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September 8, 2005 September 8, 2005 Arizona Arizona Gas Cost Update Gas Cost Update

September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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Page 1: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

September 8, 2005September 8, 2005

ArizonaArizonaGas Cost UpdateGas Cost Update

Page 2: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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NYMEX Close

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

11.00

Jan-

00

Apr-00

Jul-0

0

Oct-0

0

Jan-

01

Apr-01

Jul-0

1

Oct-0

1

Jan-

02

Apr-02

Jul-0

2

Oct-0

2

Jan-

03

Apr-03

Jul-0

3

Oct-0

3

Jan-

04

Apr-04

Jul-0

4

Oct-0

4

Jan-

05

Apr-05

Jul-0

5

Oct-0

5

$/m

mB

TU

NYMEX Close

Page 3: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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NYMEX Natural Gas Futures for January 2006

3.50

4.50

5.50

6.50

7.50

8.50

9.50

10.50

11.50

12.50

13.50

$/m

mB

tu

Updated through September 02, 2005

Page 4: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Gas Acquisition PolicyGas Acquisition Policy

#Acquire best cost portfolio consideringAcquire best cost portfolio considering$ PricePrice$ ReliabilityReliability$ FlexibilityFlexibility$ Protection from short-term market volatilityProtection from short-term market volatility

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Page 5: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Gas Purchase MethodGas Purchase Method

#Purchase 50 percent of our average annual Purchase 50 percent of our average annual needs in advance at fixed-priceneeds in advance at fixed-price

#Purchase 6 to 18 months in advance Purchase 6 to 18 months in advance

#Go to market every 4 to 6 weeksGo to market every 4 to 6 weeks

#2003 began a 2-year forward purchase2003 began a 2-year forward purchase

#The remainder floats with the market indexThe remainder floats with the market index

#Daily purchases to meet economic dispatchDaily purchases to meet economic dispatch$ Index vs. daily spotIndex vs. daily spot

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Page 6: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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Arizona Supply / Demand View

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

11/1/

2004

12/1/

2004

1/1/2

005

2/1/2

005

3/1/2

005

4/1/2

005

5/1/2

005

6/1/2

005

7/1/2

005

8/1/2

005

9/1/2

005

10/1/

2005

Dth

s /

Da

y

Fixed Price Supplies Index Based Supplies

Late Cycle Peaking Supplies Normal Demand

Extreme Demand

Page 7: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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SWG Arizona Basin Gas Cost vs. Fixed and Indexed Components

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

$ / D

th

Basin Cost Fixed Component Indexed Component EPNG San Juan IFERC

Page 8: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

APSP Price ComparisonAPSP Price Comparison

WinterWinter

05/06 APSP05/06 APSP

% of Normal Demand% of Normal Demand

$ 6.46$ 6.46

54%54%

05/06 Strip 05/06 Strip (approximately)(approximately) 10.8010.80

06/07 APSP 06/07 APSP

% of Average Demand% of Average Demand

7.037.03

16%16%

06/07 Strip 06/07 Strip (approximately)(approximately) 9.009.00

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Page 9: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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Southwest Gas CorporationArizona

Gas CostJuly 2004 - June 2006

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06

Apr-

06

May-0

6

Jun-0

6

Do

llars

Per

Th

erm

Gas Cost Rate WACOG

Page 10: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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Southwest Gas Corporation Arizona

Projected 2005 -2006 Average Residential Bill and Monthly Gas Cost Per Therm

November 2005 - March 2006

$29.64

$65.61

$89.72

$72.26

$61.87

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06

Av

era

ge

Pro

jec

ted

Mo

nth

ly B

ill

($)

0.60

0.61

0.62

0.63

0.64

0.65

0.66

0.67

0.68

0.69

0.70

Mo

nth

ly G

as

Co

st

an

d S

urc

ha

rge

s

($/T

he

rm)

Average Projected Monthly Bill ($) Monthly Gas Cost and Surcharges ($)

Page 11: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Outreach Outreach Educational EffortsEducational Efforts

andandProgram ResultsProgram Results

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Page 12: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Outreach and Educational EffortsOutreach and Educational Efforts

Consumer OutreachConsumer Outreach

Energy ServicesEnergy Services

Energy and Bill Assistance Energy and Bill Assistance

EducationEducation

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Page 13: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Consumer OutreachConsumer OutreachConsumer OutreachConsumer Outreach

Target$ Residents and businesses throughout Arizona and other

Southwest service territories

Message$ The wise and safe use of natural gas$ Energy efficiency$ Available energy and bill assistance programs

