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Maintaining a Balance Life: Nurturing Growth, Fostering Prosperity, Preserving Nature Kesiapan Kesiapan Sektor Sektor Swasta Swasta Menanggapi Menanggapi Rencana Rencana Pemerintah Pemerintah Mendirikan Mendirikan PLTN PLTN di di Indonesia: Indonesia: Industri Industri Nuklir Nuklir Nasional Nasional . . SEMINAR TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR DAN APLIKASINYA BAGI KESEJAHTERAAN MANU SEMINAR TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR DAN APLIKASINYA BAGI KESEJAHTERAAN MANU SIA SIA Teknik Teknik Nuklir Nuklir Jurusan Jurusan Teknik Teknik Fisika Fisika FT UGM FT UGM Sekolah Sekolah Tinggi Tinggi Teknologi Teknologi Nuklir Nuklir Yogyakarta Yogyakarta , 11 , 11 Agustus Agustus 2009 2009 MEDCOENERGI POWER

Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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Page 1: Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

Maintaining a Balance Life:Nurturing Growth, Fostering Prosperity, Preserving Nature

KesiapanKesiapan SektorSektor SwastaSwastaMenanggapiMenanggapi RencanaRencana PemerintahPemerintah

MendirikanMendirikan PLTN PLTN didi Indonesia: Indonesia: IndustriIndustri NuklirNuklir NasionalNasional..

SEMINAR TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR DAN APLIKASINYA BAGI KESEJAHTERAAN MANUSEMINAR TEKNOLOGI NUKLIR DAN APLIKASINYA BAGI KESEJAHTERAAN MANUSIASIATeknikTeknik NuklirNuklir JurusanJurusan TeknikTeknik FisikaFisika FT UGM FT UGM –– SekolahSekolah TinggiTinggi TeknologiTeknologi NuklirNuklir

YogyakartaYogyakarta, 11 , 11 AgustusAgustus 2009 2009

MEDCOENERGIPOWER

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

PT Medco Power IndonesiaPT Medco Power Indonesia

Business StructureBusiness Structure

RenewableGeothermalBiomassWindfarm

Thermal

Gas Fired PPCoal Fired PPNuclear

SarullaGeothermal

SarullaGeothermal

SingaporeBiomass

BaliWind farmNew

SingaporeBiomass

Alternative

MEB

NPPs

Small scale PP

DEB Sengkang New

Batam TJB

Gas FiredCoal FiredOther (Geothermal) Spare

parts

O&M

MPI’s core business remains as a power project developer with aggressive expansion in renewable and alternative energies as well as project infrastructure.

The EnergyNavigatNew

Project Management

New

Page 3: Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

NATIONAL ENERGY MIX TARGET 2025

Presidential Regulation No.5 Year 2006Presidential Regulation No.5 Year 2006National Energy Blueprint National Energy Blueprint -- DESDMDESDM

15% Non-Fossil

Oil54,4%

Gas26,5%

Coal14,1%

Hydro3,4%Geothermal

1,4%Other Renew.0,2%

5% Non-Fossil

MiniHydro 0.2%

Biofuels 5%

Solar 0.2%

Wind 0.05%Fuel cell 0.00%Biomass 0.5%

Nuclear 2%

Hydro >2%

Others >8%

Geothermal >5%

Coal >35%(Incl. 2% Coal Liq.)

Oil <20%Gas>30%

++ 2 times2 timesmoremore

Primary Energy Projection 2025Primary Energy Projection 2025

Energy Condition 2003

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

Electricity Projection for Electricity Projection for JawaJawa--Bali GridBali Grid

0102030405060708090

100

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026

GW

PLTU-BB PLTGU-G/M PLTG-G/M PLTD PLTN PLTA/MH PLTP PLTU-M/G

Jawa-Bali Island – Big Energy Importer !!Lebih dari 90% jumlah energi didatangkan dari luar Jawa.

