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www.fpinnovations.ca Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 Tacoma Peter Dyson Researcher Forest Operations

Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

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Page 1: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

www.fpinnovations.ca

Simple Sample Scaling

April 6, 2011Tacoma

Peter DysonResearcherForest Operations

Page 2: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Background

There are currently only two scaling methods permitted in British Columbia.

1. Scale every log with a scale stick.2. Weight scaling. .

Forest companies are interested in new scaling techniques that may reduce scaling costs while maintaining accuracy.FPInnovations collaborated with Western Forest Products on a study which tested simple sample scaling.

Page 3: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

What is simple sample scaling

A scaling method recognized by the U.S. Forest Service.The total volume from a harvest area is calculated from the average truck load volume.

Page 4: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Simple sampling methodology

All truck loads are counted.

Loads are randomly selected as sample loads and stick scaled.

Volume from sample loads is used to calculate total volume.

Page 5: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Key to an accurate scale

Building loads with the same consistent volume.

Page 6: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Study location

Study was done on northern Vancouver Island between January and March 2010.

Page 7: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Harvest site and harvest method• 70 year second growth stand.

• The stand contained by volume:Hemlock/balsam 85%, Douglas-fir 13%, Spruce 2%.

• The timber was mechanically processed and sorted into 7 sorts at roadside.

Page 8: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Scale site

A software program running on a laptop identified sample loads. Sample loads stick scaled.Loads banded, unloaded and put in booms.

Page 9: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Creating a consistent load size

Each truck was loaded to a target 7396 fbm (50 m3) 1.

• 1 Conversion of 6.76 m 3 = Mbf

Page 10: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Use truck onboard weigh scales for consistent size loads

Loader operators and truck drivers given chart showing target weight required for a 7396 fbm (50 m3) load.

66.9 (60 700)Spruce

71.1 (64 500)Hemlock/balsam

66.7 (60 500)Douglas-fir

Weight ton (Kg)Species

Page 11: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Difference between target weight and actual weight of all loads.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

lbs

% o

f loa

ds

< -1500 -1500 -1000 -500 500 1000 1500 1500 >kg

< -3307 -3307 - 2205 1102 1102 2205 3307 3307>

59 %

• 83% 0f the loads were within 2205 lbs (1000 kg) of the target weight.

Page 12: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Building loads with a consistent volumeSample Load volume

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

% o

f sam

ple

load

s

<6953

48 49 5150 52 53>

Target Load Volume

7101 7249 7396 7544 7692 7840>

<47Volume

m3

Fbm

• 63% of the loads were within + - 7249 and 7544 fbm

Page 13: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Total Volume

70 8551 5326546 7722 05912 28122 47125 086Estimatedtotal volume (m3)

227

27

Spruce

10 482971 0023051 8173 3243 711Estimatedtotal volume (Mbf)

1 4261414042253452498All loads

TotalFirChip n’Saw

FirQuad

FirSawlog

Hemlock/Balsam Chip n’Saw

Hemlock/Balsam Gang

Hemlock/Balsam Quad

Sort (stratum)

• a From 2 samples

Page 14: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Sample Sort Volume

826141721484Sampling rate (%)

5.154.637.492.925.061.713.733.34Coeffecientof variation (%)

3.65

389.7

8411

7

Spruce

0.6461.79 a1.113.420.871.161.44Precision (%)

379.5546.6210.7364.1123.1273.9249.4Standarddeviation

7362729372197189720473377456Average Volume (fbm)

1182249163822Sample loads

TotalFirChip n’Saw

FirQuad

FirSawlog

Hemlock/Balsam Chip n’Saw

Hemlock/Balsam Gang

Hemlock/Balsam Quad

Sort (stratum)

• a From 2 samples

Page 15: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Volume to weight ratio

1.2911.0351.007Minimum0.0450.0490.031Standard

deviation

1.4221.2441.163Maximum

1.3291.1641.088Mean

Attained

1.1901.1961.092Initial a

SpruceDouglas-firHemlock/Balsam

Volume to weight Ratio (m3/tonne)

• a Calculated from previous scale data.

Page 16: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Stable weight to volume ratio

Three factors which contributed to a steady weight to volume ratio:

1. Wood density in logs of the same species was relatively homogenous.

2. Sorting was accurate.3. Logs did not loose moisture due to weather conditions.

Harvested over a three months in the winter.

Page 17: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Conclusion

Western Forest Products achieved accurate scale results through simple sampling.

1. Target truck load weights were set so each load would contain 7396 fbm (50 m3)

2. Loader operators and truck drivers built loads to the target weight using the onboard weigh scales.

3. Logs were accurately sorted and scaled soon after harvesting.

The total estimated volume was within 0.64% of the actual volume at the 95% confidence interval. This met the British Columbia Ministry of Forests Lands and Natural Resource Operations scaling regulation.

Page 18: Simple Sample Scaling - timber measuretimbermeasure.com/Tacoma_2011/Dyson-simple-sample.pdf · Simple Sample Scaling April 6, 2011 ... Scale every log with a scale stick. 2. Weight

Thank you