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PARKS FORWARD:. Demographic Change in the Golden State. September 2013. MANUEL PASTOR, MIRABAI AUER, JARED SANCHEZ. Percent Foreign-born by Length of Time in U.S. by State. WE USED TO BE OPPORUTNITY-RICH . . . - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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September 2013 MANUEL PASTOR, MIRABAI AUER, JARED SANCHEZ
PARKS FORWARD:DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE IN THE GOLDEN STATE
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
A Leveling Off: Immigrant Share of Total PopulationCalifornia, Los Angeles, and the U.S.
Los Angeles
United States
California
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
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Penn
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evad
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Isla
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Mai
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nia
Percent of Immigrant Population in U.S. Since 1999
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
DC
FL
GA
HI
ID
IL
IN IA
KS
KY LA ME
MDMA
MIMN
MS
MO
MT
NE
NV
NH
NJ
NM
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR
PA
RI
SC
SD
TN
TX
UT
VT
VA
WA
WV
WIWY
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75%
Perc
ent S
hare
of S
tate
Tha
t is F
orei
gn-B
orn
Percent Immigrants Arrived Before 2000
Percent Foreign-born by Length of Time in U.S. by State
-4,310,525
-248,081
4,788,632
781,946 875,683
White Black Latino API Other
U.S. Change in Youth (<18) Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2010
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Age by Sex, California, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Prepared by USC PERE | August 2013 | 20
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Age by Sex, South Kern BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 21
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
Age by Sex, Fresno BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 22
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
Age by Sex, Coachella Valley BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 23
Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 24
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Age by Sex, Boyle Heights BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Age by Sex, East Oakland BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 25
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Age by Sex, Richmond BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 26
Under 5 years
5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
25 to 29 years
30 to 34 years
35 to 39 years
40 to 44 years
45 to 49 years
50 to 54 years
55 to 59 years
60 to 64 years
65 to 69 years
70 to 74 years
75 to 79 years
80 to 84 years
85 years and over
12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Age by Sex, City Heights BHC Site, 2005-09
MaleFemale
Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level.
Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 27
WE USED TO BE OPPORUTNITY-RICH . . .
0.40
0.42
0.44
0.46
0.48
0.50
0.52
New YorkConnecticutLouisianaM
ississippiTexasFloridaCaliforniaTennesseeAlabam
aGeorgiaIllinoisM
assachusettsKentuckyNew JerseyNorth CarolinaSouth CarolinaArkansasNew M
exicoOklahom
aPennsylvaniaRhode IslandVirginiaW
est VirginiaColoradoArizonaM
ichiganM
issouriOhioNorth DakotaOregonKansasM
arylandM
ontanaW
ashingtonM
innesotaDelawareSouth DakotaM
aineIndianaNevadaNebraskaIdahoVerm
ontW
yoming
Wisconsin
IowaHawaiiNew Ham
pshireUtahAlaska
Gini Index by State(2007-2009)
Note:The G ini coefficient is a measure of income inequality. A zero coefficient implies that a ll households in a state have exactly the same amount of wealth, while a coefficient of 1.0 means a single household has all the state's income.
Once considered a land of opportunity, California is now one of the most unequal states in the U.S.
Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 28
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
< high school high school only some college, no degree
AA or equivalent BA or better
Changing Returns to Education in California, 1979-2009
1979
2009
Real wage earned at various education points – note that the return has increased for college grads such that the wage premium was about 100 percent in 1979 and is now nearly 200 percent in 2009
Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 29
How can the state park system help with significant social challenges? Intersecting state
park system with needs of low-income population and communities of color
Thanks to Greeninfo for advice and pioneering techniques
Zoom to major urban areas
Need to understand whether the future demographics are being served by park and other systems
Need to see the park system as one part of contributing to opportunity for all residents
Need to see how every system can help with reconnecting Californians across generations and geographies
IMPLICATIONS FOR STATE PARKS
BUILDING THE FUTURE