20 Unit460 or./km2200749 JutaKorea55 Unit340 or./km22007128 JutaJepang

4 unit ??1010 or./km22025170 JutaJawa-BaliJumlah PLTNKepadatanThPendudukPerbandingan

(Studi PLN 2007)

Page 5: Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

NPP Program Revised in IndonesiaNPP Program Revised in Indonesia

20102005 20202015 2025Years

Go Nuclear

2009

Energy Planning

Banten-2

2024

NPP

Banten-1

2023

NPP

Muria-1

2019

NPP

Muria-2

2020

NPP

Bidding Construction

2011 2013

Site Permit

Construction Permit

Commissioning Permit

Environmental Permit

Operation Permit

Operation Operation

Bid Invitation Spesification (BIS)

Site Evaluation Report (SER)

Preliminary Safety Analysis Report (PSAR) Environmental

Analysis Document

Plan of Commissioning

Document

Plan of Operation Document

National Team

Presidential Decree

Banten = Another possibility NPP site

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

BAGANBAGANPERSETUJUAN PEMBANGUNAN LISTRIK SWASTAPERSETUJUAN PEMBANGUNAN LISTRIK SWASTA

MENTERI

MENTERI BUMN/RUPS PT PLN

(Pemilik Perusahaan)

PT PLN (Persero)(Pemegang Kuasa

Usaha Ketenagalistrikan)

DJLPEa/n. Menteri

IMPLEMENTASI

DEPARTEMEN ESDM(Regulator Listrik)

MAKRORegulasiSektor

MIKRORegulasiKorporasi

1 2

7

3 4

8 8

IPP

5 6

1 Permohonan Izin Usaha Ketenagalistrikan untuk Umum (IUKU) d/h Surat Persetujuan Pendahuluan(SPP)IUKU SementaraPermohonan persetujuan Harga JualTenaga ListrikPenetapan Harga Jual Tenaga ListrikPermohonan persetujuan PPAPersetujuan PPA

Draft PPAPPA

23

45678

KETERANGAN:

(PT. PLN Persero)

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

NPP Organization: ConsortiumNPP Organization: Consortium

ConsortiumCompany (IPP)

EPC Contractor

Transmition /Distribution

PPA

IndonesianGovernment

kWh Revenue

PT. PLN

Project Support

Manufacture

Govt. Institution/National Team

National Private

Company

PurchaseAgreement

ContractAgreement

10% Equity

National/International FINANCING

20-30% Equity

60-70

% L

oan/

Inve

stmen

t

Pre-Project

Project Excecution

MEDCOMEDCO&Others&Others

BATAN BATAN LeaderLeader

DESDM DESDM LeaderLeader

Guarantee

BAPETENBAPEDAL

Regulationand Permit

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

Possibilities of NPP Financing in IndonesiaPossibilities of NPP Financing in Indonesia

Ownership by private company (IPP) with finance composition(International investment vary between 49-70% and national invesment vary between 30-51%):

1. Government through PT. PLN Persero about 10-15%2. National private investment about 20-36% (G to B to B) or (B to B) 3. Foreign private investment about 49-70%.

Ownership by public company with finance composition(government responsibility 51% minimum and commercial loan 49% maximum):

1. Government through PT. PLN Persero about 15-20% 2. Government loan about 36-80% (G to G) 3. Commercial loan (local/international) 49% max. (B to B).

IPP Financing IPP Financing -- ConsortiumConsortium

Page 9: Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

Economy of NPPEconomy of NPP

Levelized Generation Cost ¢US$ /kWh 3,7831

Capital Cost ¢US$ /kWh 2,5113

O&M Cost ¢US$ /kWh 0,8283

Fuel Cost ¢US$ /kWh 0,4435

Romania actual case in 2007:2x720 MWe NPP Project using IPP scheme (CANDU-700 Cervamoda unit 3 dan unit 4). Total invesment needed about EUR 2,2 milyard. Resulted lower generation cost about 2.8-3.2 centsEUR/kWh.

Influence of oil price increasing in 2008:Akan mempengaruhi kenaikan biaya material dan konstruksi PLTN. Sehingga diperkirakan generation cost untuk nuklir akan menjadi sekitar 5-6 cent US$/kWh. Masih bernilai ekonomis untuk harga jual listrik sekitar tahun 2018.

