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© Worldpanel TM division of TNS 2008 Growth of the grocery market trended over time Value growth remains strong due to price inflation but is slowing as shops increasingly promote. Volume sales have grown slightly in the last two periods 5.7 6.4 6.7 7.2 7.5 7.8 8 8.3 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.1 7.6 7.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 -0.4 -0.7 -0.3 0 0.6 0.3 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 52 w /e 31 D ec 06 52 w /e 28 Jan 07 52 w /e 25 Feb 07 52 w /e 25 M a r 07 52 w /e 22 Apr0 7 52 w/ e 20 M ay 07 52 w /e 17 Jun 07 52 w /e 15 Jul 07 52 w /e 12 Aug 07 52 w /e 09 Sep 07 52 w /e 07 O ct0 7 52 w/ e 04 N ov 07 52 w /e 30 N ov 08 52 w /e 28 D ec 08 % chg % chg value % C hg Volum e

Shopping around more

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Growth of the grocery market trended over time Value growth remains strong due to price inflation but is slowing as shops increasingly promote. Volume sales have grown slightly in the last two periods. Shopping around more. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Shopping around more

© WorldpanelTM division of TNS 2008

Growth of the grocery market trended over timeValue growth remains strong due to price inflation but is slowing as shops

increasingly promote. Volume sales have grown slightly in the last two

periods

5.76.46.77.27.57.888.38.68.48.38.17.67.5

0.90.90.30.1-0.4-0.7-0.300.60.3-0.4-0.3-0.1-0.2

52 w

/e 3

1 Dec

06

52 w

/e 2

8 Ja

n 07

52 w

/e 2

5 Fe

b 07

52 w

/e 2

5 M

ar 0

7

52 w

/e 2

2 Apr

07

52 w

/e 2

0 M

ay 0

7

52 w

/e 1

7 Ju

n 07

52 w

/e 1

5 Ju

l 07

52 w

/e 1

2 Aug

07

52 w

/e 0

9 Sep

07

52 w

/e 0

7 Oct

07

52 w

/e 0

4 Nov

07

52 w

/e 3

0 Nov

08

52 w

/e 2

8 Dec

08

% c

hg

% chg value % Chg Volume

Page 2: Shopping around more

Shoppers are now shopping around more for the offers and visiting on average 2.8 multiples in a 4 weekly period

2.5

2.5

2.4 2.4 2.42.5 2.4

2.5 2.5 2.52.5 2.5 2.5 2.6

2.6 2.6 2.62.6

2.8

4 W/e17

Jun07

4 W/e15Jul07

4 W/e12

Aug07

4 W/e09

Sep07

4 W/e07Oct07

4 W/e04

Nov07

4 W/e02

Dec07

4 W/e24

Feb08

4 W/e23

Mar08

4 W/e20Apr08

4 W/e18

May08

4 W/e15

Jun08

4 W/e13Jul08

4 W/e10

Aug08

4 W/e07

Sep08

4 W/e05Oct08

4 W/e02

Nov08

4 W/e30

Nov08

4 W/e28

Dec08

Shopping around more

Source: TNS Worldpanel, 52 w/e 28th December 08

No of stores visited for multiples

Page 3: Shopping around more

© WorldpanelTM division of TNS 2009

Total fresh produce market is up 2.4% annually due to each HH making 7 extra trips per annum but HH are spending less per trip

Worldpanel KPI Reporting

KM Performance

Total Fruit & Veg - Total Outlets - Total Market Value up 2.4% worth €28.9m52 w/e 30

Dec 0752 w/e 28

Dec 08Actual

Change% Change

000's Euros 1217342.5 1246282.1 28939.63 2.4Penetration % 99.7 99.9 0.12 0.1Purchase Frequency 151.8 158.4 6.63 4.4AWP (Spend per Buyer) 822.59 818.39 -4.19 -0.5Trip Spend 5.42 5.17 -0.25 -4.7

* Penetration contribution

includes population growth of 2.8%Contribution = €52.2m

Purchase Frequency

€5.17 -4.7%

Contribution = €34.7m

Trip Spend

Contribution = -€57.9m158.4 trips +4.4%

AWP (Spend per Buyer)

€818 -0.5%Contribution = -€5745k

Penetration % *

000's Euros

+2.4%Increase of €28.9m

99.9% +0.1%

-80000 -60000 -40000 -20000 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000

Penetration % Purchase Frequency Trip Spend

7 extra trips to the fixture

Page 4: Shopping around more

© WorldpanelTM division of TNS 2009

total fruit & veg quarterly trendsfrequency has been higher each period in 2008 compared to 2007 and the spend has

been dropping for throughout 2008. Each HH is spending €11 less per quarter on the

categoryPenetration

99.0 99.1 99.3 99.599.8 99.5 99.6 99.8 99.7

12 w /e 31 Dec06

12 w /e 25 Mar07

12 w /e 17 Jun07

12 w /e 07 Oct07

12 w /e 30 Dec07

12 w /e 23 Mar08

12 w /e 15 Jun08

12 w /e 05 Oct08

12 w /e 28 Dec08

33.235.2 35.0 35.6

34.236.0 36.9 37.2 36.1

Frequency

172.71192.05 192.13 189.72 184.21 197.98 201.36

178.51 175.79

5.20 5.45 5.48 5.33 5.39 5.50 5.46 4.80 4.86

Spend per Shopper (€) Trip Spend (€)

Page 5: Shopping around more

© WorldpanelTM division of TNS 2009

Total fresh produce market share quarterly

58.2

54.1 54.953.0

56.9 55.4 53.3 52.655.7

13.012.313.014.1

15.616.017.117.219.6

45.9 44.347.4

46.744.643.1

47.045.1

41.8

31-Dec-06 25-Mar-07 17-Jun-07 07-Oct-07 30-Dec-07 23-Mar-08 15-Jun-08 05-Oct-08 28-Dec-08

Total Vegetables Potatoes Total Fruit