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Simple WINS and LOSSES for HITTERS Tom Hanrahan. Batters’ records are very complex: Batting AVG, on-base average, slugging PCT, HR, hits, stolen bases, runs, RBI, walks…. ______________________________________ Pitchers’ records are comparatively simple: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Simple WINS and LOSSES
for HITTERS
Tom Hanrahan
1
Batters’ records are very complex:
Batting AVG, on-base average, slugging PCT, HR, hits, stolen bases, runs, RBI, walks….______________________________________
Pitchers’ records are comparatively simple:
Wins Losses ERA
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ERA: maybe the Best Simple Metric for pitcher effectiveness, but it is not used much for career records:
1.821.891.902.022.03
Ed WalshAddie JossJim DevlinJack PfiesterSmokey Joe Wood
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Pitchers’ career records are commonly expressed by their Wins and Losses
Most Wins Most W minus L
Cy Young 511-316 Cy Young 511-316 195W Johnson 417-279 Mathewson 373-188 185Mathewson 373-188 Clemens 354-184 170Alexander 373-208 Alexander 373-208 165P Galvin 365-310 L Grove 300-141 159W Spahn 363-245 K Nichols 361-208 153
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If only hitters had Wins and Losses….
Batter “win” = ______ ?
Batter “loss” = ______ ?
Games are won by Scoring Runs!
Games are lost by Making Outs!
Therefore:
Batter Wins == R + RBIBatter Losses == outs (at bats minus hits)
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Batters with most Career R + RBI
1Aaron
4471 6 Mays
3965 11 Foxx
3617
2 Ruth
4391 7 Musial
3900 12 Yaz
3660
3 Bonds
4223 8 Gehrig
3883 13 F Robinson
3641
4 Cobb
4183 9 Ott
3719 14 T Williams
3637
5 Anson
4072 10 A-Rod
3717 15 Murray
3544
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Batters with most Career OUTS
Rose 9797 Murray 8081 Biggio 7816
Aaron 8593 Rickey 7906 B Robby 7806
Yaz 8569 Winfield 7893 Mays 7598
Ripken 8367 Yount 7866 Aparicio 7544
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How to turn R + RBI into WINSand OUTS into LOSSES ?
W always = L ; so pick X and Y such that
(R+RBI) / X should = OUTS / Y
I used: eeeeeeeeee
(R+RBI) / 12 = WINS OUTS / 34 = LOSSES
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Batters’ career records expressedBy “Wins” and “Losses”
Most Wins Most W minus L
H Aaron 373-253 B Ruth 366-163 203B Ruth 366-163 Gehrig 324-155 169B Bonds 352-203 Williams 303-149 154T Cobb 349-213 B Bonds 352-203 149C Anson 339-202 J Foxx 306-161 145W Mays 330-223 C Anson 339-202 137S Musial 325-216 T Cobb 349-213 136
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The Fun Part – matching similarBATS with ARMS
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W Spahn 363-245 118
G Maddux 355-227 128
R Clemens 354-184 170
Kid Nichols 361-208 153
R Johnson 303-166 137
Mathewson 373-188 185
Nolan Ryan 324-292 32
Hank Aaron 373-253 120
Barry Bonds 352-203 149
Cap Anson 339-202 137
Jimmie Foxx 306-161 145
Lou Gehrig 324-155 169
Pete Rose 290-288 2
More fun matching similarBATS with ARMS
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Lefty Grove 300-141 159
Cy Young 511-316 195
W Johnson 417-279 138
P Alexander 373-208 165
T Seaver 311-205 106
P Martinez 219-100 119
B Blyleven 287-250 37
T Williams 303-149 154
Babe Ruth 366-163 203 plus pitching 460-209 251
Ty Cobb 349-213 136
Stan the Man 325-216 109 T Speaker 284-197 97 J DiMaggio 244-136 108 Ron Santo 206-173 33
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