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

Public Ownership in Nuclear Power IndustryPublic Ownership in Nuclear Power IndustryInternational FactInternational Fact

Andrew D. Paterson, Deloitte Energy & Resources Practice

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

Public Public –– Private RiskPrivate Risk--Sharing ModelSharing Model

First few nuclear reactors can be built through risk-sharing mechanisms between the public and private sectors. Risks vary by phase of development, construction and operation. Industry and government bring different risk-bearing approaches to the common goals of building first units.

ProjectDevelopment

Design &Construction

Commis-sioning

Operations /D & D

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

ProjectDevelopment

Design &Construction

Commissioning

Operations /D&D

Ris

k Sh

ared

Government Industry

Andrew D. Paterson, Deloitte Energy & Resources Practice

Government participation

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

PemerintahPemerintah: : -- PengaturanPengaturan regulasiregulasi dandan menyiapkanmenyiapkan infrastrukturinfrastruktur-- PemberianPemberian fasilitasfasilitas dandan insentifinsentif-- SebagaiSebagai pionirpionir dandan ikutikut menanggungmenanggung resikoresiko..

SwastaSwasta::-- PengembanganPengembangan industriindustri secarasecara masalmasal / / investasiinvestasi-- PeningkatanPeningkatan dandan mengembangkanmengembangkan ekonomiekonomi-- SebagaiSebagai penyerappenyerap tenagatenaga kerjakerja..

PeranPeran PemerintahPemerintah & & IndustriIndustri SwastaSwasta

Page 13: Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

KebutuhanKebutuhan SDM SDM NuklirNuklirMasaMasa PembangunanPembangunan dandan OperasiOperasi PLTNPLTN

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

ROADMAP OF NUCLEAR ENERGY INDUSTRYROADMAP OF NUCLEAR ENERGY INDUSTRY((BukuBuku PutihPutih RistekRistek))

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

Nuclear Power Development ProcessNuclear Power Development Process

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

CondensorCondensor for Oikulotofor Oikuloto--3 Project, 3 Project, FinlandiaFinlandia1600 MWe NPP

Produced by Produced by PT.SiemenPT.Siemen Indonesia, Indonesia, CilegonCilegon, , BantenBanten..

National participation National participation could attain 40could attain 40--50% 50% for the first 1000 for the first 1000 MWeMWeNPP.NPP.

-- Reduce cost for Reduce cost for transportationtransportation-- Less construction Less construction costcost-- Cheaper generation Cheaper generation costcost-- More competitiveMore competitive

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

TidakTidak cukupcukup hanyahanya membangunmembangun PLTN PLTN sajasaja, , tetapitetapiharusharus menghidupkanmenghidupkan industriindustri nuklirnuklir nasionalnasional

HanyaHanya sektorsektor industriindustri nuklirnuklir yang yang dapatdapat menyerapmenyerapSDM SDM nuklirnuklir secarasecara maksimalmaksimal..

KemandirianKemandirian industriindustri nuklirnuklir nasionalnasional sangatsangatdiperlukandiperlukan sebagaisebagai jaminanjaminan penyerapanpenyerapan tenagatenagakerjakerja secarasecara maksimalmaksimal didi sektorsektor ketenaganukliranketenaganukliran..

KesimpulanKesimpulan

Page 18: Seminar Nuklir UGM-STTN, Arnold - 11.08.09

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MEDCOENERGIPOWER

DR.IrDR.Ir. Arnold Soetrisnanto. Arnold SoetrisnantoTechnology SupportTechnology SupportPT. Medco Power Indonesia, Medco Tower PT. Medco Power Indonesia, Medco Tower The Energy, 50th Floor SCBDThe Energy, 50th Floor SCBDJlJl. . JendJend. . SudirmanSudirman KavKav. 52. 52--5353Jakarta 12190 Jakarta 12190 –– IndonesiaIndonesiaPhone. +62.21.2995.1300 / 2995.1316, Fax. Phone. +62.21.2995.1300 / 2995.1316, Fax. +62.21.2995.1301+62.21.2995.1301Mobile Phone. +62.8128218940Mobile Phone. +62.8128218940Email: Email: [email protected]@medcoenergi.comwww.medcoenergi.comwww.medcoenergi.com