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5th IAEE Asian Conference
15-16 February 2016
Session 6
The future of nuclear power and new energy
technologies in Asia
Session Chair: Daniel Zavattiero Executive Director - Uranium Minerals Council of Australia
5th IAEE Asian Conference
Session 6: The future of nuclear power and new energy technologies in Asia
15-16 February 2016
Changing Australian attitudes towards uranium and nuclear
Daniel Zavattiero Executive Director - Uranium Minerals Council of Australia
Overview
• Evidence of change
• Drivers of change
• What next?
Overview
• Evidence of change
• Drivers of change
• What next?
Changing attitudes
5 Source: SACOME
South Australia Polling - 2014
6 Source: www.adelaidenow.com.au
Response to SA Royal Commission announcement
Changing attitudes
Changing attitudes
Essential Research poll – Nov 2015
Source: Essential Research
Changing attitudes
Essential Research poll – Nov 2015
Source: Essential Research
Overview
• Evidence of change
• Drivers of change
• What next?
Drivers of change
Industry Performance – Economics
Source: ASNO, Office of the Chief Economist, Prof Sinclair Davidson & Dr Ashton de Silva – ‘Realising Australia’s uranium potential’ Oct 2015
10
2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15
Total Australian production (tonnes) 7,657 8,936 5,710 6,196
Total Australian UOC exports (tonnes) 6,971 8,391 6,701 5,515
Value of UOC exports ($A million) 607 823 622 532
Australia exports as % of world uranium requirements ~11% ~10.7% ~9.9% ~7%
Expressed as % of total Australian electricity production ~82% ~99.6% 77% 65%
Direct jobs Indirect jobs Total employment contribution
Economic contribution
Current 2,000 1,000 3,000 $0.6 billion
Drivers of change
Industry Performance – Radiation Management
Source: ARPANSA– ANRDR in Review, Issue 2 – July 2015
11
Industry Performance – Environment management “water qualities measured in Magela and Gulungul Creeks for the 2013–14 wet season were comparable with previous wet seasons, with the results indicating that the aquatic environment in the creek has remained protected from mining activities.”
“measured responses of the snails during the 2013–14 wet season, combined with the results from the monitoring of fish and macroinvertebrates conducted in the recessional flow period towards, the end of the wet season, continue to confirm that the downstream aquatic environment remains protected from the effects of mining”
“results from the most recent sampling and analysis conducted in October 2013 show that the levels of uranium and radium in mussels collected downstream of Ranger continue to pose no risk to human health”
Source: Supervising Scientist, Annual Report 2013-14
12
Drivers of change
Drivers of change
Industry Performance – Stewardship
Transportation Non-proliferation
13
Source: ASNO Annual Report 2013-14
14
Recognition of Environmental benefits
Source: Bravenewclimate.com Source: Centre for Integrated Sustainability Analysis, The University of Sydney
Drivers of change
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Economic imperatives - Growth and jobs - Focus on comparative advantage - Low cost energy
Drivers of change
Overview
• Evidence of change
• Drivers of change
• What next?
17
We’ve had several years now of steady progress….
- China bilateral agreement (2006) - WA removed ban on nuclear power (2008) - Uranium to India - ALP policy change (2011) - UAE bilateral agreement (2012) - NSW uranium exploration (2012) - India bilateral agreement (2014) - SA Nuclear Royal Commission (2015-16)
What next?
18
But there is still reform to be done….
- EPBC Act reform - Remaining state bans – policy inconsistency - Transportation restrictions - Nuclear power and industries are still prohibited
…these continue to be a drag on Australia realising economic opportunity in the uranium and nuclear sectors
What next?
Conclusion Attitudes are changing There are many drivers behind this industry performance economic opportunity and potential But further reform is needed to best position the country and the industry to capture those economic opportunities
19
Thank
20