WMAP5 40963

614 150 WMAP5

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 58 7/17/2012

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40963 = 68.7 billion cells and particles 16,384 processors 2 million CPU-hrs NICS Kraken

614 Mpc

ENZO Hydrodynamic Cosmology code

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 59 7/17/2012

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Correlation Analysis: 5,000 random lines-of-sight

~12.5 million pairs

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 60 7/17/2012

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Flux autocorrelation 20483

Log(NHI)>16

Log(NHI)<16

All lines

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 64 7/17/2012

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Flux cross-correlation 20483

All lines

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 65 7/17/2012

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Flux cross-correlation 20483

Log(NHI)>16

Log(NHI)<16

All lines

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 66 7/17/2012

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Cross-correlation of matter properties along LOS

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 67 7/17/2012

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Findings and Implications • Detecting the BAO in the Lyman alpha forest is

feasible • based on synthetic observations of fully

hydrodynamic simulations – Signal is statistically significant in flux cross-

correlation but not in the auto-correlation – Higher column density systems show signal better,

but are rarer and hence have higher statistical error – Signal more sensitive to spectroscopic resolution

than numerical resolution of simulation

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 68 7/17/2012

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Future Simulation Work • Need to understand why auto-correlation

signal is so weak (signal should be there!) – Redshift space distortion? – Masking by high column systems?

• Need to investigate reality of satellite peaks in cross-correlation

• Quantify effects of – spatial resolution (40963) – redshift evolution – a variety of astrophysical effects

ISSAC 2012 SDSC, San Diego, USA 69 7/17/2012