Communication Methods$ Utility bill messages and inserts$ Brochures and specialty items$ New releases$ Community events $ www.swgas.com

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Page 14: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Bill InsertsBill Inserts

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Page 15: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

News to UseNews to Use

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Page 16: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Web SiteWeb Site

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Page 17: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Energy ServicesEnergy ServicesEnergy ServicesEnergy Services

Designed Designed $ Answer questions about natural gasAnswer questions about natural gas$ Energy savings Energy savings $ Brochures and educational materialsBrochures and educational materials$ Appliance referralsAppliance referrals$ Se habla EspanolSe habla Espanol

Call toll-free: 1-800-654-2765Call toll-free: 1-800-654-2765

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Page 18: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Low-Income Ratepayer Low-Income Ratepayer Assistance Program (LIRA)Assistance Program (LIRA)

Low-Income Ratepayer Low-Income Ratepayer Assistance Program (LIRA)Assistance Program (LIRA)

Customers with an income level at or below 150 percent of the Federal Poverty Income Guidelines

Provides a 20 percent discount on the first 150 therms used each month from November through April

LIRA is a self-certification program

LIRA customers need to re-certify every two years

Quarterly Bill Inserts/Application

Online Application

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Page 19: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

LIRA ParticipationLIRA ParticipationLIRA ParticipationLIRA Participation

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Participants

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Page 20: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Low-Income Energy Conservation Low-Income Energy Conservation (LIEC)(LIEC)

Low-Income Energy Conservation Low-Income Energy Conservation (LIEC)(LIEC)

DesignedDesigned$ Assist income-qualified customers with Assist income-qualified customers with

homes in need of weatherization measureshomes in need of weatherization measures$ Cost-effectively conserve energy and waterCost-effectively conserve energy and water$ Improve the health, and safety of Improve the health, and safety of

participating householdsparticipating households$ Inform customers of LIRAInform customers of LIRA

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Page 21: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Low-Income Energy Conservation Low-Income Energy Conservation (LIEC) - (LIEC) - continuedcontinued

Low-Income Energy Conservation Low-Income Energy Conservation (LIEC) - (LIEC) - continuedcontinued

PartnershipsPartnerships$ Southwest contracts with nine Community Southwest contracts with nine Community

Action Agencies through the Arizona Action Agencies through the Arizona Department of Commerce – Energy OfficeDepartment of Commerce – Energy Office

$ Leverage with other utilities and funding Leverage with other utilities and funding sources including in the statewide sources including in the statewide Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP)Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP)

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Page 22: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Weatherization ParticipationWeatherization ParticipationWeatherization ParticipationWeatherization Participation

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

LIEC(General)

LIEC (Multi-family)

StatewideWAP

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Page 23: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Additional Southwest Gas AssistanceAdditional Southwest Gas AssistanceAdditional Southwest Gas AssistanceAdditional Southwest Gas Assistance

Equal Payment PlanEqual Payment Plan$ Evenly distributes annual natural gas costs into equal

monthly payments$ Eliminates seasonal fluctuations in customer bills$ Spreads significant increases/decreases in natural

gas costs over 12 months in a subsequent year

Energy ShareEnergy Share$ Fuel fund administered by the Salvation Army$ Approximately $130,000 collected annually

Partner with Local AgenciesPartner with Local Agencies$ Donate natural gas appliances$ Annual roundtable meeting with Community Agencies

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Page 24: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

ReferralsReferralsReferralsReferrals ReferRefer

$ Customers with unexpected financial Customers with unexpected financial difficulties such as the loss of a job or medical difficulties such as the loss of a job or medical emergencies with agencies who provide direct emergencies with agencies who provide direct assistance assistance with energy costs or repairswith energy costs or repairs

Example of Funding SourcesExample of Funding Sources$ Low Income Home Energy Assistance Low Income Home Energy Assistance

Program (LIHEAP) Program (LIHEAP) $ Utility Repair, Replacement and Deposit Utility Repair, Replacement and Deposit

Program (URRD)Program (URRD)

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Page 25: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

Energy EducationEnergy Education

Educate children (K-12) on energy Educate children (K-12) on energy efficiency and safetyefficiency and safety$ Partner with U.S. Department of Energy, Partner with U.S. Department of Energy,

National Energy Foundation and School National Energy Foundation and School DistrictsDistricts

Realtor ® education classRealtor ® education class$ Approved by the Arizona Department of Approved by the Arizona Department of

Real Estate for continuing education Real Estate for continuing education creditscredits

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Page 26: September 8, 2005 Arizona Gas Cost Update. R R Gas Acquisition Policy #Acquire best cost portfolio considering $Price $Reliability $Flexibility $Protection

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